Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
HESS
Articles | Volume 30, issue 9
Articles | Volume 30, issue 9
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-2703-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-2703-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 30, issue 9
Research article
 | 
08 May 2026
Research article |  | 08 May 2026

Precipitation Forecasting for Hydrologic Modeling in West-Central Florida using Seasonal Climate Outlooks

Manoj Shrestha, Hui Wang, Jeffrey S. Geurink, Kshitij Parajuli, Tirusew Asefa, Fanzhang Zeng, and Dingbao Wang

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Short summary
This study evaluates the skill of National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) seasonal precipitation forecasts for two west-central Florida river basins. To develop operational precipitation forecasts for hydrologic modeling, two non-parametric methods are examined to sample from pre-generated rainfall realizations to convert probabilistic outlooks into quantitative rainfall ensembles. This study offers a practical pathway to improve hydrologic simulation inputs for water-resources management.
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