the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Benchmarking multimodel terrestrial water storage seasonal cycle against Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) observations over major global river basins
Sadia Bibi
Ashraf Rateb
Bridget R. Scanlon
Muhammad Aqeel Kamran
Abdelrazek Elnashar
Ali Bennour
Ci Li
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- Final revised paper (published on 15 Apr 2024)
- Supplement to the final revised paper
- Preprint (discussion started on 25 Jul 2023)
- Supplement to the preprint
Interactive discussion
Status: closed
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RC1: 'Comment on hess-2023-163', Anonymous Referee #1, 24 Aug 2023
The authors compared the phase and amplitude from models (GHMs and LSMs) and GRACE in global major river basins, with a focus on the differences in different climate zones. This study is a good supplementary to previously published works by Bridget. It provides more information on how GRACE differs from GHMs/LSMs globally. The major limitation of this study is that too much comparison for individual river basins but few in-depth analysis of how these differences come from. My detailed comments include:
- The comparison is mainly implemented for different climate zones. However, as we known, GWS may dominate TWS in many regions, thus the comparison between the models and GRACE is better to be divided into the models with and without groundwater simulations.
- More investigations on the water cycle (e.g., P, ET and Q) and storage (e.g., GWS, SMS) compartments will be helpful for a better understanding on the reasons why GRACE and models differ from each other in the aspects of phase and amplitude.
- Figure 1-4: what the map colors mean?
- Table 1: statistical information on the phase and amplitude derived from models and GRACE needs to be provided as they are the key information. It can be included in Table 1 or summarized in another table.
- Line 83: Full names are need for the abbreviation for R1 and R2 at its first time.
Citation: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2023-163-RC1 -
AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Tingju Zhu, 08 Sep 2023
Comment: The comparison is mainly implemented for different climate zones. However, as we known, GWS may dominate TWS in many regions, thus the comparison between the models and GRACE is better to be divided into the models with and without groundwater simulations.
Reply: Thank you for your valuable feedback. We appreciate your input and have taken your suggestion into consideration. As you rightly pointed out, groundwater storage (GWS) can indeed dominate total water storage (TWS) in many regions, like basins which can significantly impact the comparison between model simulations and GRACE data.
In response to your suggestion, we have divided our comparison over five river basins with major underlying aquifers (Congo, Amazon, Orinoco, Ganges-Brahmaputra, and California) into models with and without groundwater simulations. Please see Figure 5 and explanations in the Supplement. The comparison indicates that including a groundwater compartment in GHM/LSM models can apparently improve the presentation of water storage dynamics.
Comment: More investigations on the water cycle (e.g., P, ET and Q) and storage (e.g., GWS, SMS) compartments will be helpful for a better understanding on the reasons why GRACE and models differ from each other in the aspects of phase and amplitude.
Response: We sincerely appreciate your valuable suggestion regarding additional investigations into the water cycle components and storage compartments. Your comments are certainly insightful.
While we understand the potential benefits of delving deeper into parameters such as precipitation (P), evapotranspiration (ET), and streamflow (Q), as well as storage elements like groundwater storage (GWS) and soil moisture storage (SMS), we would like to express our perspective on this matter.
Considering the scope and objectives of the current study, we aimed to focus on specific aspects, i.e. seasonal total water storage dynamics, to maintain clarity in the analysis. Expanding the investigation to include a detailed examination of all these water cycle variables might introduce a level of complexity that could potentially divert attention from the primary research questions. However, we acknowledge that future studies dedicated specifically to the water cycle components and storage compartments could certainly enhance our understanding of the discrepancies between GRACE and the models.
While we aligned with the significance of your suggestion, we believe it would be best suited for a separate investigation, perhaps as an extension of this work or as an independent study. Your guidance is immensely valuable, and we will definitely consider your input for future research endeavors.
Comment: Figure 1-4: what the map colors mean?
Response: We provided the description of base map in captions of Figures 1-4. Base map represents KGClim Climate Zones classification.
Comment: Table 1: Statistical information on the phase and amplitude derived from models and GRACE needs to be provided as they are the key information. It can be included in Table 1 or summarized in another table.
Response: The statistical analysis on amplitude derived from models and GRACE is provided in Table 2 and phase analysis is provided in Figure 5.
Comment: Line 83: Full names are need for the abbreviation for R1 and R2 at its first time.
Response: Full names of R1 and R2 are provided; please see the Supplement (Water Resource Reanalysis tier-1 (R1) and tier-2 (R2)).
