Articles | Volume 18, issue 12
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-4897-2014
© Author(s) 2014. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-4897-2014
© Author(s) 2014. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Climate change and stream temperature projections in the Columbia River basin: habitat implications of spatial variation in hydrologic drivers
D. L. Ficklin
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Department of Geography, Indiana University, 701 E. Kirkwood Ave., Bloomington, IN 47405, USA
Center for Geospatial Data Analysis, Indiana Geological Survey, 611 N. Walnut Grove, Bloomington, IN 47405, USA
B. L. Barnhart
Agricultural Research Service, United States Department of Agriculture, 3450 SW Campus Way, Corvallis, OR 97333, USA
J. H. Knouft
Center for Environmental Sciences, Saint Louis University, 3507 Laclede Ave., St. Louis, MO 63103, USA
Department of Biology, Saint Louis University, 3507 Laclede Ave., St. Louis, MO 63103, USA
I. T. Stewart
Department of Environmental Studies and Sciences, Santa Clara University, 500 El Camino Real, Santa Clara, CA 95053, USA
E. P. Maurer
Civil Engineering Department, Santa Clara University, 500 El Camino Real, Santa Clara, CA 95053, USA
S. L. Letsinger
Center for Geospatial Data Analysis, Indiana Geological Survey, 611 N. Walnut Grove, Bloomington, IN 47405, USA
G. W. Whittaker
Agricultural Research Service, United States Department of Agriculture, 3450 SW Campus Way, Corvallis, OR 97333, USA
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63 citations as recorded by crossref.
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- Metabolic rates from Bluntnose minnow (Pimephales notatus) populations at lower latitudes are more sensitive to changes in temperature than populations at higher latitudes C. Beachum et al. 10.1111/eff.12507
- Warming of the lower Columbia River, 1853 to 2018 M. Scott et al. 10.1002/rra.4177
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60 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Accounting for snowpack and time-varying lags in statistical models of stream temperature J. Siegel et al. 10.1016/j.hydroa.2022.100136
- Comparison of CMIP3 and CMIP5 projected hydrologic conditions over the Upper Colorado River Basin J. Ayers et al. 10.1002/joc.4594
- Input uncertainty on watershed modeling: Evaluation of precipitation and air temperature data by latent variables using SWAT H. Yen et al. 10.1016/j.ecoleng.2018.07.014
- Seasonal water temperature variations in response to air temperature and precipitation in a forested headwater stream and an urban river: a case study from the Bukhan River basin, South Korea S. Nam et al. 10.1080/21580103.2021.1882589
- Environmentally triggered shifts in steelhead migration behavior and consequences for survival in the mid-Columbia River J. Siegel et al. 10.1371/journal.pone.0250831
- Impact of Climate and Land Use Change on Streamflow and Sediment Yield in a Snow‐Dominated Semiarid Mountainous Watershed K. Khatri et al. 10.1111/1752-1688.12803
- Reproducing age variability in grass carp egg samples from the lower Sandusky River, Ohio, USA, using an egg-drift model D. Soong et al. 10.1016/j.jglr.2024.102376
- Seeing the landscape for the trees: Metrics to guide riparian shade management in river catchments M. Johnson & R. Wilby 10.1002/2014WR016802
- Monthly river temperature trends across the US confound annual changes C. Kelleher et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac2289
- Contrasting stream water temperature responses to global change in the Mid-Atlantic Region of the United States: A process-based modeling study Y. Yao et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.126633
- Stream thermalscape scenarios for British Columbia, Canada J. Weller et al. 10.1080/07011784.2023.2267028
- Empirical Stream Thermal Sensitivities May Underestimate Stream Temperature Response to Climate Warming J. Leach & R. Moore 10.1029/2018WR024236
- Elevation-dependent warming of streams in mountainous regions: implications for temperature modeling and headwater climate refugia D. Isaak & C. Luce 10.1080/07011784.2023.2176788
- The Potential Impacts of Climate Change on Biodiversity in Flowing Freshwater Systems J. Knouft & D. Ficklin 10.1146/annurev-ecolsys-110316-022803
- Analysis of Water Temperature Variations in the Yangtze River’s Upper and Middle Reaches in the Context of Cascade Hydropower Development Z. Wang et al. 10.3390/w16121669
- Accounting for downscaling and model uncertainty in fine-resolution seasonal climate projections over the Columbia River Basin A. Ahmadalipour et al. 10.1007/s00382-017-3639-4
- Incorporation of the equilibrium temperature approach in a Soil and Water Assessment Tool hydroclimatological stream temperature model X. Du et al. 10.5194/hess-22-2343-2018
- An improved model of shade-affected stream temperature in Soil & Water Assessment Tool E. Noa-Yarasca et al. 10.5194/hess-27-739-2023
- Guiding riparian management in a transboundary watershed through high resolution spatial statistical network models S. Figary et al. 10.1016/j.jenvman.2020.111585
