<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD Journal Publishing DTD v3.0 20080202//EN" "https://jats.nlm.nih.gov/nlm-dtd/publishing/3.0/journalpublishing3.dtd">
<article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" article-type="research-article" specific-use="SMUR" dtd-version="3.0" xml:lang="en">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">HESSD</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">HESSD</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss.</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">1812-2116</issn>
<publisher><publisher-name></publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/hessd-3-859-2006</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>An application of the Bivariate Generalized Pareto Distribution for the probabilities of low flow extremes estimation</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Jakubowski</surname>
<given-names>W.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Dept. of Mathematics, Agricultural University of Wroclaw, Poland</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>06</day>
<month>06</month>
<year>2006</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>3</volume>
<issue>3</issue>
<fpage>859</fpage>
<lpage>893</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2006 W. Jakubowski</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2006</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 2.5 Generic License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://hess.copernicus.org/preprints/3/859/2006/hessd-3-859-2006.html">This article is available from https://hess.copernicus.org/preprints/3/859/2006/hessd-3-859-2006.html</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://hess.copernicus.org/preprints/3/859/2006/hessd-3-859-2006.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://hess.copernicus.org/preprints/3/859/2006/hessd-3-859-2006.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>The two-dimensional Bivariate Generalized Pareto Distribution (BGPD) of
Tajvidi (1996) is applied in order to estimate the extreme values of the low
flow deficit amounts and durations probabilities. Eight parameters BGPD
depends on two one-dimensional distributions &amp;ndash; Univariate Generalized
Pareto Distributions (UGPDs). Each of these three parameter UGPDs describes
the probability of one of low flow indices. To fit BGPD into observed data a
three steps method of estimation is proposed: (1) For a given shift
parameter of each UGPD two others are estimated by the maximum likelihood
method. (2) For given shifts and the UGPD parameters estimated in the first
step the remaining ones, connected to the bivariate distribution function
formula, are also estimated by the maximum likelihood method. (3) The best
shift pair is chosen by maximization of the correlation coefficient of the
estimated BGPD. The results are applied to statistical description of the
low flow index extremes behaviour at four different catchments profiles. To
extract the low flow time series data the standard constant threshold level
method is applied. Finally the estimated probabilities are compared to the
Zelenhasic and Salvai (1987) model.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="35"/></counts>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body/>
<back>
</back>
</article>