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RC2: 'Comment on hess-2023-163', Anonymous Referee #2, 08 Sep 2023
This study compares the performance of 13 GHMs and LSMs in capturing amplitude and phase of TWSC in global major rivers against GRACE data, including comparisons across climate zones and model version (R1 and R2). This detailed comparison facilitates improved parameterization model process. However, limitations of this study include overly detailed descriptions of the comparisons of different basins so that it is difficult for the reader to get to the point, and the figure lacks summarization.
Major comments:
- The configuration of the modules of each model should be clearly stated, and some differences may be due to missing modules, e.g., snow, permafrost, groundwater, etc., which would also be useful for analyzing the causes of deviations. And, if key modules are missing does it still make sense to compare changes in TWSC between the model (GHMs and LSMs) and GRACE.
- This study did not analyze in depth the causes of amplitude and phase differences, especially 4.1 section
- Line67, “due to human intervention and climate change respectively”, the underestimation is due to anthropogenic interventions and climate change, doesn't that have anything to do with model performance, shouldn't model performance be the main reason?
- Line 89, amplitude and phase of “polar” zone was not analyzed in result section
- Line 139, Why not CSR and JPL on average?
- The difference in the length of the text in parts 3.1 and 3.2 is too large. 3.1 section over-emphasis on basin comparisons.
- The figures are not summarizing enough, too many similar comparisons, e.g., I think Figures 5-8 should be in the Appendix, and the main results should be put in the main text, e.g., the overall results for the different climatic zones in one fig.
- I suggest to add the spatial distribution map of biases in amplitude and phase.
- Figure 1-4 suggests the addition of lines for the GHM and LSM model averages, which facilitates comparison of the two types of models
Minor comments:
- Line 4, “(e.g., the amount and” misses the corresponding right parentheses.
- Line68, “Other studies focused on the seasonal cycle of TWSC to identify" to “Other studies on the seasonal cycle of TWSC focus on identifying” is more suitable? “disparities”, specifically what are the disparities?
- Line 75, “northern basins” is vague, please specifically point
- Line 84, “replicate water storage against the latest release (RL06) of GRACE TWSC.”, this sentence indicates the result? this place is to say what is to be studied
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CC1: 'Reply on RC2', Sadia Bibi, 15 Sep 2023
This study compares the performance of 13 GHMs and LSMs in capturing amplitude and phase of TWSC in global major rivers against GRACE data, including comparisons across climate zones and model version (R1 and R2). This detailed comparison facilitates improved parameterization model process. However, limitations of this study include overly detailed descriptions of the comparisons of different basins so that it is difficult for the reader to get to the point, and the figure lacks summarization.
Major comments:
- The configuration of the modules of each model should be clearly stated, and some differences may be due to missing modules, e.g., snow, permafrost, groundwater, etc., which would also be useful for analyzing the causes of deviations. And, if key modules are missing does it still make sense to compare changes in TWSC between the model (GHMs and LSMs) and GRACE.
Response: Thank you for your valuable feedback on our manuscript. We appreciate your thoughtful comments and suggestions. In response to your specific points:
We agree that providing a clear and comprehensive description of the configuration of the modules in each model is essential. In our revised manuscript, we included details of key modules within each model in a table, including any specific modules for snow, groundwater, and other relevant components. This will help readers understand the differences and similarities between the models and their potential impact on simulation results. We acknowledge the importance of considering the potential impact of missing key modules in the GHMs and LSMs. While some differences between simulations of the models and GRACE may indeed be due to these missing modules, we believe that the comparison still holds value. Because we aim to assess the agreement and discrepancies between the models and GRACE in terms of Total Water Storage Changes (TWSC) for a better understanding of the limitations of this approach. By highlighting the missing modules in section 4.1, we provided insights into the potential sources of deviations and uncertainties in TWSC estimates.
- This study did not analyze in depth the causes of amplitude and phase differences, especially 4.1 section.
Response: Thank you for your valuable feedback. We appreciate your suggestion to delve deeper into the causes of amplitude and phase differences in Section 4.1. In response to this comment, we expanded the discussion in Section 4.1 and provided a more comprehensive analysis of the factors contributing to the observed amplitude and phase differences.
- Line67, “due to human intervention and climate change respectively”, the underestimation is due to anthropogenic interventions and climate change, doesn't that have anything to do with model performance, shouldn't model performance be the main reason?
