Articles | Volume 24, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-3135-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-3135-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
19 Jun 2020
Research article |
| 19 Jun 2020
| 19 Jun 2020
A meteorological–hydrological regional ensemble forecast for an early-warning system over small Apennine catchments in Central Italy
Rossella Ferretti
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
CETEMPS, University of L'Aquila, L'Aquila, Italy
Department of Physical and Chemical Sciences, University of L'Aquila, L'Aquila, Italy
Annalina Lombardi
CETEMPS, University of L'Aquila, L'Aquila, Italy
Barbara Tomassetti
CETEMPS, University of L'Aquila, L'Aquila, Italy
Lorenzo Sangelantoni
CETEMPS, University of L'Aquila, L'Aquila, Italy
Valentina Colaiuda
CETEMPS, University of L'Aquila, L'Aquila, Italy
Vincenzo Mazzarella
CETEMPS, University of L'Aquila, L'Aquila, Italy
Ida Maiello
Centro Funzionale d'Abruzzo, L'Aquila, Italy
CETEMPS, University of L'Aquila, L'Aquila, Italy
Marco Verdecchia
Department of Physical and Chemical Sciences, University of L'Aquila, L'Aquila, Italy
Gianluca Redaelli
CETEMPS, University of L'Aquila, L'Aquila, Italy
Department of Physical and Chemical Sciences, University of L'Aquila, L'Aquila, Italy
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Cited
14 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Dynamical Downscaling in Seasonal Climate Forecasts: Comparison between RegCM- and WRF-Based Approaches L. Sangelantoni et al.
- Evaluating the impact of hydrometeorological conditions on E. coli concentration in farmed mussels and clams: experience in Central Italy V. Colaiuda et al.
- Evolving Threshold of Flood-Leading Precipitation in a User-Oriented Forecast System Based on the TIGGE Dataset Z. Zheng et al.
- Investigating 3D and 4D variational rapid-update-cycling assimilation of weather radar reflectivity for a heavy rain event in central Italy V. Mazzarella et al.
- Evaluating the Response of Hydrological Stress Indices Using the CHyM Model over a Wide Area in Central Italy A. Lombardi et al.
- Interaction of the Sea Breeze with the Urban Area of Rome: WRF Mesoscale and WRF Large-Eddy Simulations Compared to Ground-Based Observations A. Di Bernardino et al.
- Streamflow forecasting with a hybrid model integrating a distributed hydrological model and deep learning methods X. Liang et al.
- On the combined use of rain gauges and GPM IMERG satellite rainfall products for hydrological modelling: impact assessment of the cellular-automata-based methodology in the Tanaro River basin in Italy A. Lombardi et al.
- Tropospheric Delay in the Neapolitan and Vesuvius Areas (Italy) by Means of a Dense GPS Array: A Contribution for Weather Forecasting and Climate Monitoring U. Riccardi et al.
- User-oriented hydrological indices for early warning systems with validation using post-event surveys: flood case studies in the Central Apennine District A. Lombardi et al.
- Quantifying and reducing flood forecast uncertainty by the CHUP-BMA method Z. Cui et al.
- Predictive performance of ensemble hydroclimatic forecasts: Verification metrics, diagnostic plots and forecast attributes Z. Huang & T. Zhao
- Probabilistic Attenuation Nowcasting for the 5G Telecommunication Networks J. Pudashine et al.
- Real-time flash flood forecasting approach for development of early warning systems: integrated hydrological and meteorological application J. Trošelj et al.
14 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Dynamical Downscaling in Seasonal Climate Forecasts: Comparison between RegCM- and WRF-Based Approaches L. Sangelantoni et al.
- Evaluating the impact of hydrometeorological conditions on E. coli concentration in farmed mussels and clams: experience in Central Italy V. Colaiuda et al.
- Evolving Threshold of Flood-Leading Precipitation in a User-Oriented Forecast System Based on the TIGGE Dataset Z. Zheng et al.
- Investigating 3D and 4D variational rapid-update-cycling assimilation of weather radar reflectivity for a heavy rain event in central Italy V. Mazzarella et al.
- Evaluating the Response of Hydrological Stress Indices Using the CHyM Model over a Wide Area in Central Italy A. Lombardi et al.
- Interaction of the Sea Breeze with the Urban Area of Rome: WRF Mesoscale and WRF Large-Eddy Simulations Compared to Ground-Based Observations A. Di Bernardino et al.
- Streamflow forecasting with a hybrid model integrating a distributed hydrological model and deep learning methods X. Liang et al.
- On the combined use of rain gauges and GPM IMERG satellite rainfall products for hydrological modelling: impact assessment of the cellular-automata-based methodology in the Tanaro River basin in Italy A. Lombardi et al.
- Tropospheric Delay in the Neapolitan and Vesuvius Areas (Italy) by Means of a Dense GPS Array: A Contribution for Weather Forecasting and Climate Monitoring U. Riccardi et al.
- User-oriented hydrological indices for early warning systems with validation using post-event surveys: flood case studies in the Central Apennine District A. Lombardi et al.
- Quantifying and reducing flood forecast uncertainty by the CHUP-BMA method Z. Cui et al.
- Predictive performance of ensemble hydroclimatic forecasts: Verification metrics, diagnostic plots and forecast attributes Z. Huang & T. Zhao
- Probabilistic Attenuation Nowcasting for the 5G Telecommunication Networks J. Pudashine et al.
- Real-time flash flood forecasting approach for development of early warning systems: integrated hydrological and meteorological application J. Trošelj et al.
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 06 May 2026
Short summary
Floods and severe rainfall are among the major natural hazards in the Mediterranean basin. Though precipitation weather forecasts have improved considerably, precipitation estimation is still affected by errors that can deteriorate the hydrological forecast. To improve hydrological forecasting, a regional-scale meteorological–hydrological ensemble is presented. This allows for predicting potential severe events days in advance and for characterizing the uncertainty of the hydrological forecast.
Floods and severe rainfall are among the major natural hazards in the Mediterranean basin....
