Articles | Volume 9, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-9-381-2005
© Author(s) 2005. This work is licensed under
the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 2.5 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 2.5 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-9-381-2005
© Author(s) 2005. This work is licensed under
the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 2.5 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 2.5 License.
Cascading model uncertainty from medium range weather forecasts (10 days) through a rainfall-runoff model to flood inundation predictions within the European Flood Forecasting System (EFFS)
F. Pappenberger
Lancaster University, Institute of Environmetal Science, Bailrigg, Lancaster, LA1 4YQ, UK
Email for corresponding author: f.pappenberger@lancaster.ac.uk
Email for corresponding author: f.pappenberger@lancaster.ac.uk
K. J. Beven
Lancaster University, Institute of Environmetal Science, Bailrigg, Lancaster, LA1 4YQ, UK
Email for corresponding author: f.pappenberger@lancaster.ac.uk
N. M. Hunter
University of Bristol, School of Geographical Sciences, Bristol, BS8 1SS, UK
Email for corresponding author: f.pappenberger@lancaster.ac.uk
P. D. Bates
University of Bristol, School of Geographical Sciences, Bristol, BS8 1SS, UK
Email for corresponding author: f.pappenberger@lancaster.ac.uk
B. T. Gouweleeuw
NASA/GSFC, Mail Code 614.3, Greenbelt, MD 20770, USA
Email for corresponding author: f.pappenberger@lancaster.ac.uk
J. Thielen
NASA/GSFC, Mail Code 614.3, Greenbelt, MD 20770, USA
Email for corresponding author: f.pappenberger@lancaster.ac.uk
A. P. J. de Roo
NASA/GSFC, Mail Code 614.3, Greenbelt, MD 20770, USA
Email for corresponding author: f.pappenberger@lancaster.ac.uk
Viewed
Total article views: 4,899 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 01 Feb 2013)
HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2,650 | 2,134 | 115 | 4,899 | 122 | 115 |
- HTML: 2,650
- PDF: 2,134
- XML: 115
- Total: 4,899
- BibTeX: 122
- EndNote: 115
Cited
208 citations as recorded by crossref.
- The Skill of Probabilistic Precipitation Forecasts under Observational Uncertainties within the Generalized Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation Framework for Hydrological Applications F. Pappenberger et al. 10.1175/2008JHM956.1
- Real-Time Forecast of Reservoir Inflow Hydrographs Incorporating Terrain and Monsoon Effects during Typhoon Invasion by Novel Intelligent Numerical-Statistic Impulse Techniques N. Hsu et al. 10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0001142
- Explicit Expression of Weighting Factor for Improved Estimation of Numerical Flux in Local Inertial Models B. Sridharan et al. 10.1029/2020WR027357
- Conceptualization in catchment modelling: simply learning? S. Dunn et al. 10.1002/hyp.7070
- Ability to Forecast Regional Soil Moisture with a Distributed Hydrological Model Using ECMWF Rainfall Forecasts J. Schuurmans & M. Bierkens 10.1175/2008JHM1035.1
- Use of ACRU, a distributed hydrological model, to evaluate how errors from downscaled rainfall are propagated in simulated runoff in uMngeni catchment, South Africa S. Kusangaya et al. 10.1080/02626667.2017.1349317
- Evaluation of a global ensemble flood prediction system in Peru K. Bischiniotis et al. 10.1080/02626667.2019.1617868
- A non-parametric data-based approach for probabilistic flood forecasting in support of uncertainty communication N. Van Steenbergen et al. 10.1016/j.envsoft.2012.01.013
- A first large-scale flood inundation forecasting model G. Schumann et al. 10.1002/wrcr.20521
- Propagation of uncertainties in coupled hydro-meteorological forecasting systems: A stochastic approach for the assessment of the total predictive uncertainty R. Hostache et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2010.09.014
- A metric for attributing variability in modelled streamflows S. Shoaib et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.08.050
- Modular conceptual modelling approach and software for river hydraulic simulations V. Wolfs et al. 10.1016/j.envsoft.2015.05.010
- The adaptability of typical precipitation ensemble prediction systems in the Huaihe River basin, China H. Wang et al. 10.1007/s00477-020-01923-9
