Articles | Volume 21, issue 12
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-6289-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-6289-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| 
13 Dec 2017
Research article |
| 13 Dec 2017
Modeling the potential impacts of climate change on the water table level of selected forested wetlands in the southeastern United States
Jie Zhu
State Key Laboratory of Water Environment Simulation, School of
Environment, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China
Key Laboratory for Water and Sediment Sciences of the Ministry of
Education, School of Environment, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875,
China
Nicholas School of the Environment, Duke University, Durham, North
Carolina 27708, USA
Ge Sun
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Eastern Forest Environmental Threat Assessment Center, USDA Forest
Service, Raleigh, North Carolina 27606, USA
Wenhong Li
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Nicholas School of the Environment, Duke University, Durham, North
Carolina 27708, USA
Yu Zhang
Nicholas School of the Environment, Duke University, Durham, North
Carolina 27708, USA
Guofang Miao
Department of Natural Resources and Environmental Science, University
of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Illinois 61801, USA
Department of Forestry and Environmental Resources, North Carolina
State University, Raleigh, North Carolina 27695, USA
Asko Noormets
Department of Forestry and Environmental Resources, North Carolina
State University, Raleigh, North Carolina 27695, USA
Steve G. McNulty
Eastern Forest Environmental Threat Assessment Center, USDA Forest
Service, Raleigh, North Carolina 27606, USA
John S. King
Department of Forestry and Environmental Resources, North Carolina
State University, Raleigh, North Carolina 27695, USA
Mukesh Kumar
Nicholas School of the Environment, Duke University, Durham, North
Carolina 27708, USA
Xuan Wang
State Key Laboratory of Water Environment Simulation, School of
Environment, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China
Key Laboratory for Water and Sediment Sciences of the Ministry of
Education, School of Environment, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875,
China
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- Effects of population, land cover change, and climatic variability on wetland resource degradation in a Ramsar listed Ghodaghodi Lake Complex, Nepal P. Lamsal et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-019-7514-0
- Method to Assess Climate Change Impacts on Hydrologic Boundaries of Individual Wetlands M. Vepraskas et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13157-019-01183-6
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- Development of data-driven statistical models for daily water table depth prediction and variable selection: Two case studies in coastal plain forested wetlands A. Manna et al. https://doi.org/10.1080/23737484.2026.2630287
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- Forecasting the flooding dynamics of flatwoods salamander breeding wetlands under future climate change scenarios H. Chandler et al. https://doi.org/10.7717/peerj.16050
- Non-flooding conditions caused by water table drawdown alter microbial network complexity and decrease multifunctionality in alpine wetland soils Y. Niu et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2024.119152
- Hydrological sensitivity of mountainous wetlands to precipitation and potential evapotranspiration using elasticity curves J. Seo et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoleng.2025.107542
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- Distinct microbiomes underlie divergent responses of methane emissions from diverse wetland soils to oxygen shifts L. Reji et al. https://doi.org/10.1093/ismeco/ycaf063
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- Beaver‐created successional gradients increase β‐diversity of invertebrates by turnover in stream‐wetland complexes B. Bush et al. https://doi.org/10.1111/fwb.13302
32 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Forest hydrology modeling tools for watershed management: A review G. Sun et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2022.120755
- Quantitative analysis of the driving factors for groundwater resource changes in arid irrigated areas C. Guo et al. https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.13967
- Enhancing Groundwater Recharge Through Nature-Based Solutions: Benefits and Barriers M. Kebede et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology11110195
- Groundwater Management in Coastal Areas through Landscape Scale Planning: A Systematic Literature Review A. Braga et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00267-019-01244-w
- A Daily Water Table Depth Computing Model for Poorly Drained Soils D. Amatya et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13157-018-1069-7
- Assessing wetland sustainability by modeling water table dynamics under climate change J. Zhu et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.121293
- Differences in the temperature dependence of wetland CO2 and CH4 emissions vary with water table depth H. Chen et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01108-4
