Articles | Volume 21, issue 10
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-5065-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-5065-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Human amplified changes in precipitation–runoff patterns in large river basins of the Midwestern United States
Sara A. Kelly
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Department of Watershed Sciences, Utah State University, Logan,
84322-5210, USA
Zeinab Takbiri
Department of Civil, Environmental, and
Geo-Engineering, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN 55455-0116, USA
Patrick Belmont
Department of Watershed Sciences, Utah State University, Logan,
84322-5210, USA
Efi Foufoula-Georgiou
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of
California, Irvine, CA 92697, USA
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48 citations as recorded by crossref.
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- Rainfall impacts on nonpoint nitrogen and phosphorus dynamics in an agricultural river in subtropical montane reservoir region of southeast China Y. Wang et al.
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48 citations as recorded by crossref.
- An Approach for Prioritizing Natural Infrastructure Practices to Mitigate Flood and Nitrate Risks in the Mississippi-Atchafalaya River Basin K. Schilling et al.
- Variability in the discharge of the Mississippi River and tributaries from 1817 to 2020 R. Turner & Y. Song
- Identifying the Dominant Drivers of Hydrological Change in the Contiguous United States Z. Li & S. Quiring
- Headwater streams and inland wetlands: Status and advancements of geospatial datasets and maps across the United States J. Christensen et al.
- Near‐Channel Versus Watershed Controls on Sediment Rating Curves A. Vaughan et al.
- Storm size and hydrologic modification influence nitrate mobilization and transport in agricultural watersheds S. Speir et al.
- Characterizing changes in channel morphology associated with base level fall: Application on Le Sueur and Maple Rivers Z. Sulaiman et al.
- Heavy Precipitation Impacts on Nitrogen Loading to the Gulf of Mexico in the 21st Century: Model Projections Under Future Climate Scenarios J. Zhang et al.
- Floodplain inundation spectrum across the United States D. Scott et al.
- Leveraging a time-series event separation method to disentangle time-varying hydrologic controls on streamflow – application to wildfire-affected catchments H. Canham et al.
- Lessons from Inter-Comparison of Decadal Climate Simulations and Observations for the Midwest U.S. and Great Lakes Region A. Sharma et al.
- Hydro-chemical responses at different scales in a rural catchment, UK, and implications for managing the unintended consequences of agriculture S. Granger et al.
- Why are some plant species missing from restorations? A diagnostic tool for temperate grassland ecosystems M. De Vitis et al.
- Identifying Wetland Consolidation Using Remote Sensing in the North Dakota Prairie Pothole Region C. Krapu et al.
- Multiple criteria-based assessment of Nature-based Solutions for flood management: A systematic review L. Gallois et al.
- Smallmouth buffalo (Ictiobus bubalus Rafinesque) population trends and demographics in the Upper Mississippi River System K. Maxson et al.
- Human-Nature Interactions in the Owo River Catchment, South-West, Nigeria O. Adegun et al.
- Prioritizing river basins for nutrient studies A. Tesoriero et al.
- Life history traits and population dynamics of Freshwater Drum across large river gradients K. Bouska et al.
- Sensitivity of a meandering lowland river to intensive landscape management: Lateral migration rates before and after watershed-scale agricultural development B. Rhoads et al.
- Spatiotemporal Derivation of Intermittent Ponding in a Maize–Soybean Landscape from Planet Labs CubeSat Images R. Paul et al.
- Sediment source fingerprinting as an aid to large-scale landscape conservation and restoration: A review for the Mississippi River Basin Z. Xu et al.
- Impact of urbanization in the flood prediction at Kickapoo River basin, USA S. P & S. C
- Air-photo based change in channel width in the Minnesota River basin: Modes of adjustment and implications for sediment budget J. Wesley Lauer et al.
- Agricultural tile drains increase the susceptibility of streams to longer and more intense streamflow droughts S. Adelsperger et al.
- Relative Contribution of Climate Change and Anthropogenic Activities to Streamflow Alterations in Illinois M. Khan et al.
- Increased extreme precipitation challenges nitrogen load management to the Gulf of Mexico C. Lu et al.
- Spatial variation in bluegill population demographics in a highly modified large river system A. Whitten et al.
- Fertilizer, landscape features and climate regulate phosphorus retention and river export in diverse Midwestern watersheds E. Boardman et al.
- Two independent water balance approaches demonstrate extensive use of groundwater by rainfed crops A. Schreiner-McGraw & C. Baffaut
- Upstream Solutions to Downstream Problems: Investing in Rural Natural Infrastructure for Water Quality Improvement and Flood Risk Mitigation K. Suttles et al.
- The Need for an Integrated Land‐Lake‐Atmosphere Modeling System, Exemplified by North America's Great Lakes Region A. Sharma et al.
- Impacts of climatic variability on surface water area observed by remotely sensed imageries in the Red River Basin V. Atashi et al.
- Operational Impacts of a Water Management Structure on the Surrounding Fish Assemblages in a Restored Backwater and a Large Floodplain River A. Whitten et al.
- Examining environmental stress changes in response to climate change and land use dynamics in the Colorado River Basin over the past two decades B. Heidari et al.
- Contributions of suspended load from Missouri River tributaries, southeast South Dakota, and northeast Nebraska: Building a sediment budget M. Jurotich et al.
- Long‐termwater color and flow trends in the Mississippi River Headwaters, 1944–2010 N. Germolus et al.
- A Case Study of Large Floodplain River Restoration: Two Decades of Monitoring the Merwin Preserve and Lessons Learned through Water Level Fluctuations and Uncontrolled Reconnection to a Large River L. Solomon et al.
- Projection of Streamflow Change Using a Time‐Varying Budyko Framework in the Contiguous United States Z. Li & S. Quiring
- A conservation science agenda for a changing Upper Midwest and Great Plains, United States M. Ahlering et al.
- Quantifying the contribution of tile drainage to basin-scale water yield using analytical and numerical models K. Schilling et al.
- Flood Risk Reduction from Agricultural Best Management Practices F. Antolini et al.
- Agriculture accentuates interannual variability in water fluxes but not carbon fluxes, relative to native prairie, in the U.S. Corn Belt A. Schreiner-McGraw et al.
- Drivers and trends of streamflow droughts in natural and human-impacted basins across the contiguous United States S. Alonso Vicario et al.
- Flow, Flux, and Feeding in Freshwater Mussels R. Mistry & J. Ackerman
- Rainfall impacts on nonpoint nitrogen and phosphorus dynamics in an agricultural river in subtropical montane reservoir region of southeast China Y. Wang et al.
- The Power of Environmental Observatories for Advancing Multidisciplinary Research, Outreach, and Decision Support: The Case of the Minnesota River Basin K. Gran et al.
- Reducing High Flows and Sediment Loading through Increased Water Storage in an Agricultural Watershed of the Upper Midwest, USA N. Mitchell et al.
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 18 May 2026
Short summary
Humans have profoundly altered land cover and soil drainage for agricultural purposes in the Midwestern USA. Here we investigate whether climate alone can explain recent increases in observed streamflows throughout the region. Using multiple analyses, including statistical tests and water budgets, we conclude that historical drainage installation has likely amplified the streamflow response to regional precipitation increases. We stress that better documentation of artificial drainage is needed.
Humans have profoundly altered land cover and soil drainage for agricultural purposes in the...