Articles | Volume 24, issue 6
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3135–3156, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-3135-2020
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3135–3156, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-3135-2020

Research article 19 Jun 2020

Research article | 19 Jun 2020

A meteorological–hydrological regional ensemble forecast for an early-warning system over small Apennine catchments in Central Italy

Rossella Ferretti et al.

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Latest update: 20 Oct 2021
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Short summary
Floods and severe rainfall are among the major natural hazards in the Mediterranean basin. Though precipitation weather forecasts have improved considerably, precipitation estimation is still affected by errors that can deteriorate the hydrological forecast. To improve hydrological forecasting, a regional-scale meteorological–hydrological ensemble is presented. This allows for predicting potential severe events days in advance and for characterizing the uncertainty of the hydrological forecast.