- Assessing the spatial spread–skill of ensemble flood maps with remote-sensing observations H. Hooker et al. 10.5194/nhess-23-2769-2023
- Flood inundation model updating using an ensemble Kalman filter and spatially distributed measurements J. Neal et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2007.01.012
- Urban and river flooding: Comparison of flood risk management approaches in the UK and China and an assessment of future knowledge needs M. Rubinato et al. 10.1016/j.wse.2019.12.004
- A retrospective streamflow ensemble forecast for an extreme hydrologic event: a case study of Hurricane Irene and on the Hudson River basin F. Saleh et al. 10.5194/hess-20-2649-2016
- Improving Ensemble Forecasting Using Total Least Squares and Lead-Time Dependent Bias Correction A. Jabbari & D. Bae 10.3390/atmos11030300
- Modelling outburst floods from moraine-dammed glacial lakes M. Westoby et al. 10.1016/j.earscirev.2014.03.009
- Development of a Hydrological Ensemble Prediction System to Assist with Decision-Making for Floods during Typhoons S. Yang et al. 10.3390/su12104258
- Local-inertial shallow water model on unstructured triangular grids B. Sridharan et al. 10.1016/j.advwatres.2021.103930
- A staggered approach to flash flood forecasting – case study in the Cévennes region L. Alfieri et al. 10.5194/adgeo-29-13-2011
- Global sensitivity analysis of parameter uncertainty in landscape evolution models C. Skinner et al. 10.5194/gmd-11-4873-2018
- The monetary benefit of early flood warnings in Europe F. Pappenberger et al. 10.1016/j.envsci.2015.04.016
- Dağlık Havzalarda Uydu Kar Verisi ve Dalgacık Sinir Ağı Tabanlı Olasılıklı Akım Modelleme Yaklaşımı G. UYSAL & A. SENSOY 10.17482/uumfd.787147
- Accounting for model structure, parameter and input forcing uncertainty in flood inundation modeling using Bayesian model averaging Z. Liu & V. Merwade 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2018.08.009
- Long lead time flood warnings: reality or fantasy? B. Golding 10.1002/met.123
- Climate change and fluvial flood risk in the UK: more of the same? R. Wilby et al. 10.1002/hyp.6847
- Identification of Combined Hydrological Models and Numerical Weather Predictions for Enhanced Flood Forecasting in a Semiurban Watershed F. Awol et al. 10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0002018
- The COST 731 Action: A review on uncertainty propagation in advanced hydro-meteorological forecast systems A. Rossa et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2010.11.016
- Estimation of freshwater discharge from the Kamchatka Peninsula to its surrounding oceans M. Shi et al. 10.1016/j.ejrh.2021.100836
- An experimental seasonal hydrological forecasting system over the Yellow River basin – Part 2: The added value from climate forecast models X. Yuan 10.5194/hess-20-2453-2016
- Ensemble streamflow prediction considering the influence of reservoirs in Narmada River Basin, India U. Vegad & V. Mishra 10.5194/hess-26-6361-2022
- Verification of temperature, precipitation, and streamflow forecasts from the NOAA/NWS Hydrologic Ensemble Forecast Service (HEFS): 1. Experimental design and forcing verification J. Brown et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.05.028
- Extreme flood modeling and mechanism over Crisul Alb basin in Romania M. Caian et al. 10.1016/j.catena.2020.104923
- Multi-Spatial Resolution Rainfall-Runoff Modelling—A Case Study of Sabari River Basin, India V. Sharma & S. Regonda 10.3390/w13091224
- Hydrological aspects of meteorological verification F. Pappenberger et al. 10.1002/asl.171
- Real-time flood forecasting by relating local stage and remote discharge S. Barbetta & T. Moramarco 10.1080/02626667.2014.884717
- End‐to‐end flood risk assessment: A coupled model cascade with uncertainty estimation H. McMillan & J. Brasington 10.1029/2007WR005995
- Current awareness 10.1002/hyp.6195
- Comparing Hydrological Postprocessors Including Ensemble Predictions Into Full Predictive Probability Distribution of Streamflow D. Biondi & E. Todini 10.1029/2017WR022432
- A review on climate‐model‐based seasonal hydrologic forecasting: physical understanding and system development X. Yuan et al. 10.1002/wat2.1088
