A baseline probabilistic drought forecasting framework using standardized soil moisture index: application to the 2012 United States drought

AghaKouchak, A.

doi:10.5194/hess-18-2485-2014

Articles | Volume 18, issue 7

https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-2485-2014

© Author(s) 2014. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Special issue:

Drought forecasting and warning

https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-2485-2014

© Author(s) 2014. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Articles | Volume 18, issue 7

Research article

|

04 Jul 2014

Research article |

| 04 Jul 2014

A baseline probabilistic drought forecasting framework using standardized soil moisture index: application to the 2012 United States drought

A. AghaKouchak

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Total article views: 10,089 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)

HTML	PDF	XML	Total	BibTeX	EndNote
4,402	5,425	262	10,089	176	205

HTML: 4,402
PDF: 5,425
XML: 262
Total: 10,089
BibTeX: 176
EndNote: 205

Views and downloads (calculated since 11 Feb 2014)

Month	HTML	PDF	XML	Total
Feb 2014	105	94	3	202
Mar 2014	38	23	4	65
Apr 2014	15	21	4	40
May 2014	20	36	2	58
Jun 2014	12	13	1	26
Jul 2014	165	353	6	524
Aug 2014	44	266	3	313
Sep 2014	57	236	2	295
Oct 2014	31	262	1	294
Nov 2014	15	285	1	301
Dec 2014	21	478	3	502
Jan 2015	15	23	1	39
Feb 2015	32	31	0	63
Mar 2015	18	26	0	44
Apr 2015	27	24	1	52
May 2015	5	23	0	28
Jun 2015	35	19	1	55
Jul 2015	24	27	1	52
Aug 2015	22	32	0	54
Sep 2015	25	22	1	48
Oct 2015	16	16	1	33
Nov 2015	32	31	1	64
Dec 2015	10	25	0	35
Jan 2016	26	19	0	45
Feb 2016	21	14	1	36
Mar 2016	39	30	17	86
Apr 2016	11	24	1	36
May 2016	10	10	1	21
Jun 2016	16	13	0	29
Jul 2016	16	17	2	35
Aug 2016	13	15	0	28
Sep 2016	14	9	0	23
Oct 2016	18	10	8	36
Nov 2016	16	4	7	27
Dec 2016	6	6	0	12
Jan 2017	16	11	1	28
Feb 2017	12	6	1	19
Mar 2017	26	25	3	54
Apr 2017	24	17	1	42
May 2017	22	20	4	46
Jun 2017	27	21	3	51
Jul 2017	22	11	2	35
Aug 2017	10	15	1	26
