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  <front>
    <journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">HESS</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>Hydrology and Earth System Sciences</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">HESS</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci.</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">1607-7938</issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>

    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/hess-21-4323-2017</article-id><title-group><article-title>Toward seamless hydrologic predictions across spatial scales</article-title>
      </title-group><?xmltex \runningtitle{Towards seamless predictions}?><?xmltex \runningauthor{L. Samaniego et al.}?>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Samaniego</surname><given-names>Luis</given-names></name>
          <email>luis.samaniego@ufz.de</email>
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8449-4428</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Kumar</surname><given-names>Rohini</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4396-2037</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Thober</surname><given-names>Stephan</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3939-1523</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Rakovec</surname><given-names>Oldrich</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2451-3305</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Zink</surname><given-names>Matthias</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4085-7626</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff2 aff6">
          <name><surname>Wanders</surname><given-names>Niko</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7102-5454</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff3 aff8">
          <name><surname>Eisner</surname><given-names>Stephanie</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0157-1636</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff4 aff5">
          <name><surname>Müller Schmied</surname><given-names>Hannes</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5330-9923</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff6">
          <name><surname>Sutanudjaja</surname><given-names>Edwin H.</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3426-4069</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff7">
          <name><surname>Warrach-Sagi</surname><given-names>Kirsten</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Attinger</surname><given-names>Sabine</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff1"><label>1</label><institution>Department of Computational Hydrosystems, UFZ-Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research, Leipzig, Germany</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff2"><label>2</label><institution>Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544, USA</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff3"><label>3</label><institution>Center for Environmental Systems Research, University of Kassel, Kassel, Germany</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff4"><label>4</label><institution>Institute of Physical Geography, Goethe-University Frankfurt, Frankfurt, Germany</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff5"><label>5</label><institution>Senckenberg Biodiversity and Climate Research Centre (BiK-F), Frankfurt, Germany</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff6"><label>6</label><institution>Universiteit Utrecht, Department of Physical Geography, Utrecht, the Netherlands</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff7"><label>7</label><institution>Institute of Physics and Meteorology, University of Hohenheim, Stuttgart, Germany</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff8"><label>a</label><institution>now at: Division for Forestry and Forest Resources, Norwegian Institute of  Bioeconomy Research, Ås, Norway</institution>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <author-notes><corresp id="corr1">Luis Samaniego (luis.samaniego@ufz.de)</corresp></author-notes><pub-date><day>1</day><month>September</month><year>2017</year></pub-date>
      
      <volume>21</volume>
      <issue>9</issue>
      <fpage>4323</fpage><lpage>4346</lpage>
      <history>
        <date date-type="received"><day>25</day><month>February</month><year>2017</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-request"><day>6</day><month>March</month><year>2017</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-recd"><day>2</day><month>August</month><year>2017</year></date>
           <date date-type="accepted"><day>4</day><month>August</month><year>2017</year></date>
      </history>
      <permissions>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Unported License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/21/4323/2017/hess-21-4323-2017.html">This article is available from https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/21/4323/2017/hess-21-4323-2017.html</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/21/4323/2017/hess-21-4323-2017.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/21/4323/2017/hess-21-4323-2017.pdf</self-uri>


      <abstract>
    <p>Land surface and hydrologic models (LSMs/HMs) are used at diverse
spatial resolutions ranging from catchment-scale (1–10 km) to
global-scale (over 50 km) applications. Applying the same model
structure at different spatial scales requires that the model
estimates similar fluxes independent of the chosen resolution, i.e.,
fulfills a flux-matching condition across scales. An analysis of
state-of-the-art LSMs and HMs reveals that most do not have consistent
hydrologic parameter fields. Multiple experiments with the mHM,
Noah-MP, PCR-GLOBWB, and WaterGAP models demonstrate the pitfalls of
deficient parameterization practices currently used in most
operational models, which are insufficient to satisfy the
flux-matching condition. These examples demonstrate that J. Dooge's
1982 statement on the unsolved problem of parameterization in these
models remains true. Based on a review of existing parameter
regionalization techniques, we postulate that the multiscale parameter
regionalization (MPR) technique offers a practical and robust method
that provides consistent (seamless) parameter and flux fields across
scales. Herein, we develop a general model protocol to describe how
MPR can be applied to a particular model and present an example
application using the PCR-GLOBWB model. Finally, we discuss potential
advantages and limitations of MPR in obtaining the seamless prediction
of hydrological fluxes and states across spatial scales.</p>
  </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
<body>
      

