Articles | Volume 18, issue 12
Research article
19 Dec 2014
Research article |  | 19 Dec 2014

Climate change and sectors of the surface water cycle In CMIP5 projections

P. A. Dirmeyer, G. Fang, Z. Wang, P. Yadav, and A. Milton


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Short summary
Climate change simulations project drought to increase even under moderate warming scenarios; both droughts and floods increase sharply with severe warming. Over 20% of the globe is projected to experience reduced rainfall but greater year-to-year variability. The vulnerability of growing regions for many types of crops are assessed based on soil moisture, and rivers using runoff projections. Increased water cycle variability is found to be a threat to agriculture and river systems as well.