Articles | Volume 19, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-2945-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-2945-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| 
26 Jun 2015
Research article |
| 26 Jun 2015
Projected changes in US rainfall erosivity
Lamont Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, 61 Route 9W, Palisades, NY, USA
R. Seager
Lamont Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, 61 Route 9W, Palisades, NY, USA
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Cited
31 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Variabilidade espacial da erosividade das chuvas no Brasil A. Trindade et al. 10.1590/s0100-204x2016001200002
- Multi-time scale variability of rainfall erosivity and erosivity density in the karst region of southern China, 1960–2017 D. Zhu et al. 10.1016/j.catena.2020.104977
- Soil erosion in the United States: Present and future (2020–2050) S. Shojaeezadeh et al. 10.1016/j.catena.2024.108074
- Rainfall erosivity in South America: Current patterns and future perspectives N. Riquetti et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138315
- Enhancing the WorldClim data set for national and regional applications L. Poggio et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.12.258
- Projected climate change impacts in rainfall erosivity over Brazil A. Almagro et al. 10.1038/s41598-017-08298-y
- The impacts of climate change on ecosystem services in southern California E. Underwood et al. 10.1016/j.ecoser.2019.101008
- Spatial and temporal variations of rainfall-runoff erosivity (R) factor in Kakheti, Georgia M. Tsitsagi et al. 10.1016/j.aasci.2018.03.010
- A GIS-based approach for estimating fallow-season cropland soil erosion based on rainfall erosivity C. Day & Q. Long 10.1080/02723646.2023.2188632
- Assessing the impact of climate change on soil erosion in East Africa using a convection-permitting climate model S. Chapman et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac10e1
- Global impact of climate change on soil erosion and potential for adaptation through soil conservation J. Eekhout & J. de Vente 10.1016/j.earscirev.2022.103921
- Análise espacial e temporal da erosividade das chuvas no estado do Pará – Brasil a partir de dados de satélite F. Lira Pessoa et al. 10.55761/abclima.v31i18.15850
- Expected climate change impacts on rainfall erosivity over Iran based on CMIP5 climate models M. Azari et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.125826
- Spatial and temporal variations in rainfall erosivity and erosivity density in South Korea J. Shin et al. 10.1016/j.catena.2019.01.005
- Conservation agriculture increases the soil resilience and cotton yield stability in climate extremes of the southeast US A. Nouri et al. 10.1038/s43247-021-00223-6
- Towards estimates of future rainfall erosivity in Europe based on REDES and WorldClim datasets P. Panagos et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2017.03.006
- Rainfall erosivity and sediment dynamics in the Himalaya catchment during the Melamchi flood in Nepal B. Baniya et al. 10.1007/s11629-023-8231-2
- Monthly to seasonal rainfall erosivity over Italy: Current assessment by empirical model and future projections by EURO-CORDEX ensemble R. Padulano et al. 10.1016/j.catena.2023.106943
- Downscaled climate model erosivity projections and drivers of change across distinct climate regions N. Bulovic et al. 10.1016/j.catena.2024.108250
- Change in erosion potential of crops due to climate change K. Auerswald & A. Menzel 10.1016/j.agrformet.2021.108338
- Soil aggregation returns to a set point despite seasonal response to snow manipulation E. Boswell et al. 10.1016/j.geoderma.2019.113954
- Global rainfall erosivity projections for 2050 and 2070 P. Panagos et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.127865
- Global climate teleconnection with rainfall erosivity in South Korea J. Lee et al. 10.1016/j.catena.2018.03.008
- Projected mid-century rainfall erosivity under climate change over the southeastern United States B. Takhellambam et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.161119
- Unravelling the future changes in rainfall erosivity over India under shared socio-economic pathways S. Das & M. Jain 10.1016/j.catena.2023.107417
- Insecticide Risk in US Surface Waters: Drivers and Spatiotemporal Modeling J. Wolfram et al. 10.1021/acs.est.9b04285
- Temporal disaggregation of hourly precipitation under changing climate over the Southeast United States B. Takhellambam et al. 10.1038/s41597-022-01304-7
- A new method for calculating C factor when projecting future soil loss using the Revised Universal soil loss equation (RUSLE) in semi-arid environments A. Pinson & J. AuBuchon 10.1016/j.catena.2023.107067
- Reducing current and future risks: Using climate change scenarios to test an agricultural conservation framework K. Hall et al. 10.1016/j.jglr.2016.11.005
- Projected Mid-Century Rainfall Erosivity Under Climate Change Over the Southeastern United States B. Takhellambam et al. 10.2139/ssrn.4108652
- Sediment retention by natural landscapes in the conterminous United States S. Woznicki et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.140972
31 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Variabilidade espacial da erosividade das chuvas no Brasil A. Trindade et al. 10.1590/s0100-204x2016001200002
