Do probabilistic forecasts lead to better decisions?

Ramos, M. H.; van Andel, S. J.; Pappenberger, F.

doi:10.5194/hess-17-2219-2013

Articles | Volume 17, issue 6

https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-2219-2013

© Author(s) 2013. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-2219-2013

© Author(s) 2013. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Articles | Volume 17, issue 6

Research article

|

19 Jun 2013

Research article |

| 19 Jun 2013

Do probabilistic forecasts lead to better decisions?

M. H. Ramos, S. J. van Andel, and F. Pappenberger

Viewed

Total article views: 7,355 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)

HTML	PDF	XML	Total	BibTeX	EndNote
3,204	3,939	212	7,355	221	170

HTML: 3,204
PDF: 3,939
XML: 212
Total: 7,355
BibTeX: 221
EndNote: 170

Views and downloads (calculated since 01 Feb 2013, article published on 10 Dec 2012)

Month	HTML	PDF	XML	Total
Feb 2013	19	31	2	52
Mar 2013	11	26	0	37
Apr 2013	24	17	2	43
May 2013	31	22	0	53
Jun 2013	193	129	5	327
Jul 2013	57	59	1	117
Aug 2013	25	32	2	59
Sep 2013	26	31	1	58
Oct 2013	38	44	3	85
Nov 2013	34	35	3	72
Dec 2013	19	37	4	60
Jan 2014	40	43	3	86
Feb 2014	47	34	9	90
Mar 2014	46	42	6	94
Apr 2014	42	51	1	94
May 2014	16	39	1	56
Jun 2014	20	33	1	54
Jul 2014	20	29	4	53
Aug 2014	12	33	1	46
Sep 2014	17	21	0	38
Oct 2014	12	32	0	44
Nov 2014	27	37	2	66
Dec 2014	11	27	4	42
Jan 2015	10	26	0	36
Feb 2015	21	17	0	38
Mar 2015	21	15	0	36
Apr 2015	23	15	0	38
May 2015	11	12	0	23
Jun 2015	40	14	1	55
Jul 2015	31	11	1	43
Aug 2015	13	12	0	25
Sep 2015	12	9	12	33
Oct 2015	18	23	15	56
Nov 2015	23	10	0	33
Dec 2015	10	16	0	26
Jan 2016	26	13	1	40
Feb 2016	23	13	2	38
Mar 2016	40	18	16	74
Apr 2016	20	11	1	32
May 2016	13	11	0	24
Jun 2016	10	7	0	17
Jul 2016	15	8	2	25
Aug 2016	9	8	0	17
Sep 2016	12	6	0	18
Oct 2016	12	9	1	22
Nov 2016	13	5	0	18
Dec 2016	3	3	0	6
Jan 2017	13	3	0	16
Feb 2017	11	8	2	21
Mar 2017	29	10	2	41
Apr 2017	26	20	1	47
May 2017	28	16	3	47
Jun 2017	20	17	2	39