<sec id="Ch1.S1" sec-type="intro">
  <title>Introduction</title>
      <p><disp-quote>
  <p>“If it disagrees with experiment, it's wrong”. Richard P. Feynman</p>
</disp-quote></p>
      <p>Land surface and hydrologic models (LSMs/HMs) are currently used at
diverse spatial resolutions ranging from 1 to 10 km in catchment-scale
impact analysis and forecasting <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx21 bib1.bibx2" id="paren.1"/> to
over 50 km in global-scale climate change simulations to estimate land
surface boundary conditions of key state variables
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx47 bib1.bibx11 bib1.bibx112" id="paren.2"/>. The fundamental
conditions behind the applicability of the same LSM/HM model structure
at different spatial scales requires that the model parameterizations
are scale invariant and that the model estimates similar fluxes across a
range of spatial resolutions. In other words, it must fulfill the
flux-matching condition across scales so that the mass
conservation principle can be ensured <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx116" id="paren.3"/>.</p>
      <p>A parameterization is a simplified and idealized representation of
subgrid physical phenomenon that is either “too small, too brief, too
complex, or too poorly understood” to be explicitly represented by a
model at a given resolution <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx36" id="paren.4"/>. Parameterizations
require variables called predictors, effective parameters and constants
also called transfer, global, or super parameters
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx88" id="paren.5"/>. Super parameters are often parameters in empirical
relationships that have been found with measurements in the field or in
the laboratory, e.g., regression parameters in pedotransfer
functions <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx26" id="paren.6"/>. They are often tuned to represent observed
variables and often have no physical meaning. These parameters
constitute simplified surrogates to compensate for the missing subgrid
processes that are not accounted for within a modeling system
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx17" id="paren.7"/>.</p>
      <p>Effective parameters of LSMs/HMs are usually obtained by ad hoc
procedures (e.g., automatic calibration) at a given spatial resolution
for a given modeling domain. As a consequence of this standard
practice, parameter fields of LSMs/HMs often exhibit artificial
spatial “discontinuities” such as calibration imprints circumscribing
river basin boundaries, and consequently they are not seamless
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx74 bib1.bibx65" id="paren.8"/>. Inconsistent patterns of effective parameter
fields for land surface geophysical properties across spatial scales
constitute a clear indication that their parameterizations are not
scale invariant. There are several reasons explaining this
parameterization deficiency. With the advent of electronic computers,
the performance of general circulation models (GCMs), numerical weather
prediction (NWP) models <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx87" id="paren.9"/>, land surface models
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx66 bib1.bibx100 bib1.bibx84" id="paren.10"/>, and hydrologic models
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx6 bib1.bibx68 bib1.bibx107 bib1.bibx95" id="paren.11"/> has been
increased mainly by improving model conceptualization (i.e., the number
of process descriptions) and/or spatial resolution since the storage
capacity and computational power allowed for it <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx61 bib1.bibx119 bib1.bibx12" id="paren.12"/>. As a result, parameterizations in LSMs have
also increased in their complexity during the past decades
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx100 bib1.bibx41" id="paren.13"/>. The procedures to estimate effective
parameters required for the parameterizations, however, remained
unchanged. For example, LSMs evolved from simple aerodynamic bulk
transfer schemes with uniform description of surface parameters during
the 1970s to detailed LSMs having a consistent description of the
exchange of energy and matter between the atmosphere, the vegetation,
and the land surface <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx100" id="paren.14"/>. State-of-the-art LSMs, such
as the Community Land Model version 4 <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx16" id="paren.15"/> and Noah-MP
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx84" id="paren.16"/>, however, still use quite simple
pedotransfer functions based on work of <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx22" id="text.17"/> and
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx26" id="text.18"/> to estimate fundamental soil properties such as
porosity <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx85" id="paren.19"/>.</p>
      <p>Further reasons that have prevented the improvement of
parameterization techniques are
<list list-type="bullet"><list-item><p>the lack of procedures and theories
for linking physical properties (e.g., soil porosity) that can be
measured at the field scale with “effective” parameter values that
represent the aggregate behavior of the land characteristics at the
scale of a grid cell required in LSMs or HMs,</p></list-item><list-item><p>poor understanding of
the scaling of parameters <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx32" id="paren.20"/> and its influence on the
hydrological response of the system <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx116 bib1.bibx117" id="paren.21"/>,</p></list-item><list-item><p>limited
inclusion of subgrid heterogeneity in hydrological
parameterizations and multiscale modeling of hydrologically relevant
variables as suggested by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx38 bib1.bibx37 bib1.bibx67" id="text.22"/>,</p></list-item><list-item><p>lack of significant progress on the
applicability of seminal upscaling theories <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx75 bib1.bibx30 bib1.bibx43 bib1.bibx81 bib1.bibx54" id="paren.23"/> developed for
subsurface hydrologic problems into LSMs/HMs, and</p></list-item><list-item><p>lack of
transparency in most of the existing LSM/HM source codes with respect to
the meaning, origin, and uncertainty associated with the hard-coded
numerical values (i.e., parameters) either in the code or in the look-up
tables <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx73 bib1.bibx29" id="paren.24"/>.</p></list-item></list>
Consequently, it is possible to assert that model parameterization is an old,
ubiquitous, and recurring problem in land surface and hydrologic modeling.
Considering this lack of coherent development during the past decades, we can
still concur with <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx32" id="text.25"><named-content content-type="post">p. 269</named-content></xref> and say that the
“parameterization of hydrologic processes to the grid scale of general
circulation models is a problem that has not been approached, let alone
solved.”</p>
      <p>There are potential methods available in the literature that may lead
toward coherent parameterizations and prediction of water and energy
fluxes in LSMs/HMs. For example, (1) sidestepping the scaling problem of
key model parameters by assuming scale-independent distribution
functions with regionalized distribution parameters
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx52" id="paren.26"/>, (2) finding strong links between model parameters to
mapped geophysical attributes via regularization procedures
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx88" id="paren.27"/>, and (3) finding strong links between of observed
functional responses of hydrological systems and geophysical
characteristics <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx121" id="paren.28"/>. These methods, however, alone may
not satisfy the flux-matching criteria.</p>
      <p>In contrast to these existing methods, we argue that the multiscale
parameter parameterization (MPR) technique <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx95" id="paren.29"/> offers a
framework to link the field scale (observations) with the catchment
scale <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx32" id="paren.30"/>. MPR also accounts for the effect of the spatial
variability and non-linearity of geophysical characteristics in the
parameterization of hydrologic processes that operate at a range of
spatial resolutions <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx32 bib1.bibx117" id="paren.31"/>. Depending on the
conditions imposed on the parameter estimation technique, MPR can lead
to parameterizations that satisfy the flux-matching criteria and hence
contributes to obtaining seamless parameter and water flux fields. Because
MPR relies on empirical transfer functions and upscaling operators to
link geophysical properties with model parameters, it provides a very
effective procedure to transfer “global parameters” to scales and
locations other than those used in calibration <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx94 bib1.bibx95 bib1.bibx59" id="paren.32"/>. This dependency on several transferable
coefficients also contributes to minimizing a serious drawback of
spatially explicit models called “overparameterization”
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx10" id="paren.33"/>.</p>
      <p>In this study, we analyze to which extent existing LSM/HM
parameterizations are limited to obtain seamless predictions of water
fluxes and states across multiple spatial resolutions. Through several
modeling experiments addressing <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx115" id="text.34"/>'s query (i.e., “What
modeling experiments need to be performed to resolve the scale question …”), we demonstrate that a large portion of the predictive
uncertainty in existing LSMs/HMs originates from the deficient estimation
of effective parameters, which leads to a lack of scale invariance and
thus to their poor transferability across scales and locations. These
experiments also aim to help the modeler to reveal poor-performing
parameterizations, i.e., those that exhibit non-seamless
fields. Finally, based on our past experiences and aiming to address the
challenges stated above, we develop a protocol that systematizes the
application of the MPR technique for any LSM/HM and demonstrate its
effectiveness by implementing it into the PCR-GLOBWB model.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2">
  <title>Current parameterization techniques</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS1">
  <title>The state of the art</title>
      <p>The most common parameterization techniques found in the literature are (1) look-up tables (LUTs),
(2) manual or automatic calibration, (3) hydrologic
response units (HRUs), (4) representative elementary watersheds (REWs), (5) a
priori regularization functions, (6) simultaneous
regionalization/regularization functions, and (7) dissimilarity-based metrics
to transfer model parameters.</p>
      <p>The simplest technique to assign a parameter value to a modeling unit
(e.g., grid cell, HRU, or subcatchment) is based on a LUT. In this case, a
categorical index associated with a modeling unit links it with
information taken from an external reference file (i.e., the LUT) which
maps this index with parameter values that are usually taken from the
literature. This technique is commonly used in most of the (operational)
LSMs such as CABLE, CHTESSEL, CLM, JULES, and Noah-MP <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx56 bib1.bibx108 bib1.bibx34 bib1.bibx85 bib1.bibx9 bib1.bibx83" id="paren.35"/>. A
disadvantage of this method is the difficulty to perform sensitivity
analysis <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx29" id="paren.36"/>. Moreover, the number of classes defined in
LUT is often limited to a few (e.g., 13 soil classes in Noah-MP)
resulting in non-seamless parameter fields that are not continuous.</p>
      <p>Manual or automatic calibration is a commonly used technique to
parameterize spatially lumped hydrologic models <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx27 bib1.bibx18 bib1.bibx68 bib1.bibx35 bib1.bibx39 bib1.bibx72 bib1.bibx3 bib1.bibx101" id="paren.37"><named-content content-type="pre">e.g.,</named-content></xref> and semi-distributed hydrologic models
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx62 bib1.bibx53 bib1.bibx69 bib1.bibx50 bib1.bibx74 bib1.bibx51" id="paren.38"><named-content content-type="pre">e.g.,</named-content></xref>. The aim is to minimize the
disagreement between model simulations and observations. In the majority
of the cases, the target variable is streamflow.  The main drawback of
this parameterization technique is that the parameter fields, which are
obtained by colocating lumped model parameters from sub-basins, are
doubtful because they exhibit sharp discontinuities along individually
calibrated sub-basin boundaries despite having spatial continuity in
basin physical attributes like soil, vegetation, and geological
properties that govern spatial dynamics of hydrological processes
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx74 bib1.bibx65 bib1.bibx14" id="paren.39"/>. In addition, the “patchwork quilt”
parameter fields shown in these references exhibit significant
sensitivity to the calibration conditions as demonstrated by
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx74" id="text.40"/>. Thus, models that are parameterized with this technique
may exhibit (1) poor predictability of state variables and fluxes at
locations and periods not considered in calibration and (2) sharp
discontinuities along sub-basin boundaries in state, flux, and parameter
fields <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx74 bib1.bibx69" id="paren.41"><named-content content-type="pre">e.g.,</named-content></xref>. Parameter fields
derived from basin-wise “calibrated” lumped models lack spatial
seamlessness and thus are “inadequate representations of real-world
systems” <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx98" id="paren.42"/>. Moreover, excessive reliance on
parameter calibration leads to deficient performance at interior points
of the basin or at other locations at which the model was not calibrated
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx88 bib1.bibx63 bib1.bibx17" id="paren.43"/>.</p>
      <p>There have been many attempts to improve the parameterization of lumped
and semi-distributed models by further discretizing the sub-basins into
a given number of regions that exhibit nearly similar hydrologic
behavior, i.e., the so-called HRU concept
initially proposed by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx62" id="text.44"/> and further developed by
others <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx42 bib1.bibx8 bib1.bibx13 bib1.bibx109 bib1.bibx122" id="paren.45"><named-content content-type="pre">e.g.,</named-content></xref>. Unfortunately, results obtained in these
parameterization attempts have not been very successful in realistically
representing the spatial variability of model parameters, states, and
fluxes because of the lack of regionalized parameters and the unabridged
reliance on parameter calibration to improve model performance
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx57" id="paren.46"/>. Commonly, the effective parameters estimated for the
HRUs are found by automatic calibration. Efforts have been made to
enforce continuity on parameter fields
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx45 bib1.bibx102" id="paren.47"/> but with somewhat limited success
during the transferability of parameters across scales and locations. In
addition, models parameterized using HRUs do not lead to mass
conservation of water fluxes (i.e., flux-matching) when applied to
scales other than those used for calibration <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx57 bib1.bibx59" id="paren.48"/>. Recent attempts have been made to improve the HRU concept
to increase the seamless representation of parameters, states, and fluxes
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx19" id="paren.49"/>. However, this concept has not been tested for
scalability and seamlessness of the estimated fields at coarse
resolutions. Lately, a thermodynamic reinterpretation of the HRU concept
was proposed by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx122" id="text.50"/>, but to date, the implementation of
this approach has not found its way into meso-scale to macro-scale LSMs/HMs.</p>
      <p>The representative elementary watershed approach <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx92" id="paren.51"/>
is an interesting theoretical concept, which scales mass and momentum
balance equations. Unfortunately, to the best of our knowledge, it has
not been used to estimate effective parameters at meso- and regional
scales.</p>
      <p>A priori regularization functions (e.g., pedotransfer functions) were
introduced by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx55" id="text.52"/> to ensure the “inappropriate
randomness in the spatial patterns of model parameters”, i.e., the lack
of seamlessness. Unfortunately, in this case, the parameters (or
coefficients) of regularization functions were not subject to parameter
estimation or to the verification of their ability to predict fluxes and
states across various scales. The use of empirical point-scale-based
relationships to link geophysical characteristics with LSM/HM parameters
and the assumption that their coefficients are universally applicable
with certainty (e.g., the coefficients in the <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx22" id="text.53"/>
pedotransfer functions) are the major reasons for the proliferation of
hidden parameters in LSM/HM code <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx73 bib1.bibx29" id="paren.54"/>. It is
of pivotal importance to understand that these point-scale relationships
should not be applied beyond the scale at which they were derived.</p>
      <p>Many types of regionalization (or regularization) approaches have been
tested for semi-distributed and distributed models. According to
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx95" id="text.55"/>, these approaches can be broadly classified into
post-regionalization and simultaneous regionalization approaches,
depending on if the regionalization function parameters (or global
parameters) are estimated after <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx1 bib1.bibx99 bib1.bibx111 bib1.bibx70" id="paren.56"/> or during the model calibration
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx40 bib1.bibx50 bib1.bibx45 bib1.bibx88" id="paren.57"/>. None of these procedures consider the subgrid
variability of the model parameters or geophysical
characteristics. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx70" id="text.58"/> noted that most of these
regionalization procedures exhibit limited transferability because of
the use of discrete soil texture classes as predictors, and very likely
discontinuous parameter fields.</p>
      <p>Recently, a dissimilarity-based regionalization technique was used by
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx7" id="text.59"/> to generate an ensemble of global parameters of the
Hydrologiska Byråns Vattenbalansavdelning (HBV) model at a 0.5<inline-formula><mml:math id="M1" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> resolution for global-scale hydrological
modeling. A shortcoming of this approach is the use of ad hoc
nearest-neighbor interpolation of parameter fields to fill gaps where no
donor basins are available in (geographically) surrounding regions.
Following a similar concept of that of <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx7" id="text.60"/>, the
parameterization method proposed by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx15" id="text.61"/> for the contiguous
United States (CONUS) will likely lead to discontinuous parameter fields
for reasons similar to those mentioned above.</p>
      <p>Many attempts have been made in the land surface modeling community to
address Dooge's challenges, especially with respect to the
transferability of model parameters across locations and scales, and to
obtain seamless parameter fields. One of the earliest prominent
experiments was conducted in the Project for Intercomparison of
Land-surface Parameterizations (PILPS) <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx118" id="paren.62"/>. In this
project, calibrated LSM parameters were transferred from small
catchments to their nearest computational grid cells. The results
indicated that LSMs exhibited poor transferability across space, leading
to significant differences in the partitioning of water and energy
fluxes. For instance, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx106" id="text.63"/> used calibrated variable infiltration capacity (VIC) model
parameters from small basins to generate parameter fields for
continental-scale land surface modeling by “linearly interpolating to
fill in those grid cell not calibrated” on a sparse grid. As noted by
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx95" id="text.64"/>, this type of regionalization is inadequate because
of the nonlinearity of soil and geological formations. The spatial
patterns of model parameters that would be obtained by ad hoc
extrapolations based on calibrated parameters from small basins or grid
cells would most likely lead to unrealistic parameter fields with
