Articles | Volume 22, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-3087-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-3087-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
30 May 2018
Research article |
| 30 May 2018
| 30 May 2018
High-resolution ensemble projections and uncertainty assessment of regional climate change over China in CORDEX East Asia
Huanghe Gu
State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing, China
College of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing, China
State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing, China
College of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing, China
Chuanguo Yang
State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing, China
College of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing, China
Qin Ju
State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing, China
College of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing, China
Tao Yang
State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing, China
College of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing, China
Dawei Zhang
China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing, China
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Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 03 Jun 2026
Short summary
An ensemble simulation of five RCMs from CORDEX in East Asia was evaluated and used for future regional climate change projection in China. In addition, the contributions of model uncertainty and internal variability are identified. We found that the multi-model ensemble outperforms the individual RCMs in historical climate simulation. The future climate projections show significant inter-RCM differences and the model uncertainty increases with prediction lead time over all subregions.
An ensemble simulation of five RCMs from CORDEX in East Asia was evaluated and used for future...
