Articles | Volume 20, issue 10
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-4283-2016
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-4283-2016
Research article
 | 
21 Oct 2016
Research article |  | 21 Oct 2016

Can local climate variability be explained by weather patterns? A multi-station evaluation for the Rhine basin

Aline Murawski, Gerd Bürger, Sergiy Vorogushyn, and Bruno Merz

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Short summary
To understand past flood changes in the Rhine catchment and the role of anthropogenic climate change in extreme flows, an attribution study relying on a proper GCM (general circulation model) downscaling is needed. A downscaling based on conditioning a stochastic weather generator on weather patterns is a promising approach. Here the link between patterns and local climate is tested, and the skill of GCMs in reproducing these patterns is evaluated.