Articles | Volume 22, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-673-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-673-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| 
25 Jan 2018
Research article |
| 25 Jan 2018
Evaluation of uncertainties in mean and extreme precipitation under climate change for northwestern Mediterranean watersheds from high-resolution Med and Euro-CORDEX ensembles
Antoine Colmet-Daage
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
CECI, CERFACS – CNRS TOULOUSE, Toulouse, France
WSP France, Toulouse, France
Hydrosciences Montpellier, Univ. Montpellier, Montpellier, France
Emilia Sanchez-Gomez
CECI, CERFACS – CNRS TOULOUSE, Toulouse, France
Sophie Ricci
CECI, CERFACS – CNRS TOULOUSE, Toulouse, France
Cécile Llovel
WSP France, Toulouse, France
Valérie Borrell Estupina
Hydrosciences Montpellier, Univ. Montpellier, Montpellier, France
Pere Quintana-Seguí
Observatori de l'Ebre Fundació, Tarragona, Spain
Maria Carmen Llasat
Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
Eric Servat
Institut Montpelliérain de l'Eau et de l'Environnement – IRD,
Montpellier, France
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Cited
27 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Assessing Polarisation of Climate Phenomena Based on Long-Term Precipitation and Temperature Sequences B. Twaróg
- Spatiotemporal Variability in Precipitation Extremes in the Jianghuai Region of China and the Analysis of Its Circulation Features Y. Wang et al.
- Assessing Climate Change Impacts on Combined Sewer Overflows: A Modelling Perspective P. Galiatsatou et al.
- Energy Sustainability of Urban Areas by Green Systems: Applied Thermodynamic Entropy and Strategic Modeling Means C. Balocco et al.
- Is interactive air sea coupling relevant for simulating the future climate of Europe? M. Gröger et al.
- Changes of winter extreme precipitation in Heilongjiang province and the diagnostic analysis of its circulation features L. Zhang et al.
- Evaluation of CORDEX‐CORE regional climate models in simulating rainfall variability in Rwanda B. Safari et al.
- An ensemble approach for the analysis of extreme rainfall under climate change in Naples (Italy) R. Padulano et al.
- Overview towards improved understanding of the mechanisms leading to heavy precipitation in the western Mediterranean: lessons learned from HyMeX S. Khodayar et al.
- Updating intensity–duration–frequency curves for urban infrastructure design under a changing environment L. Yan et al.
- Ocean Color Remote Sensing of Suspended Sediments along a Continuum from Rivers to River Plumes: Concentration, Transport, Fluxes and Dynamics A. Ody et al.
- Changes in flood damage with global warming on the eastern coast of Spain M. Cortès et al.
- Instrumental agreement and retrospective analysis of trends in precipitation extremes in the French Mediterranean Region J. Blanchet & J. Creutin
- A benchmarking framework to enhance cost-efficiency in water systems resilience planning under deep uncertainty L. Liu et al.
- Future precipitation in a Mediterranean island and streamflow changes for a small basin using EURO-CORDEX regional climate simulations and the SWAT model P. Marras et al.
- Obtaining refined Euro-Mediterranean rainfall projections through regional assessment of CMIP6 General Circulation Models G. Ferreiro-Lera et al.
- Spatiotemporal analysis of the FWI over Europe and North Africa: Historical trends and climate projections under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 F. Di Nunno & F. Granata
- High-resolution dynamical downscaling of ERA-Interim temperature and precipitation using WRF model for Greece N. Politi et al.
- Carbon stable isotope ratio as a revealer of incomplete decarbonation for particulate organic carbon measurement in river plumes T. Blasco et al.
- Future projections of cyclone activity in the Arctic for the 21st century from regional climate models (Arctic-CORDEX) M. Akperov et al.
- Quantile-based downscaling of rainfall extremes: Notes on methodological functionality, associated uncertainty and application in practice E. Hassanzadeh et al.
- Multivariate Hybrid Modelling of Future Wave-Storms at the Northwestern Black Sea J. Lin-Ye et al.
- A Sensitivity Study of High-Resolution Climate Simulations for Greece N. Politi et al.
- Downward counterfactual analysis of multi-risk cascades M. Gargiulo et al.
- Climate change impacts on the tourism sector of the Spanish Mediterranean coast: Medium-term projections for a climate services tool A. de la Vara et al.
