Articles | Volume 18, issue 10
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 3907–3921, 2014
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-3907-2014
© Author(s) 2014. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Special issue: Drought forecasting and warning
Research article
02 Oct 2014
Research article
| 02 Oct 2014
A seasonal agricultural drought forecast system for food-insecure regions of East Africa
S. Shukla et al.
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Cited
83 citations as recorded by crossref.
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- A land data assimilation system for sub-Saharan Africa food and water security applications A. McNally et al. 10.1038/sdata.2017.12
- A global satellite-assisted precipitation climatology C. Funk et al. 10.5194/essd-7-275-2015
- Seasonal Drought Prediction: Advances, Challenges, and Future Prospects Z. Hao et al. 10.1002/2016RG000549
- Droughts in East Africa: Causes, impacts and resilience G. Gebremeskel Haile et al. 10.1016/j.earscirev.2019.04.015
- Hydrological drought explained A. Van Loon 10.1002/wat2.1085
- Hydrological drought forecasts outperform meteorological drought forecasts S. Sutanto et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab8b13
- Seasonal streamflow forecasting by conditioning climatology with precipitation indices L. Crochemore et al. 10.5194/hess-21-1573-2017
- Consistency of agricultural drought characterization over Upper Greater Horn of Africa (1982–2013): Topographical, gauge density, and model forcing influence. N. Agutu et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.135149
- Spatial and temporal trends of urban green spaces: an assessment using hyper-temporal NDVI datasets D. Dutta et al. 10.1080/10106049.2021.1989499
- A pan-African high-resolution drought index dataset J. Peng et al. 10.5194/essd-12-753-2020
- Analysis of spatio-temporal rainfall trends across southern African biomes between 1981 and 2016 F. Marumbwa et al. 10.1016/j.pce.2019.10.004
- Feasible crop insurance indexes for drought risk management in Northern Ethiopia E. Eze et al. 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2020.101544
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- Application of Parameter Screening to Derive Optimal Initial State Adjustments for Streamflow Forecasting J. Mai et al. 10.1029/2020WR027960
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- Drought: Progress in broadening its understanding G. Haile et al. 10.1002/wat2.1407
- High-resolution near real-time drought monitoring in South Asia S. Aadhar & V. Mishra 10.1038/sdata.2017.145
- Predicting East African spring droughts using Pacific and Indian Ocean sea surface temperature indices C. Funk et al. 10.5194/hess-18-4965-2014
- An Estimation of Hydrometeorological Drought Stress over the Central Part of India using Geo-information Technology A. Kundu et al. 10.1007/s12524-019-01048-9
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- Conceptualization and management of disasters and climate change events in Africa: a review C. Ihinegbu 10.1007/s42452-021-04829-5
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- The Physics of Drought in the U.S. Central Great Plains B. Livneh & M. Hoerling 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0697.1
- Performance evaluation of CHIRPS satellite precipitation estimates over Turkey H. Aksu & M. Akgül 10.1007/s00704-020-03301-5
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- Integrating evidence of land use and land cover change for land management policy formulation along the Kenya-Tanzania borderlands C. Courtney Mustaphi et al. 10.1016/j.ancene.2019.100228
- Projected Impacts of Climate Change on Drought Patterns Over East Africa G. Haile et al. 10.1029/2020EF001502
- The NASA Hydrological Forecast System for Food and Water Security Applications K. Arsenault et al. 10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0264.1
- Evaluation and Improvement of FY-4A AGRI Quantitative Precipitation Estimation for Summer Precipitation over Complex Topography of Western China J. Ren et al. 10.3390/rs13214366
- Seasonal hydroclimatic ensemble forecasts anticipate nutrient and suspended sediment loads using a dynamical-statistical approach S. Sharma et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab2c26
- A copula model integrating atmospheric moisture demand and supply for vegetation vulnerability mapping J. Won et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.151464
- Model Selection Based on Sectoral Application Scale for Increased Value of Hydroclimate-Prediction Information S. Alexander et al. 10.1061/(ASCE)WR.1943-5452.0001044
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- Validation of a high-resolution precipitation database (CHIRPS) over Cyprus for a 30-year period D. Katsanos et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2015.05.015
