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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">HESSD</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">HESSD</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss.</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">1812-2116</issn>
<publisher><publisher-name></publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/hessd-6-2573-2009</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>On the benefit of high-resolution climate simulations in impact studies of hydrological extremes</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Dankers</surname>
<given-names>R.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Feyen</surname>
<given-names>L.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Christensen</surname>
<given-names>O. B.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Institute for Environment and Sustainability, European Commission Joint Research Centre, Ispra, Italy</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Danish Climate Center/Danish Meteorological Institute, Copenhagen, Denmark</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>24</day>
<month>03</month>
<year>2009</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>6</volume>
<issue>2</issue>
<fpage>2573</fpage>
<lpage>2597</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2009 R. Dankers et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2009</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Unported License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://hess.copernicus.org/preprints/6/2573/2009/hessd-6-2573-2009.html">This article is available from https://hess.copernicus.org/preprints/6/2573/2009/hessd-6-2573-2009.html</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://hess.copernicus.org/preprints/6/2573/2009/hessd-6-2573-2009.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://hess.copernicus.org/preprints/6/2573/2009/hessd-6-2573-2009.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>We investigated the effect of changing the horizontal resolution of a
regional climate model (RCM) on the simulation of hydrological extremes. We
employed the results of three experiments of the RCM HIRHAM using a grid
size of approximately 12, 25 and 50 km. These simulations were used to drive
the hydrological model LISFLOOD, developed for flood forecasting at European
scale. The discharge simulations of LISFLOOD were compared with statistics
of observed river runoff at 209 gauging stations across Europe. The largest
discrepancies in peak flow occurred in climates with a seasonal snow cover,
which may be explained by inaccuracies in the simulated precipitation that
accumulate over winter. Although previous studies have found that high
resolution climate simulations result in more realistic patterns of extreme
precipitation, especially in mountainous regions, we did not find conclusive
evidence that the 12-km HIRHAM run generally yields a better simulation of
peak discharges. At some gauging stations the model performance is
increasing with increasing horizontal resolution of the RCM, while at other
stations it is decreasing. However, the differences between the three
experiments become less important in larger river basins. Above about 30 000 km&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt; and 120 000 km&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt;, respectively, the 25- and 50-km runs
generally provided a good approximation of the simulations based on the
12-km climatology. Under the A2 scenario of climate change, the changes in
extreme discharge levels were similar between the three experiments at
continental scale. At the scale of individual river basins, however, there
were occasionally important differences. If we assume the 12-km HIRHAM
simulation to be more realistic, the use of lower-resolution climate
simulations may lead to an underestimation of future flood hazard. This
means that results obtained with lower-resolution RCM simulations should be
interpreted with care, as the grid scale of the climate model adds to the
uncertainty.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="25"/></counts>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body/>
<back>
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