Articles | Volume 22, issue 12
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-6209-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-6209-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
03 Dec 2018
Research article |
| 03 Dec 2018
| 03 Dec 2018
An assessment of trends and potential future changes in groundwater-baseflow drought based on catchment response times
Jost Hellwig
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Faculty of Environment and Natural Resources, University of Freiburg,
79098 Freiburg, Germany
Kerstin Stahl
Faculty of Environment and Natural Resources, University of Freiburg,
79098 Freiburg, Germany
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43 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Long-Term Baseflow Responses to Projected Climate Change in the Weihe River Basin, Loess Plateau, China J. Zhang et al. 10.3390/rs14205097
- Combining the digital filtering method with the SWAT model to simulate spatiotemporal variations of baseflow in a mountainous river basin H. Duan et al. 10.1016/j.ejrh.2024.101972
- Water restrictions under climate change: a Rhône–Mediterranean perspective combining bottom-up and top-down approaches E. Sauquet et al. 10.5194/hess-23-3683-2019
- Beyond binary baseflow separation: a delayed-flow index for multiple streamflow contributions M. Stoelzle et al. 10.5194/hess-24-849-2020
- Propagation of Meteorological to Hydrological Droughts in India K. Bhardwaj et al. 10.1029/2020JD033455
- Drought propagation in space and time: the role of groundwater flows J. Hellwig et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac8693
- Hydrological Drought Assessment in a Small Lowland Catchment in Croatia T. Brleković & L. Tadić 10.3390/hydrology9050079
- Satellite-based drought analysis in the Zambezi River Basin: Was the 2019 drought the most extreme in several decades as locally perceived? P. Hulsman et al. 10.1016/j.ejrh.2021.100789
- Baseflow Trends for Midsize Carpathian Catchments in Poland and Slovakia in 1970–2019 J. Siwek et al. 10.3390/w15010109
- Impacts of Land Use Types, Soil Properties, and Topography on Baseflow Recharge and Prediction in an Agricultural Watershed C. Wei et al. 10.3390/land12010109
- Delayed response of groundwater to multi-year meteorological droughts in the absence of anthropogenic management A. Schreiner-McGraw & H. Ajami 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.126917
- The role of internal climate variability on future streamflow projections M. Faghih & F. Brissette 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.130101
- GRACE based groundwater drought evaluation of Ganga Basin and analysis of drought propagation using wavelet based quantitative approach S. Aon et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175666
- Exploring groundwater drought responsiveness in lowland post-glacial environments M. Nygren et al. 10.1007/s10040-022-02521-5
- Evolution of freshwater availability in a climate‐changing Mediterranean context: The case of Umbria region, central Italy J. Dari et al. 10.1002/hyp.15050
- Machine learning downscaling of GRACE/GRACE-FO data to capture spatial-temporal drought effects on groundwater storage at a local scale under data-scarcity C. Shilengwe et al. 10.1186/s40068-024-00368-1
- Assessing the long-term hydrologic responses of river catchments in Taiwan using a multiple-component hydrograph approach H. Yeh & H. Chen 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.127916
- Effects of climate variability changes on runoff and erosion in the Western European Loess Belt region (NW, France) R. Bunel et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.166536
- DeepBase: A Deep Learning-based Daily Baseflow Dataset across the United States P. Ghaneei & H. Moradkhani 10.1038/s41597-025-04389-y
- Contributions of Climate Change and Human Activities to Changes in Base Flow and Direct Runoff in the Huai River Basin, China S. Chen et al. 10.1061/JHYEFF.HEENG-6212
- The Role of Climate in Monthly Baseflow Changes across the Continental United States J. Ayers et al. 10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0002170
- Hydrological response to warm and dry weather: do glaciers compensate? M. Van Tiel et al. 10.5194/hess-25-3245-2021
- Impact of the model structure and calibration strategy on baseflow modeling in the German low mountain range M. Kissel et al. 10.2166/hydro.2024.077
- Is there a coherence in observed and projected changes in riverine low flow indices across Central Europe? M. Piniewski et al. 10.1016/j.earscirev.2022.104187
- Early Warning Indicators of Groundwater Drought in Mountainous Regions A. Gullacher et al. 10.1029/2022WR033399
- Evaluation of Baseflow Modeling with BlueM.Sim for Long-Term Hydrological Studies in the German Low Mountain Range of Hesse, Germany M. Kissel et al. 10.3390/hydrology10120222
