Articles | Volume 24, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-3135-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-3135-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
19 Jun 2020
Research article |
| 19 Jun 2020
| 19 Jun 2020
A meteorological–hydrological regional ensemble forecast for an early-warning system over small Apennine catchments in Central Italy
Rossella Ferretti
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
CETEMPS, University of L'Aquila, L'Aquila, Italy
Department of Physical and Chemical Sciences, University of L'Aquila, L'Aquila, Italy
Annalina Lombardi
CETEMPS, University of L'Aquila, L'Aquila, Italy
Barbara Tomassetti
CETEMPS, University of L'Aquila, L'Aquila, Italy
Lorenzo Sangelantoni
CETEMPS, University of L'Aquila, L'Aquila, Italy
Valentina Colaiuda
CETEMPS, University of L'Aquila, L'Aquila, Italy
Vincenzo Mazzarella
CETEMPS, University of L'Aquila, L'Aquila, Italy
Ida Maiello
Centro Funzionale d'Abruzzo, L'Aquila, Italy
CETEMPS, University of L'Aquila, L'Aquila, Italy
Marco Verdecchia
Department of Physical and Chemical Sciences, University of L'Aquila, L'Aquila, Italy
Gianluca Redaelli
CETEMPS, University of L'Aquila, L'Aquila, Italy
Department of Physical and Chemical Sciences, University of L'Aquila, L'Aquila, Italy
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Cited
19 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Dynamical Downscaling in Seasonal Climate Forecasts: Comparison between RegCM- and WRF-Based Approaches L. Sangelantoni et al. 10.3390/atmos12060757
- Evaluating the impact of hydrometeorological conditions on E. coli concentration in farmed mussels and clams: experience in Central Italy V. Colaiuda et al. 10.2166/wh.2021.203
- Evolving Threshold of Flood-Leading Precipitation in a User-Oriented Forecast System Based on the TIGGE Dataset Z. Zheng et al. 10.3389/feart.2021.703024
- Investigating 3D and 4D variational rapid-update-cycling assimilation of weather radar reflectivity for a heavy rain event in central Italy V. Mazzarella et al. 10.5194/nhess-21-2849-2021
- Evaluating the Response of Hydrological Stress Indices Using the CHyM Model over a Wide Area in Central Italy A. Lombardi et al. 10.3390/hydrology9080139
- Interaction of the Sea Breeze with the Urban Area of Rome: WRF Mesoscale and WRF Large-Eddy Simulations Compared to Ground-Based Observations A. Di Bernardino et al. 10.1007/s10546-022-00734-5
- On the combined use of rain gauges and GPM IMERG satellite rainfall products for hydrological modelling: impact assessment of the cellular-automata-based methodology in the Tanaro River basin in Italy A. Lombardi et al. 10.5194/hess-28-3777-2024
- Tropospheric Delay in the Neapolitan and Vesuvius Areas (Italy) by Means of a Dense GPS Array: A Contribution for Weather Forecasting and Climate Monitoring U. Riccardi et al. 10.3390/atmos12091225
- User-oriented hydrological indices for early warning systems with validation using post-event surveys: flood case studies in the Central Apennine District A. Lombardi et al. 10.5194/hess-25-1969-2021
- Quantifying and reducing flood forecast uncertainty by the CHUP-BMA method Z. Cui et al. 10.5194/hess-28-2809-2024
- Predictive performance of ensemble hydroclimatic forecasts: Verification metrics, diagnostic plots and forecast attributes Z. Huang & T. Zhao 10.1002/wat2.1580
- Probabilistic Attenuation Nowcasting for the 5G Telecommunication Networks J. Pudashine et al. 10.1109/LAWP.2021.3068393
- Real-time flash flood forecasting approach for development of early warning systems: integrated hydrological and meteorological application J. Trošelj et al. 10.1080/19475705.2023.2269295
- Geomorphology-Based Analysis of Flood Critical Areas in Small Hilly Catchments for Civil Protection Purposes and Early Warning Systems: The Case of the Feltrino Stream and the Lanciano Urban Area (Abruzzo, Central Italy) T. Piacentini et al. 10.3390/w12082228
- On the Use of Original and Bias-Corrected Climate Simulations in Regional-Scale Hydrological Scenarios in the Mediterranean Basin L. Sangelantoni et al. 10.3390/atmos10120799
- Forecasting the Ensemble Hydrograph of the Reservoir Inflow based on Post-Processed TIGGE Precipitation Forecasts in a Coupled Atmospheric-Hydrological System M. Tanhapour et al. 10.3390/w15050887
- Data Assimilation for Rainfall-Runoff Prediction Based on Coupled Atmospheric-Hydrologic Systems with Variable Complexity W. Wang et al. 10.3390/rs13040595