- Evaluation of the Sea-Ice Simulation in the Upgraded Version of the Coupled Regional Atmosphere-Ocean- Sea Ice Model HIRHAM–NAOSIM 2.0 W. Dorn et al.
- Internal variability and temperature scaling of future sub-daily rainfall return levels over Europe B. Poschlod & R. Ludwig
27 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Assessing Polarisation of Climate Phenomena Based on Long-Term Precipitation and Temperature Sequences B. Twaróg
- Spatiotemporal Variability in Precipitation Extremes in the Jianghuai Region of China and the Analysis of Its Circulation Features Y. Wang et al.
- Assessing Climate Change Impacts on Combined Sewer Overflows: A Modelling Perspective P. Galiatsatou et al.
- Energy Sustainability of Urban Areas by Green Systems: Applied Thermodynamic Entropy and Strategic Modeling Means C. Balocco et al.
- Is interactive air sea coupling relevant for simulating the future climate of Europe? M. Gröger et al.
- Changes of winter extreme precipitation in Heilongjiang province and the diagnostic analysis of its circulation features L. Zhang et al.
- Evaluation of CORDEX‐CORE regional climate models in simulating rainfall variability in Rwanda B. Safari et al.
- An ensemble approach for the analysis of extreme rainfall under climate change in Naples (Italy) R. Padulano et al.
- Overview towards improved understanding of the mechanisms leading to heavy precipitation in the western Mediterranean: lessons learned from HyMeX S. Khodayar et al.
- Updating intensity–duration–frequency curves for urban infrastructure design under a changing environment L. Yan et al.
- Ocean Color Remote Sensing of Suspended Sediments along a Continuum from Rivers to River Plumes: Concentration, Transport, Fluxes and Dynamics A. Ody et al.
- Changes in flood damage with global warming on the eastern coast of Spain M. Cortès et al.
- Instrumental agreement and retrospective analysis of trends in precipitation extremes in the French Mediterranean Region J. Blanchet & J. Creutin
- A benchmarking framework to enhance cost-efficiency in water systems resilience planning under deep uncertainty L. Liu et al.
- Future precipitation in a Mediterranean island and streamflow changes for a small basin using EURO-CORDEX regional climate simulations and the SWAT model P. Marras et al.
- Obtaining refined Euro-Mediterranean rainfall projections through regional assessment of CMIP6 General Circulation Models G. Ferreiro-Lera et al.
- Spatiotemporal analysis of the FWI over Europe and North Africa: Historical trends and climate projections under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 F. Di Nunno & F. Granata
- High-resolution dynamical downscaling of ERA-Interim temperature and precipitation using WRF model for Greece N. Politi et al.
- Carbon stable isotope ratio as a revealer of incomplete decarbonation for particulate organic carbon measurement in river plumes T. Blasco et al.
- Future projections of cyclone activity in the Arctic for the 21st century from regional climate models (Arctic-CORDEX) M. Akperov et al.
- Quantile-based downscaling of rainfall extremes: Notes on methodological functionality, associated uncertainty and application in practice E. Hassanzadeh et al.
- Multivariate Hybrid Modelling of Future Wave-Storms at the Northwestern Black Sea J. Lin-Ye et al.
- A Sensitivity Study of High-Resolution Climate Simulations for Greece N. Politi et al.
- Downward counterfactual analysis of multi-risk cascades M. Gargiulo et al.
- Climate change impacts on the tourism sector of the Spanish Mediterranean coast: Medium-term projections for a climate services tool A. de la Vara et al.
- Evaluation of the Sea-Ice Simulation in the Upgraded Version of the Coupled Regional Atmosphere-Ocean- Sea Ice Model HIRHAM–NAOSIM 2.0 W. Dorn et al.
- Internal variability and temperature scaling of future sub-daily rainfall return levels over Europe B. Poschlod & R. Ludwig
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 04 May 2026
Short summary
Here, the first assessment of future changes in extreme precipitation in small Mediterranean watersheds is done through three watersheds frequently subjected to flash floods. Collaboration between Spanish and French laboratories enabled us to conclude that the intensity of high precipitation will increase at the end of the century. A high degree of confidence results from the multi-model approach used here with eight regional climate models (RCMs) developed in the Med and Euro-CORDEX project.
Here, the first assessment of future changes in extreme precipitation in small Mediterranean...