- A machine learning model for estimating the temperature of small rivers using satellite-based spatial data D. Philippus et al. 10.1016/j.rse.2024.114271
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- Time series analysis of automated surface water extraction and thermal pattern variation over the Betwa river, India N. Das et al. 10.1016/j.asr.2021.04.020
- Assessing climate change impacts on stream temperature in the Athabasca River Basin using SWAT equilibrium temperature model and its potential impacts on stream ecosystem X. Du et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.09.344
- Comparison and Correction of High-Mountain Precipitation Data Based on Glacio-Hydrological Modeling in the Tarim River Headwaters (High Asia) M. Wortmann et al. 10.1175/JHM-D-17-0106.1
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- On the use of climate covariates in aquatic species distribution models: are we at risk of throwing out the baby with the bath water? D. McGarvey et al. 10.1111/ecog.03134
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- Climate change literature and information gaps in mountainous headwaters of the Columbia River Basin A. Marshall et al. 10.1007/s10113-020-01721-7
- Rising summer river water temperature across Canada: spatial patterns and hydroclimatic controls R. Shrestha et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad365f
- River temperature modelling: A review of process-based approaches and future directions S. Dugdale et al. 10.1016/j.earscirev.2017.10.009
- Landform features and seasonal precipitation predict shallow groundwater influence on temperature in headwater streams Z. Johnson et al. 10.1002/2017WR020455
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- Projections of Climate Change Impact on Stream Temperature: A National-Scale Assessment for Poland P. Marcinkowski 10.3390/app142310900
- Influence of winter season climate variability on snow–precipitation ratio in the western United States M. Safeeq et al. 10.1002/joc.4545
- Modeling Landscape Change Effects on Stream Temperature Using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool M. Mustafa et al. 10.3390/w10091143
- Climate Change Impacts on Stream Water Temperatures in a Snowy Cold Region According to Geological Conditions H. Suzuki et al. 10.3390/w14142166
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- Evaluation of water temperature under changing climate and its effect on river habitat in a regulated Alpine catchment F. Fuso et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128816
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- Towards effective management of the marine-origin Prymnesium parvum (Haptophyta): A growing concern in freshwater reservoirs? R. Macêdo et al. 10.1016/j.hal.2023.102513
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- Impacts of recent climate change on trends in baseflow and stormflow in United States watersheds D. Ficklin et al. 10.1002/2016GL069121
- Climate and local abundance in freshwater fishes J. Knouft & M. Anthony 10.1098/rsos.160093
- Metabolic rates from Bluntnose minnow (Pimephales notatus) populations at lower latitudes are more sensitive to changes in temperature than populations at higher latitudes C. Beachum et al. 10.1111/eff.12507
- Warming of the lower Columbia River, 1853 to 2018 M. Scott et al. 10.1002/rra.4177
- Influence of the choice of stream temperature model on the projections of water temperature in rivers A. Piotrowski et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.126629
- Modelling spatial and temporal variability of water temperature across six rivers in Western Canada R. Shrestha & J. Pesklevits 10.1002/rra.4072
- StreamFlow 1.0: an extension to the spatially distributed snow model Alpine3D for hydrological modelling and deterministic stream temperature prediction A. Gallice et al. 10.5194/gmd-9-4491-2016
3 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Fish assemblages under climate change in Lithuanian rivers J. Kriaučiūnienė et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.01.142
- Effect of Climate Warming and Drought on Urban Stream Temperatures in a Semiarid, Seasonal System I. Stewart et al. 10.1111/1752-1688.12846
- Accounting for groundwater in stream fish thermal habitat responses to climate change C. Snyder et al. 10.1890/14-1354.1
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Latest update: 13 Dec 2024
Short summary
We use a hydrologic model coupled with a stream temperature model and downscaled general circulation model outputs to explore changes in stream temperature in the Columbia River basin for the late 21st century. On average, stream temperatures are projected to increase 3.5 °C for the spring, 5.2 °C for the summer, 2.7 °C for the fall, and 1.6 °C for the winter. Our results capture the important, and often ignored, influence of hydrological processes on changes in stream temperature.
We use a hydrologic model coupled with a stream temperature model and downscaled general...