- Evaluating forecasts of extreme events for hydrological applications: an approach for screening unfamiliar performance measures H. Cloke & F. Pappenberger 10.1002/met.58
- Improved input to distributed hydrologic model in areas with sparse subdaily rainfall data using multivariate daily rainfall disaggregation M. Ivković et al. 10.2166/hydro.2018.053
- Ensemble dressing for hydrological applications T. Pagano et al. 10.1002/hyp.9313
- An emergency response‐type rainfall‐runoff‐inundation simulation for 2011 Thailand floods T. Sayama et al. 10.1111/jfr3.12147
- The transformation of earth‐system observations into information of socio‐economic value in GEOSS A. Hollingsworth et al. 10.1256/qj.05.181
- A simple inertial formulation of the shallow water equations for efficient two-dimensional flood inundation modelling P. Bates et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2010.03.027
- A two-stage method of quantitative flood risk analysis for reservoir real-time operation using ensemble-based hydrologic forecasts P. Liu et al. 10.1007/s00477-014-0986-0
- A meteo-hydrological modelling system for the reconstruction of river runoff: the case of the Ofanto river catchment G. Verri et al. 10.5194/nhess-17-1741-2017
- Probabilistic Forecasts of Snow Water Equivalent and Runoff in Mountainous Areas* S. Jörg-Hess et al. 10.1175/JHM-D-14-0193.1
- Development of decision support products based on ensemble forecasts in the European flood alert system M. Ramos et al. 10.1002/asl.161
- Simplifying a hydrological ensemble prediction system with a backward greedy selection of members – Part 2: Generalization in time and space D. Brochero et al. 10.5194/hess-15-3327-2011
- Uncertainty in hydromorphological and ecological modelling of lowland river floodplains resulting from land cover classification errors M. Straatsma et al. 10.1016/j.envsoft.2012.11.014
- Challenges, Opportunities, and Pitfalls for Global Coupled Hydrologic‐Hydraulic Modeling of Floods S. Grimaldi et al. 10.1029/2018WR024289
- The potential of coordinated reservoir operation for flood mitigation in large basins – A case study on the Bavarian Danube using coupled hydrological–hydrodynamic models S. Seibert et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.06.048
- Reconceptualising flood risk assessment by incorporating sediment supply H. Liu et al. 10.1016/j.catena.2022.106503
- Uncertainty in 2D hydrodynamic models from errors in roughness parameterization based on aerial images M. Straatsma & F. Huthoff 10.1016/j.pce.2011.02.009
- Seasonal forecasting of groundwater levels in principal aquifers of the United Kingdom J. Mackay et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.10.018
- Flood Inundation Modeling by Integrating HEC–RAS and Satellite Imagery: A Case Study of the Indus River Basin M. Afzal et al. 10.3390/w14192984
- Ensemble flood forecasting in Africa: a feasibility study in the Juba–Shabelle river basin V. Thiemig et al. 10.1002/asl.266
- Comparison of different quantile regression methods to estimate predictive hydrological uncertainty in the Upper Chao Phraya River Basin, Thailand S. Acharya et al. 10.1111/jfr3.12585
- Operational hydrological forecasting during the IPHEx-IOP campaign – Meet the challenge J. Tao et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.02.019
- Skew-normal distribution model for rainfall uncertainty estimation in a distributed hydrological model F. Salgado-Castillo et al. 10.1080/02626667.2023.2185149
- Value of Medium-range Precipitation Forecasts in Inflow Prediction and Hydropower Optimization G. Tang et al. 10.1007/s11269-010-9576-1
- Ensemble flood forecasting: A review H. Cloke & F. Pappenberger 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2009.06.005
- Dealing with Uncertainty in Water Distribution System Models: A Framework for Real-Time Modeling and Data Assimilation C. Hutton et al. 10.1061/(ASCE)WR.1943-5452.0000325
- A systematic review of sensitivities in the Swedish flood-forecasting system B. Arheimer et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2010.09.013
