Articles | Volume 24, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-451-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-451-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Projected increases in magnitude and socioeconomic exposure of global droughts in 1.5 and 2 °C warmer climates
State Key Laboratory of Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering
Science, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, China
Jie Chen
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
State Key Laboratory of Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering
Science, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, China
Hubei Provincial Key Lab of Water System Science for Sponge City
Construction, Wuhan University, Wuhan, China
State Key Laboratory of Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering
Science, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, China
Sylvia C. Sullivan
Department of Earth and Environmental Engineering, Columbia
University, New York, NY 10027, USA
Hui-Min Wang
State Key Laboratory of Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering
Science, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, China
Shenglian Guo
State Key Laboratory of Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering
Science, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, China
Liping Zhang
State Key Laboratory of Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering
Science, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, China
Hubei Provincial Key Lab of Water System Science for Sponge City
Construction, Wuhan University, Wuhan, China
Jong-Suk Kim
State Key Laboratory of Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering
Science, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, China
Hubei Provincial Key Lab of Water System Science for Sponge City
Construction, Wuhan University, Wuhan, China
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- Intensification of Global Hydrological Droughts Under Anthropogenic Climate Warming L. Gu et al. 10.1029/2022WR032997
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- Responses of Precipitation and Runoff to Climate Warming and Implications for Future Drought Changes in China L. Gu et al. 10.1029/2020EF001718
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- Evaluation of global climate models for the simulation of precipitation and maximum and minimum temperatures at coarser and finer resolutions based on temporal and spatial assessment metrics in mainland of China Y. Lei et al. 10.2166/wcc.2023.464
- Projections and uncertainty analysis of socioeconomic exposure to compound dry and hot events under 1.5℃ and 2.0℃ warming levels across China G. Zhang et al. 10.1007/s00704-024-05085-4
- Impacts of climate change on global meteorological multi-year droughts using the last millennium simulation as a baseline G. Wu et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.127937
- Interferences to Report Water Safety Obstructed Using Climate Change M. Ghane & K. Ostad-Ali-Askari 10.2139/ssrn.4766609
- Complex drought patterns robustly explain global yield loss for major crops M. Santini et al. 10.1038/s41598-022-09611-0
- Machine-learning-constrained projection of bivariate hydrological drought magnitudes and socioeconomic risks over China R. Liu et al. 10.5194/hess-28-3305-2024
- A pathway analysis method for quantifying the contributions of precipitation and potential evapotranspiration anomalies to soil moisture drought C. Wang et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.129570
- CMIP6 projections of spatiotemporal changes in rainfall and droughts over India P. Naskar et al. 10.1007/s12040-023-02143-9
- Diverging hydrological drought traits over Europe with global warming C. Cammalleri et al. 10.5194/hess-24-5919-2020
- Human and natural resource exposure to extreme drought at 1.0 °C–4.0 °C warming levels I. Runde et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac681a
- Use of GNSS and ERA5 precipitable water vapor based standardized precipitation conversion index for drought monitoring in the Mediterranean coast: A first case study in Southern Spain L. Retegui Schiettekatte et al. 10.1016/j.asr.2023.08.030
- Impacts of Global Climate Warming on Meteorological and Hydrological Droughts and Their Propagations G. Wu et al. 10.1029/2021EF002542
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Latest update: 22 Nov 2024
Short summary
Focusing on the multifaceted nature of droughts, this study quantifies the change in global drought risks for 1.5 and 2.0 °C warming trajectories by a multi-model ensemble under three representative concentration pathways (RCP2.6, 4.5 and 8.5). Socioeconomic exposures are investigated by incorporating the dynamic shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) into the drought impact assessment. The results show that even the ambitious 1.5 °C warming level can cause substantial increases on the global scale.
Focusing on the multifaceted nature of droughts, this study quantifies the change in global...