Articles | Volume 28, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-117-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-117-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
08 Jan 2024
Research article |
| 08 Jan 2024
| 08 Jan 2024
Combined impacts of climate and land-use change on future water resources in Africa
Celray James Chawanda
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Department of Water and Climate, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, 1050 Brussels, Belgium
Texas A&M AgriLife Research, Blackland Research & Extension Center, Temple, TX 76502, USA
Albert Nkwasa
Department of Water and Climate, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, 1050 Brussels, Belgium
Wim Thiery
Department of Water and Climate, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, 1050 Brussels, Belgium
Ann van Griensven
Department of Water and Climate, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, 1050 Brussels, Belgium
IHE Delft Institute for Water Education, 2611 AX Delft, the Netherlands
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Cited
21 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Modeling impacts of climate change on blue and green water, and crop yield using SWAT + in Lake Tana sub-basin (Ethiopia) T. Tarkegn et al. 10.1007/s40808-025-02641-3
- Assessing climate change's impacts on hydrology using the SWAT model: a literature review W. El Harraki & M. Zemzami 10.2166/wcc.2025.665
- Streamflow variability under SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 climate scenarios using QSWAT plus for Subansiri River Basin in Arunachal Pradesh, India G. Goswami et al. 10.1007/s00704-025-05496-x
- Integrated Assessment of Climate-Driven Streamflow Changes in a Transboundary Lake Basin Using CMIP6-SWAT+-BMA: A Sustainability Perspective F. Xiao et al. 10.3390/su17177901
- One third of African rivers fail to meet the ’good ambient water quality’ nutrient targets A. Nkwasa et al. 10.1016/j.ecolind.2024.112544
- Catchment-based water resources modelling and planning of the transboundary Inkisi River in the Congo Basin L. Nkaba et al. 10.1080/02626667.2025.2511806
- Estimation of Incoming Sediments and Useful Life of Haditha Reservoir with Limited Measurements Using Hydrological Modeling A. Ajaaj et al. 10.3390/hydrology11080128
- Effects of Long-Term Vegetation Restoration on Green Water Utilization Heterogeneity in the Loess Plateau Based on Field Experiments and Modeling L. Wang et al. 10.3390/plants14050644
- Impacts of different land and water management interventions on runoff and sediment yield under climate change: a case study from the Bale Eco-Region, Ethiopia T. Tarkegn et al. 10.1080/15715124.2025.2561854
- Multi-gauge calibration comparison for simulating streamflow across the Major River Basins in Madagascar: SWAT + Toolbox, R-SWAT, and SWAT + Editor Hard calibration R. Harifidy et al. 10.2166/nh.2024.188
- Alterations in Hydrological Responses under Changing Climate and Land Use/Land Cover across Contrasting Agroecological Environments: A Case Study on the Chemoga Watershed in the Upper Blue Nile Basin, Ethiopia T. Meshesha et al. 10.3390/w16071037
- Effect of land use change and soil depth on physico-chemical soil properties in Fagita Lekoma district, Northwestern Ethiopia S. Yenesew et al. 10.1007/s44378-025-00106-8
- Modeling climate and land use land cover changes impact on water balance in the Rift Valley Lake Basin, Ethiopia Y. Woldemariam et al. 10.1007/s00704-025-05834-z
- Impact of global change on water availability in Madagascar: evaluation of ISIMIP3b GCM performance and comparison with Soil and Water Assessment Tool modeling with Inter- and Intra-basin approaches Z. Rakotoarimanana et al. 10.1007/s10584-025-04003-5
- Assessing future intra-basin water availability in madagascar: Accounting for climate change, population growth, and land use change R. Harifidy et al. 10.1016/j.watres.2024.121711
- Evaluation and projection of CMIP6 simulations of climate variables for the Rift Valley Lakes Basin, Ethiopia Y. Woldemariam et al. 10.1007/s00704-025-05356-8
- A global water database for the energy transition S. Sterl 10.1038/s44221-025-00517-5
- Hydrology and Climate Change in Africa: Contemporary Challenges, and Future Resilience Pathways O. Adeyeri 10.3390/w17152247
- Rethinking energy planning to mitigate the impacts of African hydropower A. Carlino et al. 10.1038/s41893-024-01367-x
