Articles | Volume 28, issue 14
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-3281-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
The agricultural expansion in South America's Dry Chaco: regional hydroclimate effects
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- Final revised paper (published on 25 Jul 2024)
- Preprint (discussion started on 11 Jul 2023)
Interactive discussion
Status: closed
Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor
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RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-1427', Anonymous Referee #1, 26 Sep 2023
- AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Omar Müller, 13 Dec 2023
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RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-1427', Anonymous Referee #2, 15 Nov 2023
- AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Omar Müller, 13 Dec 2023
Peer review completion
AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
ED: Publish subject to revisions (further review by editor and referees) (08 Jan 2024) by Yongping Wei
AR by Omar Müller on behalf of the Authors (19 Feb 2024)
Author's response
Author's tracked changes
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ED: Publish subject to revisions (further review by editor and referees) (27 Feb 2024) by Yongping Wei
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (20 Mar 2024) by Yongping Wei
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (22 Apr 2024)
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (26 Apr 2024)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (19 May 2024) by Yongping Wei
AR by Omar Müller on behalf of the Authors (27 May 2024)
Author's response
Author's tracked changes
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ED: Publish as is (05 Jun 2024) by Yongping Wei
AR by Omar Müller on behalf of the Authors (10 Jun 2024)
This paper investigates the impact of the intensive deforestation in favor of agricultural expansion on the hydro-climatic regime of the South America’s Dry Chaco region. The paper addresses some important questions about the feedback of LULCC on the vegetation growth (LAI, albedo, stomatal resistance) and the hydro-climatic response response (precipitation, soil moisture and runoff). This study uses WRF modelling to simulate hydro-climatic responses to deforestation scenarios. Analysing the impacts of deforestation in the Dry Chaco on local hydrology and climate, as well as in the neighbouring (which has been little affected by deforestation), is also interesting for understanding the effects at different spatial scales.
I however have a number of comments that need to be addressed – please see below.
Main comments:
1) The simulations are carried out over a 2-year period (2014-2016 for the reference simulation) which seems very short to analyze the effects of deforestation on the hydro-climatic response.
If possible, I would recommend to validate WRF on the 2014-2016 period (to validate over a period with few changes in land use), and then to simulate the control and scenario simulations over a longer period (30 years or at least >10 years) so that the results are not affected by the inter-annual climate variability.
The authors should at least specify whether the 2014-2016 simulation period corresponds to an El Nino or La Nina episode in order to know under which pattern of atmospheric circulation the simulations are being carried out.
2) This paper studies the effects of LULCC by analyzing the changes in various simulated variables (energy budget, precipitation, evapotranspiration, soil moisture, runoff, LAI, albedo, stomatal resistance) to different landuse conditions.
However, the model is only evaluated using observed temperature, precipitation and soil moisture datasets. It is therefore difficult to draw any conclusions about the effects of deforestation on the other unvalidated variables.
In my opinion the modelling experiment is not robust enough to draw general conclusions about the physical processes impacted by deforestation in the Dry Chaco. However, the modelling experiment remains interesting and the authors could instead present their results as a sensitivity analysis of WRF simulations to different initial landuse conditions.
3) The uncertainties related to the model and its internal variability should to be discussed. How can model parameterisation and initial conditions impact on the simulated results?
Regarding the uncertainty related to initial conditions, the authors mention in the presentation of the experimental design that each scenario was conducted with an ensemble of 4 members with identical parameterisations but different initial conditions that are 24-hr apart. But the simulations obtained with the 4 members do not appear in the results (only the average). It would be interesting to analyze and show some results about the sensitivity of the simulated variables (e.g. precipitation, soil moisture, runoff) to the different initial conditions.
Regarding the uncertainty related to the model parameterisation, it would be interesting to include simulations to test the sensitivity to few selected model options or parameter, or at least discuss the results referring to studies from the literature that conducted a full internal variability analysis of the WRF model.
4) The paper would benefit from a more detailed literature review and a proper discussion section to discuss the above points. The results of the first part concerning the observed changes in the Dry Chaco between 2001 and 2015 and future trends of deforestation should also be discussed and compared with other studies from the literature.
Detailed comments: Please see Supplement file.