Articles | Volume 20, issue 1
Research article
29 Jan 2016
Research article |  | 29 Jan 2016

Development and verification of a real-time stochastic precipitation nowcasting system for urban hydrology in Belgium

L. Foresti, M. Reyniers, A. Seed, and L. Delobbe


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Short summary
The Short-Term Ensemble Prediction System (STEPS) is implemented in real time at the Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium (STEPS-BE). The idea behind STEPS is to quantify the forecast uncertainty by adding stochastic perturbations to the deterministic extrapolation of radar images. In this paper we present the deterministic, probabilistic and ensemble verification of STEPS-BE forecasts using four precipitation cases that caused sewer system overflow in the cities of Leuven and Ghent.