Articles | Volume 22, issue 9
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-5041-2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-5041-2018
Research article
 | 
28 Sep 2018
Research article |  | 28 Sep 2018

Seasonal drought prediction for semiarid northeastern Brazil: verification of six hydro-meteorological forecast products

José Miguel Delgado, Sebastian Voss, Gerd Bürger, Klaus Vormoor, Aline Murawski, José Marcelo Rodrigues Pereira, Eduardo Martins, Francisco Vasconcelos Júnior, and Till Francke

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Latest update: 20 Nov 2024
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Short summary
The feasibility of drought prediction is assessed in the Brazilian northeast. The models were provided by a regional agency and a European meteorological agency and downscaling was done using three empirical models. This work showed that the combination of different forecast and downscaling models can provide skillful predictions of drought events on timescales relevant to water managers. But the models also showed little to no skill for quantitative predictions of monthly precipitation.