- Climate–connectivity–geography interactions govern the hydrologic vulnerability of geographically isolated wetlands J. Zhu et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2025.123629
- Understanding coastal wetland hydrology with a new regional‐scale, process‐based hydrological model Y. Zhang et al. https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.13247
- Sensitivity of using stable water isotopic tracers to study the hydrology of isolated wetlands in North Florida G. Bugna et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2019.124321
- Seasonality of inundation in geographically isolated wetlands across the United States J. Park et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac6149
- Effects of population, land cover change, and climatic variability on wetland resource degradation in a Ramsar listed Ghodaghodi Lake Complex, Nepal P. Lamsal et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-019-7514-0
- Method to Assess Climate Change Impacts on Hydrologic Boundaries of Individual Wetlands M. Vepraskas et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13157-019-01183-6
- A Forested Wetland at the Tipping-Point: 17-Year, Demographic Evidence of Widespread Recruitment Failure Due to Climate Change J. Evans et al. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3972016
- Nature-based solutions as urban adaptation to climate risk: Framework for economic evaluation as decision support tool S. Sahay https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scs.2024.106037
- Seasonal drivers of geographically isolated wetland hydrology in a low-gradient, Coastal Plain landscape S. Lee et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.124608
- Coastal wetland resilience to climate variability: A hydrologic perspective Y. Zhang et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2018.10.048
- Future Water Yield Projections Under Climate Change Using Optimized and Downscaled Models via the MIDAS Approach M. Fallahi et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/environments12090303
- Development of data-driven statistical models for daily water table depth prediction and variable selection: Two case studies in coastal plain forested wetlands A. Manna et al. https://doi.org/10.1080/23737484.2026.2630287
- Predicting Rapid, Climate-Driven Shifts in North American Habitat Suitability for the Purple Pitcher Plant (Sarracenia purpurea L.) C. Brown et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/plants14213337
- Threats to inland wetlands and uncertainty around global soil carbon stocks and sequestration rates A. Nath et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177190
- Rural revival: Navigating environmental engineering and technology S. Yang et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2024.119164
- Spatial and temporal variations in the groundwater contributing areas of inland wetlands J. Park et al. https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.13652
- Determining a wetland inflow threshold: a proxy gauge station approach in Ciénaga Grande de Santa Marta, Colombia S. Gómez-Dueñas et al. https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2025.2490306
- Plant community composition patterns in relation to microtopography and distance to water bodies in a tropical forested wetland J. Solórzano et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aquabot.2020.103295
- Forecasting the flooding dynamics of flatwoods salamander breeding wetlands under future climate change scenarios H. Chandler et al. https://doi.org/10.7717/peerj.16050
- Non-flooding conditions caused by water table drawdown alter microbial network complexity and decrease multifunctionality in alpine wetland soils Y. Niu et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2024.119152
- Hydrological sensitivity of mountainous wetlands to precipitation and potential evapotranspiration using elasticity curves J. Seo et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoleng.2025.107542
- Long-Term Water Table Dynamics of Forested Wetlands: Drivers and their Effects on Wetland Hydrology in The Southeastern Atlantic Coastal Plain D. Amatya et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13157-019-01153-y
- Distinct microbiomes underlie divergent responses of methane emissions from diverse wetland soils to oxygen shifts L. Reji et al. https://doi.org/10.1093/ismeco/ycaf063
- Two-stage assessment: Towards a novel and holistic evaluation of urban geographically isolated wetland sustainability under global warming-induced dryness and loss J. Zhu et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2023.140035
- Beaver‐created successional gradients increase β‐diversity of invertebrates by turnover in stream‐wetland complexes B. Bush et al. https://doi.org/10.1111/fwb.13302
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 09 Jun 2026
Short summary
Forested wetlands provide myriad ecosystem services threatened by climate change. This study develops empirical hydrologic models by synthesizing hydrometeorological data across the southeastern US. We used global climate projections to model hydrological changes for five wetlands. We found all wetlands are predicted to become drier by the end of this century. This study suggests that climate change may substantially affect wetland biogeochemical cycles and other functions in the future.
Forested wetlands provide myriad ecosystem services threatened by climate change. This study...
