Simulating past changes in the balance between water demand and availability and assessing their main drivers at the river basin scale

Fabre, J.; Ruelland, D.; Dezetter, A.; Grouillet, B.

doi:10.5194/hess-19-1263-2015

Articles | Volume 19, issue 3

https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-1263-2015

© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-1263-2015

© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Articles | Volume 19, issue 3

Research article

|

05 Mar 2015

Research article |

| 05 Mar 2015

Simulating past changes in the balance between water demand and availability and assessing their main drivers at the river basin scale

J. Fabre, D. Ruelland, A. Dezetter, and B. Grouillet

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Total article views: 398,190 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)

HTML	PDF	XML	Total	BibTeX	EndNote
199,530	198,488	172	398,190	180	222

HTML: 199,530
PDF: 198,488
XML: 172
Total: 398,190
BibTeX: 180
EndNote: 222

Views and downloads (calculated since 04 Nov 2014)

Month	HTML	PDF	XML	Total
Nov 2014	79	71	3	153
Dec 2014	32	28	3	63
Jan 2015	20	15	3	38
Feb 2015	18	9	0	27
Mar 2015	127	81	2	210
Apr 2015	46	25	1	72
May 2015	19	13	1	33
Jun 2015	45	15	0	60
Jul 2015	39	19	0	58
Aug 2015	18	13	0	31
Sep 2015	17	10	6	33
Oct 2015	26	12	1	39
Nov 2015	31	14	2	47
Dec 2015	12	16	1	29
Jan 2016	35	9	0	44
Feb 2016	20	13	1	34
Mar 2016	33	11	11	55
Apr 2016	14	11	0	25
May 2016	12	3	2	17
Jun 2016	13	3	0	16
Jul 2016	16	6	2	24
Aug 2016	13	6	0	19
Sep 2016	13	1	1	15
Oct 2016	12	4	6	22
Nov 2016	7	2	6	15
Dec 2016	1	2	0	3
Jan 2017	16	5	0	21
Feb 2017	16	9	2	27
Mar 2017	24	4	28
Apr 2017	26	8	4	38
May 2017	25	5	0	30
Jun 2017	29	4	2	35
Jul 2017	14	3	2	19
Aug 2017	4	9	0	13
Sep 2017	9	9	1	19
Oct 2017	5	14	0	19
Nov 2017	5	13	3	21
Dec 2017	10	19	1	30
Jan 2018	1	13	0	14
Feb 2018	9	15	0	24
Mar 2018	10	19	0	29
Apr 2018	4	11	1	16
May 2018	6	23	0	29
Jun 2018	3	13	0	16
Jul 2018	6	17	1	24
Aug 2018	12	17	0	29
Sep 2018	14	15	0	29
Oct 2018	11	17	3	31