- Multi-time scale variability of rainfall erosivity and erosivity density in the karst region of southern China, 1960–2017 D. Zhu et al. 10.1016/j.catena.2020.104977
- Soil erosion in the United States: Present and future (2020–2050) S. Shojaeezadeh et al. 10.1016/j.catena.2024.108074
- Rainfall erosivity in South America: Current patterns and future perspectives N. Riquetti et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138315
- Enhancing the WorldClim data set for national and regional applications L. Poggio et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.12.258
- Projected climate change impacts in rainfall erosivity over Brazil A. Almagro et al. 10.1038/s41598-017-08298-y
- The impacts of climate change on ecosystem services in southern California E. Underwood et al. 10.1016/j.ecoser.2019.101008
- Spatial and temporal variations of rainfall-runoff erosivity (R) factor in Kakheti, Georgia M. Tsitsagi et al. 10.1016/j.aasci.2018.03.010
- A GIS-based approach for estimating fallow-season cropland soil erosion based on rainfall erosivity C. Day & Q. Long 10.1080/02723646.2023.2188632
- Assessing the impact of climate change on soil erosion in East Africa using a convection-permitting climate model S. Chapman et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac10e1
- Global impact of climate change on soil erosion and potential for adaptation through soil conservation J. Eekhout & J. de Vente 10.1016/j.earscirev.2022.103921
- Análise espacial e temporal da erosividade das chuvas no estado do Pará – Brasil a partir de dados de satélite F. Lira Pessoa et al. 10.55761/abclima.v31i18.15850
- Expected climate change impacts on rainfall erosivity over Iran based on CMIP5 climate models M. Azari et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.125826
- Spatial and temporal variations in rainfall erosivity and erosivity density in South Korea J. Shin et al. 10.1016/j.catena.2019.01.005
- Conservation agriculture increases the soil resilience and cotton yield stability in climate extremes of the southeast US A. Nouri et al. 10.1038/s43247-021-00223-6
- Towards estimates of future rainfall erosivity in Europe based on REDES and WorldClim datasets P. Panagos et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2017.03.006
- Rainfall erosivity and sediment dynamics in the Himalaya catchment during the Melamchi flood in Nepal B. Baniya et al. 10.1007/s11629-023-8231-2
- Monthly to seasonal rainfall erosivity over Italy: Current assessment by empirical model and future projections by EURO-CORDEX ensemble R. Padulano et al. 10.1016/j.catena.2023.106943
- Downscaled climate model erosivity projections and drivers of change across distinct climate regions N. Bulovic et al. 10.1016/j.catena.2024.108250
- Change in erosion potential of crops due to climate change K. Auerswald & A. Menzel 10.1016/j.agrformet.2021.108338
- Soil aggregation returns to a set point despite seasonal response to snow manipulation E. Boswell et al. 10.1016/j.geoderma.2019.113954
- Global rainfall erosivity projections for 2050 and 2070 P. Panagos et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.127865
- Global climate teleconnection with rainfall erosivity in South Korea J. Lee et al. 10.1016/j.catena.2018.03.008
- Projected mid-century rainfall erosivity under climate change over the southeastern United States B. Takhellambam et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.161119
- Unravelling the future changes in rainfall erosivity over India under shared socio-economic pathways S. Das & M. Jain 10.1016/j.catena.2023.107417
- Insecticide Risk in US Surface Waters: Drivers and Spatiotemporal Modeling J. Wolfram et al. 10.1021/acs.est.9b04285
- Temporal disaggregation of hourly precipitation under changing climate over the Southeast United States B. Takhellambam et al. 10.1038/s41597-022-01304-7
- A new method for calculating C factor when projecting future soil loss using the Revised Universal soil loss equation (RUSLE) in semi-arid environments A. Pinson & J. AuBuchon 10.1016/j.catena.2023.107067
- Reducing current and future risks: Using climate change scenarios to test an agricultural conservation framework K. Hall et al. 10.1016/j.jglr.2016.11.005
- Projected Mid-Century Rainfall Erosivity Under Climate Change Over the Southeastern United States B. Takhellambam et al. 10.2139/ssrn.4108652
- Sediment retention by natural landscapes in the conterminous United States S. Woznicki et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.140972
Saved (final revised paper)
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Latest update: 23 Nov 2024
Short summary
We estimate future changes in US erosivity from the most recent ensemble projections of daily and monthly rainfall accumulation. The expectation of overall increase in erosivity is confirmed by these calculations, but a quantitative assessment is marred by large uncertainties. Specifically, the uncertainty in the method of estimation of erosivity is more consequential than that deriving from the spread in climate simulations, and leads to changes of uncertain sign in parts of the south.
We estimate future changes in US erosivity from the most recent ensemble projections of daily...
