Articles | Volume 20, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-505-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-505-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Development and verification of a real-time stochastic precipitation nowcasting system for urban hydrology in Belgium
L. Foresti
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium, Brussels,
Belgium
M. Reyniers
Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium, Brussels,
Belgium
A. Seed
Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Australia
L. Delobbe
Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium, Brussels,
Belgium
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- Pysteps: an open-source Python library for probabilistic precipitation nowcasting (v1.0) S. Pulkkinen et al. 10.5194/gmd-12-4185-2019
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- Short‐Term Precipitation Forecast Based on the PERSIANN System and LSTM Recurrent Neural Networks A. Akbari Asanjan et al. 10.1029/2018JD028375
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- A non-stationary stochastic ensemble generator for radar rainfall fields based on the short-space Fourier transform D. Nerini et al. 10.5194/hess-21-2777-2017
- Autocorrelation structure of convective rainfall in semiarid-arid climate derived from high-resolution X-Band radar estimates F. Marra & E. Morin 10.1016/j.atmosres.2017.09.020
- Enhanced object-based tracking algorithm for convective rain storms and cells C. Muñoz et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2017.10.027
- Relevance of merging radar and rainfall gauge data for rainfall nowcasting in urban hydrology B. Shehu & U. Haberlandt 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.125931
- Limits of precipitation nowcasting by extrapolation of radar reflectivity for warm season in Central Europe J. Mejsnar et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2018.06.005
- Hydrological application of radar rainfall nowcasting in the Netherlands D. Heuvelink et al. 10.1016/j.envint.2019.105431
- The Role of Weather Radar in Rainfall Estimation and Its Application in Meteorological and Hydrological Modelling—A Review Z. Sokol et al. 10.3390/rs13030351
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Saved (preprint)
Latest update: 22 Mar 2023
Short summary
The Short-Term Ensemble Prediction System (STEPS) is implemented in real time at the Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium (STEPS-BE). The idea behind STEPS is to quantify the forecast uncertainty by adding stochastic perturbations to the deterministic extrapolation of radar images. In this paper we present the deterministic, probabilistic and ensemble verification of STEPS-BE forecasts using four precipitation cases that caused sewer system overflow in the cities of Leuven and Ghent.
The Short-Term Ensemble Prediction System (STEPS) is implemented in real time at the Royal...