Nov 2018	10	12	0	22
Dec 2018	9	13	0	22
Jan 2019	6	8	0	14
Feb 2019	4	2	1	7
Mar 2019	8	17	0	25
Apr 2019	6	8	0	14
May 2019	8	7	0	15
Jun 2019	7	16	0	23
Jul 2019	6	12	0	18
Aug 2019	6	12	2	20
Sep 2019	4	11	0	15
Oct 2019	13	12	1	26
Nov 2019	10	16	1	27
Dec 2019	7	9	1	17
Jan 2020	9	8	4	21
Feb 2020	8	5	0	13
Mar 2020	5	8	0	13
Apr 2020	6	7	0	13
May 2020	2	9	0	11
Jun 2020	14	5	0	19
Jul 2020	17	19	8	44
Aug 2020	11	9	7	27
Sep 2020	9	5	0	14
Oct 2020	518	515	0	1,033
Nov 2020	2,396	2,388	0	4,784
Dec 2020	4,424	4,418	0	8,842
Jan 2021	4,962	4,953	0	9,915
Feb 2021	4,378	4,371	0	8,749
Mar 2021	4,597	4,592	2	9,191
Apr 2021	4,991	4,999	0	9,990
May 2021	5,726	5,726	0	11,452
Jun 2021	5,901	5,905	0	11,806
Jul 2021	6,789	6,778	0	13,567
Aug 2021	9,265	9,213	0	18,478
Sep 2021	9,479	9,437	0	18,916
Oct 2021	8,509	8,475	0	16,984
Nov 2021	9,333	9,320	1	18,654
Dec 2021	10,150	10,129	1	20,280
Jan 2022	9,761	9,756	3	19,520
Feb 2022	8,000	7,992	1	15,993
Mar 2022	9,353	9,353	0	18,706
Apr 2022	8,743	8,742	2	17,487
May 2022	6,567	6,535	2	13,104
Jun 2022	6,965	6,955	1	13,921
Jul 2022	6,257	6,249	1	12,507
Aug 2022	4,377	4,354	2	8,733
Sep 2022	5,530	5,484	0	11,014
Oct 2022	4,149	4,123	0	8,272
Nov 2022	8,436	8,402	0	16,838
Dec 2022	5,489	5,480	0	10,969
Jan 2023	4,509	4,452	2	8,963
Feb 2023	2,710	2,679	0	5,389
Mar 2023	1,519	1,484	1	3,004
Apr 2023	2,847	2,844	2	5,693
May 2023	1,344	1,346	0	2,690
Jun 2023	1,560	1,556	1	3,117
Jul 2023	1,712	1,699	2	3,413
Aug 2023	2,268	2,264	3	4,535
Sep 2023	2,071	2,071	1	4,143
Oct 2023	1,334	1,316	2	2,652
Nov 2023	79	74	0	153
Dec 2023	225	190	2	417
Jan 2024	16	13	3	32
Feb 2024	10	14	0	24
Mar 2024	230	236	3	469
Apr 2024	46	39	7	92
May 2024	11	18	3	32
Jun 2024	17	10	1	28
Jul 2024	15	6	5	26
Aug 2024	25	6	2	33
Sep 2024	9	17	0	26
Oct 2024	191	187	0	378
Nov 2024	12	6	0	18
Dec 2024	15	6	2	23
Jan 2025	13	7	0	20
Feb 2025	21	12	0	33
Mar 2025	243	236	1	480
Apr 2025	16	14	2	32
May 2025	36	26	1	63
Jun 2025	47	18	0	65
Jul 2025	42	16	2	60
Aug 2025	48	14	1	63
Sep 2025	34	20	3	57
Oct 2025	34	25	2	61
Nov 2025	14	23	1	38

Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 04 Nov 2014)

Month	HTML	PDF	XML	Total
Nov 2014	79	71	3	153
Dec 2014	32	28	3	63
Jan 2015	20	15	3	38
Feb 2015	18	9	0	27
Mar 2015	127	81	2	210
Apr 2015	46	25	1	72
May 2015	19	13	1	33
Jun 2015	45	15	0	60
Jul 2015	39	19	0	58
Aug 2015	18	13	0	31
Sep 2015	17	10	6	33
Oct 2015	26	12	1	39
Nov 2015	31	14	2	47
Dec 2015	12	16	1	29
Jan 2016	35	9	0	44
Feb 2016	20	13	1	34
Mar 2016	33	11	11	55
Apr 2016	14	11	0	25
May 2016	12	3	2	17
Jun 2016	13	3	0	16
Jul 2016	16	6	2	24
Aug 2016	13	6	0	19
Sep 2016	13	1	1	15
Oct 2016	12	4	6	22
Nov 2016	7	2	6	15
Dec 2016	1	2	0	3
Jan 2017	16	5	0	21
Feb 2017	16	9	2	27
Mar 2017	24	4	28
Apr 2017	26	8	4	38
May 2017	25	5	0	30
Jun 2017	29	4	2	35
Jul 2017	14	3	2	19
Aug 2017	4	9	0	13
Sep 2017	9	9	1	19
Oct 2017	5	14	0	19
Nov 2017	5	13	3	21
Dec 2017	10	19	1	30
Jan 2018	1	13	0	14
Feb 2018	9	15	0	24
Mar 2018	10	19	0	29
Apr 2018	4	11	1	16
May 2018	6	23	0	29
Jun 2018	3	13	0	16
Jul 2018	6	17	1	24
Aug 2018	12	17	0	29
Sep 2018	14	15	0	29
Oct 2018	11	17	3	31
Nov 2018	10	12	0	22
Dec 2018	9	13	0	22
Jan 2019	6	8	0	14
Feb 2019	4	2	1	7
Mar 2019	8	17	0	25
Apr 2019	6	8	0	14
May 2019	8	7	0	15
Jun 2019	7	16	0	23
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Apr 2020	6	7	0	13
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Jun 2020	14	5	0	19
Jul 2020	17	19	8	44
Aug 2020	11	9	7	27
Sep 2020	9	5	0	14
Oct 2020	518	515	0	1,033
Nov 2020	2,396	2,388	0	4,784
Dec 2020	4,424	4,418	0	8,842
Jan 2021	4,962	4,953	0	9,915
Feb 2021	4,378	4,371	0	8,749
Mar 2021	4,597	4,592	2	9,191
Apr 2021	4,991	4,999	0	9,990
May 2021	5,726	5,726	0	11,452
Jun 2021	5,901	5,905	0	11,806
Jul 2021	6,789	6,778	0	13,567
Aug 2021	9,265	9,213	0	18,478
Sep 2021	9,479	9,437	0	18,916
Oct 2021	8,509	8,475	0	16,984
Nov 2021	9,333	9,320	1	18,654
Dec 2021	10,150	10,129	1	20,280
Jan 2022	9,761	9,756	3	19,520
Feb 2022	8,000	7,992	1	15,993
Mar 2022	9,353	9,353	0	18,706
Apr 2022	8,743	8,742	2	17,487
May 2022	6,567	6,535	2	13,104
Jun 2022	6,965	6,955	1	13,921
Jul 2022	6,257	6,249	1	12,507
Aug 2022	4,377	4,354	2	8,733
Sep 2022	5,530	5,484	0	11,014
Oct 2022	4,149	4,123	0	8,272
Nov 2022	8,436	8,402	0	16,838
Dec 2022	5,489	5,480	0	10,969
Jan 2023	4,509	4,452	2	8,963
Feb 2023	2,710	2,679	0	5,389
Mar 2023	1,519	1,484	1	3,004
Apr 2023	2,847	2,844	2	5,693
May 2023	1,344	1,346	0	2,690
Jun 2023	1,560	1,556	1	3,117
Jul 2023	1,712	1,699	2	3,413
Aug 2023	2,268	2,264	3	4,535
Sep 2023	2,071	2,071	1	4,143
Oct 2023	1,334	1,316	2	2,652
Nov 2023	79	74	0	153
Dec 2023	225	190	2	417
Jan 2024	16	13	3	32
Feb 2024	10	14	0	24
Mar 2024	230	236	3	469
Apr 2024	46	39	7	92
May 2024	11	18	3	32
Jun 2024	17	10	1	28
Jul 2024	15	6	5	26
Aug 2024	25	6	2	33
Sep 2024	9	17	0	26
Oct 2024	191	187	0	378
Nov 2024	12	6	0	18
Dec 2024	15	6	2	23
Jan 2025	13	7	0	20
Feb 2025	21	12	0	33
Mar 2025	243	236	1	480
Apr 2025	16	14	2	32
May 2025	36	26	1	63
Jun 2025	47	18	0	65
Jul 2025	42	16	2	60
Aug 2025	48	14	1	63
Sep 2025	34	20	3	57
Oct 2025	34	25	2	61
Nov 2025	14	23	1	38

Latest update: 25 Nov 2025

Short summary

Socioeconomic and hydro-climatic data were used to model water resources, water demand and their interactions in two river basins. By using an integrative framework we successfully modeled variations in water stress over the past 40 years, accounting for climate and human pressures and changes in water management strategies over time. We explained past changes in discharge by separating human and hydro-climatic trends. This work will help assess future water stress and design adaptation plans.