spatial discontinuities circumscribing river basins, as shown in recent
studies by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx114" id="text.65"/> and <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx76" id="text.66"/> for the VIC model
parameters.</p>
      <p>Recent community-driven efforts, such as the Protocol for the Analysis
of Land Surface Models (PALS) and the Land Surface Model Benchmarking
Evaluation Project (PLUMBER) <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx48" id="paren.67"/>, indicate that the
hurdles noted in PILPS have not been overcome. Thus, it is required to
gain understanding on whether the inferior predictability of many LSMs
evaluated with empirical benchmarks in the PLUMBER project (e.g., CABLE,
CHTESSEL, JULES, Noah) may be the result of deficient parameterizations,
among other factors.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS2">
  <title>Parameterization of soil porosity and available water capacity in
selected LSMs/HMs</title>
      <p>The above-mentioned challenges that we face in estimating key physical
parameters in LSMs/HMs have been intensively discussed in many studies
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx46 bib1.bibx12 bib1.bibx11 bib1.bibx24 bib1.bibx25 bib1.bibx76 bib1.bibx86" id="paren.68"/>. To further visualize the problems and
to understand the deficiencies of current parameterization techniques,
we selected a representative sample of LSMs/HMs used for research and/or
operational purposes, namely CABLE, CLM, JULES, LISFLOOD, Noah-MP, mHM,
PCR-GLOBWB, WaterGAP2 (30 arcmin), WaterGAP3 (5 arcmin), CHTESSEL, and
HBV. These models vary in process complexity and spatial resolution.</p>
      <p>We selected soil porosity as an example to visualize existing
shortcomings because it is one of the most common parameters in many
LSMs/HMs. This parameter controls the dynamic of several state variables
and fluxes such as soil moisture, latent heat, and soil temperature, and
its sensitivity has been demonstrated in various studies
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx44 bib1.bibx28 bib1.bibx73 bib1.bibx29" id="paren.69"/>. A
representation of the porosity of the top 2 m soil column in these
models over the Pan-European domain (Pan-EU) is shown in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F1"/>. The
Pan-EU domain was selected for depiction, but we note that the problem
is general and persistent across other domains <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx76" id="paren.70"/>. For
cases in which a HM does not use this parameter, the “available water
capacity” (WaterGAP) or the “field capacity” (HBV) were selected as a
surrogate due to their similarity with porosity. Both surrogate fields
are normalized (in space) to ease their comparison with the porosity
fields. Soil porosity is expressed in m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M2" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M3" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> to ease the
comparison among different models.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{p}?><fig id="Ch1.F1" specific-use="star"><caption><p>Porosity fields (top 2 m) of typical LSM/HM over Pan-EU at
various resolutions: CABLE (1<inline-formula><mml:math id="M4" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>), CLM (1<inline-formula><mml:math id="M5" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>),
CHTESSEL (0.11<inline-formula><mml:math id="M6" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>), JULES (35 km), LISFLOOD (EFAS, 5 km),
mHM (EDgE-C3S, 5 km), Noah-MP (CORDEX-EU, 0.11<inline-formula><mml:math id="M7" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>), and
PCR-GLOBWB (EDgE-C3S, 5 km). Normalized available water capacity of
WaterGAP2 (HyperHydro, 30 arcmin), [3, 536] mm, WaterGAP3
(HyperHydro, 5 arcmin), [1, 960] mm, and HBV [50, 698] mm. In brackets, the
normalization values, denoted as [min, max], are provided only for
HBV and WaterGAP.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=341.433071pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/21/4323/2017/hess-21-4323-2017-f01.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p>The following lessons can be learned from Figure <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F1"/>:
<list list-type="bullet"><list-item><p>There is a large variability in the parameterization of this key
physical parameter because none of the analyzed models have comparable
spatial patterns or comparable estimates at a given location. It should
be noted that the definition of the selected parameter is rather simple:
it represents the ratio of the volume of voids to the total volume in
the soil column. One can now wonder how large the uncertainty of other
parameters would be (e.g., hydraulic conductivity) whose relationship
with soil properties is very nonlinear.</p></list-item><list-item><p>The degree of seamlessness
strongly depends on the level of aggregation and the upscaling of
underlying soil texture fields. For example, the proxy of porosity for WaterGAP is
substantially different in spatial pattern and magnitude for 30 arcmin
and 5 arcmin simulations. On the contrary, the spatial pattern and
magnitude for porosity used in mHM remain almost unchanged for
application at 30  and 5 arcmin resolution.</p></list-item><list-item><p>A parameter field
becomes highly discontinuous and patchy when, for a given model, the
parameter is calibrated in a limited domain (or basins) and then
extrapolated to other regions (e.g., as shown in the panel corresponding
to the HBV).</p></list-item><list-item><p>These experimental results confirm the postulation of
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx32" id="text.71"/> that the parameterization of the existing
state-of-the-art LSMs/HMs at large and continental scales is
still an unsolved problem.</p></list-item></list>
The analysis of current parameterization techniques allow us to put
forward the following questions:
<list list-type="bullet"><list-item><p>Why are there such large
differences between models in estimating a parameter that has a physical
meaning?</p></list-item><list-item><p>What are the consequences of poor parameterizations on the
spatiotemporal dynamics of state variables and fluxes?</p></list-item><list-item><p>What are the
consequences of model calibration on parameter fields?</p></list-item><list-item><p>Are current
model parameterizations scale invariant?</p></list-item><list-item><p>Do the fluxes estimated
with these models at various scales satisfy the fundamental mass
conservation criterion (hereafter denoted as the flux-matching test)?</p></list-item></list></p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3">
  <title>Seamless parameterization framework</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS1">
  <title>The flux-matching postulation</title>
      <p>The key postulation aiming at obtaining scalable (global) parameters that are
transferable across locations and scales was proposed by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx95" id="text.72"/> and
further tested in <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx58 bib1.bibx59" id="text.73"/> and
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx91" id="text.74"/>. We hypothesize that flux matching across scales leads to quasi-scale-invariant
global parameters <inline-formula><mml:math id="M8" display="inline"><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false" mathvariant="normal">^</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:math></inline-formula>; thus,
            <disp-formula id="Ch1.E1" content-type="numbered"><mml:math id="M9" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:munder><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:munder><mml:munder><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:munder><mml:mo mathsize="1.5em">|</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>W</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:munder><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>∈</mml:mo><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:munder><mml:msub><mml:mi>w</mml:mi><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo mathsize="1.5em">|</mml:mo><mml:mo>→</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mo>∀</mml:mo><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>∈</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Ω</mml:mi><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula></p>
      <p>Here, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M10" display="inline"><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> denotes the subgrid elements constituting a given modeling
cell <inline-formula><mml:math id="M11" display="inline"><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> with area <inline-formula><mml:math id="M12" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.  <inline-formula><mml:math id="M13" display="inline"><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> denotes a modeling grid cell <inline-formula><mml:math id="M14" display="inline"><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> with
area <inline-formula><mml:math id="M15" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. <inline-formula><mml:math id="M16" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>W</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M17" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>w</mml:mi><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> denote fluxes at two modeling scales
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M18" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ℓ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M19" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ℓ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, respectively, with
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M20" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mfrac style="text"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ℓ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ℓ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle></mml:mfenced><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mfrac style="text"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. <inline-formula><mml:math id="M21" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Ω</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> denotes the
modeling domain, e.g., a river basin, and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M22" display="inline"><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> a point in time. It should
be noted that the topology of the cells at either level is not
specified. Normally, rectangular grid cells are used for convenience, but
this is not a necessary condition. This strong flux-matching condition
can be used as a penalty function or as an additional test to discriminate
parameter sets obtained with conventional parameter estimation
approaches.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS2">
  <title>The MPR approach</title>
      <p>MPR, proposed by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx95" id="text.75"/>,
aims to estimate model parameters that are seamless across scales, satisfy
the flux-matching conditions (see Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S3.SS1"/>), and enable
the transferability of global or transfer-function parameters across scales
and locations <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx94 bib1.bibx95 bib1.bibx58 bib1.bibx113 bib1.bibx71 bib1.bibx90" id="paren.76"/>. The development of MPR is ongoing. Regionalization
functions used in MPR for the mHM model (<uri>www.ufz.de/mhm</uri>) by
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx94" id="text.77"/> were further improved by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx59" id="text.78"/>. More recently,
a model-agnostic implementation of MPR has been proposed by
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx76" id="text.79"/> and tested in the VIC model in over 500<inline-formula><mml:math id="M23" display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> basins in the
CONUS. The study of <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx76" id="text.80"/>, in contrast to the present study,
does not include flux-matching tests nor the evaluation of model skill across
different spatial scales.</p>
      <p>The scaling problem in MPR is addressed by using process-specific
representative elementary areas (REAs) that determine the minimum
computational grid size <inline-formula><mml:math id="M24" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ℓ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> at which the continuum assumptions can
be used without explicit knowledge of the actual patterns of the
topography, soil, or rainfall fields <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx117" id="paren.81"/>. The REA of a
specific process, such as streamflow, can be determined by conducting a
careful sensitivity analysis as shown by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx95" id="text.82"/>. To estimate
an “effective” model parameter (e.g., total soil porosity) at the
selected modeling scale, it is first necessary to estimate its
variability at a much finer scale <inline-formula><mml:math id="M25" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ℓ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>≪</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ℓ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> such that the
effects of its spatial heterogeneity can be adequately represented. In
other words, the parameter at the fine scale <inline-formula><mml:math id="M26" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ℓ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> represents the
minimum support at which the proposed equations are still
valid. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx5" id="text.83"/> indicated that a suitable estimate of
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M27" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ℓ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> for a given parameter could be near its correlation length. The
subgrid variability of a parameter <inline-formula><mml:math id="M28" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> depends, in
turn, on the spatial heterogeneity of geophysical and biophysical
characteristics (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M29" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold">u</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>), such as terrain elevation, slope and
aspect, soil texture, geological formation, and land cover, which are
now available at hyper-resolution for the entire globe. The mathematical
relationships that link model parameters with these characteristics at
the finer resolution are called pedotransfer, regionalization, or
regularization functions <inline-formula><mml:math id="M30" display="inline"><mml:mi>f</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx22 bib1.bibx26 bib1.bibx120" id="paren.84"/>. The constants required in these functions are usually
denoted as global parameters <inline-formula><mml:math id="M31" display="inline"><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">^</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:math></inline-formula>; thus,
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M32" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold">u</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">^</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. Note that the fields
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M33" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M34" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold">u</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> are dependent on space and
time, but the vector <inline-formula><mml:math id="M35" display="inline"><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false" mathvariant="normal">^</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:math></inline-formula> is not.</p>
      <p>Regularization functions are commonly used in mathematics and statistics
to solve ill-posed problems (which is the case when the parameters of a
distributed LSM/HM are determined by calibration) and/or to prevent
overfitting. The direct consequence of the regularization is the
substantial decrease in degrees of freedom of the optimization problem
because the cardinality of the gridded parameter fields
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M36" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">#</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="italic">{</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo mathvariant="italic">}</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is orders of magnitude larger than that of
the vector of the global parameters
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M37" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">#</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="italic">{</mml:mo><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mo mathvariant="italic">}</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. Hence, MPR is a parsimonious
parameterization technique that offers spatially continuous parameter
fields and removes spatial discontinuities in water fluxes and states,
as observed by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx45" id="text.85"/> and discussed by
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx76" id="text.86"/>. From the Bayesian point of view, the regularization
functions impose a prior distribution on the model
parameters. Consequently, greater care should be taken in their
selection.</p>
      <p>The second step of the MPR approach consists of upscaling the subgrid
distribution of a regionalized parameter to the modeling scale. In other
words, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M38" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mo>〈</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>〉</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. Here, the symbol <inline-formula><mml:math id="M39" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>〈</mml:mo><mml:mo>⋅</mml:mo><mml:mo>〉</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> represents an
averaging or scaling operator that is parameter specific, and thus
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M40" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> denotes the upscaled effective parameter
field. It is important to note that this scaling operator is not
necessarily the arithmetic mean.</p>
      <p>A schematic representation of the MPR procedure can be seen in
Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F2"/>. In short, the motto of MPR is
“estimate first, then average”, whereas other existing regionalization
methods follow the opposite approach of “average first, then
estimate.” Because the processes in LSMs/HMs are highly nonlinear, this
sequence of operations does not commute. The consequences can be
dramatic (to be shown in the results section). The latter, which is the
standard approach,  does not preserve fluxes/states across
scales, whereas MPR does to a considerable extent. The key question here
is in finding the right scaling rule for the model parameters such that
the fluxes/states are preserved across a range of spatial scales.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F2" specific-use="star"><caption><p>Schematic representation of the proposed seamless prediction
framework based on <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx91" id="text.87"/>. It includes a preliminary
sensitivity analysis, MPR estimation, global-parameter estimation, a
flux-matching test, and multiscale seamless prediction. <inline-formula><mml:math id="M41" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>W</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M42" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>w</mml:mi><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> are the fluxes at the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M43" display="inline"><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M44" display="inline"><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> cells of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M45" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula><inline-formula><mml:math id="M46" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>
and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M47" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula><inline-formula><mml:math id="M48" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> resolutions, respectively (as an
example). <inline-formula><mml:math id="M49" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>Q</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">obs</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M50" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">obs</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> are the observed time series of
streamflow and soil moisture, respectively. The operator <inline-formula><mml:math id="M51" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>|</mml:mo><mml:mo>⋅</mml:mo><mml:mo>|</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
is a compromise dissimilarity metric composed of many independent
observations at various scales. </p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=369.885827pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/21/4323/2017/hess-21-4323-2017-f02.pdf"/>