- The benefit of using an ensemble of seasonal streamflow forecasts in water allocation decisions A. Kaune et al. 10.5194/hess-24-3851-2020
- Satellite-Based Evapotranspiration in Hydrological Model Calibration L. Jiang et al. 10.3390/rs12030428
- Understanding uncertainty of model-reanalysis soil moisture within Greater Horn of Africa (1982–2014) N. Agutu et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.127169
- Application of a Hybrid Statistical–Dynamical System to Seasonal Prediction of North American Temperature and Precipitation S. Strazzo et al. 10.1175/MWR-D-18-0156.1
- Evaluation and validation of TAMSAT ‐ALERT soil moisture and WRSI for use in drought anticipatory action V. Boult et al. 10.1002/met.1959
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- Validation of CHIRPS satellite-based precipitation dataset over Pakistan M. Nawaz et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2020.105289
- Improving early warning of drought-driven food insecurity in southern Africa using operational hydrological monitoring and forecasting products S. Shukla et al. 10.5194/nhess-20-1187-2020
- An experimental seasonal hydrological forecasting system over the Yellow River basin – Part 2: The added value from climate forecast models X. Yuan 10.5194/hess-20-2453-2016
- Soil Moisture Drought Monitoring and Forecasting Using Satellite and Climate Model Data over Southwestern China X. Zhang et al. 10.1175/JHM-D-16-0045.1
- Observed and blended gauge-satellite precipitation estimates perspective on meteorological drought intensity over South Sulawesi, Indonesia A. Setiawan et al. 10.1088/1755-1315/54/1/012040
- Evaluating ESA CCI soil moisture in East Africa A. McNally et al. 10.1016/j.jag.2016.01.001
- Daily Precipitation Frequency Distributions Impacts on Land-Surface Simulations of CONUS D. Sarmiento et al. 10.3389/frwa.2021.640736
- Analysis of a Short-Term and a Seasonal Precipitation Forecast over Kenya S. Miller et al. 10.3390/atmos12111371
- Assessing multi-satellite remote sensing, reanalysis, and land surface models' products in characterizing agricultural drought in East Africa N. Agutu et al. 10.1016/j.rse.2017.03.041
- Comparison of Multi-Year Reanalysis, Models, and Satellite Remote Sensing Products for Agricultural Drought Monitoring over South Asian Countries M. Shahzaman et al. 10.3390/rs13163294
- An integrated package for drought monitoring, prediction and analysis to aid drought modeling and assessment Z. Hao et al. 10.1016/j.envsoft.2017.02.008
- The Hydrologic Effects of Synchronous El Niño–Southern Oscillation and Subtropical Indian Ocean Dipole Events over Southern Africa A. Hoell et al. 10.1175/JHM-D-16-0294.1
- Applications of interannual-to-decadal climate prediction: An exploratory discussion on rainfall in the Sahel region of Africa N. Ward & D. Conway 10.1016/j.cliser.2020.100170
- A spatial assessment of land suitability for maize farming in Kenya D. Wanyama et al. 10.1080/10106049.2019.1648564
- Assessing North American multimodel ensemble (NMME) seasonal forecast skill to assist in the early warning of anomalous hydrometeorological events over East Africa S. Shukla et al. 10.1007/s00382-016-3296-z
- Temporal and spatial changes of rainfall and streamflow in the Upper Tekezē–Atbara river basin, Ethiopia T. Gebremicael et al. 10.5194/hess-21-2127-2017
- Analyzing Space–Time Coherence in Precipitation Seasonality across Different European Climates M. Lanfredi et al. 10.3390/rs12010171
- Cueing on distant conditions before migrating does not prevent false starts: a case study with African elephants A. Pandraud et al. 10.1007/s00442-022-05148-1
- Introduction of an Experimental Terrestrial Forecasting/Monitoring System at Regional to Continental Scales Based on the Terrestrial Systems Modeling Platform (v1.1.0) S. Kollet et al. 10.3390/w10111697
- Regional soil moisture prediction system based on Long Short-Term Memory network N. Filipović et al. 10.1016/j.biosystemseng.2021.11.019
- Integration of seasonal precipitation forecast information into local-level agricultural decision-making using an agent-based model to support community adaptation S. Alexander & P. Block 10.1016/j.crm.2022.100417
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- Evaluating meteorological data from weather stations, and from satellites and global models for a multi-site epidemiological study J. Colston et al. 10.1016/j.envres.2018.02.027
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- A slow rainy season onset is a reliable harbinger of drought in most food insecure regions in Sub-Saharan Africa S. Shukla et al. 10.1371/journal.pone.0242883
- Validation of CHIRPS precipitation dataset along the Central Andes of Argentina J. Rivera et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2018.06.023
- Upper Blue Nile basin water budget from a multi-model perspective H. Jung et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2017.10.040
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77 citations as recorded by crossref.