- Future hydrology and climate in the River Nile basin: a review G. Di Baldassarre et al. 10.1080/02626667.2011.557378
- The use of MOGREPS ensemble rainfall forecasts in operational flood forecasting systems across England and Wales J. Schellekens et al. 10.5194/adgeo-29-77-2011
- Evaluation of ECMWF medium‐range ensemble forecasts of precipitation for river basins J. Ye et al. 10.1002/qj.2243
- New dimensions in early flood warning across the globe using grand‐ensemble weather predictions F. Pappenberger et al. 10.1029/2008GL033837
- Flood forecasting in Niger-Benue basin using satellite and quantitative precipitation forecast data A. Haile et al. 10.1016/j.jag.2016.06.021
- The impact of lake and reservoir parameterization on global streamflow simulation Z. Zajac et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2017.03.022
- From Global to Local: Providing Actionable Flood Forecast Information in a Cloud‐Based Computing Environment J. Perez et al. 10.1111/1752-1688.12392
- Integrate Weather Radar and Monitoring Devices for Urban Flooding Surveillance S. Hsu et al. 10.3390/s19040825
- Hydrometeorological multi-model ensemble simulations of the 4 November 2011 flash flood event in Genoa, Italy, in the framework of the DRIHM project A. Hally et al. 10.5194/nhess-15-537-2015
- Ensemble Bayesian forecasting system Part I: Theory and algorithms H. Herr & R. Krzysztofowicz 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.11.072
- Accelerating model evaluations in uncertainty propagation on tensor grids using computational graph transformations B. Wang et al. 10.1016/j.ast.2023.108843
- Long-term ensemble forecast of snowmelt runoff with the help of the physics-based models of runoff generation L. Kuchment & A. Gel’fan 10.3103/S1068373907020070
- Multi-parametric variational data assimilation for hydrological forecasting R. Alvarado-Montero et al. 10.1016/j.advwatres.2017.09.026
- Propagation of uncertainty from observing systems and NWP into hydrological models: COST‐731 Working Group 2 M. Zappa et al. 10.1002/asl.248
- Do probabilistic forecasts lead to better decisions? M. Ramos et al. 10.5194/hess-17-2219-2013
- Localizing Hydrological Drought Early Warning Using In Situ Groundwater Sensors W. Veness et al. 10.1029/2022WR032165
- Operational use of a grid-based model for flood forecasting D. Price et al. 10.1680/wama.2012.165.2.65
- Proficient 3-class classification model for confident overlap value based fuzzified aquatic information extracted tsunami prediction N. Jain et al. 10.3233/IDT-180003
- ENSEMBLE FLOOD PREDICTION BY CASCADING THE UNCERTAINTY FROM RAINFALL TO RUNOFF SHORT-TERM PREDICTION R. HAPSARI et al. 10.2208/jscejhe.68.I_139
- A decade of Predictions in Ungauged Basins (PUB)—a review M. Hrachowitz et al. 10.1080/02626667.2013.803183
- Evaluation and calibration of operational hydrological ensemble forecasts in Sweden J. Olsson & G. Lindström 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2007.11.010
- Advancing Medium-Range Streamflow Forecasting for Large Hydropower Reservoirs in Brazil by Means of Continental-Scale Hydrological Modeling A. Kolling Neto et al. 10.3390/w15091693
- Superposition of three sources of uncertainties in operational flood forecasting chains M. Zappa et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2010.12.005
- Rainfall–runoff, flood inundation and sensitivity analysis of the 2014 Pakistan flood in the Jhelum and Chenab river basin M. Siddiqui et al. 10.1080/02626667.2018.1546049
- A review of the current status of flood modelling for urban flood risk management in the developing countries U. Nkwunonwo et al. 10.1016/j.sciaf.2020.e00269
- An Error Model for Uncertainty Quantification in High-Time-Resolution Precipitation Products V. Maggioni et al. 10.1175/JHM-D-13-0112.1
- A flood episode in northern Italy: multi-model and single-model mesoscale meteorological ensembles for hydrological predictions S. Davolio et al. 10.5194/hess-17-2107-2013
- The Effect of Large-Scale Atmospheric Uncertainty on Streamflow Predictability D. Hou et al. 10.1175/2008JHM1064.1
- Value of medium range weather forecasts in the improvement of seasonal hydrologic prediction skill S. Shukla et al. 10.5194/hess-16-2825-2012
