Articles | Volume 22, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-1017-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-1017-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Climate change alters low flows in Europe under global warming of 1.5, 2, and 3 °C
UFZ-Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research, Department of Computational Hydrosystems, Leipzig, Germany
Rohini Kumar
UFZ-Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research, Department of Computational Hydrosystems, Leipzig, Germany
Stephan Thober
UFZ-Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research, Department of Computational Hydrosystems, Leipzig, Germany
Oldrich Rakovec
UFZ-Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research, Department of Computational Hydrosystems, Leipzig, Germany
Faculty of Environmental Sciences, Czech University of Life Sciences, Prague, Czech Republic
Niko Wanders
Department of Physical Geography, Faculty of Geosciences, University Utrecht, the Netherlands
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA
Matthias Zink
UFZ-Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research, Department of Computational Hydrosystems, Leipzig, Germany
Eric F. Wood
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA
Justin Sheffield
Geography and Environment, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK
Luis Samaniego
UFZ-Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research, Department of Computational Hydrosystems, Leipzig, Germany
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Short summary
Hydrological low flows are affected under different levels of future global warming (i.e. 1.5, 2, and 3 K). The multi-model ensemble results show that the change signal amplifies with increasing warming levels. Low flows decrease in the Mediterranean, while they increase in the Alpine and Northern regions. The changes in low flows are significant for regions with relatively large change signals and under higher levels of warming. Adaptation should make use of change and uncertainty information.
Hydrological low flows are affected under different levels of future global warming (i.e. 1.5,...