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https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2017-601
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2017-601
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
01 Nov 2017
| 01 Nov 2017
Status: this discussion paper is a preprint. It has been under review for the journal Hydrology and Earth System Sciences (HESS). The manuscript was not accepted for further review after discussion.
Spatial and temporal Trend Analysis of Long Term rainfall records in data-poor catchments with missing data, a case study of Lower Shire floodplain in Malawi for the Period 1953–2010
Abstract. This paper investigated the long-term trends in precipitation from 16 stations located in the lower Shire catchment in Malawi over the period 1953–2010. Annual trend analysis was first considered, and in order to take into account seasonality and serial correlation, the different months of the year are considered. Trend significance was determined using the nonparametric Mann-Kendall (MK) test statistic while the determination of the trends magnitudes was achieved using Sen’s slope method. The homogeneity of trends was examined using the Van Belle and Hughes method. The results indicate that annual precipitation has increased, whereas, monthly precipitation revealed an upward trend in wet seasons (November to April) and a downward trend in dry seasons (May to October). The monthly peak trend analysis has shown upward trend in rainy months at all stations.
How to cite. Rustum, R., Adeloye, A. J., and Mwale, F.: Spatial and temporal Trend Analysis of Long Term rainfall records in data-poor catchments with missing data, a case study of Lower Shire floodplain in Malawi for the Period 1953–2010, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss. [preprint], https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2017-601, 2017.
Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this preprint. The responsibility to include appropriate place names lies with the authors.
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Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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RC1: 'Feedback: Rainfall in Malawi', Anonymous Referee #1, 01 Dec 2017
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AC1: 'Thank you', Rabee Rustum, 03 Dec 2017
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AC1: 'Thank you', Rabee Rustum, 03 Dec 2017
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RC2: 'Comments to the manuscript number hess-2017-601 are in the attached file', Anonymous Referee #2, 02 Dec 2017
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AC2: 'Thank you', Rabee Rustum, 03 Dec 2017
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AC2: 'Thank you', Rabee Rustum, 03 Dec 2017
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RC3: 'review report hess-2017-601 Submitted on 05 Oct 2017 Spatial and temporal Trend Analysis of Long Term rainfall records in data-poor catchments with missing data, a case study of Lower Shire floodplain in Malawi for the Period 1953-2010', Anonymous Referee #3, 15 Jan 2018
Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
- Printer-friendly version
- Supplement
-
RC1: 'Feedback: Rainfall in Malawi', Anonymous Referee #1, 01 Dec 2017
-
AC1: 'Thank you', Rabee Rustum, 03 Dec 2017
-
AC1: 'Thank you', Rabee Rustum, 03 Dec 2017
-
RC2: 'Comments to the manuscript number hess-2017-601 are in the attached file', Anonymous Referee #2, 02 Dec 2017
-
AC2: 'Thank you', Rabee Rustum, 03 Dec 2017
-
AC2: 'Thank you', Rabee Rustum, 03 Dec 2017
-
RC3: 'review report hess-2017-601 Submitted on 05 Oct 2017 Spatial and temporal Trend Analysis of Long Term rainfall records in data-poor catchments with missing data, a case study of Lower Shire floodplain in Malawi for the Period 1953-2010', Anonymous Referee #3, 15 Jan 2018
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Latest update: 12 Jun 2025
Rabee Rustum
School of Energy, Geoscience, Infrastructure and Society, Heriot-Watt University, UK , Dubai Campus, Dubai International Academic City, P O Box 294345, Dubai, UAE
Adebayo J. Adeloye
School of Energy, Geoscience, Infrastructure and Society, Heriot-Watt University, UK, Edinburgh Campus, EH14 4AS
Faidess Mwale
Faidess Dumbizgani Mwale, Head of Department & Senior Lecturer in Hydrology and Water Resources Management Department of Civil Engineering, University of Malawi – The Polytechnic, P/Bag 303, Blantyre 3, Malawi
Short summary
This paper investigated the long-term trends in precipitation from 16 stations located in the lower Shire catchment in Malawi over the period 1953–2010. The results indicate that annual precipitation has increased, whereas, monthly precipitation revealed an upward trend in wet seasons (November to April) and a downward trend in dry seasons (May to October). The monthly peak trend analysis has shown upward trend in rainy months at all stations.
This paper investigated the long-term trends in precipitation from 16 stations located in the...