- Perspective on uncertainty quantification and reduction in compound flood modeling and forecasting P. Abbaszadeh et al. 10.1016/j.isci.2022.105201
- Monthly‐, medium‐, and short‐range flood warning: testing the limits of predictability J. Thielen et al. 10.1002/met.140
- A gradient-enhanced univariate dimension reduction method for uncertainty propagation B. Wang et al. 10.1016/j.ast.2024.109602
- Propagation of hydro-meteorological uncertainty in a model cascade framework to inundation prediction J. Rodríguez-Rincón et al. 10.5194/hess-19-2981-2015
- Investigating the Applicability of Error Correction Ensembles of Satellite Rainfall Products in River Flow Simulations V. Maggioni et al. 10.1175/JHM-D-12-074.1
- An experiment with reflective middleware to support grid‐based flood monitoring D. Hughes et al. 10.1002/cpe.1279
- Effects of temperature on flood forecasting: analysis of an operative case study in Alpine basins A. Ceppi et al. 10.5194/nhess-13-1051-2013
- Uncertainty in Flood Wave Routing in a Lateral-Inflow-Dominated Stream W. Scharffenberg & M. Kavvas 10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0000298
- A data-driven global flood forecasting system for medium to large rivers W. Palash et al. 10.1038/s41598-024-59145-w
- Skill and relative economic value of medium-range hydrological ensemble predictions E. Roulin 10.5194/hess-11-725-2007
- Potential application of hydrological ensemble prediction in forecasting floods and its components over the Yarlung Zangbo River basin, China L. Liu et al. 10.5194/hess-23-3335-2019
- Real-time demonstration of hydrological ensemble forecasts in map d-phase R. Ranzi et al. 10.1051/lhb/2009061
- Estimating Ensemble Flood Forecasts’ Uncertainty: A Novel “Peak-Box” Approach for Detecting Multiple Peak-Flow Events A. Giordani et al. 10.3390/atmos11010002
- On (in)validating environmental models. 2. Implementation of a Turing‐like test to modelling hydrological processes K. Beven et al. 10.1002/hyp.14703
- Choosing between post-processing precipitation forecasts or chaining several uncertainty quantification tools in hydrological forecasting systems E. Valdez et al. 10.5194/hess-26-197-2022
- Hydrological aspects of the Mesoscale Alpine Programme: findings from field experiments and simulations R. Ranzi et al. 10.1002/qj.68
- Integrated Modeling Approach for the Development of Climate-Informed, Actionable Information D. Judi et al. 10.3390/w10060775
- Influence of uncertain boundary conditions and model structure on flood inundation predictions F. Pappenberger et al. 10.1016/j.advwatres.2005.11.012
- A new algorithm for seasonal precipitation forecast based on global atmospheric hydrological water budget Y. Wu & G. Feng 10.1016/j.amc.2015.06.059
- Overlooking probabilistic mapping renders urban flood risk management inequitable J. Bodoque et al. 10.1038/s43247-023-00940-0
- Breaking Down the Computational Barriers to Real‐Time Urban Flood Forecasting V. Ivanov et al. 10.1029/2021GL093585
- A Streamflow and Water Level Forecasting Model for the Ganges, Brahmaputra, and Meghna Rivers with Requisite Simplicity W. Palash et al. 10.1175/JHM-D-16-0202.1
- The impact of weather forecast improvements on large scale hydrology: analysing a decade of forecasts of the European Flood Alert System F. Pappenberger et al. 10.1002/hyp.7772
- A multi-scale ensemble-based framework for forecasting compound coastal-riverine flooding: The Hackensack-Passaic watershed and Newark Bay F. Saleh et al. 10.1016/j.advwatres.2017.10.026
- Contribution of potential evaporation forecasts to 10-day streamflow forecast skill for the Rhine River B. van Osnabrugge et al. 10.5194/hess-23-1453-2019
- Early flood warning in the Itajaí-Açu River basin using numerical weather forecasting and hydrological modeling L. Casagrande et al. 10.1007/s11069-017-2889-0
- An Approach Using a 1D Hydraulic Model, Landsat Imaging and Generalized Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation for an Approximation of Flood Discharge Y. Jung et al. 10.3390/w5041598
- Temporal and spatial satellite data augmentation for deep learning-based rainfall nowcasting Ö. Baydaroğlu & I. Demir 10.2166/hydro.2024.235
