A robust and parsimonious regional disaggregation method for deriving hourly rainfall intensities for the UK

Abstract. A regional rainfall disaggregation method from daily to hourly intensities is presented for the entire UK, which was developed for use with regionalised hydrological and water quality models. The approach is based on the inter-dependence of the hourly rainfall intensities during a rainfall event. The analysis of 23 229 days with at least 15 mm of precipitation from 238 weather stations throughout the UK allowed regional parameters for climatically homogeneous regions of the UK to be derived for each season. The method reproduces well the main statistical characteristics of the data (mean, minimum and maximum intensity and standard deviation). The method is fully operational, computationally efficient and can be applied to any location throughout the UK.