Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
HESS
Articles | Volume 19, issue 8
Articles | Volume 19, issue 8
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-3585-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-3585-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Articles | Volume 19, issue 8
Research article
 | 
17 Aug 2015
Research article |  | 17 Aug 2015

Stochastic approach to analyzing the uncertainties and possible changes in the availability of water in the future based on scenarios of climate change

G. G. Oliveira, O. C. Pedrollo, and N. M. R. Castro

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Short summary
The objective of this study was to analyze the changes and uncertainties related to water availability in the future, in the Ijuí River basin (south of Brazil), using a stochastic approach. In general the results showed a trend to increased flows. It can be concluded that there is a tendency to increase the hydrological variability during the period between 2011 and 2040, which indicates the possibility of occurrence of time series with more marked periods of droughts and floods.
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