Articles | Volume 23, issue 10
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-4011-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-4011-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Benchmarking the predictive capability of hydrological models for river flow and flood peak predictions across over 1000 catchments in Great Britain
School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 2NQ, UK
Gemma Coxon
School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 2NQ, UK
Jim E. Freer
School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 2NQ, UK
Cabot Institute, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 2NQ, UK
Thorsten Wagener
Faculty of Engineering, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 2NQ,
UK
Cabot Institute, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 2NQ, UK
Penny J. Johnes
School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 2NQ, UK
Cabot Institute, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 2NQ, UK
John P. Bloomfield
British Geological Survey, Maclean Building, Wallingford, OX10 8BB, UK
Sheila Greene
Trinity College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland
Christopher J. A. Macleod
The James Hutton Institute, Craigiebuckler, Aberdeen, AB15 8QH, UK
Sim M. Reaney
Department of Geography, Durham University, Durham, DH1 3LE, UK
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Latest update: 07 Nov 2024
Short summary
We evaluated four hydrological model structures and their parameters on over 1100 catchments across Great Britain, considering modelling uncertainties. Models performed well for most catchments but failed in parts of Scotland and south-eastern England. Failures were often linked to inconsistencies in the water balance. This research shows what conceptual lumped models can achieve, gives insights into where and why these models may fail, and provides a benchmark of national modelling capability.
We evaluated four hydrological model structures and their parameters on over 1100 catchments...