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- A land data assimilation system for sub-Saharan Africa food and water security applications A. McNally et al. 10.1038/sdata.2017.12
- A global satellite-assisted precipitation climatology C. Funk et al. 10.5194/essd-7-275-2015
- Seasonal Drought Prediction: Advances, Challenges, and Future Prospects Z. Hao et al. 10.1002/2016RG000549
- Droughts in East Africa: Causes, impacts and resilience G. Gebremeskel Haile et al. 10.1016/j.earscirev.2019.04.015
- Hydrological drought explained A. Van Loon 10.1002/wat2.1085
- Hydrological drought forecasts outperform meteorological drought forecasts S. Sutanto et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab8b13
- Seasonal streamflow forecasting by conditioning climatology with precipitation indices L. Crochemore et al. 10.5194/hess-21-1573-2017
- Consistency of agricultural drought characterization over Upper Greater Horn of Africa (1982–2013): Topographical, gauge density, and model forcing influence. N. Agutu et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.135149
- Spatial and temporal trends of urban green spaces: an assessment using hyper-temporal NDVI datasets D. Dutta et al. 10.1080/10106049.2021.1989499
- A pan-African high-resolution drought index dataset J. Peng et al. 10.5194/essd-12-753-2020
- Analysis of spatio-temporal rainfall trends across southern African biomes between 1981 and 2016 F. Marumbwa et al. 10.1016/j.pce.2019.10.004
- Feasible crop insurance indexes for drought risk management in Northern Ethiopia E. Eze et al. 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2020.101544
- Testing a new application for TOPSIS: monitoring drought and wet periods in Iran G. Roshan et al. 10.1007/s00704-016-1976-6
- Application of Parameter Screening to Derive Optimal Initial State Adjustments for Streamflow Forecasting J. Mai et al. 10.1029/2020WR027960
- Comparing the performance of high‐resolution global precipitation products across topographic and climatic gradients of Central Asia M. Peña‐Guerrero et al. 10.1002/joc.7548
- The dominant modes of the long rains interannual variability over Tanzania and their oceanic drivers L. Kebacho & H. Chen 10.1002/joc.7532
- Drought: Progress in broadening its understanding G. Haile et al. 10.1002/wat2.1407
- High-resolution near real-time drought monitoring in South Asia S. Aadhar & V. Mishra 10.1038/sdata.2017.145
- Predicting East African spring droughts using Pacific and Indian Ocean sea surface temperature indices C. Funk et al. 10.5194/hess-18-4965-2014
- An Estimation of Hydrometeorological Drought Stress over the Central Part of India using Geo-information Technology A. Kundu et al. 10.1007/s12524-019-01048-9
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- Machine learning and artificial intelligence to aid climate change research and preparedness C. Huntingford et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab4e55
- An Overview of Drought Monitoring and Prediction Systems at Regional and Global Scales Z. Hao et al. 10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00149.1
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- Evaluation and Improvement of FY-4A AGRI Quantitative Precipitation Estimation for Summer Precipitation over Complex Topography of Western China J. Ren et al. 10.3390/rs13214366
- Seasonal hydroclimatic ensemble forecasts anticipate nutrient and suspended sediment loads using a dynamical-statistical approach S. Sharma et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab2c26
- A copula model integrating atmospheric moisture demand and supply for vegetation vulnerability mapping J. Won et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.151464
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- Evaluation of CHIRPS rainfall estimates over Iran R. Saeidizand et al. 10.1002/qj.3342
- Seasonal streamflow forecasts for Europe – Part I: Hindcast verification with pseudo- and real observations W. Greuell et al. 10.5194/hess-22-3453-2018
- A Physical Agricultural Drought Index Based on Root Zone Water Availability: Model Development and Application M. Liu & A. Sun 10.1029/2020GL088553
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- The benefit of using an ensemble of seasonal streamflow forecasts in water allocation decisions A. Kaune et al. 10.5194/hess-24-3851-2020
- Satellite-Based Evapotranspiration in Hydrological Model Calibration L. Jiang et al. 10.3390/rs12030428