- Skill of ensemble flood inundation forecasts at short- to medium-range timescales M. Gomez et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2018.10.063
- Evaluating SWAT model performance, considering different soils data input, to quantify actual and future runoff susceptibility in a highly urbanized basin G. Busico et al. 10.1016/j.jenvman.2020.110625
- Real-time probabilistic forecasting of flood stages S. Chen & P. Yu 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2007.04.008
- Comparison of new generation low-complexity flood inundation mapping tools with a hydrodynamic model S. Afshari et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2017.11.036
- Hydrological ensemble forecasting in mesoscale catchments: Sensitivity to initial conditions and value of reforecasts F. Fundel & M. Zappa 10.1029/2010WR009996
- Assessment of flood forecasting lead time based on generalized likelihood uncertainty estimation approach A. Heidari et al. 10.1007/s00477-006-0032-y
- An integrated approach to streamflow estimation and flood inundation mapping using VIC, RAPID and LISFLOOD-FP S. Nandi & M. Reddy 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.127842
- Evaluation of uncertainty in capturing the spatial variability and magnitudes of extreme hydrological events for the uMngeni catchment, South Africa S. Kusangaya et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2018.01.017
- Assimilation of probabilistic flood maps from SAR data into a coupled hydrologic–hydraulic forecasting model: a proof of concept C. Di Mauro et al. 10.5194/hess-25-4081-2021
- High temporal resolution rainfall–runoff modeling using long-short-term-memory (LSTM) networks W. Li et al. 10.1007/s00521-020-05010-6
- Early flood warnings from empirical (expanded) downscaling of the full ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System G. Bürger et al. 10.1029/2009WR007779
- Characterizing Climate Model Uncertainty Using an Informal Bayesian Framework: Application to the River Nile M. Elshamy et al. 10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0000656
- Past, present and future of the applications of machine learning in soil science and hydrology X. Wang et al. 10.17221/94/2022-SWR
- Enhancing the Prediction Accuracy of Data-Driven Models for Monthly Streamflow in Urmia Lake Basin Based upon the Autoregressive Conditionally Heteroskedastic Time-Series Model N. Attar et al. 10.3390/app10020571
- A probabilistic framework for floodplain mapping using hydrological modeling and unsteady hydraulic modeling E. Ahmadisharaf et al. 10.1080/02626667.2018.1525615
- Understanding and enhancing the public's behavioural response to flood warning information D. Parker et al. 10.1002/met.119
- Rainfall–runoff–inundation analysis of the 2010 Pakistan flood in the Kabul River basin T. Sayama et al. 10.1080/02626667.2011.644245
- The Use of Satellite Image for Uncertainty Analysis in Flood Inundation Mapping Y. Jung et al. 10.12652/Ksce.2013.33.2.549
- The impact of different rainfall products on landscape modelling simulations C. Skinner et al. 10.1002/esp.4894
- Extended-Range Runoff Forecasting Using a One-Way Coupled Climate–Hydrological Model: Case Studies of the Yiluo and Beijiang Rivers in China L. Liu et al. 10.3390/w11061150
- Informing operational flood management with ensemble predictions: lessons from Sweden S. Nobert et al. 10.1111/j.1753-318X.2009.01056.x
- Forecast communication through the newspaper Part 2: perceptions of uncertainty A. Harris 10.1007/s00445-015-0902-6
- A meteorological–hydrological regional ensemble forecast for an early-warning system over small Apennine catchments in Central Italy R. Ferretti et al. 10.5194/hess-24-3135-2020
- Uncertainty in hydrologic modelling for estimating hydrologic response due to climate change (Santiam River, Oregon) C. Surfleet & D. Tullos 10.1002/hyp.9485
- The regional nature of global challenges: a need and strategy for integrated regional modeling K. Hibbard & A. Janetos 10.1007/s10584-012-0674-3
- Using rainfall thresholds and ensemble precipitation forecasts to issue and improve urban inundation alerts T. Yang et al. 10.5194/hess-20-4731-2016
- On undermining the science? K. Beven 10.1002/hyp.6396