        </fig>

      <p>Model parameters at the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M52" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ℓ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> scale (i.e., 1 to 100 km) are called
“effective” parameters because they cannot be measured by physical
means at this resolution and can only be inferred by heuristic
relationships <inline-formula><mml:math id="M53" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mo>⋅</mml:mo><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. Thus, it is essential that the inequality
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M54" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ℓ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>≪</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ℓ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is fulfilled so that the law of large numbers leads
to stable estimates of the effective parameter <inline-formula><mml:math id="M55" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
having low uncertainty. Since every LSM/HM (e.g., those mentioned in
Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S2"/>) contains “effective” model parameters, depending
on heuristic relationships (that are hidden in the source code in many
cases; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx73 bib1.bibx29" id="altparen.88"/>), it is logical that existing
LSMs/HMs are subject to parameter uncertainty. These models can be
treated as stochastic models, even though their governing equations are
deterministic in nature and based on physical principles such as the
conservation of mass and energy <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx23 bib1.bibx80" id="paren.89"/>. Effective parameters should not be the pure result of a
blind calibration algorithm. MPR varies from other regionalization
approaches in that the introduced relationships may lead to seamless
parameter fields and model simulations fulfilling the flux-matching
condition.</p>
      <p>Currently, MPR is the only method that consistently and simultaneously
addresses the scale, nonlinearity, and overparameterization issues if
global parameters are estimated simultaneously at multiple locations (i.e.,
basins). The MPR approach also addresses the principle of scale-dependent
subgrid parameterization (i.e., “net fluxes must satisfy the conservation of
mass” proposed by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx10" id="altparen.90"/>) but does not adhere to Beven's other
principles, such as that subgrid parameterizations may be data and
scale dependent (principles 3 and 4 in <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx10" id="altparen.91"/>), because
exhaustive tests reported in the above-mentioned references carried out over
hundreds of river basins do not appear to support them. We find MPR to be a
robust technique that has the ability to provide “effective parameters” and
is capable of addressing the scaling problem; in this sense, it diverges from
the Beven's view <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx10" id="paren.92"><named-content content-type="post">p. 507</named-content></xref> that these “effective
parameters” are an “inadequate approach to the scale problem”.
Furthermore, MPR differs on the regionalization and aggregation scheme (i.e.,
patch model areal weighting) proposed by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx10" id="text.93"><named-content content-type="post">p. 520</named-content></xref>.</p>
      <p>The selection of regionalization functions and scaling operators is
fundamental to ensuring the transferability of global parameters across scales
and to guarantee the seamlessness of parameter fields across scales, e.g.,
from <inline-formula><mml:math id="M56" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ℓ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> to <inline-formula><mml:math id="M57" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ℓ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and so on. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx95" id="text.94"/> proposed that
the key to determining them is the flux-matching condition mentioned above. A
seamless parameter field <inline-formula><mml:math id="M58" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> can be interpreted as the
corollary of the flux-matching condition. Moreover, MPR employs geophysical
properties at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M59" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ℓ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> that allow for a representative sample at the
hyper-resolution promoted by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx119" id="text.95"/> and <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx12" id="text.96"/>.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS3">
  <title>Protocol for implementing the MPR approach</title>
      <p>The development of LSMs/HMs and their parameterizations should be guided by a
strict hypothesis-driven framework <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx80" id="paren.97"/> that aims at finding
parsimonious and robust parameter sets that fulfill the flux-matching
condition and a number of efficiency metrics that are not used during the
parameter estimation phase. A multivariate, multiscale evaluation assessing
the reliability of model simulations should follow the scheme presented in
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx90" id="text.98"/>. Based on our previous experiences, we synthesize a
formalized scheme (i.e., protocol) for systematically implementing the MPR
technique in other LSMs/HMs with the aim to obtain a robust and seamless
parameterization. A graphical depiction of the estimation procedure at
multiple scales is shown in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F2"/>.</p>
      <p><list list-type="order">
            <list-item>
              <p>Retrofit the source code of an LSM/HM so that all model
parameters are exposed to analysis algorithms. Parameters are the
values of a model that can be considered random variables,
i.e., those that are subject to various outcomes and can be fully
defined by a probability density function. Parameters should not be
confused with numerical or physical constants.</p>
            </list-item>
            <list-item>
              <p>Determine a set of the most sensitive model parameters through a
sensitivity analysis (SA). For computationally expensive LSMs such as
CLM or Noah-MP, computationally frugal methods such as the elementary
effects method <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx77" id="paren.99"/>, its enhanced version such as that
proposed by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx28" id="text.100"/>, or the distributed evaluation of local
sensitivity analysis <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx89 bib1.bibx73" id="paren.101"><named-content content-type="pre">DELSA;</named-content></xref> are of
particular interest because use of the popular standard Sobol'
method <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx103" id="paren.102"/> can be computationally expensive although
still possible <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx29" id="paren.103"/>.</p>
            </list-item>
            <list-item>
              <p>Regionalize sensitive model parameters that exhibit marked spatial
variabilities. The selection of the regionalization function <inline-formula><mml:math id="M60" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mo>⋅</mml:mo><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
can be guided by existing literature or by step-wise methods
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx93" id="paren.104"><named-content content-type="pre">e.g.,</named-content></xref>. This regularization step should be
conducted at the highest available spatial resolution for all
predictor fields. This resolution is denoted as level <inline-formula><mml:math id="M61" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ℓ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. The
output of the regularization is the parameter field <inline-formula><mml:math id="M62" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p>
            </list-item>
            <list-item>
              <p>Estimate effective parameter fields <inline-formula><mml:math id="M63" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> using
upscaling operators based on the underlying subgrid variability
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M64" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. The scale <inline-formula><mml:math id="M65" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ℓ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is determined by
synthetic experiments aimed at finding the optimal REA for processes
related to the parameter in question <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx95 bib1.bibx59" id="paren.105"/>.</p>
            </list-item>
            <list-item>
              <p>Estimate the global parameters <inline-formula><mml:math id="M66" display="inline"><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">^</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:math></inline-formula> using
standard optimization algorithms (simulated annealing, shuffled
complex evolution (SCE), dynamically dimensioned search (DDS))
by minimizing a compromise metric that includes observations at
multiple scales and locations <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx33 bib1.bibx90" id="paren.106"/>. The
compromise metric could also include hydrologic signatures to
extract as much information from a time series as possible
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx82" id="paren.107"/>.</p>
            </list-item>
            <list-item>
              <p>Perform multi-basin, multiscale, multivariate cross-validation
tests to evaluate the robustness of the regionalization functions,
scaling operators, and global parameters <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx90" id="paren.108"/>.</p>
            </list-item>
            <list-item>
              <p>Evaluate the parameter seamlessness and the preservation of the
statistical moments of fluxes and states across scales (seamless
prediction step in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F2"/>).</p>
            </list-item>
            <list-item>
              <p>If the cross-validation tests provide satisfactory results (e.g.,
Kling–Gupta efficiency (KGE) of the compromise solution <inline-formula><mml:math id="M67" display="inline"><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.6), then
evaluate the flux-matching condition given by
Eq. (<xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="Ch1.E1"/>). If the total error is too large to be
tolerated, repeat steps 3 to 8.</p>
            </list-item>
          </list></p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F3" specific-use="star"><caption><p>Seamless soil porosity (top 2 m) fields obtained using MPR
at three spatial resolutions <inline-formula><mml:math id="M68" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ℓ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>: <bold>(a)</bold> 5 km, <bold>(b)</bold> 10 km, and
<bold>(c)</bold> 25 km, respectively. Lower panels <bold>(d)</bold>–<bold>(f)</bold> show the empirical
distribution function of porosity at the respective resolution and
method.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=497.923228pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/21/4323/2017/hess-21-4323-2017-f03.pdf"/>