- Using baseflow to quantify diffuse groundwater recharge and drought at a regional scale K. Schilling et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.126765
- Intercomparing LSTM and RNN to a Conceptual Hydrological Model for a Low-Land River with a Focus on the Flow Duration Curve A. Ley et al. 10.3390/w15030505
- Response of spring yield dynamics to climate change across altitude gradient and varied hydrogeological conditions A. Lamacova et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.171082
- Atmospheric and Land Drivers of Streamflow Flash Droughts in India R. Singh & V. Mishra 10.1029/2023JD040257
- Groundwater Pollution Impact on Food Security A. Irfeey et al. 10.3390/su15054202
- Exploring the role of hydrological pathways in modulating multi-annual climate teleconnection periodicities from UK rainfall to streamflow W. Rust et al. 10.5194/hess-25-2223-2021
- GIS-AHP Ensembles for Multi-Actor Multi-Criteria Site Selection Processes: Application to Groundwater Management under Climate Change K. Scheihing et al. 10.3390/w14111793
- Diverging hydrological drought traits over Europe with global warming C. Cammalleri et al. 10.5194/hess-24-5919-2020
- Machine learning modeling of base flow generation potential: A case study of the combined application of BWM and Fallback bargaining algorithm A. Nasiri Khiavi 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131220
- Significant Baseflow Reduction in the Sao Francisco River Basin M. Lucas et al. 10.3390/w13010002
- Climate shapes baseflows, influencing drought severity M. Zaerpour et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad975a
- Groundwater and baseflow drought responses to synthetic recharge stress tests J. Hellwig et al. 10.5194/hess-25-1053-2021
- Characterizing Groundwater Level Response to Precipitation at Multiple Timescales in the Lubei Plain Region Using Transfer Function Analysis L. Xu et al. 10.3390/rs17020208
- Groundwater recharge rate estimation using remotely sensed and ground-based data: A method application in the mesoscale Thur catchment N. Burri et al. 10.1016/j.ejrh.2021.100972
- Drought propagation under global warming: Characteristics, approaches, processes, and controlling factors X. Zhang et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.156021
- Projected changes in monthly baseflow across the U.S. Midwest J. Ayers et al. 10.1002/joc.7140
- Climate Change in the Mediterranean Basin (Part I): Induced Alterations on Climate Forcings and Hydrological Processes L. Noto et al. 10.1007/s11269-022-03400-0
43 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Long-Term Baseflow Responses to Projected Climate Change in the Weihe River Basin, Loess Plateau, China J. Zhang et al. 10.3390/rs14205097
- Combining the digital filtering method with the SWAT model to simulate spatiotemporal variations of baseflow in a mountainous river basin H. Duan et al. 10.1016/j.ejrh.2024.101972
- Water restrictions under climate change: a Rhône–Mediterranean perspective combining bottom-up and top-down approaches E. Sauquet et al. 10.5194/hess-23-3683-2019
- Beyond binary baseflow separation: a delayed-flow index for multiple streamflow contributions M. Stoelzle et al. 10.5194/hess-24-849-2020
- Propagation of Meteorological to Hydrological Droughts in India K. Bhardwaj et al. 10.1029/2020JD033455
- Drought propagation in space and time: the role of groundwater flows J. Hellwig et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac8693
- Hydrological Drought Assessment in a Small Lowland Catchment in Croatia T. Brleković & L. Tadić 10.3390/hydrology9050079
- Satellite-based drought analysis in the Zambezi River Basin: Was the 2019 drought the most extreme in several decades as locally perceived? P. Hulsman et al. 10.1016/j.ejrh.2021.100789
- Baseflow Trends for Midsize Carpathian Catchments in Poland and Slovakia in 1970–2019 J. Siwek et al. 10.3390/w15010109
- Impacts of Land Use Types, Soil Properties, and Topography on Baseflow Recharge and Prediction in an Agricultural Watershed C. Wei et al. 10.3390/land12010109
- Delayed response of groundwater to multi-year meteorological droughts in the absence of anthropogenic management A. Schreiner-McGraw & H. Ajami 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.126917
- The role of internal climate variability on future streamflow projections M. Faghih & F. Brissette 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.130101
- GRACE based groundwater drought evaluation of Ganga Basin and analysis of drought propagation using wavelet based quantitative approach S. Aon et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175666
- Exploring groundwater drought responsiveness in lowland post-glacial environments M. Nygren et al. 10.1007/s10040-022-02521-5
- Evolution of freshwater availability in a climate‐changing Mediterranean context: The case of Umbria region, central Italy J. Dari et al. 10.1002/hyp.15050
