Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2016-165
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2016-165

  10 May 2016

10 May 2016

Review status: this discussion paper is a preprint. It has been under review for the journal Hydrology and Earth System Sciences (HESS). The manuscript was not accepted for further review after discussion.

Worldwide soil moisture changes driven by future hydro-climatic change scenarios

Lucile Verrot and Georgia Destouni Lucile Verrot and Georgia Destouni
  • Department of Physical Geography & Bolin Centre for Climate Research, Stockholm University, SE-106 91 Stockholm, Sweden

Abstract. Soil moisture is a key variable in hydrology, ecology, and climate change science. It is also of primary importance for the agricultural and water resource sectors of society. This paper investigates how hydro-climatic changes, projected by 14 CMIP5 models and for different radiative forcing (RCP) scenarios to occur from 2006-2025 to 2080-2099, may affect different soil moisture aspects in 81 large catchments worldwide. Overall, for investigated changes in dry/wet event occurrence and in average value and inter-annual variability of seasonal water content, different RCP scenarios imply opposite directions of change in around half or more of the study catchments. Regardless of RCP scenario, the greatest projected changes are found for the inter-annual variability of seasonal soil water content. Especially for the dry-season water content, large increases in inter-annual variability emerge for several large catchments over the world; the considered RCP scenario determines precisely which these catchments are.

Lucile Verrot and Georgia Destouni

 
Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
Printer-friendly Version - Printer-friendly version Supplement - Supplement
 
Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
Printer-friendly Version - Printer-friendly version Supplement - Supplement

Lucile Verrot and Georgia Destouni

Data sets

CMIP5 data Publication by Karl E Taylor Ronald J Stouffer Gerald A Meehl, Deposited in Centre for Environmental Data Archival (CEDA) https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00094.1

Lucile Verrot and Georgia Destouni

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