        </fig>

      <p>It should be noted that any of the steps above can be tested within a
sequential hypothesis-testing framework <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx24" id="paren.109"/>. A
substantial difference from a standard model optimization exercise is that
the transfer function <inline-formula><mml:math id="M69" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mo>⋅</mml:mo><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (step 3) and the upscaling operator (step 4)
can also be modified in the modeling protocol.</p>
      <p>Failure to satisfy the imposed condition, such as the flux-matching test,
after exhaustively testing the options in steps 3 to 6 may indicate
deficits in process understanding and/or poor data. Consequently, the
evaluation step should also provide guidance on detecting and separating
the errors stemming from process conceptualization (modeling) and input
data.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS4">
  <title>Seamless parameter fields across multiple scales using
MPR</title>
      <p>In Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S3.SS2"/>, it was postulated that the MPR technique aims at
estimating seamless parameter fields across scales which minimize the
occurrence of artificial discontinuities and ease the transferability of
model parameters across scales and locations. The latter has been tested and
reported in many studies in Europe, USA, and other basins worldwide
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx96 bib1.bibx58 bib1.bibx59 bib1.bibx90 bib1.bibx91" id="paren.110"/>. In this
study, we provide evidence in favor of the former postulation.</p>
      <p>To achieve this goal, the mHM model is parameterized using MPR <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx95" id="paren.111"/> with
hyper-resolution fields of geophysical characteristics at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M70" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ℓ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">500</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> m
resolution as input. Among them, the land cover data were obtained from the
Corine datasets
(<uri>http://land.copernicus.eu/pan-european/corine-land-cover</uri>), and the
soil texture information was derived from SoilGrids (<uri>soilgrids.org</uri>).
These very detailed and homogenized soil texture fields provide the fractions
of clay and sand, mineral bulk density, and fraction of organic matter for
six soil horizons up to 2 m deep. A hyper-resolution digital elevation model
(DEM) over Europe (approximately 30 m) from the GMES RDA project (EU-DEM;
<uri>www.eea.europa.eu/data-and-maps/data/eu-dem</uri>) was used to derive terrain
characteristics such as slope, aspect, and flow direction. The underlying
hydrogeological characteristics are based on the International
Hydrogeological Map of Europe (IHME; <uri>www.bgr.bund.de/ihme1500</uri>),
available at a 1 : 1 500 000 scale. Details on the pedotransfer function
used for these simulations can be found in <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx71" id="text.112"/>. mHM global
parameters were obtained by closing the water balance over selected river
basins in Europe <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx90" id="paren.113"/>.</p>
      <p>Based on these settings, which constitute the basis for the EDgE project
(edge.climate.copernicus.eu), we estimated porosity fields at three
modeling resolutions of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M71" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ℓ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>= 5, 10, and 25 km, based on the same
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M72" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ℓ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> support information. Following the MPR procedure depicted in
Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F2"/>, the parameter fields for the mHM model
at these three resolutions can be estimated. Results are shown in
Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F3"/>.</p>
      <p>The results illustrate that the MPR approach can preserve the spatial
pattern of the porosity fields (see Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F3"/>a, b, and c) and the first and second moments of its
probability density function shown in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F3"/>e–g. Two-sample
Kolmogorov–Smirnov tests indicate that there is insufficient evidence to
reject the null hypothesis that any of the three possible pairs of
empirical distributions were drawn from the same unknown
distribution. This highlights that the MPR approach leads to consistent
parameter fields across scales. In this case, the mean porosity is
estimated to be 0.42 m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M73" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M74" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> independent of the scale.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS5">
  <title>Limitations of the MPR approach</title>
      <p>The MPR approach, as any method, has some limitations. One of the
crucial aspects of MPR is the selection of transfer functions and
upscaling operators. Existing theories could be the first guess, but in
the event that nothing is available, the protocol proposed in
Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S3.SS3"/> could be used to guide the search of robust
transfer functions. Testing the model parameterization for flux-matching
conditions across a range of basin and spatial scales may help to
identify adequate upscaling operators. This procedure, although tedious,
is the only solution for the moment.</p>
      <p>In the event that some state variables change over time (e.g., land
cover/use), or during parameter estimation, the MPR algorithm has to be
linked to the model because every time a global parameter
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M75" display="inline"><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false" mathvariant="normal">^</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:math></inline-formula>) is re-estimated, all related model
parameters (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M76" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) have to be updated as
illustrated in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F2"/>. The computational cost
of performing MPR is therefore larger than other parameterization method
discussed before.</p>
      <p>Another limitation of the applicability of the MPR technique until
recently was its availability only as an intrinsic module of the mHM
model (<uri>www.ufz.de/mhm</uri>). This implies that tailored algorithms
(i.e., source code) to perform the regionalization and upscaling of
parameters for a target LSM/HM have to be developed from scratch, as it
is demonstrated here as a case study for the PCR-GLOBWB model. This
activity is of course time-consuming and not pleasing due to its
complexity. For this reason, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx76" id="text.114"/> have started a
community effort to develop a model-agnostic MPR implementation
(MPR-flex), which has been so far evaluated for the VIC model.</p>
      <p>The availability of high-resolution biophysical characteristics at the
spatial scale <inline-formula><mml:math id="M77" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ℓ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> constitutes another limitation of the
applicability of MPR. Since the subgrid variability is fundamental to
estimating robust effective parameter values at coarser scales, the
minimum scale at which a model can be applied (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M78" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ℓ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) is strongly
determined by the data availability. For example, if the soil data are
available for the Pan-EU domain at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M79" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ℓ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> 250 m, the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M80" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ℓ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> should
not be lower than 1000 m, so that each modeling cell (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M81" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ℓ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) has a
representative number of underlying subgrid cells (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M82" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ℓ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>).</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F4" specific-use="star"><caption><p>mHM simulations of soil moisture as the fraction from
saturation <inline-formula><mml:math id="M83" display="inline"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mfrac style="text"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">θ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">θ</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula> for a day in August 2005
conducted with <bold>(a)</bold> basin-wise parameter estimation and <bold>(b)</bold> seamless
parameter estimation. Panel <bold>(b)</bold> shows a seamless soil moisture
field. </p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=369.885827pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/21/4323/2017/hess-21-4323-2017-f04.pdf"/>

        </fig>

      <p>MPR has been mainly developed for a hydrologic model representing the
water cycle. However, land surface models also include the energy and
carbon cycles and thus have greater complexity. In particular, they have
more detailed representation of vegetation. It is a topic for future
research to develop a MPR approach (i.e., transfer functions and
upscaling operators) for plant functional-type-specific parameters such as
carboxylation rate and the slope of the Ball–Berry equation for stomatal
conductance <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx4" id="paren.115"/>, which are required for a successful
implementation of MPR in LSMs.</p>
      <p>Finally, the computational effort for MPR is also considerably larger in
comparison with other methods, because of its requirement to estimate
model parameters (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M84" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) at the highest resolution at
which the biophysical characteristics are available. The computational
time, however, could be substantially reduced by using a restart file
(i.e., a dataset containing a copy of all parameters, state variables,
and fluxes of a model at a given point in time). If this capability is
available, the MPR estimation can be greatly reduced for operational
simulations because the effective parameter fields and past modeled
states do not need to be estimated often.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4">
  <title>Experiments to reveal non-seamless parameterizations</title>
      <p>In this section, we perform four modeling experiments, inspired by
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx115" id="text.116"/>'s recommendation to investigate
<list list-type="bullet"><list-item><p>the effects of the overcalibration of global parameters on the spatial patterns of modeled
state variables,</p></list-item><list-item><p>the effects of a parameterization technique on the
spatial pattern of effective parameters,</p></list-item><list-item><p>the effects of a
parameterization technique on the dynamics of a state variable, and</p></list-item><list-item><p>the
effects of not satisfying the flux-matching condition on simulated
flux across different spatial scales. In these experiments, four models
are employed: mHM, Noah-MP, PCR-GLOBWB, and WaterGAP.</p></list-item></list></p>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS1">
  <title>Effects of on-site model calibration</title>
      <p>As noted in the introduction, on-site (basin-specific) parameter
estimation based on HRU or similar techniques (such as clustering grid
cells or sub-basins into regions that exhibit quasi-similar hydrological
behavior) leads to non-seamless parameter fields such as those reported
in <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx74" id="text.117"/>. Here, we go one step further to show the
consequences of this common practice on state variables such as soil
moisture. Our postulation is that an on-site calibration of
global parameters <inline-formula><mml:math id="M85" display="inline"><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false" mathvariant="normal">^</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:math></inline-formula> leads to biased state
variables even with regularization techniques such as
MPR. To falsify this postulation, we performed two model simulations
denoted “on-site” and “multisite” calibration schemes. In both
cases, we used the mHM setup described in <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx91" id="text.118"/> over the Pan-EU
domain at a 0.25<inline-formula><mml:math id="M86" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> resolution.</p>
      <p>In the first simulation, we perform on-site calibrations at 400 river
basins in the Pan-European domain. Subsequently, the respective
optimized parameter sets are used in each corresponding basin to
generate the target variable, in this case, the daily soil moisture of
the top 1 m soil column. Lastly, daily soil moisture fields are
assembled using the independent basin simulations for the entire Pan-EU
domain. The results of this experiment are shown in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F4"/>a for a day in August 2005. In the
second simulation, the global parameters <inline-formula><mml:math id="M87" display="inline"><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">^</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:math></inline-formula> are
estimated simultaneously for a set of 13 basins covering various
hydroclimatic regimes in the Pan-EU domain. The corresponding soil
moisture field for the same point in time is depicted in
Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F4"/>b.</p>
      <p>The first simulation shows clear evidence of strong spatial
imprint in the soil moisture fields that is easily identifiable
because the shapes of the constituent river basins
(Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F4"/>a) are apparent. Another interesting
feature is a strong wet bias in a basin located in center of the Iberian
Peninsula compared to its neighboring regions. Wet soils during this
period are very unlikely because the entire region was enduring a
prolonged and extreme drought. Moderate dry bias is apparent in basins
in southwest Germany, and a strong dry bias was detected in basins in
west Croatia, south Lithuania, south Hungary, and north Bosnia and
Herzegovina. Conversely, the soil moisture field obtained with the
multi-basin parameter estimation does not exhibit these nuisances and
thus can be regarded as a spatially seamless field. In this case,
parameter estimation with a large sample of geophysical characteristics
and many streamflow time series to estimate efficiency measures leads
to a well-posed parameter estimation problem.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F5" specific-use="star"><caption><p>Porosity fields obtained using the majority upscale operator
for spatial resolutions of <bold>(a)</bold> 5 km and <bold>(b)</bold> 12 km with the Noah-MP
model used in the EDgE and EURO-CORDEX projects, respectively. Lower
panels <bold>(c)</bold>–<bold>(d)</bold> show the empirical distribution function of porosity
at the respective resolution and method.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=398.338583pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/21/4323/2017/hess-21-4323-2017-f05.pdf"/>

