Articles | Volume 25, issue 3
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 1529–1568, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-1529-2021
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 1529–1568, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-1529-2021

Research article 26 Mar 2021

Research article | 26 Mar 2021

Implications of model selection: a comparison of publicly available, conterminous US-extent hydrologic component estimates

Samuel Saxe et al.

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Short summary
We compare simulated values from 47 models estimating surface water over the USA. Results show that model uncertainty is substantial over much of the conterminous USA and especially high in the west. Applying the studied models to a simple water accounting equation shows that model selection can significantly affect research results. This paper concludes that multimodel ensembles help to best represent uncertainty in conclusions and suggest targeted research efforts in arid regions.