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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">HESSD</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">HESSD</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss.</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">1812-2116</issn>
<publisher><publisher-name></publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/hess-2020-306</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Copulas for hydroclimatic applications &amp;ndash; A practical note on common misconceptions and pitfalls</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Tootoonchi</surname>
<given-names>Faranak</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5262-1712</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Haerter</surname>
<given-names>Jan Olaf</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8617-3847</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Räty</surname>
<given-names>Olle</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Grabs</surname>
<given-names>Thomas</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6537-0753</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Sadegh</surname>
<given-names>Mojtaba</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Teutschbein</surname>
<given-names>Claudia</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3344-2468</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Department of Earth Sciences, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Niels Bohr Institute, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>Department of Civil Engineering, Boise State University, Boise, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source></funding-source>
<award-id>2017-04970</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>21</day>
<month>07</month>
<year>2020</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2020</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>31</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2020 Faranak Tootoonchi et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2020</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://hess.copernicus.org/preprints/hess-2020-306/">This article is available from https://hess.copernicus.org/preprints/hess-2020-306/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://hess.copernicus.org/preprints/hess-2020-306/hess-2020-306.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://hess.copernicus.org/preprints/hess-2020-306/hess-2020-306.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>&lt;p&gt;For most hydroclimatic applications, precipitation and temperature are of particular interest as they strongly affect the water cycle, can easily be measured and are often readily available from many meteorological stations worldwide. To account for precipitation and temperature variability, their co-dependence and their correlation, several multivariate analysis methods have been adopted in the hydroclimatic literature in recent years. In line with the steadily rising number of publications on this topic, the notion of copula-based probability distribution has also attracted tremendous interest to deal with the complexity of compound events in the multidimensional context. A copula is a function that connects a multivariate distribution to its one-dimensional margins, which allows for a joint distribution of random variables with great flexibility for the marginal distribution. However, there seems to be a lack of comprehensive understanding of the fundamental requirements of the copula concept such as the strength and significance of correlation between variables, autocorrelation effects and the choice of representative copula families, which potentially compromises the robustness of projections of future environmental processes and natural hazards. Therefore, by combining a systematic literature review with a specific hydroclimatic case study in Sweden, we illustrate a practical approach to copula-based modeling, which (1) provides end-users with an overview of necessary requirements, statistical assumptions and consequential limitations of copulas, (2) highlights possible pitfalls and misconceptions, and (3) offers a decision support framework for the application of copulas to support researchers and decision makers in addressing climatological hazards and sustainable development, thereby demystifying what is currently an area of great confusion.&lt;/p&gt;</p>
</abstract>
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