Articles | Volume 21, issue 7
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-3307-2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-3307-2017
Research article
 | 
04 Jul 2017
Research article |  | 04 Jul 2017

The analogue method for precipitation prediction: finding better analogue situations at a sub-daily time step

Pascal Horton, Charles Obled, and Michel Jaboyedoff

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (12 Sep 2016) by Jan Seibert
AR by Pascal Horton on behalf of the Authors (06 Dec 2016)  Author's response   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (07 Dec 2016) by Jan Seibert
RR by Anonymous Referee #4 (10 Jan 2017)
RR by Anonymous Referee #5 (15 Feb 2017)
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by Editor and Referees) (17 Feb 2017) by Jan Seibert
AR by Pascal Horton on behalf of the Authors (07 Apr 2017)  Author's response   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (17 Apr 2017) by Jan Seibert
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (02 May 2017)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (further review by Editor) (02 May 2017) by Jan Seibert
AR by Pascal Horton on behalf of the Authors (12 May 2017)  Author's response   Manuscript 
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (20 May 2017) by Jan Seibert
AR by Pascal Horton on behalf of the Authors (22 May 2017)  Author's response   Manuscript 
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Short summary
The analogue method aims at forecasting precipitation by means of a statistical relationship with meteorological variables at a large scale, such as the general atmospheric circulation. A moving time window has been introduced here in order to allow finding better analogue situations at different hours of the day. This change resulted in a better analogy of the atmospheric circulation, with improved prediction skills, and even to a greater extent for days with heavy precipitation.