the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Comparison of BARRA and ERA5 in Replicating Mean and Extreme Precipitation over Australia
Abstract. Reanalysis datasets are critical in climate research and weather analysis, offering consistent historical weather and climate data crucial for understanding atmospheric phenomena, and validating climate models. However, biases exist in reanalysis datasets that would affect their applications under circumstances. This study evaluates BARRA, which is a high-resolution reanalysis for the Australian region, and ERA5 in simulating mean precipitation and six selected precipitation extremes for their climatology, temporal correlation, coefficient of variation and trend. Both models reproduce spatial patterns of mean precipitation well with minor biases. ERA5 shows stronger temporal correlations, superior inter-annual precipitation accuracy, and lower biases in coefficient of variation compared to BARRA, especially in Northern Australia. However, both models exhibit substantial biases in trend, underestimating increasing trends in Northern Australia. ERA5 underestimates dry days and heavy rainfall, while BARRA tends to overestimate these extremes. Temporal correlations for extreme precipitation indices are weaker compared to mean annual precipitation. Notable differences exist in variability biases, with BARRA showing larger biases, especially for heavy precipitation in inland regions and Northern Australia. While both datasets replicate the main trends, biases persist. Overall, the evaluation results support application of both datasets for climatology analyses, but caution is advised for variability and trend analyses, particularly for specific extremes.
- Preprint
(5397 KB) - Metadata XML
-
Supplement
(17251 KB) - BibTeX
- EndNote
Status: open (until 11 Dec 2024)
-
RC1: 'Comment on hess-2024-286', Anonymous Referee #1, 14 Nov 2024
reply
Comments on the manuscript entitled “Comparison of BARRA and ERA5 in Replicating Mean and Extreme Precipitation over Australia” by Cheung et al.
The authors have evaluated BARRA and ERA5 reanalysis data against observed precipitation across Australia, following a comprehensive literature review of previous evaluations of ERA5/ERA Interim and BARRA. Unlike earlier assessments of BARRA that primarily focused on precipitation climatology, this study emphasizes precipitation extremes, temporal correlation, and long-term trends. The evaluation provides valuable guidance for users regarding data analysis and model evaluation based on BARRA data. The manuscript concludes that BARRA exhibits a larger overall bias than ERA5 concerning precipitation extremes. However, the authors do not explain the potential sources of this bias. More analysis or discussions are necessary before the manuscript can be considered for publication in HESS. Detailed comments are as follows:
Major Comments:
1. Clarification of BARRA Data: Please provide additional information about the BARRA dataset. For instance, is ACCESS, used to construct BARRA, a regional climate model? What large-scale forcing data was used to drive the regional climate model? What observational data were assimilated into the BARRA dataset? Specifically, was observational precipitation included in the assimilation process? This information is crucial for understanding the results presented in the manuscript.
2. Evaluation of Precipitation Extremes: Section 4.1 evaluates the annual mean precipitation derived from BARRA and ERA5, which is partly related to precipitation extremes. It would be desirable to further assess precipitation on a day-to-day basis, such as the correlation and variance of daily precipitation. From a probability density distribution perspective, both the mean and variance influence extremes. To what extent is the bias in precipitation extremes related to mean and variance biases?
3. Investigation of Reanalysis Biases: The manuscript lacks an investigation or discussion regarding the sources of reanalysis biases. BARRA was constructed based on the ACCESS model with the assimilation of observational data. It appears that the regional climate model (RCM) used to construct BARRA was driven by ERA-Interim. Do ERA-Interim and BARRA exhibit similar biases in precipitation extremes? To what extent does the BARRA inherit biases from ERA-Interim? What role does the parameterization scheme of the RCM play in precipitation biases?
Other Comments:
L42 and elsewhere: Since ERA5 and BARRA are not solely model outputs but also results of extensive observational data assimilation, the statement "Both 'models' reproduce spatial patterns of mean precipitation well" is misleading. The authors may consider replacing "model" with "dataset."
L232-234 and Figure 2: To my understanding, Figure 2 illustrates the correlation coefficient of annual precipitation between reanalysis and AGCD over the period from 1990 to 2019. This assesses the ability of reanalysis data to reproduce interannual variation of annual precipitation. How well do the reanalysis datasets reproduce observed day-to-day precipitation variability in various seasons?
L259: What is meant by "underestimate biases"?
Figures 3, 4, 6, 7, 8: Please also indicate the significance of bias, trend, or correlation in these figures.
Figure 7: Please also evaluate the coefficient of variation (CV) of day-to-day precipitation in different seasons.
L279-281, Figure S7: Both consecutive dry days (CDD) and consecutive wet days (CWD) exhibit longer durations in northern Australia compared to the southern regions. Why is this the case? CDD and CWD usually exhibit opposite changes. Are the CDD and CWD values illustrated in Figure S7 the maximum values observed over one year? The authors may want to evaluate climate extreme indices in different seasons, as northern Australia is influenced by the Asian-Australian monsoon, which presents a distinct annual cycle in precipitation. The climate extreme indices, such as CDD and CWD, can vary significantly across seasons.
L409-412: Why does BARRA generally perform worse than ERA5? BARRA was produced using a limited-area meteorological forecast model driven by ERA-Interim (Su et al., 2019, GMD). How does BARRA's performance compare with its large-scale forcing data, ERA-Interim, in terms of precipitation? Does BARRA inherit biases from ERA-Interim?
Citation: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2024-286-RC1
Viewed
HTML | XML | Total | Supplement | BibTeX | EndNote | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
111 | 21 | 7 | 139 | 22 | 2 | 5 |
- HTML: 111
- PDF: 21
- XML: 7
- Total: 139
- Supplement: 22
- BibTeX: 2
- EndNote: 5
Viewed (geographical distribution)
Country | # | Views | % |
---|
Total: | 0 |
HTML: | 0 |
PDF: | 0 |
XML: | 0 |
- 1