Sep 2017	10	15	1	26
Oct 2017	5	10	1	16
Nov 2017	11	26	2	39
Dec 2017	12	18	1	31
Jan 2018	9	14	3	26
Feb 2018	11	12	1	24
Mar 2018	9	11	0	20
Apr 2018	10	10	2	22
May 2018	14	15	1	30
Jun 2018	14	15	5	34
Jul 2018	7	20	4	31
Aug 2018	22	17	3	42
Sep 2018	12	15	1	28
Oct 2018	17	19	0	36
Nov 2018	18	20	1	39
Dec 2018	15	14	0	29
Jan 2019	10	18	2	30
Feb 2019	15	11	0	26
Mar 2019	14	23	1	38
Apr 2019	5	8	0	13
May 2019	10	6	1	17
Jun 2019	11	13	0	24
Jul 2019	17	13	0	30
Aug 2019	8	8	1	17
Sep 2019	8	10	0	18
Oct 2019	15	18	2	35
Nov 2019	19	13	1	33
Dec 2019	21	19	1	41
Jan 2020	34	9	2	45
Feb 2020	23	8	0	31
Mar 2020	19	18	0	37
Apr 2020	18	10	0	28
May 2020	19	11	0	30
Jun 2020	25	12	2	39
Jul 2020	42	18	9	69
Aug 2020	16	15	8	39
Sep 2020	28	13	4	45
Oct 2020	17	6	5	28
Nov 2020	27	14	2	43
Dec 2020	27	13	3	43
Jan 2021	41	26	3	70
Feb 2021	34	19	0	53
Mar 2021	33	17	5	55
Apr 2021	31	18	2	51
May 2021	27	40	1	68
Jun 2021	27	18	0	45
Jul 2021	23	20	1	44
Aug 2021	18	15	1	34
Sep 2021	32	26	0	58
Oct 2021	27	42	2	71
Nov 2021	24	34	2	60
Dec 2021	20	22	1	43
Jan 2022	23	24	0	47
Feb 2022	21	31	1	53
Mar 2022	20	22	0	42
Apr 2022	32	18	2	52
May 2022	19	18	1	38
Jun 2022	17	16	1	34
Jul 2022	11	13	0	24
Aug 2022	24	28	0	52
Sep 2022	26	10	0	36
Oct 2022	28	31	1	60
Nov 2022	39	30	0	69
Dec 2022	24	24	0	48
Jan 2023	39	36	3	78
Feb 2023	32	24	1	57
Mar 2023	52	25	2	79
Apr 2023	34	34	1	69
May 2023	25	24	1	50
Jun 2023	38	16	0	54
Jul 2023	40	17	3	60
Aug 2023	54	30	2	86
Sep 2023	37	22	1	60
Oct 2023	102	37	3	142
Nov 2023	134	20	0	154
Dec 2023	25	23	1	49
Jan 2024	39	47	0	86
Feb 2024	27	29	1	57
Mar 2024	40	44	1	85
Apr 2024	69	27	4	100
May 2024	47	43	6	96
Jun 2024	75	395	3	473
Jul 2024	51	36	6	93
Aug 2024	50	19	1	70
Sep 2024	40	42	1	83
Oct 2024	45	101	0	146
Nov 2024	41	71	0	112
Dec 2024	22	47	1	70
Jan 2025	46	31	3	80
Feb 2025	45	24	0	69
Mar 2025	45	16	3	64
Apr 2025	105	28	1	134
May 2025	78	27	2	107
Jun 2025	78	36	1	115
Jul 2025	54	26	2	82
Aug 2025	45	44	3	92
Sep 2025	52	35	2	89
Oct 2025	66	33	2	101
Nov 2025	71	30	1	102
Dec 2025	60	50	2	112
Jan 2026	72	47	12	131
Feb 2026	13	6	2	21

Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 11 Feb 2014)

Month	HTML	PDF	XML	Total
Feb 2014	105	94	3	202
Mar 2014	38	23	4	65
Apr 2014	15	21	4	40
May 2014	20	36	2	58
Jun 2014	12	13	1	26
Jul 2014	165	353	6	524
Aug 2014	44	266	3	313
Sep 2014	57	236	2	295
Oct 2014	31	262	1	294
Nov 2014	15	285	1	301
Dec 2014	21	478	3	502
Jan 2015	15	23	1	39
Feb 2015	32	31	0	63
Mar 2015	18	26	0	44
Apr 2015	27	24	1	52
May 2015	5	23	0	28
Jun 2015	35	19	1	55
Jul 2015	24	27	1	52
Aug 2015	22	32	0	54
Sep 2015	25	22	1	48
Oct 2015	16	16	1	33
Nov 2015	32	31	1	64
Dec 2015	10	25	0	35
Jan 2016	26	19	0	45
Feb 2016	21	14	1	36
Mar 2016	39	30	17	86
Apr 2016	11	24	1	36
May 2016	10	10	1	21
Jun 2016	16	13	0	29
Jul 2016	16	17	2	35
Aug 2016	13	15	0	28
Sep 2016	14	9	0	23
Oct 2016	18	10	8	36
Nov 2016	16	4	7	27
Dec 2016	6	6	0	12
Jan 2017	16	11	1	28
Feb 2017	12	6	1	19
Mar 2017	26	25	3	54
Apr 2017	24	17	1	42
May 2017	22	20	4	46
Jun 2017	27	21	3	51
Jul 2017	22	11	2	35
Aug 2017	10	15	1	26
Sep 2017	10	15	1	26
Oct 2017	5	10	1	16
Nov 2017	11	26	2	39
Dec 2017	12	18	1	31
Jan 2018	9	14	3	26
Feb 2018	11	12	1	24
Mar 2018	9	11	0	20
Apr 2018	10	10	2	22
May 2018	14	15	1	30
Jun 2018	14	15	5	34
Jul 2018	7	20	4	31
Aug 2018	22	17	3	42
Sep 2018	12	15	1	28
Oct 2018	17	19	0	36
Nov 2018	18	20	1	39
Dec 2018	15	14	0	29
Jan 2019	10	18	2	30
Feb 2019	15	11	0	26
Mar 2019	14	23	1	38
Apr 2019	5	8	0	13
May 2019	10	6	1	17
Jun 2019	11	13	0	24
Jul 2019	17	13	0	30
Aug 2019	8	8	1	17
Sep 2019	8	10	0	18
Oct 2019	15	18	2	35
Nov 2019	19	13	1	33
Dec 2019	21	19	1	41
Jan 2020	34	9	2	45
Feb 2020	23	8	0	31
Mar 2020	19	18	0	37
Apr 2020	18	10	0	28
May 2020	19	11	0	30
Jun 2020	25	12	2	39
Jul 2020	42	18	9	69
Aug 2020	16	15	8	39
Sep 2020	28	13	4	45
Oct 2020	17	6	5	28
Nov 2020	27	14	2	43
Dec 2020	27	13	3	43
Jan 2021	41	26	3	70
Feb 2021	34	19	0	53
Mar 2021	33	17	5	55
Apr 2021	31	18	2	51
May 2021	27	40	1	68
Jun 2021	27	18	0	45
Jul 2021	23	20	1	44
Aug 2021	18	15	1	34
Sep 2021	32	26	0	58
Oct 2021	27	42	2	71
Nov 2021	24	34	2	60
Dec 2021	20	22	1	43
Jan 2022	23	24	0	47
Feb 2022	21	31	1	53
Mar 2022	20	22	0	42
Apr 2022	32	18	2	52
May 2022	19	18	1	38
Jun 2022	17	16	1	34
Jul 2022	11	13	0	24
Aug 2022	24	28	0	52
Sep 2022	26	10	0	36
Oct 2022	28	31	1	60
Nov 2022	39	30	0	69
Dec 2022	24	24	0	48
Jan 2023	39	36	3	78
Feb 2023	32	24	1	57
Mar 2023	52	25	2	79
Apr 2023	34	34	1	69
May 2023	25	24	1	50
Jun 2023	38	16	0	54
Jul 2023	40	17	3	60
Aug 2023	54	30	2	86
Sep 2023	37	22	1	60
Oct 2023	102	37	3	142
Nov 2023	134	20	0	154
Dec 2023	25	23	1	49
Jan 2024	39	47	0	86
Feb 2024	27	29	1	57
Mar 2024	40	44	1	85
Apr 2024	69	27	4	100
May 2024	47	43	6	96
Jun 2024	75	395	3	473
Jul 2024	51	36	6	93
Aug 2024	50	19	1	70
Sep 2024	40	42	1	83
Oct 2024	45	101	0	146
Nov 2024	41	71	0	112
Dec 2024	22	47	1	70
Jan 2025	46	31	3	80
Feb 2025	45	24	0	69
Mar 2025	45	16	3	64
Apr 2025	105	28	1	134
May 2025	78	27	2	107
Jun 2025	78	36	1	115
Jul 2025	54	26	2	82
Aug 2025	45	44	3	92
Sep 2025	52	35	2	89
Oct 2025	66	33	2	101
Nov 2025	71	30	1	102
Dec 2025	60	50	2	112
Jan 2026	72	47	12	131
Feb 2026	13	6	2	21

Latest update: 10 Feb 2026