Articles | Volume 19, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-2945-2015
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-2945-2015
Research article
 | 
26 Jun 2015
Research article |  | 26 Jun 2015

Projected changes in US rainfall erosivity

M. Biasutti and R. Seager

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Short summary
We estimate future changes in US erosivity from the most recent ensemble projections of daily and monthly rainfall accumulation. The expectation of overall increase in erosivity is confirmed by these calculations, but a quantitative assessment is marred by large uncertainties. Specifically, the uncertainty in the method of estimation of erosivity is more consequential than that deriving from the spread in climate simulations, and leads to changes of uncertain sign in parts of the south.