Response: Thank you for your comment. We rephrase the lines as “Compared to GRACE-derived TWS trends, Scanlon et al. (2018) revealed that the TWS trends of GHMs were either underestimated or had the opposite sign over numerous basins across the globe”
- Line 89, amplitude, and phase of “polar” zone was not analyzed in result section.
Response: Thank you for your valuable comment. In this study, we primarily concentrated on analyzing the boreal, temperate, arid, and tropical zones, we did not include the polar zone in our analysis. However, we believe that exploring the amplitude and phase of the polar zone could indeed be a valuable avenue for future research to provide a more comprehensive understanding of the subject matter. We will duly consider this suggestion for future studies in this field.
- Line 139, Why not CSR and JPL on average?
Response: We appreciate your comments and the opportunity to clarify our choice of using GRACE data from two data processing centers rather than utilizing the average. It is common in the field of Earth sciences to use data from multiple sources, and it is often encouraged to include data from different processing centers to account for potential biases and uncertainties in the measurements. Our decision to use GRACE data from two processing centers was made to enhance the robustness and reliability of our findings and better capture regional variations. We believe this approach aligns with best practices in the field and contributes to the scientific rigor of our study.
- The difference in the length of the text in parts 3.1 and 3.2 is too large. 3.1 section over-emphasis on basin comparisons.
Response: Thank you for the reviewer's comment regarding the difference in the length of text between sections 3.1 and 3.2. We appreciate your feedback, and we will work to ensure a more balanced and consistent presentation of information in these sections.
To address this concern, we will review and revise Section 3.1 to ensure that it does not over-emphasize basin comparisons and that it aligns more evenly with Section 3.2 in terms of content length. This will help maintain a better structural balance and coherence in the paper while providing equal attention to all relevant aspects of the study.
Your input is valuable, and we will improve the overall flow and readability of our manuscript.
- The figures are not summarizing enough, too many similar comparisons, e.g., I think Figures 5-8 should be in the Appendix, and the main results should be put in the main text, e.g., the overall results for the different climatic zones in one fig.
Response: Thank you for the reviewer's comment regarding the figures in our manuscript. We understand your concern about the number of comparisons and the desire for a more concise summarization. However, we believe that Figures 5-8 are important for understanding the detailed results and patterns in different regions and should remain in the main text.
To address your suggestion for a more concise presentation of the overall results for different climatic zones, we will work on improving the clarity of the figures and their captions to ensure that readers can easily grasp the key findings. This will help strike a balance between providing detailed regional information and presenting a clear overview of the main results.
We appreciate your feedback and are committed to enhancing the presentation of our results to make them more accessible to readers while preserving the important details provided by these figures.
- I suggest to add the spatial distribution map of biases in amplitude and phase.
Response: Thank you for your suggestion to include spatial distribution maps of biases in amplitude and phase. We understand the importance of visualizing these biases for a comprehensive understanding of the results. However, we want to clarify that such maps have already been provided by Schellekens et al. (2017), and our study relies on their analysis in this regard. Including redundant maps in our paper would indeed be repetitive and not add significant new insights to the existing literature.
We appreciate your concern, and to ensure clarity in our paper, we will explicitly reference and acknowledge the work of Schellekens et al. (2017) for the spatial distribution maps of biases in amplitude and phase between the models and GRACE data. This will help readers access the relevant information in the cited source while maintaining the focus of our study on its unique contributions and analyses.
Schellekens, J., Dutra, E., Martínez-de la Torre, A., Balsamo, G., van Dijk, A., Sperna Weiland, F., Minvielle, M., Calvet, J.-C., Decharme, B., Eisner, S., Fink, G., Flörke, M., Peßenteiner, S., van Beek, R., Polcher, J., Beck, H., Orth, R., Calton, B., Burke, S., Dorigo, W., and Weedon, G. P.: A global water resources ensemble of hydrological models: the eartH2Observe Tier-1 dataset, Earth Syst Sci Data, 9, 389–413, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-9-389-2017, 2017.
- Figure 1-4 suggests the addition of lines for the GHM and LSM model averages, which facilitates comparison of the two types of models
Response: Thank you for your feedback regarding Figure 1-4. We appreciate your suggestion to add lines for the GHM and LSM model averages to facilitate a clearer comparison between the two types of models. We have now incorporated these lines into the figures as per your recommendation. This enhancement should provide readers with a more comprehensive view of the model comparisons and improve the overall clarity of the presentation.
Minor comments:
- Line 4, “(e.g., the amount and” misses the corresponding right parentheses.
Response: We appreciate your suggestion and added parenthesis in the revised manuscript.
