Articles | Volume 30, issue 8
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-2473-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-2473-2026
Research article
 | 
29 Apr 2026
Research article |  | 29 Apr 2026

The dynamics of spatio-temporal droughts in Northeast Brazil

Joao Dehon Pontes Filho, Francisco Assis de Souza Filho, Ályson Brayner Sousa Estácio, Ticiana Marinho de Carvalho Studart, and Eduardo Sávio Passos Rodrigues Martins

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-3166', Anonymous Referee #1, 03 Dec 2024
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC1', Joao Dehon Pontes Filho, 20 Mar 2025
    • "What is the utility of the centroid curve/rate/acceleration? The drought-affected area might grow while the centroid remains stationary. Also, a mild drought signal might move around within the study area."

      Response: This comment prompted us to reassess the necessity of including centroid-related analyses. We concluded that the centroid did not provide significant added value in explaining drought dynamics. Consequently, we removed this variable from the analysis, focusing instead on the most informative indicators—affected area and severity.
    • "By 'dangerous,' do you mean 'hazardous'?"

      Response: Yes, we have replaced dangerous with hazardous to align with appropriate scientific terminology.
    • "Consider showing Figure 2A as a separate figure."

      Response: We created a separate figure specifically to illustrate the spatio-temporal evolution obtained from the 3D analysis.
    • "The study area (this is the first mention of a 'study area.' By convention, it should be presented in the methods section)."

      Response: A dedicated Study Area subsection has been added to the methodology section, providing a clear description of the location where the proposed framework was applied.
    • "A 4D analysis (of what)?"

      Response: This section of the study was removed.
    • "Correlation (no correlation is presented; this is a pairplot)."

      Response: This section was removed.
    • "The area overlap criteria did not result in any changes in the definition of drought events. (That is a rather surprising result. Do you have any justification or discussion to contribute?)"

      Response: This section was removed.



      The new version of the paper is attached as supplement to this comment. We greatly appreciate the opportunity to refine our study based on the reviewers', and we hope that the revised manuscript meets the expectations of the journal.

Citation: https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3166-AC2
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-3166', Anonymous Referee #2, 14 Feb 2025
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC2', Joao Dehon Pontes Filho, 20 Mar 2025
  • Peer review completion

    AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
    ED: Publish subject to revisions (further review by editor and referees) (25 Apr 2025) by Marleen de Ruiter
    AR by Joao Dehon Pontes Filho on behalf of the Authors (29 Apr 2025)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
    ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (12 May 2025) by Marleen de Ruiter
    RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (26 May 2025)
    RR by Anonymous Referee #3 (07 Aug 2025)
    ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by editor and referees) (11 Aug 2025) by Marleen de Ruiter
    AR by Joao Dehon Pontes Filho on behalf of the Authors (03 Nov 2025)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
    ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (04 Nov 2025) by Marleen de Ruiter
    RR by Vitali Diaz (04 Dec 2025)
    RR by Anonymous Referee #4 (07 Dec 2025)
    ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by editor and referees) (08 Dec 2025) by Marleen de Ruiter
    AR by Joao Dehon Pontes Filho on behalf of the Authors (19 Jan 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
    ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (20 Jan 2026) by Marleen de Ruiter
    RR by Anonymous Referee #4 (17 Feb 2026)
    ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (17 Feb 2026) by Marleen de Ruiter
    AR by Joao Dehon Pontes Filho on behalf of the Authors (27 Feb 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
    ED: Publish as is (09 Mar 2026) by Marleen de Ruiter
    ED: Publish as is (09 Mar 2026) by Thom Bogaard (Executive editor)
    AR by Joao Dehon Pontes Filho on behalf of the Authors (12 Mar 2026)
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    Short summary
    We developed a new way to understand how droughts grow, persist, and decline over time and space.  Applied to Northeast Brazil, a region frequently hit by severe droughts, the approach identified four recurring patterns of drought behavior. Most droughts there expand quickly, last for a long time, and end suddenly. Our method can help decision-makers better understand and manage droughts, supporting stronger preparedness and resilience in regions at risk.
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