Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
HESS
Articles | Volume 23, issue 2
Articles | Volume 23, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-741-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-741-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 23, issue 2
Research article
 | 
08 Feb 2019
Research article |  | 08 Feb 2019

Parameter-state ensemble thinning for short-term hydrological prediction

Bruce Davison, Vincent Fortin, Alain Pietroniro, Man K. Yau, and Robert Leconte

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Short summary
This paper explores a new method of predicting streamflow using a complex model. It makes use of streamflow observations to reduce an existing ensemble of model runs for predictive purposes. The study illustrated that the method could work given the proper constraints, which were only possible if there was enough knowledge about how the river responded to precipitation in the previous months. Ideas were discussed to allow the method to be used in a way to predict future streamflow.
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