- Inter-comparison between retrospective ensemble streamflow forecasts using meteorological inputs from ECMWF and NOAA/ESRL in the Hudson River sub-basins during Hurricane Irene (2011) F. Saleh et al. 10.2166/nh.2018.182
- The usability of 250 m resolution data from the UK Meteorological Office Unified Model as input data for a hydrological model P. Younger et al. 10.1002/met.46
- A Hydraulic MultiModel Ensemble Framework for Visualizing Flood Inundation Uncertainty C. Zarzar et al. 10.1111/1752-1688.12656
- Ensemble evaluation of hydrological model hypotheses T. Krueger et al. 10.1029/2009WR007845
- Evaluating the performance of ground-based and remotely sensed near real-time rainfall fields from a hydrological perspective Y. Ghile et al. 10.1080/02626667.2010.481374
- Evaluation of a probabilistic hydrometeorological forecast system S. Jaun & B. Ahrens 10.5194/hess-13-1031-2009
- Verification of temperature, precipitation, and streamflow forecasts from the NOAA/NWS Hydrologic Ensemble Forecast Service (HEFS): 2. Streamflow verification J. Brown et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.05.030
- Ensemble-based flash-flood modelling: Taking into account hydrodynamic parameters and initial soil moisture uncertainties S. Edouard et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2017.04.048
- Rainfall Uncertainty in Flood Forecasting: Belgian Case Study of Rivierbeek N. Van Steenbergen & P. Willems 10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0001004
- Uncertainty propagation in a London flood simulation B. Golding 10.1111/j.1753-318X.2008.01014.x
- Flood Models: An Exploratory Analysis and Research Trends F. Morante-Carballo et al. 10.3390/w14162488
- Flood forecast errors and ensemble spread—A case study T. Nester et al. 10.1029/2011WR011649
- The benefit of climatological and calibrated reforecast data for simulating hydrological droughts in Switzerland S. Jörg-Hess et al. 10.1002/met.1474
- Application of a Medium-Range Global Hydrologic Probabilistic Forecast Scheme to the Ohio River Basin N. Voisin et al. 10.1175/WAF-D-10-05032.1
- Suitability of high-temporal satellite-based precipitation products in flood simulation over a humid region of China Q. Zhu et al. 10.1080/02626667.2020.1844206
- Hydropower System Operation and the Quality of Short-Term Hydrologic Ensemble Forecasts M. Osina Torres et al. 10.1061/JWRMD5.WRENG-5608
- On the discretization of river networks for large scale hydrologic-hydrodynamic models F. Fan et al. 10.1590/2318-0331.262120200070
- Benchmarking observational uncertainties for hydrology: rainfall, river discharge and water quality H. McMillan et al. 10.1002/hyp.9384
- Two-Dimensional Flood Inundation Modeling in the Godavari River Basin, India—Insights on Model Output Uncertainty V. Sharma & S. Regonda 10.3390/w13020191
- Estimation of uncertainty in flood forecasts—A comparison of methods L. Boelee et al. 10.1111/jfr3.12516
- Models with higher effective dimensions tend to produce more uncertain estimates A. Puy et al. 10.1126/sciadv.abn9450
- Surrogate modeling-based calibration of hydrodynamic river model parameters P. Meert et al. 10.1016/j.jher.2018.02.003
- Simplifying a hydrological ensemble prediction system with a backward greedy selection of members – Part 1: Optimization criteria D. Brochero et al. 10.5194/hess-15-3307-2011
- Global runoff routing with the hydrological component of the ECMWF NWP system F. Pappenberger et al. 10.1002/joc.2028
- Tracking the uncertainty in flood alerts driven by grand ensemble weather predictions Y. He et al. 10.1002/met.132
- Nature-based solutions as buffers against coastal compound flooding: Exploring potential framework for process-based modeling of hazard mitigation S. Radfar et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.173529
- Medium-range reservoir inflow predictions based on quantitative precipitation forecasts W. Collischonn et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2007.06.025
- Uncertainty in flood estimation S. Blazkova & K. Beven 10.1080/15732470701189514
- Data assimilation and adaptive forecasting of water levels in the river Severn catchment, United Kingdom R. Romanowicz et al. 10.1029/2005WR004373