        </fig>

      <p>Based on these results, it can be concluded that parameter sets obtained
using the on-site parameter estimation technique do not lead to
seamless parameter fields or state variables. Moreover, automatic
optimization algorithms, such as SCE or DDS, tend to overlearn from
time series with large observational errors, which in turn leads to poor
identifiability of parameters <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx17" id="paren.119"/> and biased
simulations, as demonstrated above. Consequently, parameter estimation
should be performed with a representative sample of basins that
adequately cover the variability of hydrological regimes and geophysical
properties (e.g., soil types) <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx60" id="paren.120"/>. It is worth noting
that if the parameters of a model are estimated in a small basin with
very few soil types, a single geological formation, or very flat
terrain, then it is very likely that some parameters cannot be
constrained during calibration. The obtained parameter set is biased to
the specific basin in which it has been estimated, and hence it is not
skillful for seamless and continental-scale simulations.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS2">
  <title>Effects of a parameterization technique on spatial patterns
of effective parameters</title>
      <p>The effects of the commonly used parameterization techniques to generate the
porosity fields of LSMs (such as CHTESSEL and Noah-MP depicted in
Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F1"/>) are important to investigate. These fields are
obtained by combining the majority (or dominant) upscaling operator and a
look-up table containing categorical values of model parameters tabulated for
a limited set of dominant soil types (e.g., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx83" id="altparen.121"><named-content content-type="post">p. 20.</named-content></xref>,
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx34" id="altparen.122"><named-content content-type="post">p. 137</named-content></xref>). The majority-based operator is mostly used
for estimating grid-specific vegetation classes in LSMs <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx64" id="paren.123"/>.</p>
      <p><?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>The porosity field, based on a majority upscaling for the Noah-MP model used
in EURO-CORDEX (<uri>www.euro-cordex.net</uri>) at an approximately 12 km
resolution, is depicted in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F1"/>. Compared with the
other model-derived porosity fields, the Noah-MP field appears to be most
homogeneously distributed in space. It is very likely that the spatial
heterogeneity is underrepresented in this case as the default soil LUT
contains only 13 soil classes. It should be noted that a model such as
CABLE that uses a porosity field with an approximately 100 km resolution has
a larger variability than that of Noah-MP at 12 km.</p>
      <p>The following experiment is carried out to evaluate whether the variability
of the soil map or the upscaling operator has a larger effect on the derived
porosity field. The highest resolution soil map available for Europe is used
and applied in the same manner to derive porosity fields as described above.
The texture field is provided by the SoilGrids dataset
(<uri>http://soilgrids.org</uri>) at 1000 m resolution (level-0). The upscaled
porosity field is generated at 5 km for the EDgE project. The soil
characteristics for Noah-MP are estimated using the same look-up table as in
the EURO-CORDEX–Noah-MP case. The comparison of both parameter fields (i.e.,
EDgE–Noah-MP and EURO-CORDEX–Noah-MP) and the main statistical moments
describing the spatial variability of the porosity fields are shown in
Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F5"/>. The results clearly indicate the
inappropriateness of the majority-based upscaling operator for this parameter
in both cases. It leads to reduction of the variance of the porosity field
and thus can be considered the least sensitive operator. This means that the
informational content of the hyper-resolution soil maps, commonly available
globally, is almost lost.</p>
      <p>Notably, although the overall mean of the porosity estimated using MPR over
the Pan-EU domain for mHM (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F3"/>a) is only 6.6 %
lower than that calculated using the majority-based approach for Noah-MP
(Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F5"/>a), the spatial patterns obtained by both models
are very different. The evidence of this remarkable dissimilarity can also be
visualized by comparing the empirical density functions shown in
Figs. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F3"/>d and <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F5"/>c, both
corresponding to a field at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M88" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ℓ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> km and with the same input data. A
detailed evaluation conducted by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx97" id="text.124"/> in Germany showed
that large porosity values estimated with the majority-based approach could
overestimate those obtained with MPR by up to 40 %, whereas in other
locations, underestimation up to 15 % from those estimated by MPR can be
found.</p>
      <p>Other upscaling operators, such as the weighted arithmetic mean, are commonly
used in LSMs in combination with the mosaic approach. For example, in CLM
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx85" id="normal.125"><named-content content-type="post">see p. 160</named-content></xref>, the texture class of the subunits of the
cell, called tiles, are provided in a look-up table. The upscaled porosity
field obtained using this approach is shown in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F1"/> at
a 1<inline-formula><mml:math id="M89" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> (100 km) resolution. Methods based on the majority and weighted
arithmetic mean operators exhibit some similarity and lack spatial
variability. In both cases, the spatial mean is approximately
0.43 m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M90" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M91" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F6" specific-use="star"><caption><p>Phase diagrams of monthly soil moisture fraction for two
locations in Germany, <bold>(a)</bold> 54<inline-formula><mml:math id="M92" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N, 10<inline-formula><mml:math id="M93" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> E and
<bold>(b)</bold> 51<inline-formula><mml:math id="M94" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N, 7<inline-formula><mml:math id="M95" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> E, in which the latent heat estimated by
Noah-MP is over- or underestimated with respect to corresponding
estimates of mHM. The models have identical forcings.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=312.980315pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/21/4323/2017/hess-21-4323-2017-f06.pdf"/>

        </fig>

      <p>Hydrologic models that do not use soil porosity tend to use a similar
conceptualization and values denoted as the total available water capacity
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M96" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">TAWC</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>; WaterGAP versions 2 and 3) and field capacity
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M97" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">FC</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>; HBV). For these types of conceptual models, normalized values
of these parameters are used as surrogates for soil porosity. The consistency
of the spatial patterns of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M98" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">TAWC</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M99" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">FC</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> are compared
here instead of their actual values. A distinctive difference in the patterns
can be observed. For example, WaterGAP3 exhibits lower values than WaterGAP2,
whereas the pattern of the normalized <inline-formula><mml:math id="M100" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">FC</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> in HBV is the opposite in
many locations (e.g., Spain, Germany, and Scandinavia).</p>
      <p>Details of the parameterization schemes used to estimate <inline-formula><mml:math id="M101" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">TAWC</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> and
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M102" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">FC</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> are beyond the scope of this study. Interested readers may
refer to <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx79" id="text.126"/> or <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx7" id="text.127"/>, respectively. However,
the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M103" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">TAWC</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> in WaterGAP is obtained by linking the soil type provided
by the FAO soil map with available water capacity values estimated by
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx6" id="text.128"/>. Thus, no scaling rule or form of regularization is used
in this case. The field capacity parameters used in HBV were determined using
an ad hoc nearest-neighbor interpolation technique that relies on calibrated
parameters from nearby similar donor basins that might exhibit very different
geophysical characteristics. The parameter fields obtained for two versions
of WaterGAP (30 and 5 arcmin) and HBV
are depicted in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F1"/>. It can be concluded that the
parameterization technique employed is not scale invariant as revealed by
distinct parameter sets from WaterGAP model versions, which are operated at
different resolutions. The regionalization proposed by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx7" id="text.129"/>
leads to a patchwork-quilt field that does not resemble to any other field
presented. Evident from Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F1"/>, the HBV field lacks
seamlessness that may result in non-seamless fields of water fluxes and
states.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS3">
  <title>Effects of a parameterization technique on the dynamics of
a state variable</title>
      <p>There is a complex interplay between soil moisture (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M104" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">SM</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) and
latent heat (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M105" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">LH</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) in LSMs/HMs. Improving our understanding of
soil–land–atmosphere feedback is fundamental for making reliable
predictions of water and energy fluxes. In this context, we carry out a
sensitivity experiment to investigate the effects of soil-related
parameterizations (e.g., soil porosity) on latent heat and soil
moisture. Two contrasting modeling paradigms (Noah-MP and mHM) are
employed.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F7" specific-use="star"><caption><p>Multiscale simulation of annual ET for the Rhine River in
2003 with mHM, PCR-GLOBWB, and WaterGAP (versions 3 and 2) at
spatial resolutions <inline-formula><mml:math id="M106" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ℓ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> of 5 and 30 arcmin, respectively. The
relative errors in percentage of the coarse field estimates with
respect to the finer ones (aggregated to the coarser
level) for mHM, PCR-GLOBWB, and WaterGAP are shown in
panels <bold>(c)</bold>, <bold>(f)</bold>, and <bold>(i)</bold>, respectively. </p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=497.923228pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/21/4323/2017/hess-21-4323-2017-f07.pdf"/>