- Line68, “Other studies focused on the seasonal cycle of TWSC to identify" to “Other studies on the seasonal cycle of TWSC focus on identifying” is more suitable? “disparities”, specifically what are the disparities?
Response: Thank you for your suggestion. We have revised the sentence as follows: "Other studies on the seasonal cycle of TWSC, such as Zhang et al. (2017), have focused on identifying disparities." The term "disparities" refers to differences or variations in four global numerical model realizations that simulate the continental branch of the global water cycle and GRACE that have been investigated in previous studies.
- Line 75, “northern basins” is vague, please specifically point
Response: Thank you for the suggestion. We have made the requested clarification in the manuscript. Line 75 now reads, "northern high-altitude basins," to provide a more specific description of the geographic region being referred to. This should help eliminate any ambiguity and ensure a clearer understanding for the readers.
- Line 84, “replicate water storage against the latest release (RL06) of GRACE TWSC.”, this sentence indicates the result? this place is to say what is to be studied
Response: We appreciate your feedback. We rephrase the sentence to “Compare high-resolution and more optimally structured R2 models against R1 models and access their ability to simulate TWSC variability and replicate water storage against GRACE TWSC.
Citation: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2023-163-CC1 - AC3: 'Reply on RC2', Tingju Zhu, 21 Oct 2023
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RC3: 'Comment on hess-2023-163', Anonymous Referee #3, 19 Sep 2023
Bibi et al. evaluated the reliability of 13 global models using the GRACE TWS for 29 river basins. They conclude that the modeled TWS does not compare well with the GRACE TWS. Authors analyzed amplitude and phase-difference and performed the comparisons based on 5 climate zones (Polar, boreal, temperate, arid, and tropical), 2 set of hydrological model types (LSM and GHM), and 2 sets of R1 and R2 model types. The authors find that R2 models have better correlations with GRACE than R1 models. Though this study provides new insights into the future improvement of large-scale hydrological models, there are some major concerns in this study. By addressing these concerns, the manuscript will better align with the standards of the HESS and provide a more compelling and novel contribution to the field. Please find my detailed review below-
Line 22- It would be easier for readers to understand if the meaning of the term ‘R2 models’ is provided here.
R1 and R2 models are Water Resource Reanalysis tier-1 and tier-2 products which provide a large set of LSMs and GHMs.
R1: 0.5° forced with ERA-Interim data (WFDEI) meteorological reanalysis dataset
R2: 0.25° forced with Multi-Source Weighted Ensemble Precipitation (MSWEP) dataset
Lines 91-102: The authors have used only JPL-M and CSR-M solutions, why not GSFC Mascons as well? The authors did not provide the reason behind using linear interpolation of GRACE TWS data.
Lines 109-110: Please correct the sentence.
Why only amplitude and phase of seasonal cycle of TWS was checked in this study? Why not the trend in the TWS data?
Lines 138-139: Why only GRACE CSR_M seasonal cycle was used to validate the model results? As indicated above why GRACE JPL-M data was not used? Or the mean of the two datasets?
Line 375-: The causes of discrepancies in seasonal amplitudes and phase between models and GRACE TWSC provided in section 4.1 are without any reference. There is no analysis shown to backup the claim. For example, how do the authors know that Model Parameterization is causing the difference in GRACE and model TWS data without doing any analysis and citing any literature? If it is well known then what is the contribution of this study?
Scanlon et al., (2018) already compared the model TWS trends against the GRACE TWS datasets. What are the novel contributions here? Please state them clearly.
Scanlon, B. R., Zhang, Z., Save, H., Sun, A. Y., Müller Schmied, H., Van Beek, L. P., ... & Bierkens, M. F. (2018). Global models underestimate large decadal declining and rising water storage trends relative to GRACE satellite data. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 115(6), E1080-E1089.
Citation: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2023-163-RC3 -
AC2: 'Reply on RC3', Tingju Zhu, 16 Oct 2023
Bibi et al. evaluated the reliability of 13 global models using the GRACE TWS for 29 river basins. They conclude that the modeled TWS does not compare well with the GRACE TWS. Authors analyzed amplitude and phase-difference and performed the comparisons based on 5 climate zones (Polar, boreal, temperate, arid, and tropical), 2 set of hydrological model types (LSM and GHM), and 2 sets of R1 and R2 model types. The authors find that R2 models have better correlations with GRACE than R1 models. Though this study provides new insights into the future improvement of large-scale hydrological models, there are some major concerns in this study. By addressing these concerns, the manuscript will better align with the standards of the HESS and provide a more compelling and novel contribution to the field. Please find my detailed review below-
Comment: Line 22- It would be easier for readers to understand if the meaning of the term ‘R2 models’ is provided here.