- Development of a Multi-objective Optimal Operation Model of a Dam using Meteorological Ensemble Forecasts for Flood Control M. Tanhapour et al. 10.1007/s11269-024-04089-z
- Addressing the gap: advancements in flow forecasting systems for small mountainous catchments M. Fagundes et al. 10.1007/s11069-024-06407-5
13 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Dynamical Downscaling in Seasonal Climate Forecasts: Comparison between RegCM- and WRF-Based Approaches L. Sangelantoni et al. 10.3390/atmos12060757
- Evaluating the impact of hydrometeorological conditions on E. coli concentration in farmed mussels and clams: experience in Central Italy V. Colaiuda et al. 10.2166/wh.2021.203
- Evolving Threshold of Flood-Leading Precipitation in a User-Oriented Forecast System Based on the TIGGE Dataset Z. Zheng et al. 10.3389/feart.2021.703024
- Investigating 3D and 4D variational rapid-update-cycling assimilation of weather radar reflectivity for a heavy rain event in central Italy V. Mazzarella et al. 10.5194/nhess-21-2849-2021
- Evaluating the Response of Hydrological Stress Indices Using the CHyM Model over a Wide Area in Central Italy A. Lombardi et al. 10.3390/hydrology9080139
- Interaction of the Sea Breeze with the Urban Area of Rome: WRF Mesoscale and WRF Large-Eddy Simulations Compared to Ground-Based Observations A. Di Bernardino et al. 10.1007/s10546-022-00734-5
- On the combined use of rain gauges and GPM IMERG satellite rainfall products for hydrological modelling: impact assessment of the cellular-automata-based methodology in the Tanaro River basin in Italy A. Lombardi et al. 10.5194/hess-28-3777-2024
- Tropospheric Delay in the Neapolitan and Vesuvius Areas (Italy) by Means of a Dense GPS Array: A Contribution for Weather Forecasting and Climate Monitoring U. Riccardi et al. 10.3390/atmos12091225
- User-oriented hydrological indices for early warning systems with validation using post-event surveys: flood case studies in the Central Apennine District A. Lombardi et al. 10.5194/hess-25-1969-2021
- Quantifying and reducing flood forecast uncertainty by the CHUP-BMA method Z. Cui et al. 10.5194/hess-28-2809-2024
- Predictive performance of ensemble hydroclimatic forecasts: Verification metrics, diagnostic plots and forecast attributes Z. Huang & T. Zhao 10.1002/wat2.1580
- Probabilistic Attenuation Nowcasting for the 5G Telecommunication Networks J. Pudashine et al. 10.1109/LAWP.2021.3068393
- Real-time flash flood forecasting approach for development of early warning systems: integrated hydrological and meteorological application J. Trošelj et al. 10.1080/19475705.2023.2269295
6 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Geomorphology-Based Analysis of Flood Critical Areas in Small Hilly Catchments for Civil Protection Purposes and Early Warning Systems: The Case of the Feltrino Stream and the Lanciano Urban Area (Abruzzo, Central Italy) T. Piacentini et al. 10.3390/w12082228
- On the Use of Original and Bias-Corrected Climate Simulations in Regional-Scale Hydrological Scenarios in the Mediterranean Basin L. Sangelantoni et al. 10.3390/atmos10120799
- Forecasting the Ensemble Hydrograph of the Reservoir Inflow based on Post-Processed TIGGE Precipitation Forecasts in a Coupled Atmospheric-Hydrological System M. Tanhapour et al. 10.3390/w15050887
- Data Assimilation for Rainfall-Runoff Prediction Based on Coupled Atmospheric-Hydrologic Systems with Variable Complexity W. Wang et al. 10.3390/rs13040595
- Development of a Multi-objective Optimal Operation Model of a Dam using Meteorological Ensemble Forecasts for Flood Control M. Tanhapour et al. 10.1007/s11269-024-04089-z
- Addressing the gap: advancements in flow forecasting systems for small mountainous catchments M. Fagundes et al. 10.1007/s11069-024-06407-5
Latest update: 30 May 2025
Short summary
Floods and severe rainfall are among the major natural hazards in the Mediterranean basin. Though precipitation weather forecasts have improved considerably, precipitation estimation is still affected by errors that can deteriorate the hydrological forecast. To improve hydrological forecasting, a regional-scale meteorological–hydrological ensemble is presented. This allows for predicting potential severe events days in advance and for characterizing the uncertainty of the hydrological forecast.
Floods and severe rainfall are among the major natural hazards in the Mediterranean basin....