        </fig>

      <p>The WRF/Noah-MP system is forced with ERA-Interim at the boundaries of
the rotated CORDEX grid (<uri>www.meteo.unican.es/wiki/cordexwrf</uri>) at a
spatial resolution of 0.11<inline-formula><mml:math id="M107" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> covering Europe from 1989 to 2009. To
ease the comparison, the process-based hydrological model mHM
(<uri>www.ufz.de/mhm</uri>) is driven with daily precipitation and
temperature fields generated by the WRF/Noah-MP system during the same
period. The spatial resolution of mHM is fixed at
5 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M108" display="inline"><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 5 km<inline-formula><mml:math id="M109" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>. The main geophysical characteristics in WRF/Noah-MP
of land cover and soil texture are represented with a 1 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M110" display="inline"><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 1 km<inline-formula><mml:math id="M111" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>
MODIS and a single-horizon, coarse-resolution FAO soil map with 16 soil
texture classes, respectively. The porosity field of Noah-MP is
estimated by applying a majority-based operator to values for different
soil classes, as shown in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F5"/>b.</p>
      <p>The settings of the mHM model used in this experiment are described in
Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S3.SS4"/>. In contrast to those of Noah-MP, the
global parameters of mHM estimated using the MPR technique are obtained
by closing the water balance over selected river basins in Europe
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx90" id="paren.130"/>. The porosity fields obtained for mHM over the Pan-EU
are depicted in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F3"/>.</p>
      <p>The phase diagrams of the monthly fraction of soil water saturation
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M112" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">fSM</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mfrac style="text"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">θ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">θ</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (i.e., plots of monthly
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M113" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">fSM</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> vs. <inline-formula><mml:math id="M114" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">fSM</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) are subsequently investigated
to understand the effect of differences in porosity estimates of the top
2 m soil column on the soil moisture dynamics
(Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F6"/>). Two locations in Germany are selected in
which Noah-MP systematically over- or underestimated the latent heat
fluxes with respect to mHM (the latitude and longitude coordinates of
the center of the selected Noah-MP grids are A
(54<inline-formula><mml:math id="M115" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N, 10<inline-formula><mml:math id="M116" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> E) and B (51<inline-formula><mml:math id="M117" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N, 7<inline-formula><mml:math id="M118" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> E),
respectively). At location A, the majority-based approach underestimates
the MPR soil porosity by <inline-formula><mml:math id="M119" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>10 %, whereas in location B, it overestimates
it by 40 %. This experiment unambiguously shows that, at locations where
Noah-MP overestimates latent heat with respect to mHM, the temporal
variance (i.e., dynamic) of the monthly <inline-formula><mml:math id="M120" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">SM</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> time series
simulated by Noah-MP is almost doubled compared to that of mHM, leading
to much lower soil moisture values
(Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F6"/>a). Conversely, underestimation of latent heat
greatly reduces the variance of the soil moisture dynamics
(Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F6"/>b).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS4">
  <title>Effects of not satisfying the flux-matching condition</title>
      <p>In Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S2"/>, we postulated that ad hoc parameterization
schemes do not necessarily fulfill the flux-matching test performed with
a flux simulated by a given model at two modeling resolutions (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M121" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ℓ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> 5
and 30 arcmin). A detailed description of how to perform
this test is provided in <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx95" id="text.131"/>. The following experiment is
conducted with three models (mHM, PCR-GLOBWB, and WaterGAP) in an attempt
to falsify the above postulation.  All models use the same forcings and
geophysical information. The simulations are conducted in the Rhine
River upstream of the Lobith gauging station. All three models are
driven by daily forcing with a spatial resolution of 5 km, which was
kindly provided by the EFAS team at JRC
(<uri>www.eea.europa.eu</uri>). Additional details of the modeling settings
of this experiment are provided in <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx104" id="text.132"/> and
at <uri>www.hyperhydro.org/</uri>. The KGE and bias values of these three models
obtained for both scales at the Lobith station during 2003 are reported
in Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="Ch1.T2"/>. The daily streamflow time series during this
year is selected for evaluation because it exhibits strong temporal
dynamics, with wet conditions in the beginning of the year followed by a
drought during the summer and fall seasons. The performances obtained
for the three models are satisfactorily, but the results shown in
Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="Ch1.T2"/> indicate that mHM is the only model that can have
higher KGE values regardless of the spatial modeling resolution.</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T1" specific-use="star"><caption><p>Data sources and parameterization methods used by models
used in this study.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="4">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="justify" colwidth="85.358268pt"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="justify" colwidth="99.584646pt"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="justify" colwidth="170.716535pt"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Model</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Parameterization method</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">References</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Source code and projects</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">CABLE</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Pedotransfer functions, look-up table, dominant soil type</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">
                      <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx56" id="text.133"/>
                    </oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><uri>http://www.cawcr.gov.au/technical-reports/CTR_057.pdf</uri></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">CLM</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Pedotransfer functions, look-up table, mosaic approach</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">
                      <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx85" id="text.134"/>
                    </oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><uri>www.cesm.ucar.edu/models/cesm1.2/clm/</uri></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">CHTESSEL</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Look-up table, dominant soil type</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">
                      <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx108 bib1.bibx34" id="text.135"/>
                    </oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><uri>www.ecmwf.int/search/elibrary</uri></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">HBV</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M122" display="inline"><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-NN interpolation,<?xmltex \hack{\hfill\break}?>calibrated parameter</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">
                      <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx7" id="text.136"/>
                    </oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><uri>www.gloh2o.org/hbv-simreg/</uri></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">JULES</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Look-up table, dominant soil type</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">
                      <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx9" id="text.137"/>
                    </oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><uri>http://jules.jchmr.org</uri></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">LISFLOOD</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Pedotransfer functions, mosaic approach, arithmetic mean</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">
                      <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx31" id="text.138"/>
                    </oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><uri>http://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/bitstream/JRC78917/lisflood_2013_online.pdf</uri></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">mHM</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">MPR</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">
                      <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx95" id="text.139"/>
                    </oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><uri>http://edge.climate.copernicus.eu</uri> <?xmltex \hack{\hfill\break}?> <uri>www.ufz.de/mhm</uri></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Noah-MP</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Look-up table, dominant soil type</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">
                      <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx83" id="text.140"/>
                    </oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><uri>www.jsg.utexas.edu/noah-mp</uri> <uri>www.meteo.unican.es/wiki/cordexwrf</uri></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">PCR-GLOBWB</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">(Original) pedotransfer functions with averaged predictors</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">
                      <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx107 bib1.bibx110" id="text.141"/>
                    </oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><uri>http://pcraster.geo.uu.nl/projects/applications/pcrglobwb/</uri></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">(New) MPR</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">
                      <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx95" id="text.142"/>
                    </oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"/>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">WaterGAP (v.2, v.3)</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Look-up tables</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">
                      <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx79 bib1.bibx6" id="text.143"/>
                    </oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><uri>www.uni-kassel.de/einrichtungen/en/cesr/research/projects/active/watergap.html</uri>
<uri>www.uni-frankfurt.de/45218063/WaterGAP</uri></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T2" specific-use="star"><caption><p>Efficiency of mHM, PCR-GLOBWB (Ludovicus et al., 2017), and WaterGAP obtained for the
Rhine Basin at the Lobith station during 2003 for spatial resolutions of 5 and 30 arcmin.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="5">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="center"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="center" colsep="1"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="center"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="5" colname="col5" align="center"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col1" morerows="1">Model</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" namest="col2" nameend="col3" colsep="1">5 arcmin </oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" namest="col4" nameend="col5">30 arcmin </oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">

         <oasis:entry colname="col2">KGE</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Bias (m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M123" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M124" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>)</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">KGE</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5">Bias (m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M125" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M126" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>)</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry colname="col1">mHM</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.96</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">61.19</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.96</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5">21.74</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry colname="col1">PCR-GLOBWB</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.93</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M127" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>20.61</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.86</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5">248.09</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry colname="col1">WaterGAP (v.3, v.2)</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.83</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">143.02</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.90</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M128" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>41.99</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

      <p>The flux-matching test presented in Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S3.SS1"/> is
performed with simulated evapotranspiration (ET) because it is the
largest flux in the water cycle besides precipitation, and is prone to
the largest predictive uncertainties <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx78" id="paren.144"/>. To ease the
comparison, collocated grids are employed for every model such that
every coarser scale grid cell has exactly the same number of underlying
cells at finer resolution (5 arcmin). The results of this test are
shown in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F7"/>a, b. They reveal that mHM exhibits the
best flux-matching between these two scales. This experiment also shows
that the MPR technique implemented in mHM leads to ET fields that are of
similar magnitude at both scales, indicating a close conservation of
mass leading to the lowest relative errors (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F7"/>c)
among the three models.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F8" specific-use="star"><caption><p>Porosity fields of PCR-GLOBWB before <bold>(a, b)</bold> and after
implementing  MPR <bold>(c, d)</bold> for two
spatial resolutions of 5 and 30 arcmin. Dotted lines denote the
Rhine Basin and the continuous line is the main EU river basin network.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=398.338583pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/21/4323/2017/hess-21-4323-2017-f08.pdf"/>