R1 and R2 models are Water Resource Reanalysis tier-1 and tier-2 products which provide a large set of LSMs and GHMs.
R1: 0.5° forced with ERA-Interim data (WFDEI) meteorological reanalysis dataset
R2: 0.25° forced with Multi-Source Weighted Ensemble Precipitation (MSWEP) dataset
Response: Thank you for your valuable comment regarding the terminology used in our manuscript. We appreciate your suggestion to clarify the meaning of 'R1 and R2’ models' for the benefit of our readers. In response to your comment, we have added a brief explanation of the terms in the manuscript to improve clarity. We hope that this addition will enhance the understanding of our work for all readers.
Comment: Lines 91-102: The authors have used only JPL-M and CSR-M solutions, why not GSFC Mascons as well? The authors did not provide the reason behind using linear interpolation of GRACE TWS data.
Response: Thank you for your valuable feedback, we appreciate your input and would like to address your comments:
In our study, we used the GRACE JPL-M and CSR-M solutions for several reasons. These two solutions are widely recognized and have been extensively validated in the literature. JPL-M and CSR-M are among the most commonly used GRACE solutions for global terrestrial water storage (TWS) estimates due to their accuracy. However, we acknowledge that incorporating the GSFC Mascons solution in future research could provide additional insights, and we will consider this for future work.
We used linear interpolation for GRACE TWS data primarily for data consistency and to align the GRACE TWS data with the temporal resolution of other datasets used in our study. Linear interpolation is a commonly used technique to estimate TWS values for time periods between GRACE satellite overpasses. While other interpolation methods, such as spline interpolation, can be used, we chose linear interpolation for simplicity and because it is a standard approach in the GRACE research community. We agree that providing a brief explanation of this choice in the manuscript would be beneficial for readers, and we will make sure to include such clarification in the revised manuscript.
Thank you for your thoughtful comments, and we will make the necessary revisions to address these concerns in our manuscript.
Comment: Lines 109-110: Please correct the sentence.
Response: Thank you for pointing out the issue with the sentence in lines 109-110 of our manuscript. We apologize for any confusion. We corrected the sentence to ensure it is clear and accurate in the revised manuscript. Your feedback is greatly appreciated.
Comment: Why only amplitude and phase of seasonal cycle of TWS was checked in this study? Why not the trend in the TWS data?
Response: Thank you for your valuable comment regarding the analysis of GRACE TWS data in our study. We appreciate your feedback, and we'd like to respond to your question:
In our study, we focused on analyzing the amplitude and phase of the seasonal cycle of TWS for several reasons. The primary objective of our research was to assess the seasonal variability of terrestrial water storage (TWS) in a specific region. Seasonal changes in TWS are of significant importance for various applications, such as hydrological modeling, agriculture, and water resource management. Therefore, our study aimed to understand how well the GRACE and models captured these seasonal variations. The amplitude and phase of the seasonal cycle provide crucial information about the timing and magnitude of TWS changes, which are particularly relevant for addressing certain research questions.
Our research objectives were specifically tailored to examine the seasonal patterns of TWS in the study area during a particular time frame. While assessing trends in TWS is indeed important for different research questions, it may require a separate analysis and may involve addressing different objectives. We decided to focus on the seasonal cycle for the sake of clarity and to maintain a concise scope within the context of our study.
However, we acknowledge that the analysis of trends in TWS data is a valuable avenue of research, and it can provide insights into long-term hydrological changes. We hope this explanation clarifies our choice to focus on the amplitude and phase of the seasonal cycle of TWS in this particular study. If you have any further questions or suggestions, please feel free to let us know. Your feedback is greatly appreciated.
Lines 138-139: Why only GRACE CSR_M seasonal cycle was used to validate the model results? As indicated above why GRACE JPL-M data was not used? Or the mean of the two datasets?
Response: We appreciate your question regarding the choice of using only the GRACE CSR_M seasonal cycle for validating model results. We would like to clarify our rationale for this decision. The primary reason for selecting the GRACE CSR_M dataset for validation is its well-established and widely recognized record of terrestrial water storage changes. However, we acknowledge the importance of discussing the choice and providing a more comprehensive explanation in our manuscript.
