Articles | Volume 24, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-3077-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-3077-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
12 Jun 2020
Research article |
| 12 Jun 2020
| 12 Jun 2020
Future shift in winter streamflow modulated by the internal variability of climate in southern Ontario
School of Geography and Earth Sciences, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada
M. Altaf Arain
School of Geography and Earth Sciences, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada
Martin Leduc
Ouranos, Montreal, Quebec, Canada
Centre ESCER, Université du Québec à Montréal, Montreal, Quebec, Canada
Paulin Coulibaly
School of Geography and Earth Sciences, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada
Department of Civil Engineering, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada
Shawn McKenzie
School of Geography and Earth Sciences, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada
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Cited
16 citations as recorded by crossref.
- New Graph-Based and Transformer Deep Learning Models for River Dissolved Oxygen Forecasting P. Costa Rocha et al. 10.3390/environments10120217
- Quantifying the contributions of multi-source uncertainty to multi-time scale indicators in hydrological modeling under climate change Y. Ye et al. 10.1016/j.ejrh.2024.101845
- Impacts of climate change on streamflow in the McKenzie Creek watershed in the Great Lakes region T. Deen et al. 10.3389/fenvs.2023.1171210
- Fuzzy C-Means clustering for physical model calibration and 7-day, 10-year low flow estimation in ungaged basins: comparisons to traditional, statistical estimates A. DelSanto et al. 10.3389/frwa.2024.1332888
- Assessment of Impacts of Climate Change on Tile Discharge and Nitrogen Yield Using the DRAINMOD Model G. Golmohammadi et al. 10.3390/hydrology8010001
- The KNMI Large Ensemble Time Slice (KNMI–LENTIS) L. Muntjewerf et al. 10.5194/gmd-16-4581-2023
- Investigation of the Long-Term Trends in the Streamflow Due to Climate Change and Urbanization for a Great Lakes Watershed E. Philip et al. 10.3390/atmos13020225
- Estimating the Role of Climate Internal Variability and Sources of Uncertainties in Hydrological Climate-Impact Projections W. Cai et al. 10.3390/su141912201
- An Assessment of the Impacts of Snowmelt Rate and Continuity Shifts on Streamflow Dynamics in Three Alpine Watersheds in the Western U.S. X. Chen et al. 10.3390/w14071095
- Attribution of runoff variation to climate and human-driven changes in the transition zone between the Qinling Mountains and the Loess Plateau under vegetation greening Y. Wu et al. 10.2166/nh.2022.136
- Effects of climate variability changes on runoff and erosion in the Western European Loess Belt region (NW, France) R. Bunel et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.166536
- Climate Change Impact on Hydropower Resources in Gauged and Ungauged Lithuanian River Catchments D. Jakimavičius et al. 10.3390/w12113265
- A global algorithm for identifying changing streamflow regimes: application to Canadian natural streams (1966–2010) M. Zaerpour et al. 10.5194/hess-25-5193-2021
- Can Hydrological Models Benefit From Using Global Soil Moisture, Evapotranspiration, and Runoff Products as Calibration Targets? Y. Mei et al. 10.1029/2022WR032064
- Impact of Climate Change on the Hydrological Regimes in Bavaria B. Poschlod et al. 10.3390/w12061599
- Winter hydrometeorological extreme events modulated by large-scale atmospheric circulation in southern Ontario O. Champagne et al. 10.5194/esd-11-301-2020
14 citations as recorded by crossref.
- New Graph-Based and Transformer Deep Learning Models for River Dissolved Oxygen Forecasting P. Costa Rocha et al. 10.3390/environments10120217
- Quantifying the contributions of multi-source uncertainty to multi-time scale indicators in hydrological modeling under climate change Y. Ye et al. 10.1016/j.ejrh.2024.101845
- Impacts of climate change on streamflow in the McKenzie Creek watershed in the Great Lakes region T. Deen et al. 10.3389/fenvs.2023.1171210
- Fuzzy C-Means clustering for physical model calibration and 7-day, 10-year low flow estimation in ungaged basins: comparisons to traditional, statistical estimates A. DelSanto et al. 10.3389/frwa.2024.1332888
- Assessment of Impacts of Climate Change on Tile Discharge and Nitrogen Yield Using the DRAINMOD Model G. Golmohammadi et al. 10.3390/hydrology8010001
- The KNMI Large Ensemble Time Slice (KNMI–LENTIS) L. Muntjewerf et al. 10.5194/gmd-16-4581-2023
- Investigation of the Long-Term Trends in the Streamflow Due to Climate Change and Urbanization for a Great Lakes Watershed E. Philip et al. 10.3390/atmos13020225
- Estimating the Role of Climate Internal Variability and Sources of Uncertainties in Hydrological Climate-Impact Projections W. Cai et al. 10.3390/su141912201
- An Assessment of the Impacts of Snowmelt Rate and Continuity Shifts on Streamflow Dynamics in Three Alpine Watersheds in the Western U.S. X. Chen et al. 10.3390/w14071095
- Attribution of runoff variation to climate and human-driven changes in the transition zone between the Qinling Mountains and the Loess Plateau under vegetation greening Y. Wu et al. 10.2166/nh.2022.136
- Effects of climate variability changes on runoff and erosion in the Western European Loess Belt region (NW, France) R. Bunel et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.166536
- Climate Change Impact on Hydropower Resources in Gauged and Ungauged Lithuanian River Catchments D. Jakimavičius et al. 10.3390/w12113265
- A global algorithm for identifying changing streamflow regimes: application to Canadian natural streams (1966–2010) M. Zaerpour et al. 10.5194/hess-25-5193-2021
- Can Hydrological Models Benefit From Using Global Soil Moisture, Evapotranspiration, and Runoff Products as Calibration Targets? Y. Mei et al. 10.1029/2022WR032064
Latest update: 17 Jul 2024
Short summary
Using 50 members of one regional climate model and a processed-based hydrological model applied in four river basins in southern Ontario, this work focused on the winter streamflow projection uncertainties for the first half of 21st century. The results show a January–February increase of streamflow for the 50 projections due to early snowmelt and a rainfall increase. The streamflow projections are also modulated by the change of pressure patterns advecting different air masses over the region.
Using 50 members of one regional climate model and a processed-based hydrological model applied...