- Understanding uncertainty of model-reanalysis soil moisture within Greater Horn of Africa (1982–2014) N. Agutu et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.127169
- Application of a Hybrid Statistical–Dynamical System to Seasonal Prediction of North American Temperature and Precipitation S. Strazzo et al. 10.1175/MWR-D-18-0156.1
- Evaluation and validation of TAMSAT ‐ALERT soil moisture and WRSI for use in drought anticipatory action V. Boult et al. 10.1002/met.1959
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- Validation of CHIRPS satellite-based precipitation dataset over Pakistan M. Nawaz et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2020.105289
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- An experimental seasonal hydrological forecasting system over the Yellow River basin – Part 2: The added value from climate forecast models X. Yuan 10.5194/hess-20-2453-2016
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- An integrated package for drought monitoring, prediction and analysis to aid drought modeling and assessment Z. Hao et al. 10.1016/j.envsoft.2017.02.008
- The Hydrologic Effects of Synchronous El Niño–Southern Oscillation and Subtropical Indian Ocean Dipole Events over Southern Africa A. Hoell et al. 10.1175/JHM-D-16-0294.1
- Applications of interannual-to-decadal climate prediction: An exploratory discussion on rainfall in the Sahel region of Africa N. Ward & D. Conway 10.1016/j.cliser.2020.100170
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- Assessing North American multimodel ensemble (NMME) seasonal forecast skill to assist in the early warning of anomalous hydrometeorological events over East Africa S. Shukla et al. 10.1007/s00382-016-3296-z
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- Analyzing Space–Time Coherence in Precipitation Seasonality across Different European Climates M. Lanfredi et al. 10.3390/rs12010171
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- Regional soil moisture prediction system based on Long Short-Term Memory network N. Filipović et al. 10.1016/j.biosystemseng.2021.11.019
- Integration of seasonal precipitation forecast information into local-level agricultural decision-making using an agent-based model to support community adaptation S. Alexander & P. Block 10.1016/j.crm.2022.100417
- Towards drought impact-based forecasting in a multi-hazard context V. Boult et al. 10.1016/j.crm.2022.100402
- Evaluating meteorological data from weather stations, and from satellites and global models for a multi-site epidemiological study J. Colston et al. 10.1016/j.envres.2018.02.027
- Evaluation of multiple satellite rainfall products over the rugged topography of the Tekeze-Atbara basin in Ethiopia T. Gebremicael et al. 10.1080/01431161.2018.1562585
- A slow rainy season onset is a reliable harbinger of drought in most food insecure regions in Sub-Saharan Africa S. Shukla et al. 10.1371/journal.pone.0242883
- Validation of CHIRPS precipitation dataset along the Central Andes of Argentina J. Rivera et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2018.06.023
- Upper Blue Nile basin water budget from a multi-model perspective H. Jung et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2017.10.040
6 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Sub‐seasonal teleconnections between convection over the Indian Ocean, the East African long rains and tropical Pacific surface temperatures N. Vigaud et al. 10.1002/joc.4765
- Agro-meteorological risks to maize production in Tanzania: Sensitivity of an adapted Water Requirements Satisfaction Index (WRSI) model to rainfall E. Tarnavsky et al. 10.1016/j.jag.2018.04.008
- The climate hazards infrared precipitation with stations—a new environmental record for monitoring extremes C. Funk et al. 10.1038/sdata.2015.66
- The Leading Mode of Observed and CMIP5 ENSO-Residual Sea Surface Temperatures and Associated Changes in Indo-Pacific Climate* C. Funk & A. Hoell 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00334.1
- Seasonal Forecasting of Global Hydrologic Extremes: System Development and Evaluation over GEWEX Basins X. Yuan et al. 10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00003.1
- The Centennial Trends Greater Horn of Africa precipitation dataset C. Funk et al. 10.1038/sdata.2015.50
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