        </fig>

      <p>The PCR-GLOBWB and WaterGAP models reveal large inconsistencies in
preserving the spatial pattern of annual ET across two modeling scales,
although the streamflow performance at the outlet is good (greater than
0.83 in both cases). PCR-GLOBWB at coarse resolution tends to
underestimate ET (up to 50 %) compared with those at finer resolution
(Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F7"/>f). Conversely, the coarser version of
WaterGAP tends to overestimate ET (up to 60 %) compared with those at the
finer resolution (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F7"/>i). Interestingly, it can be
observed that changes in model resolution affect the dynamic of water
fluxes in those models that do not use any consistent scaling rules for
model parameterization. These results also confirm the postulation that
“streamflow-related metrics are a necessary but not sufficient
condition to warrant the proper partitioning of incoming precipitation P
into various spatially distributed water storage components (e.g., SM)
and fluxes (e.g., ET)” <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx91" id="paren.145"/>. Because all models are forced
with the same forcings, share the same geophysical information, and have
almost similar hydrological process descriptions, it can be safely
concluded that the parameterization method used in the models caused the
ET mismatch. To falsify this postulation, the MPR parameterization
protocol proposed in Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S3.SS3"/> is next applied to
PCR-GLOBWB.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S5">
  <title>Implementation of the parameterization protocol in PCR-GLOBWB</title>
      <p>To evaluate the consistency of land surface fluxes before and after MPR
implementation, we analyze the impact of MPR on evaporative fluxes and
soil moisture content in PCR-GLOBWB <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx107 bib1.bibx110 bib1.bibx105" id="paren.146"/> over the Rhine River basin during 2003. The model
is used to simulate the hydrological states at two different spatial
resolutions (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M129" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ℓ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> 5 and 30 arcmin), and the sensitivity to MPR
implementation is evaluated using a field difference method (in line with
Eq. <xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="Ch1.E1"/>):
<?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?><?xmltex \hack{\vspace*{-6mm}}?>
          <disp-formula id="Ch1.E2" content-type="numbered"><mml:math id="M130" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msqrt><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:munderover><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:munderover><mml:msup><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">100</mml:mn><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>W</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi>w</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>w</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle></mml:mfenced><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:msqrt><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
        where <inline-formula><mml:math id="M131" display="inline"><mml:mi>W</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M132" display="inline"><mml:mi>w</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> are the coarse and fine resolution
simulations of variable <inline-formula><mml:math id="M133" display="inline"><mml:mi>W</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, respectively, and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M134" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is the total time
series length.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F9" specific-use="star"><caption><p>Annual ET fields in 2003 of PCR-GLOBWB before <bold>(a, b)</bold>
and after implementing MPR <bold>(c, d)</bold> for two spatial resolutions
of 5 and 30 arcmin. Dotted lines denote the Rhine Basin and the
continuous line is the main EU river basin network. The relative
errors in percentage of the coarse field estimates with respect to the
finer ones are shown in panels <bold>(c)</bold> and <bold>(f)</bold>, respectively. </p></caption>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=455.244094pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/21/4323/2017/hess-21-4323-2017-f09.pdf"/>

      </fig>

      <p>The original PCR-GLOBWB parameterization does not include consistency in
upscaling as enforced by MPR, leading to a larger difference in soil
properties. Figure <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F8"/> depicts the porosity fields of
this model before and after the implementation of MPR. Figure <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F8"/>a and b clearly show the problems mentioned in
Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S2"/>, for example, lack of coherence in spatial patterns
and the existence of spatial discontinuities of parameter fields at two
scales. The porosity fields obtained with the MPR technique shown in
Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F8"/>c and d, on the contrary, exhibit a typical seamless spatial
structure in which the main features of the field can be distinguished
across scales. It is worth noting that differences seen between
Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F8"/>a and c are
not only due to the improved upscaling procedure, but also due to a
modified pedotransfer function. The parameters of the pedotransfer
function have also been included in the calibration within the MPR
approach.</p>
      <p>These differences in soil hydraulic properties influence the derived
hydrological properties, leading to changes in saturated conductivity
and storage capacity in the unsaturated zone. The considerable
differences in ET fluxes are shown in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F9"/>a and b, and are the result of these
changes. When MPR is employed, we observe that the difference in actual
average Rhine Basin evapotranspiration between the two scales <inline-formula><mml:math id="M135" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>
drops from 29 to 9.4 % (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F9"/>d, e). For
the total column soil moisture, we find a stronger decrease in <inline-formula><mml:math id="M136" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>
from 25 to 6.9 %, clearly indicating the benefits of MPR
implementation. The error fields in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F9"/>c and f
show a clear benefit of implementing MPR in PCR-GLOBWB. It should be noted, however, that the
improvements are not as high as those obtained for mHM as shown in
Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F7"/>c. This is related to the fact that all
effective parameters related to the evaporation and soil dynamic
processes have been scaled with MPR in mHM, whereas in PCR-GLOBWB, only
soil porosity has been scaled with this technique. Nevertheless, it is
remarkable to see the improvements in flux matching
(Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F9"/>f) by scaling a single parameter
of PCR-GLOBWB using MPR. We also observe a slight increase in the
discharge performance (KGE) at Lobith. The original KGEs are 0.86
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M137" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ℓ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> 5 arcmin) and 0.93 (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M138" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ℓ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> 30 arcmin), whereas the KGEs with
MPR implementation are 0.91 and 0.93, respectively. Another advantage is
that PCR-GLOBWB is calibrated at a coarser resolution, whereas this
model is calibrated for each spatial resolution individually in the
original setup and with lower consistency in the discharge simulation.</p>
      <p>From these evaluations, we conclude that MPR implementation leads to
significant improvement in the flux-matching and discharge simulations
across scales, allowing for more consistency across scales for
hydrological model simulations. Notably, additional parameters in
PCR-GLOBWB still need to be regionalized within the MPR framework, which
could potentially lead to better performance and transferability.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S6" sec-type="conclusions">
  <title>Conclusions</title>
      <p>Hyper-resolution modeling initiatives <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx119 bib1.bibx12" id="paren.147"/>
challenge the hydrological community to intensify efforts to make water
(quantity and quality) and energy flux predictions “everywhere” and for
these predictions to be “locally relevant.”  The predictions should
have small uncertainties to be useful for the end users. These grand
challenges also imply that the next generation of land surface and
hydrologic models must incorporate probabilistic descriptions of the
subgrid variability of geophysical land surface properties – such as
POLARIS <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx20" id="paren.148"/> and SoilGrids <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx49" id="paren.149"/> – to cope
with the large uncertainties that characterize the related process below
the representative elementary area (REA) scale.  Consequently, great
efforts should be made in hyper-resolution monitoring at the global
scale in improving the computational efficiency of LSMs/HMs and in the
development of scale-invariant parameterizations for these models. In
this study, we have shown that the state-of-the-art parameterizations
need to be improved to address this grand challenge, especially with
respect to better fulfill the flux-matching condition.</p>
      <p>We revisited a technique called MPR <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx95" id="paren.150"/>, originally available only in mHM but recently
implemented in PCR-GLOBWB as a part of this study. Moreover, we proposed
a “parameterization protocol” as a guideline to apply MPR and to
retrofit existing LSMs/HMs to ease the implementation of MPR in the
latter. We also discuss the advantages and limitations of MPR which
should be considered while applying this concept to other LSMs/HMs.</p>
      <p>This study has shown that two models that use ad hoc parameterizations
can have reasonable efficiency with respect to simulated streamflow but
poor performance with respect to distributed fluxes such as
evapotranspiration. The implementation of this protocol in PCR-GLOBWB in
this study increased the model efficiency by almost 6 % and improved the
consistency of simulated ET fields across scales. For example, the
estimation of evapotranspiration without MPR at 5 and 30 arcmin
spatial resolutions for the Rhine River basin resulted in a difference
of approximately 29 %. Applying MPR reduced this difference to 9 %. For
total soil water, the differences without and with MPR are 25 and 7 %,
respectively. We have also shown that the PCR-GLOBWB global parameters
can be transferred across scales with consistent ET patterns and model
efficiency.</p>
      <p>In general, it can be concluded that the estimation of global parameters
is feasible with MPR and that these scalars are transferable across
scales and locations. The successful application of MPR implies that the
averaging procedure of geophysical properties matters and that having
the right physics with incorrect “effective” parameters leads to
inconsistent fluxes and states. Consequently, MPR is a step forward to
quasi-scale-invariant parameterizations and is feasible to implement in
existing LSMs/HMs whose goal should be seamless parameter fields across
scales that do not exhibit artificial spatial “discontinuities” such
as calibration imprints, and that lead to consistent predictions across
scales. We consider that this feature is the key for the next generation
of LSM and NWP models such as the model for prediction across scales
(MPAS) (<uri>www.mmm.ucar.edu</uri>) and the nested-domain ICON
(<uri>www.earthsystemcog.org/projects/dcmip-2012/icon-mpi-dwd</uri>). Furthermore,
a proper implementation of MPR in process-based (conceptual) models may
contribute to recent efforts towards identifying their “effective”
parameters through observational datasets at the scale of interest
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx98" id="paren.151"/>.</p>
      <p>Finally, we would like to reiterate that a flux obtained from a land
surface/hydrologic model should always be evaluated with local
observations when available and across scales. If “it disagrees with the
experiment, it's wrong.”</p>
</sec>

      
      </body>
    <back><notes notes-type="dataavailability">

      <p>All datasets can be obtained by email from the corresponding author.</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="competinginterests">

      <p>The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="sistatement">

      <p>This article is part of the special issue “Observations and
modeling of land surface water and energy exchanges across scales: special
issue in Honor of Eric F. Wood”. It is a result of the Symposium in Honor of
Eric F. Wood: Observations and Modeling across Scales, Princeton, New Jersey,
USA, 2–3 June 2016.</p>
  </notes><ack><title>Acknowledgements</title><p>We kindly acknowledge our data providers: Noah-MP: Kirsten Warrach-Sagi
(University of Hohenheim), PCR-GLOBWB: Niko Wanders
(Princeton University), WaterGAP: Hannes Müller Schmied (University
of Frankfurt), JULES: Anne Verhoef (The University of Reading),
LISFLOOD: Peter Salamon (JRC), CABLE: Matthias Cuntz (formerly UFZ,
now INRA), CLM: David Lawrence (UCAR) and Edwin H. Sutanudjaja and
Marc F. P. Bierkens, Hannes Müller Schmied, Stephanie Eisner, Oldrich Rakovec
for providing results from the HyperHydro WG1
Workshop 9–12 June 2015 in Utrecht. This study was carried out within
the Helmholtz Association climate initiative REKLIM
(<uri>www.reklim.de</uri>). This work has been partly funded by Helmholtz
Alliance EDA – Remote Sensing and Earth System Dynamics, through the
Initiative and Networking Fund of the Helmholtz Association,
Germany. This study was partially performed under a contract for the
Copernicus Climate Change Service
(<uri>http://edge.climate.copernicus.eu</uri>). ECMWF implements this service and
the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service on behalf of the European
Commission. We thank Martin Schrön for kindly contributing to the
artwork of Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F2"/>. Rens van Beek is
acknowledged for providing support with the MPR implementation in
PCR-GLOBWB. Finally, we would like to thank the editor (Murugesu Sivapalan, Ross Woods) and
two anonymous reviewers for their insightful and helpful comments.
<?xmltex \hack{\newline}?><?xmltex \hack{\newline}?> The article processing charges for this
open-access <?xmltex \hack{\newline}?> publication were covered by a Research
<?xmltex \hack{\newline}?> Centre of the Helmholtz Association. <?xmltex \hack{\newline}?><?xmltex \hack{\newline}?>
Edited by: Murugesu Sivapalan<?xmltex \hack{\newline}?>
Reviewed by: Ross Woods and two anonymous referees</p></ack><ref-list>
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