Articles | Volume 21, issue 9
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-4693-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-4693-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| 
18 Sep 2017
Research article |
| 18 Sep 2017
A coupled human–natural system to assess the operational value of weather and climate services for agriculture
Institute of Environmental Engineering, ETH Zurich, Wolfgang-Pauli-Str. 15, 8093 Zurich, Switzerland
Matteo Giuliani
Department of Electronics, Information and Bioengineering, Politecnico di Milano, Piazza L. da Vinci, 32, 20133 Milan, Italy
Andrea Castelletti
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Department of Electronics, Information and Bioengineering, Politecnico di Milano, Piazza L. da Vinci, 32, 20133 Milan, Italy
Institute of Environmental Engineering, ETH Zurich, Wolfgang-Pauli-Str. 15, 8093 Zurich, Switzerland
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Cited
18 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Intra-growing season dry–wet spell pattern is a pivotal driver of maize yield variability in sub-Saharan Africa P. Marcos-Garcia et al. 10.1038/s43016-024-01040-8
- Non-renewable groundwater use and groundwater depletion: a review M. Bierkens & Y. Wada 10.1088/1748-9326/ab1a5f
- Inferring efficient operating rules in multireservoir water resource systems: A review H. Macian‐Sorribes & M. Pulido‐Velazquez 10.1002/wat2.1400
- Integrated approaches to understanding and reducing drought impact on food security across scales X. He et al. 10.1016/j.cosust.2019.09.006
- Influence of human-water interactions on the water resources and environment in the Yangtze River Basin from the perspective of multiplex networks X. Zhou & K. Lei 10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.121783
- Fuzzy Postprocessing to Advance the Quality of Continental Seasonal Hydrological Forecasts for River Basin Management H. Macian-Sorribes et al. 10.1175/JHM-D-19-0266.1
- Using a coupled agent-based modeling approach to analyze the role of risk perception in water management decisions J. Hyun et al. 10.5194/hess-23-2261-2019
- Can seasonal hydrological forecasts inform local decisions and actions? A decision-making activity J. Neumann et al. 10.5194/gc-1-35-2018
- Skilful seasonal forecasts of streamflow over Europe? L. Arnal et al. 10.5194/hess-22-2057-2018
- A New Perspective on the Supply and Demand of Weather Services C. Bang & C. Leem 10.3390/su12219049
- Fostering cooperation in power asymmetrical water systems by the use of direct release rules and index-based insurance schemes S. Denaro et al. 10.1016/j.advwatres.2017.09.021
- Collaboration Relations in Climate Information Production and Dissemination to Subsistence Farmers in Namibia C. Ofoegbu & M. New 10.1007/s00267-020-01383-5
- From skill to value: isolating the influence of end user behavior on seasonal forecast assessment M. Giuliani et al. 10.5194/hess-24-5891-2020
- Mapping the landscape of climate services F. Larosa & J. Mysiak 10.1088/1748-9326/ab304d
- Detecting the State of the Climate System via Artificial Intelligence to Improve Seasonal Forecasts and Inform Reservoir Operations M. Giuliani et al. 10.1029/2019WR025035
- Causes and implications of groundwater depletion in India: A review S. Dangar et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.126103
- Dynamic simulation driven design and management of production facilities in agricultural/food industry B. Bianchi et al. 10.17660/ActaHortic.2021.1311.30
- An investigation of coupled natural human systems using a two-way coupled agent-based modeling framework C. Lin et al. 10.1016/j.envsoft.2022.105451
18 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Intra-growing season dry–wet spell pattern is a pivotal driver of maize yield variability in sub-Saharan Africa P. Marcos-Garcia et al. 10.1038/s43016-024-01040-8
- Non-renewable groundwater use and groundwater depletion: a review M. Bierkens & Y. Wada 10.1088/1748-9326/ab1a5f
- Inferring efficient operating rules in multireservoir water resource systems: A review H. Macian‐Sorribes & M. Pulido‐Velazquez 10.1002/wat2.1400
- Integrated approaches to understanding and reducing drought impact on food security across scales X. He et al. 10.1016/j.cosust.2019.09.006
- Influence of human-water interactions on the water resources and environment in the Yangtze River Basin from the perspective of multiplex networks X. Zhou & K. Lei 10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.121783
- Fuzzy Postprocessing to Advance the Quality of Continental Seasonal Hydrological Forecasts for River Basin Management H. Macian-Sorribes et al. 10.1175/JHM-D-19-0266.1
- Using a coupled agent-based modeling approach to analyze the role of risk perception in water management decisions J. Hyun et al. 10.5194/hess-23-2261-2019
- Can seasonal hydrological forecasts inform local decisions and actions? A decision-making activity J. Neumann et al. 10.5194/gc-1-35-2018
- Skilful seasonal forecasts of streamflow over Europe? L. Arnal et al. 10.5194/hess-22-2057-2018
- A New Perspective on the Supply and Demand of Weather Services C. Bang & C. Leem 10.3390/su12219049
- Fostering cooperation in power asymmetrical water systems by the use of direct release rules and index-based insurance schemes S. Denaro et al. 10.1016/j.advwatres.2017.09.021
- Collaboration Relations in Climate Information Production and Dissemination to Subsistence Farmers in Namibia C. Ofoegbu & M. New 10.1007/s00267-020-01383-5
- From skill to value: isolating the influence of end user behavior on seasonal forecast assessment M. Giuliani et al. 10.5194/hess-24-5891-2020
- Mapping the landscape of climate services F. Larosa & J. Mysiak 10.1088/1748-9326/ab304d
- Detecting the State of the Climate System via Artificial Intelligence to Improve Seasonal Forecasts and Inform Reservoir Operations M. Giuliani et al. 10.1029/2019WR025035
- Causes and implications of groundwater depletion in India: A review S. Dangar et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.126103
- Dynamic simulation driven design and management of production facilities in agricultural/food industry B. Bianchi et al. 10.17660/ActaHortic.2021.1311.30
- An investigation of coupled natural human systems using a two-way coupled agent-based modeling framework C. Lin et al. 10.1016/j.envsoft.2022.105451
Latest update: 14 Dec 2024
Short summary
The paper contributes a comparative analysis of the operational value of different forecast products for the agricultural sector. The underlying idea is that forecast accuracy per se might not be the most effective indicator of the goodness of a forecast but the
behaviourof the farmers using the forecast should somehow also be taken into consideration and, correspondingly, the benefit generated by the forecast. This paper explores and validates this idea with a model-based analysis.
The paper contributes a comparative analysis of the operational value of different forecast...
Special issue