Articles | Volume 3, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-3-305-1999
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-3-305-1999
30 Jun 1999
 | 30 Jun 1999

Hydrograph Prediction - How much skill?

M. Beran

Abstract. The matching of estimated to observed hydrograph shape is central to much hydrological analysis. This research note quantifies built-in biases that tend to inflate goodness of fit indicies, biases that arise from the similarity of geometry between observed and estimated hydrographs.