Articles | Volume 3, issue 2
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 3, 305–307, 1999
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-3-305-1999
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 3, 305–307, 1999
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-3-305-1999

  30 Jun 1999

30 Jun 1999

Hydrograph Prediction - How much skill?

M. Beran M. Beran
  • OB Research Services, The Croft, East Hagbourne, Didcot, Oxon OX11 9LS
  • e-mail for corresponding author: max@oldboot.demon.co.uk

Abstract. The matching of estimated to observed hydrograph shape is central to much hydrological analysis. This research note quantifies built-in biases that tend to inflate goodness of fit indicies, biases that arise from the similarity of geometry between observed and estimated hydrographs.