- Reconstructing Flood Events in Mediterranean Coastal Areas Using Different Reanalyses and High-Resolution Meteorological Models A. Senatore et al. 10.1175/JHM-D-19-0270.1
- Deriving global flood hazard maps of fluvial floods through a physical model cascade F. Pappenberger et al. 10.5194/hess-16-4143-2012
- Streamflow Modelling: A Primer on Applications, Approaches and Challenges D. Bourdin et al. 10.1080/07055900.2012.734276
- Compound flood models in coastal areas: a review of methods and uncertainty analysis K. Xu et al. 10.1007/s11069-022-05683-3
- A physically based and machine learning hybrid approach for accurate rainfall-runoff modeling during extreme typhoon events C. Young et al. 10.1016/j.asoc.2016.12.052
- Evaluating the uncertainty of hydrological model simulations coupled with meteorological forecasts at different spatial scales A. Ceppi et al. 10.1016/j.sbspro.2010.05.152
- A flood inundation forecast of Hurricane Harvey using a continental-scale 2D hydrodynamic model O. Wing et al. 10.1016/j.hydroa.2019.100039
- Reproducing an extreme flood with uncertain post-event information D. Fuentes-Andino et al. 10.5194/hess-21-3597-2017
- Conjugate gradient descent learned ANN for Indian summer monsoon rainfall and efficiency assessment through Shannon-Fano coding S. Chattopadhyay & G. Chattopadhyay 10.1016/j.jastp.2018.07.015
- Graph-accelerated non-intrusive polynomial chaos expansion using partially tensor-structured quadrature rules for uncertainty quantification B. Wang et al. 10.1016/j.ast.2024.109607
- Flash flood warnings using the ensemble precipitation forecasting technique: A case study on forecasting floods in Taiwan caused by typhoons T. Yang et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.11.028
- The Wageningen Lowland Runoff Simulator (WALRUS): application to the Hupsel Brook catchment and the Cabauw polder C. Brauer et al. 10.5194/hess-18-4007-2014
- Multi-Source Uncertainty Analysis in Simulating Floodplain Inundation under Climate Change N. Maier et al. 10.3390/w10060809
- Sensitivity of Subjective Decisions in the GLUE Methodology for Quantifying the Uncertainty in the Flood Inundation Map for Seymour Reach in Indiana, USA Y. Jung et al. 10.3390/w6072104
- Exploring the best sequence LSTM modeling architecture for flood prediction W. Li et al. 10.1007/s00521-020-05334-3
- A data-driven analysis, and its limitations, of the spatial flood archive of Flanders, Belgium to assess the impact of soil sealing on flood volume and extent K. Gabriels et al. 10.1371/journal.pone.0239583
- Improving our understanding of flood forecasting using earlier hydro-meteorological intelligence D. Shih et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.02.059
- Ensemble flood forecasting: Current status and future opportunities W. Wu et al. 10.1002/wat2.1432
- MAP D‐PHASE: real‐time demonstration of hydrological ensemble prediction systems M. Zappa et al. 10.1002/asl.183
- Communicating uncertainty in hydro‐meteorological forecasts: mission impossible? M. Ramos et al. 10.1002/met.202
- Visualizing probabilistic flood forecast information: expert preferences and perceptions of best practice in uncertainty communication F. Pappenberger et al. 10.1002/hyp.9253
- A ‘Peak‐Box’ approach for supporting interpretation and verification of operational ensemble peak‐flow forecasts M. Zappa et al. 10.1002/hyp.9521
- Comparison of Different Configurations of Quantile Regression in Estimating Predictive Hydrological Uncertainty M. Muthusamy et al. 10.1016/j.proeng.2016.07.546
- Ensemble flood forecasting based on operational forecasts of the regional Eta EPS in the Taquari-Antas basin V. Siqueira et al. 10.1590/2318-0331.011616004
- An Assessment of the Influence of Uncertainty in Temporally Evolving Streamflow Forecasts on Riverine Inundation Modeling Y. Feng et al. 10.3390/w12030911
- Generating Ensemble Streamflow Forecasts: A Review of Methods and Approaches Over the Past 40 Years M. Troin et al. 10.1029/2020WR028392
- Short‐term flood inundation prediction using hydrologic‐hydraulic models forced with downscaled rainfall from global NWP D. Nam et al. 10.1002/hyp.10084
Latest update: 21 Nov 2024
Special issue