Retrospective forecasts of the upcoming winter season snow accumulation in the Inn headwaters (European Alps)

Förster, Kristian; Hanzer, Florian; Stoll, Elena; Scaife, Adam A.; MacLachlan, Craig; Schöber, Johannes; Huttenlau, Matthias; Achleitner, Stefan; Strasser, Ulrich

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-1157-2018

Articles | Volume 22, issue 2

https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-1157-2018

© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Special issue:

Sub-seasonal to seasonal hydrological forecasting

https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-1157-2018

© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 22, issue 2

Research article

|

09 Feb 2018

Research article |

| 09 Feb 2018

Retrospective forecasts of the upcoming winter season snow accumulation in the Inn headwaters (European Alps)

Kristian Förster, Florian Hanzer, Elena Stoll, Adam A. Scaife, Craig MacLachlan, Johannes Schöber, Matthias Huttenlau, Stefan Achleitner, and Ulrich Strasser

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Final revised paper (published on 09 Feb 2018)
Preprint (discussion started on 03 Jul 2017)

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment

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- Supplement

RC1: 'Comment: “Retrospective forecasts of the upcoming winter season snow accumulation in the Inn headwaters (European Alps)” by Kristian Förster et al.', Anonymous Referee #1, 19 Jul 2017
- AC1: 'Reply to anonymous reviewer #1', Kristian Förster, 16 Oct 2017
RC2: 'review', Anonymous Referee #2, 02 Aug 2017
- AC2: 'Reply to anonymous reviewer #2', Kristian Förster, 16 Oct 2017

Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision

ED: Publish subject to revisions (further review by editor and referees) (25 Oct 2017) by Q.J. Wang

AR by Kristian Förster on behalf of the Authors (03 Nov 2017) Author's response Manuscript

ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (12 Nov 2017) by Q.J. Wang

RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (27 Nov 2017)

RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (07 Dec 2017)

ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (13 Dec 2017) by Q.J. Wang

AR by Kristian Förster on behalf of the Authors (18 Dec 2017) Author's response Manuscript

ED: Publish as is (10 Jan 2018) by Q.J. Wang

Short summary

This article presents predictability analyses of snow accumulation for the upcoming winter season. The results achieved using two coupled atmosphere–ocean general circulation models and a water balance model show that the tendency of snow water equivalent anomalies (i.e. the sign of anomalies) is correctly predicted in up to 11 of 13 years. The results suggest that some seasonal predictions may be capable of predicting tendencies of hydrological model storages in parts of Europe.