Articles | Volume 22, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-3087-2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-3087-2018
Research article
 | 
30 May 2018
Research article |  | 30 May 2018

High-resolution ensemble projections and uncertainty assessment of regional climate change over China in CORDEX East Asia

Huanghe Gu, Zhongbo Yu, Chuanguo Yang, Qin Ju, Tao Yang, and Dawei Zhang

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Short summary
An ensemble simulation of five RCMs from CORDEX in East Asia was evaluated and used for future regional climate change projection in China. In addition, the contributions of model uncertainty and internal variability are identified. We found that the multi-model ensemble outperforms the individual RCMs in historical climate simulation. The future climate projections show significant inter-RCM differences and the model uncertainty increases with prediction lead time over all subregions.