CSR_M has been widely used as a benchmark dataset in various hydrological and Earth science studies, making it a reliable reference for model validation. Researchers often use CSR_M to assess the performance of hydrological models due to its well-documented accuracy and reliability. While it is valuable to compare our model results with multiple GRACE datasets, focusing on CSR_M alone in the initial validation simplifies the validation process and allows us to clearly understand the model's behavior against a well-established dataset. Presenting results from a single validation dataset initially provides clarity in our manuscript, enabling readers to focus on the model's performance against CSR_M specifically. This approach simplifies the presentation and interpretation of validation results.
In our revised manuscript, we will include a more comprehensive discussion of the choice to use CSR_M for validation, emphasizing its strengths and limitations.
Thank you for your valuable feedback, which will help improve the clarity and comprehensiveness of our research.
Comment: Line 375-: The causes of discrepancies in seasonal amplitudes and phase between models and GRACE TWSC provided in section 4.1 are without any reference. There is no analysis shown to backup the claim. For example, how do the authors know that Model Parameterization is causing the difference in GRACE and model TWS data without doing any analysis and citing any literature? If it is well known then what is the contribution of this study?
Response: Thank you for your valuable feedback. We appreciate your suggestion to delve deeper into the causes of amplitude and phase differences in Section 4.1. In response to this comment, we expanded the discussion in Section 4.1 and provided a more comprehensive analysis of the factors contributing to the observed amplitude and phase differences with reference. For instance, we specifically discussed the contrasting performance difference in simulating groundwater storage changes between GHM/LSM models with and without a groundwater compartment.
Groundwater storage (GWS) can indeed dominate total water storage (TWS) in many regions, like basins with major underlying aquifers which can significantly impact the comparison between model simulations and GRACE data. In response to your comment, we have also divided our comparison over five river basins with major underlying aquifers (Congo, Amazon, Orinoco, Ganges-Brahmaputra, and California) into models with and without groundwater simulations. The comparison indicates that including a groundwater compartment in GHM/LSM models can apparently improve the presentation of water storage dynamics. These have been included in the revised manuscript.
Comment: Scanlon et al., (2018) already compared the model TWS trends against the GRACE TWS datasets. What are the novel contributions here? Please state them clearly.
Scanlon, B. R., Zhang, Z., Save, H., Sun, A. Y., Müller Schmied, H., Van Beek, L. P., ... & Bierkens, M. F. (2018). Global models underestimate large decadal declining and rising water storage trends relative to GRACE satellite data. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 115(6), E1080-E1089.
Response: Thank you for your thoughtful review comment. We appreciate your engagement with our work and the opportunity to clarify the novel contributions of our study in “Benchmarking multimodel terrestrial water storage (TWS) seasonal cycles against GRACE observations over major global river basins”, especially in light of the previous work by Scanlon et al. (2018).
While it is true that Scanlon et al. (2018) compared model TWS trends against GRACE TWS datasets, our study focuses on a distinct aspect of TWS analysis, namely, the seasonal cycle. We acknowledge the prior work of Scanlon et al., (2018), which primarily delved into decadal trends in TWS and highlighted discrepancies between models and GRACE observations over extended time periods. In contrast, our study shifts the focus to the seasonal variations in TWS, with the following novel contributions:
We specifically investigate the seasonal dynamics of TWS across major global river basins. Instead of examining long-term trends, our study provides a detailed examination of how TWS varies throughout the year. The phase difference between GRACE and the modeled TWS seasonal cycle was not generally covered in previous studies.
We employ 13 models, each with its own set of assumptions and parameters, to assess how well they capture the observed seasonal TWS variations. This approach enables us to assess the performance of different models in representing seasonal patterns, which can have important implications for water resource management, flood forecasting, and ecosystem health.
While Scanlon et al. (2018) did use GRACE data as a reference, our study explicitly benchmarks the seasonal TWS cycles produced by various hydrological models against GRACE observations. By doing so, we assess how well these models capture the seasonal dynamics observed from space, which can reveal model strengths and weaknesses in representing short-term hydrological processes.
In summary, our study takes a different angle in the assessment of TWS by focusing on seasonal variations and conducting a comprehensive benchmarking exercise using multiple models against GRACE observations. This approach offers valuable insights into the performance of hydrological models in simulating short-term TWS dynamics, providing critical information for applications such as water resource management, drought monitoring, and flood prediction.
Citation: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2023-163-AC2
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AC2: 'Reply on RC3', Tingju Zhu, 16 Oct 2023