Using paleoclimate reconstructions to analyse hydrological epochs associated with Pacific decadal variability

Zhang, Lanying; Kuczera, George; Kiem, Anthony S.; Willgoose, Garry

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-6399-2018

Articles | Volume 22, issue 12

https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-6399-2018

© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-6399-2018

© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 22, issue 12

Research article

|

10 Dec 2018

Research article |

| 10 Dec 2018

Using paleoclimate reconstructions to analyse hydrological epochs associated with Pacific decadal variability

Lanying Zhang, George Kuczera, Anthony S. Kiem, and Garry Willgoose

Data sets

Interdecadal Pacific variability and eastern Australian megadroughts over the last millennium T. R. Vance, J. L. Roberts, C. T. Plummer, A. S. Kiem, and T. D. van Ommen https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL062447

A Pacific interdecadal climate oscillation with impacts on salmon production N. J. Mantua, S. R. Hare, Y. Zhang, J. M. Wallace, and R. C. Francis https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0477(1997)078<1069:APICOW>2.0.CO;2

ENSO-like interdecadal variability: 1900-93 Y. Zhang, J. M. Wallace, and D. S. Battisti https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(1997)010<1004:ELIV>2.0.CO;2

North Pacific decadal climate variability since 1661 F. Biondi, A. Gershunov, and R. R. Cayan https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(2001)014<0005:NPDCVS>2.0.CO;2

Tree-ring estimates of Pacific decadal climate variability R. D'Arrigo, R. Villalba, and G. Wiles https://doi.org/10.1007/s003820100177

Interdecadal climate variability and regime-scale shifts in Pacific North America Z. Gedalof and D. J. Smith https://doi.org/10.1029/2000GL011779

Interdecadal-decadal climate variability from multicoral oxygen isotope records in the South Pacific Convergence Zone region since 1650 AD B. K. Linsley, P. Zhang, A. Kaplan, S. S. Howe, and G. M. Wellington https://doi.org/10.1029/2007PA001539

Global signatures and dynamical origins of the Little Ice Age and Medieval Climate Anomaly M. E. Mann, Z. Zhang, S. Rutherford, R. S. Bradley, M. K. Hughes, D. Shindell, C. Ammann, G. Faluvegi, and F. Ni https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1177303

A unified proxy for ENSO and PDO variability since 1650 S. McGregor, A. Timmermann, and O. Timm https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-6-1-2010

Short summary

Analyses of run lengths of Pacific decadal variability (PDV) suggest that there is no significant difference between run lengths in positive and negative phases of PDV and that it is more likely than not that the PDV run length has been non-stationary in the past millennium. This raises concerns about whether variability seen in the instrumental record (the last ~100 years), or even in the shorter 300–400 year paleoclimate reconstructions, is representative of the full range of variability.