Jul 2017	14	12	1	27
Aug 2017	7	8	0	15
Sep 2017	8	11	0	19
Oct 2017	9	10	0	19
Nov 2017	12	9	0	21
Dec 2017	19	17	0	36
Jan 2018	4	35	0	39
Feb 2018	10	28	0	38
Mar 2018	10	62	0	72
Apr 2018	16	94	0	110
May 2018	7	107	0	114
Jun 2018	4	69	0	73
Jul 2018	9	89	0	98
Aug 2018	14	98	0	112
Sep 2018	17	94	0	111
Oct 2018	12	79	0	91
Nov 2018	18	69	0	87
Dec 2018	10	55	1	66
Jan 2019	11	47	0	58
Feb 2019	5	44	0	49
Mar 2019	6	78	0	84
Apr 2019	6	53	0	59
May 2019	14	64	0	78
Jun 2019	8	41	0	49
Jul 2019	10	14	0	24
Aug 2019	9	16	0	25
Sep 2019	6	12	0	18
Oct 2019	8	7	1	16
Nov 2019	19	9	0	28
Dec 2019	7	7	1	15
Jan 2020	8	12	2	22
Feb 2020	10	14	0	24
Mar 2020	9	20	0	29
Apr 2020	4	7	0	11
May 2020	2	11	1	14
Jun 2020	16	16	0	32
Jul 2020	33	22	15	70
Aug 2020	4	16	9	29
Sep 2020	17	8	0	25
Oct 2020	11	15	1	27
Nov 2020	15	23	0	38
Dec 2020	19	12	0	31
Jan 2021	35	24	0	59
Feb 2021	15	12	0	27
Mar 2021	10	20	1	31
Apr 2021	12	19	0	31
May 2021	17	23	0	40
Jun 2021	55	39	0	94
Jul 2021	9	18	0	27
Aug 2021	11	30	0	41
Sep 2021	14	23	1	38
Oct 2021	12	40	0	52
Nov 2021	14	34	0	48
Dec 2021	17	20	0	37
Jan 2022	19	21	0	40
Feb 2022	11	15	4	30
Mar 2022	17	17	1	35
Apr 2022	14	19	0	33
May 2022	11	14	1	26
Jun 2022	12	12	4	28
Jul 2022	12	8	0	20
Aug 2022	23	13	0	36
Sep 2022	19	9	1	29
Oct 2022	17	15	0	32
Nov 2022	21	19	0	40
Dec 2022	19	13	0	32
Jan 2023	22	26	3	51
Feb 2023	22	13	1	36
Mar 2023	40	36	1	77
Apr 2023	23	41	2	66
May 2023	16	11	1	28
Jun 2023	14	11	1	26
Jul 2023	20	16	3	39
Aug 2023	20	17	1	38
Sep 2023	22	12	0	34
Oct 2023	75	16	1	92
Nov 2023	65	6	0	71
Dec 2023	34	14	2	50
Jan 2024	14	17	0	31
Feb 2024	17	15	4	36
Mar 2024	14	38	3	55
Apr 2024	19	11	4	34
May 2024	22	14	2	38
Jun 2024	19	17	3	39
Jul 2024	15	29	4	48
Aug 2024	36	30	0	66
Sep 2024	16	18	0	34
Oct 2024	17	12	0	29
Nov 2024	19	16	2	37
Dec 2024	18	16	1	35
Jan 2025	20	14	0	34
Feb 2025	27	21	0	48
Mar 2025	31	22	0	53
Apr 2025	32	26	0	58
May 2025	43	14	1	58
Jun 2025	48	24	0	72
Jul 2025	37	28	2	67
Aug 2025	37	27	1	65
Sep 2025	52	21	1	74
Oct 2025	29	16	2	47
Nov 2025	33	33	4	70

Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 01 Feb 2013, article published on 10 Dec 2012)

Month	HTML	PDF	XML	Total
Feb 2013	19	31	2	52
Mar 2013	11	26	0	37
Apr 2013	24	17	2	43
May 2013	31	22	0	53
Jun 2013	193	129	5	327
Jul 2013	57	59	1	117
Aug 2013	25	32	2	59
Sep 2013	26	31	1	58
Oct 2013	38	44	3	85
Nov 2013	34	35	3	72
Dec 2013	19	37	4	60
Jan 2014	40	43	3	86
Feb 2014	47	34	9	90
Mar 2014	46	42	6	94
Apr 2014	42	51	1	94
May 2014	16	39	1	56
Jun 2014	20	33	1	54
Jul 2014	20	29	4	53
Aug 2014	12	33	1	46
Sep 2014	17	21	0	38
Oct 2014	12	32	0	44
Nov 2014	27	37	2	66
Dec 2014	11	27	4	42
Jan 2015	10	26	0	36
Feb 2015	21	17	0	38
Mar 2015	21	15	0	36
Apr 2015	23	15	0	38
May 2015	11	12	0	23
Jun 2015	40	14	1	55
Jul 2015	31	11	1	43
Aug 2015	13	12	0	25
Sep 2015	12	9	12	33
Oct 2015	18	23	15	56
Nov 2015	23	10	0	33
Dec 2015	10	16	0	26
Jan 2016	26	13	1	40
Feb 2016	23	13	2	38
Mar 2016	40	18	16	74
Apr 2016	20	11	1	32
May 2016	13	11	0	24
Jun 2016	10	7	0	17
Jul 2016	15	8	2	25
Aug 2016	9	8	0	17
Sep 2016	12	6	0	18
Oct 2016	12	9	1	22
Nov 2016	13	5	0	18
Dec 2016	3	3	0	6
Jan 2017	13	3	0	16
Feb 2017	11	8	2	21
Mar 2017	29	10	2	41
Apr 2017	26	20	1	47
May 2017	28	16	3	47
Jun 2017	20	17	2	39
Jul 2017	14	12	1	27
Aug 2017	7	8	0	15
Sep 2017	8	11	0	19
Oct 2017	9	10	0	19
Nov 2017	12	9	0	21
Dec 2017	19	17	0	36
Jan 2018	4	35	0	39
Feb 2018	10	28	0	38
Mar 2018	10	62	0	72
Apr 2018	16	94	0	110
May 2018	7	107	0	114
Jun 2018	4	69	0	73
Jul 2018	9	89	0	98
Aug 2018	14	98	0	112
Sep 2018	17	94	0	111
Oct 2018	12	79	0	91
Nov 2018	18	69	0	87
Dec 2018	10	55	1	66
Jan 2019	11	47	0	58
Feb 2019	5	44	0	49
Mar 2019	6	78	0	84
Apr 2019	6	53	0	59
May 2019	14	64	0	78
Jun 2019	8	41	0	49
Jul 2019	10	14	0	24
Aug 2019	9	16	0	25
Sep 2019	6	12	0	18
Oct 2019	8	7	1	16
Nov 2019	19	9	0	28
Dec 2019	7	7	1	15
Jan 2020	8	12	2	22
Feb 2020	10	14	0	24
Mar 2020	9	20	0	29
Apr 2020	4	7	0	11
May 2020	2	11	1	14
Jun 2020	16	16	0	32
Jul 2020	33	22	15	70
Aug 2020	4	16	9	29
Sep 2020	17	8	0	25
Oct 2020	11	15	1	27
Nov 2020	15	23	0	38
Dec 2020	19	12	0	31
Jan 2021	35	24	0	59
Feb 2021	15	12	0	27
Mar 2021	10	20	1	31
Apr 2021	12	19	0	31
May 2021	17	23	0	40
Jun 2021	55	39	0	94
Jul 2021	9	18	0	27
Aug 2021	11	30	0	41
Sep 2021	14	23	1	38
Oct 2021	12	40	0	52
Nov 2021	14	34	0	48
Dec 2021	17	20	0	37
Jan 2022	19	21	0	40
Feb 2022	11	15	4	30
Mar 2022	17	17	1	35
Apr 2022	14	19	0	33
May 2022	11	14	1	26
Jun 2022	12	12	4	28
Jul 2022	12	8	0	20
Aug 2022	23	13	0	36
Sep 2022	19	9	1	29
Oct 2022	17	15	0	32
Nov 2022	21	19	0	40
Dec 2022	19	13	0	32
Jan 2023	22	26	3	51
Feb 2023	22	13	1	36
Mar 2023	40	36	1	77
Apr 2023	23	41	2	66
May 2023	16	11	1	28
Jun 2023	14	11	1	26
Jul 2023	20	16	3	39
Aug 2023	20	17	1	38
Sep 2023	22	12	0	34
Oct 2023	75	16	1	92
Nov 2023	65	6	0	71
Dec 2023	34	14	2	50
Jan 2024	14	17	0	31
Feb 2024	17	15	4	36
Mar 2024	14	38	3	55
Apr 2024	19	11	4	34
May 2024	22	14	2	38
Jun 2024	19	17	3	39
Jul 2024	15	29	4	48
Aug 2024	36	30	0	66
Sep 2024	16	18	0	34
Oct 2024	17	12	0	29
Nov 2024	19	16	2	37
Dec 2024	18	16	1	35
Jan 2025	20	14	0	34
Feb 2025	27	21	0	48
Mar 2025	31	22	0	53
Apr 2025	32	26	0	58
May 2025	43	14	1	58
Jun 2025	48	24	0	72
Jul 2025	37	28	2	67
Aug 2025	37	27	1	65
Sep 2025	52	21	1	74
Oct 2025	29	16	2	47
Nov 2025	33	33	4	70

Latest update: 27 Nov 2025