- Crossing Borders: Climate Change and the Policy Implications for Regional Security Cooperation in Africa S. Nkwe 10.1080/18186874.2025.2511643
- Model calibration using hydropedological insights to improve the simulation of internal hydrological processes using SWAT+ E. Smit et al. 10.1002/hyp.15158
20 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Modeling impacts of climate change on blue and green water, and crop yield using SWAT + in Lake Tana sub-basin (Ethiopia) T. Tarkegn et al. 10.1007/s40808-025-02641-3
- Assessing climate change's impacts on hydrology using the SWAT model: a literature review W. El Harraki & M. Zemzami 10.2166/wcc.2025.665
- Streamflow variability under SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 climate scenarios using QSWAT plus for Subansiri River Basin in Arunachal Pradesh, India G. Goswami et al. 10.1007/s00704-025-05496-x
- Integrated Assessment of Climate-Driven Streamflow Changes in a Transboundary Lake Basin Using CMIP6-SWAT+-BMA: A Sustainability Perspective F. Xiao et al. 10.3390/su17177901
- One third of African rivers fail to meet the ’good ambient water quality’ nutrient targets A. Nkwasa et al. 10.1016/j.ecolind.2024.112544
- Catchment-based water resources modelling and planning of the transboundary Inkisi River in the Congo Basin L. Nkaba et al. 10.1080/02626667.2025.2511806
- Estimation of Incoming Sediments and Useful Life of Haditha Reservoir with Limited Measurements Using Hydrological Modeling A. Ajaaj et al. 10.3390/hydrology11080128
- Effects of Long-Term Vegetation Restoration on Green Water Utilization Heterogeneity in the Loess Plateau Based on Field Experiments and Modeling L. Wang et al. 10.3390/plants14050644
- Impacts of different land and water management interventions on runoff and sediment yield under climate change: a case study from the Bale Eco-Region, Ethiopia T. Tarkegn et al. 10.1080/15715124.2025.2561854
- Multi-gauge calibration comparison for simulating streamflow across the Major River Basins in Madagascar: SWAT + Toolbox, R-SWAT, and SWAT + Editor Hard calibration R. Harifidy et al. 10.2166/nh.2024.188
- Alterations in Hydrological Responses under Changing Climate and Land Use/Land Cover across Contrasting Agroecological Environments: A Case Study on the Chemoga Watershed in the Upper Blue Nile Basin, Ethiopia T. Meshesha et al. 10.3390/w16071037
- Effect of land use change and soil depth on physico-chemical soil properties in Fagita Lekoma district, Northwestern Ethiopia S. Yenesew et al. 10.1007/s44378-025-00106-8
- Modeling climate and land use land cover changes impact on water balance in the Rift Valley Lake Basin, Ethiopia Y. Woldemariam et al. 10.1007/s00704-025-05834-z
- Impact of global change on water availability in Madagascar: evaluation of ISIMIP3b GCM performance and comparison with Soil and Water Assessment Tool modeling with Inter- and Intra-basin approaches Z. Rakotoarimanana et al. 10.1007/s10584-025-04003-5
- Assessing future intra-basin water availability in madagascar: Accounting for climate change, population growth, and land use change R. Harifidy et al. 10.1016/j.watres.2024.121711
- Evaluation and projection of CMIP6 simulations of climate variables for the Rift Valley Lakes Basin, Ethiopia Y. Woldemariam et al. 10.1007/s00704-025-05356-8
- A global water database for the energy transition S. Sterl 10.1038/s44221-025-00517-5
- Hydrology and Climate Change in Africa: Contemporary Challenges, and Future Resilience Pathways O. Adeyeri 10.3390/w17152247
- Rethinking energy planning to mitigate the impacts of African hydropower A. Carlino et al. 10.1038/s41893-024-01367-x
- Crossing Borders: Climate Change and the Policy Implications for Regional Security Cooperation in Africa S. Nkwe 10.1080/18186874.2025.2511643
Latest update: 03 Nov 2025
Short summary
Africa's water resources are being negatively impacted by climate change and land-use change. The SWAT+ hydrological model was used to simulate the hydrological cycle in Africa, and results show likely decreases in river flows in the Zambezi and Congo rivers and highest flows in the Niger River basins due to climate change. Land cover change had the biggest impact in the Congo River basin, emphasizing the importance of including land-use change in studies.
Africa's water resources are being negatively impacted by climate change and land-use change....
