Articles | Volume 19, issue 7
Research article
24 Jul 2015
Research article |  | 24 Jul 2015

Flood and drought hydrologic monitoring: the role of model parameter uncertainty

N. W. Chaney, J. D. Herman, P. M. Reed, and E. F. Wood


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Short summary
Land surface modeling is playing an increasing role in global monitoring and prediction of extreme hydrologic events. However, uncertainties in parameter identifiability limit the reliability of model predictions. This study makes use of petascale computing to perform a comprehensive evaluation of land surface modeling for global flood and drought monitoring and suggests paths forward to overcome the challenges posed by parameter uncertainty.