- Machine learning downscaling of GRACE/GRACE-FO data to capture spatial-temporal drought effects on groundwater storage at a local scale under data-scarcity C. Shilengwe et al. 10.1186/s40068-024-00368-1
- Assessing the long-term hydrologic responses of river catchments in Taiwan using a multiple-component hydrograph approach H. Yeh & H. Chen 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.127916
- Effects of climate variability changes on runoff and erosion in the Western European Loess Belt region (NW, France) R. Bunel et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.166536
- DeepBase: A Deep Learning-based Daily Baseflow Dataset across the United States P. Ghaneei & H. Moradkhani 10.1038/s41597-025-04389-y
- Contributions of Climate Change and Human Activities to Changes in Base Flow and Direct Runoff in the Huai River Basin, China S. Chen et al. 10.1061/JHYEFF.HEENG-6212
- The Role of Climate in Monthly Baseflow Changes across the Continental United States J. Ayers et al. 10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0002170
- Hydrological response to warm and dry weather: do glaciers compensate? M. Van Tiel et al. 10.5194/hess-25-3245-2021
- Impact of the model structure and calibration strategy on baseflow modeling in the German low mountain range M. Kissel et al. 10.2166/hydro.2024.077
- Is there a coherence in observed and projected changes in riverine low flow indices across Central Europe? M. Piniewski et al. 10.1016/j.earscirev.2022.104187
- Early Warning Indicators of Groundwater Drought in Mountainous Regions A. Gullacher et al. 10.1029/2022WR033399
- Evaluation of Baseflow Modeling with BlueM.Sim for Long-Term Hydrological Studies in the German Low Mountain Range of Hesse, Germany M. Kissel et al. 10.3390/hydrology10120222
- Using baseflow to quantify diffuse groundwater recharge and drought at a regional scale K. Schilling et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.126765
- Intercomparing LSTM and RNN to a Conceptual Hydrological Model for a Low-Land River with a Focus on the Flow Duration Curve A. Ley et al. 10.3390/w15030505
- Response of spring yield dynamics to climate change across altitude gradient and varied hydrogeological conditions A. Lamacova et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.171082
- Atmospheric and Land Drivers of Streamflow Flash Droughts in India R. Singh & V. Mishra 10.1029/2023JD040257
- Groundwater Pollution Impact on Food Security A. Irfeey et al. 10.3390/su15054202
- Exploring the role of hydrological pathways in modulating multi-annual climate teleconnection periodicities from UK rainfall to streamflow W. Rust et al. 10.5194/hess-25-2223-2021
- GIS-AHP Ensembles for Multi-Actor Multi-Criteria Site Selection Processes: Application to Groundwater Management under Climate Change K. Scheihing et al. 10.3390/w14111793
- Diverging hydrological drought traits over Europe with global warming C. Cammalleri et al. 10.5194/hess-24-5919-2020
- Machine learning modeling of base flow generation potential: A case study of the combined application of BWM and Fallback bargaining algorithm A. Nasiri Khiavi 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131220
- Significant Baseflow Reduction in the Sao Francisco River Basin M. Lucas et al. 10.3390/w13010002
- Climate shapes baseflows, influencing drought severity M. Zaerpour et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad975a
- Groundwater and baseflow drought responses to synthetic recharge stress tests J. Hellwig et al. 10.5194/hess-25-1053-2021
- Characterizing Groundwater Level Response to Precipitation at Multiple Timescales in the Lubei Plain Region Using Transfer Function Analysis L. Xu et al. 10.3390/rs17020208
- Groundwater recharge rate estimation using remotely sensed and ground-based data: A method application in the mesoscale Thur catchment N. Burri et al. 10.1016/j.ejrh.2021.100972
- Drought propagation under global warming: Characteristics, approaches, processes, and controlling factors X. Zhang et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.156021
- Projected changes in monthly baseflow across the U.S. Midwest J. Ayers et al. 10.1002/joc.7140
- Climate Change in the Mediterranean Basin (Part I): Induced Alterations on Climate Forcings and Hydrological Processes L. Noto et al. 10.1007/s11269-022-03400-0
Latest update: 22 Apr 2025
Short summary
Due to the lack of long-term observations, insights into changes of groundwater resources are obscured. In this paper we assess past and potential future changes in groundwater drought in headwater catchments using a baseflow approach. There are a few past trends which are highly dependent on the period of analysis. Catchments with short response times are found to have a higher sensitivity to projected seasonal precipitation shifts, urging for a local management based on response times.
Due to the lack of long-term observations, insights into changes of groundwater resources are...
