Trends in projections of standardized precipitation indices in a future climate in Poland

Osuch, Marzena; Romanowicz, Renata J.; Lawrence, Deborah; Wong, Wai K.

doi:10.5194/hess-20-1947-2016

Articles | Volume 20, issue 5

https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-1947-2016

© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Special issue:

HYPER Droughts (HYdrological Precipitation – Evaporation...

https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-1947-2016

© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Articles | Volume 20, issue 5

Research article

|

13 May 2016

Research article |

| 13 May 2016

Trends in projections of standardized precipitation indices in a future climate in Poland

Marzena Osuch, Renata J. Romanowicz, Deborah Lawrence, and Wai K. Wong

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Views and downloads (calculated since 12 Oct 2015)

Month	HTML	PDF	XML	Total
Oct 2015	75	72	4	151
Nov 2015	22	14	4	40
Dec 2015	6	14	0	20
Jan 2016	18	12	0	30
Feb 2016	20	7	3	30
Mar 2016	19	10	1	30
Apr 2016	13	14	0	27
May 2016	194	55	3	252
Jun 2016	36	21	2	59
Jul 2016	20	8	2	30
Aug 2016	14	10	1	25
Sep 2016	14	16	0	30
Oct 2016	19	17	1	37
Nov 2016	15	9	0	24
Dec 2016	3	6	0	9
Jan 2017	24	11	3	38
Feb 2017	9	5	3	17
Mar 2017	27	38	5	70
Apr 2017	37	32	6	75
May 2017	38	29	4	71
Jun 2017	43	7	8	58
Jul 2017	17	9	3	29
Aug 2017	9	5	1	15
Sep 2017	15	10	5	30
Oct 2017	7	9	3	19
Nov 2017	10	9	2	21
Dec 2017	11	16	2	29
Jan 2018	10	15	1	26
Feb 2018	27	15	6	48
Mar 2018	20	13	6	39
Apr 2018	14	6	4	24
May 2018	9	9	1	19
Jun 2018	9	12	5	26
Jul 2018	11	16	13	40
Aug 2018	12	14	6	32
Sep 2018	3	13	5	21
Oct 2018	15	14	5	34
Nov 2018	15	16	5	36
Dec 2018	6	15	2	23
Jan 2019	8	11	3	22
Feb 2019	6	7	3	16
Mar 2019	5	17	4	26
Apr 2019	5	4	1	10
May 2019	5	4	2	11
Jun 2019	4	15	2	21
Jul 2019	6	10	2	18
Aug 2019	7	7	0	14
Sep 2019	6	5	0	11
Oct 2019	12	6	1	19
Nov 2019	13	15	1	29
Dec 2019	9	7	1	17
Jan 2020	17	12	1	30
Feb 2020	7	11	2	20
Mar 2020	8	12	8	28
Apr 2020	9	14	13	36
May 2020	4	7	2	13
Jun 2020	15	5	15	35
Jul 2020	30	18	10	58
Aug 2020	10	10	8	28
Sep 2020	11	5	6	22
Oct 2020	14	15	6	35
Nov 2020	15	10	10	35
Dec 2020	8	8	5	21
Jan 2021	26	20	14	60
Feb 2021	16	10	12	38
Mar 2021	13	13	9	35
Apr 2021	11	11	12	34
May 2021	10	13	11	34
Jun 2021	14	19	8	41
Jul 2021	12	13	4	29
Aug 2021	11	21	3	35
Sep 2021	16	12	3	31
Oct 2021	9	38	3	50
Nov 2021	16	19	3	38
Dec 2021	10	16	2	28
Jan 2022	22	22	5	49
Feb 2022	9	9	1	19
Mar 2022	15	5	1	21
Apr 2022	11	8	4	23
May 2022	11	7	2	20
Jun 2022	11	7	4	22
Jul 2022	10	8	4	22
Aug 2022	16	11	0	27
Sep 2022	6	10	0	16
Oct 2022	30	8	2	40
Nov 2022	44	15	0	59
Dec 2022	16	14	2	32
Jan 2023	35	35	6	76
Feb 2023	19	8	1	28
Mar 2023	39	23	0	62
Apr 2023	14	13	1	28
May 2023	28	11	0	39
Jun 2023	32	10	0	42
Jul 2023	23	11	3	37
Aug 2023	57	8	2	67
Sep 2023	143	13	1	157
Oct 2023	111	16	2	129
Nov 2023	147	11	1	159
Dec 2023	103	12	0	115
Jan 2024	160	9	1	170
Feb 2024	101	16	1	118
Mar 2024	46	21	3	70
Apr 2024	69	7	3	79
May 2024	46	19	6	71
Jun 2024	56	10	3	69
Jul 2024	140	12	3	155
Aug 2024	139	8	1	148
Sep 2024	48	11	0	59
Oct 2024	22	10	2	34
Nov 2024	9	10	1	20
Dec 2024	13	4	1	18
Jan 2025	17	8	0	25
Feb 2025	40	21	0	61
Mar 2025	24	10	1	35
Apr 2025	18	15	3	36
May 2025	31	12	0	43
Jun 2025	63	21	2	86
Jul 2025	43	26	2	71
Aug 2025	37	18	1	56
Sep 2025	34	21	1	56
Oct 2025	26	30	1	57
Nov 2025	13	14	0	27

Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 12 Oct 2015)

Month	HTML	PDF	XML	Total
Oct 2015	75	72	4	151
Nov 2015	22	14	4	40
Dec 2015	6	14	0	20
Jan 2016	18	12	0	30
Feb 2016	20	7	3	30
Mar 2016	19	10	1	30
Apr 2016	13	14	0	27
May 2016	194	55	3	252
Jun 2016	36	21	2	59
Jul 2016	20	8	2	30
Aug 2016	14	10	1	25
Sep 2016	14	16	0	30
Oct 2016	19	17	1	37
Nov 2016	15	9	0	24
Dec 2016	3	6	0	9
Jan 2017	24	11	3	38
Feb 2017	9	5	3	17
Mar 2017	27	38	5	70
Apr 2017	37	32	6	75
May 2017	38	29	4	71
Jun 2017	43	7	8	58
Jul 2017	17	9	3	29
Aug 2017	9	5	1	15
Sep 2017	15	10	5	30
Oct 2017	7	9	3	19
Nov 2017	10	9	2	21
Dec 2017	11	16	2	29
Jan 2018	10	15	1	26
Feb 2018	27	15	6	48
Mar 2018	20	13	6	39
Apr 2018	14	6	4	24
May 2018	9	9	1	19
Jun 2018	9	12	5	26
Jul 2018	11	16	13	40
Aug 2018	12	14	6	32
Sep 2018	3	13	5	21
Oct 2018	15	14	5	34
Nov 2018	15	16	5	36
Dec 2018	6	15	2	23
Jan 2019	8	11	3	22
Feb 2019	6	7	3	16
Mar 2019	5	17	4	26
Apr 2019	5	4	1	10
May 2019	5	4	2	11
Jun 2019	4	15	2	21
Jul 2019	6	10	2	18
Aug 2019	7	7	0	14
Sep 2019	6	5	0	11
Oct 2019	12	6	1	19
Nov 2019	13	15	1	29
Dec 2019	9	7	1	17
Jan 2020	17	12	1	30
Feb 2020	7	11	2	20
Mar 2020	8	12	8	28
Apr 2020	9	14	13	36
May 2020	4	7	2	13
Jun 2020	15	5	15	35
Jul 2020	30	18	10	58
Aug 2020	10	10	8	28
Sep 2020	11	5	6	22
Oct 2020	14	15	6	35
Nov 2020	15	10	10	35
Dec 2020	8	8	5	21
Jan 2021	26	20	14	60
Feb 2021	16	10	12	38
Mar 2021	13	13	9	35
Apr 2021	11	11	12	34
May 2021	10	13	11	34
Jun 2021	14	19	8	41
Jul 2021	12	13	4	29
Aug 2021	11	21	3	35
Sep 2021	16	12	3	31
Oct 2021	9	38	3	50
Nov 2021	16	19	3	38
Dec 2021	10	16	2	28
Jan 2022	22	22	5	49
Feb 2022	9	9	1	19
Mar 2022	15	5	1	21
Apr 2022	11	8	4	23
May 2022	11	7	2	20
Jun 2022	11	7	4	22
Jul 2022	10	8	4	22
Aug 2022	16	11	0	27
Sep 2022	6	10	0	16
Oct 2022	30	8	2	40
Nov 2022	44	15	0	59
Dec 2022	16	14	2	32
Jan 2023	35	35	6	76
Feb 2023	19	8	1	28
Mar 2023	39	23	0	62
Apr 2023	14	13	1	28
May 2023	28	11	0	39
Jun 2023	32	10	0	42
Jul 2023	23	11	3	37
Aug 2023	57	8	2	67
Sep 2023	143	13	1	157
Oct 2023	111	16	2	129
Nov 2023	147	11	1	159
Dec 2023	103	12	0	115
Jan 2024	160	9	1	170
Feb 2024	101	16	1	118
Mar 2024	46	21	3	70
Apr 2024	69	7	3	79
May 2024	46	19	6	71
Jun 2024	56	10	3	69
Jul 2024	140	12	3	155
Aug 2024	139	8	1	148
Sep 2024	48	11	0	59
Oct 2024	22	10	2	34
Nov 2024	9	10	1	20
Dec 2024	13	4	1	18
Jan 2025	17	8	0	25
Feb 2025	40	21	0	61
Mar 2025	24	10	1	35
Apr 2025	18	15	3	36
May 2025	31	12	0	43
Jun 2025	63	21	2	86
Jul 2025	43	26	2	71
Aug 2025	37	18	1	56
Sep 2025	34	21	1	56
Oct 2025	26	30	1	57
Nov 2025	13	14	0	27

Latest update: 14 Nov 2025

Short summary

Possible future climate change effects on dryness conditions in Poland are estimated for six climate projections using the standardized precipitation index. The time series of precipitation represent six different climate model runs under the A1B SRES scenario for the period 1971–2099. Monthly precipitation values were used to estimate the standardized precipitation index for multiple timescales (1, 3, 6, 12 and 24 months) for a spatial resolution of 25 km for the whole country.