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  <front>
    <journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">HESS</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>Hydrology and Earth System Sciences</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">HESS</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci.</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">1607-7938</issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus GmbH</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>

    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/hess-19-4215-2015</article-id><title-group><article-title>High-quality observation of surface imperviousness <?xmltex \hack{\newline}?> for urban runoff modelling using UAV imagery</article-title>
      </title-group><?xmltex \runningtitle{Enabling high-quality observations of surface imperviousness for water runoff modelling}?><?xmltex \runningauthor{P.~Tokarczyk et al.}?>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Tokarczyk</surname><given-names>P.</given-names></name>
          <email>piotr.tokarczyk@gmail.com</email>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff2">
          <name><surname>Leitao</surname><given-names>J. P.</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7371-0543</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff2">
          <name><surname>Rieckermann</surname><given-names>J.</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4227-2429</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Schindler</surname><given-names>K.</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff2 aff3">
          <name><surname>Blumensaat</surname><given-names>F.</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff1"><label>1</label><institution>Institute of Geodesy and Photogrammetry, ETH Zurich, Stefano-Franscini-Platz 5, 8093 Zürich, Switzerland</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff2"><label>2</label><institution>Swiss Federal Institute of Aquatic Science and Technology, Eawag, Überlandstrasse 133, 8600 Dübendorf, Switzerland</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff3"><label>3</label><institution>Institute of Environmental Engineering, Chair of Urban Water Systems, ETH Zurich, Stefano-Franscini-Platz 5, <?xmltex \hack{\newline}?> 8093 Zürich, Switzerland</institution>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <author-notes><corresp id="corr1">P. Tokarczyk (piotr.tokarczyk@gmail.com)</corresp></author-notes><pub-date><day>21</day><month>October</month><year>2015</year></pub-date>
      
      <volume>19</volume>
      <issue>10</issue>
      <fpage>4215</fpage><lpage>4228</lpage>
      <history>
        <date date-type="received"><day>17</day><month>December</month><year>2014</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-request"><day>27</day><month>January</month><year>2015</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-recd"><day>23</day><month>September</month><year>2015</year></date>
           <date date-type="accepted"><day>27</day><month>September</month><year>2015</year></date>
      </history>
      <permissions>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Unported License. To view a copy of this license, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/19/4215/2015/hess-19-4215-2015.html">This article is available from https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/19/4215/2015/hess-19-4215-2015.html</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/19/4215/2015/hess-19-4215-2015.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/19/4215/2015/hess-19-4215-2015.pdf</self-uri>


      <abstract>
    <p>Modelling rainfall–runoff in urban areas is increasingly applied to support
flood risk assessment, particularly against the background of a changing
climate and an increasing urbanization. These models typically rely on
high-quality data for rainfall and surface characteristics of the catchment
area as model input.</p>
    <p>While recent research in urban drainage has been focusing on providing
spatially detailed rainfall data, the technological advances in remote
sensing that ease the acquisition of detailed land-use information are less
prominently discussed within the community. The relevance of such methods
increases as in many parts of the globe, accurate land-use information is
generally lacking, because detailed image data are often unavailable. Modern unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) allow
one to acquire high-resolution images on a local level at comparably lower
cost, performing on-demand repetitive measurements and obtaining a degree of
detail tailored for the purpose of the study.</p>
    <p>In this study, we investigate for the first time the possibility of deriving
high-resolution imperviousness maps for urban areas from UAV imagery and of
using this information as input for urban drainage models. To do so, an
automatic processing pipeline with a modern classification method is proposed
and evaluated in a state-of-the-art urban drainage modelling exercise. In a
real-life case study (Lucerne, Switzerland), we compare imperviousness maps
generated using a fixed-wing consumer micro-UAV and standard large-format
aerial images acquired by the Swiss national mapping agency
(<italic>swisstopo</italic>). After assessing their overall accuracy, we perform an
end-to-end comparison, in which they are used as an input for an urban
drainage model. Then, we evaluate the influence which different image data
sources and their processing methods have on hydrological and hydraulic model
performance. We analyse the surface runoff of the 307 individual
subcatchments regarding relevant attributes, such as peak runoff and runoff
volume. Finally, we evaluate the model's channel flow prediction performance
through a cross-comparison with reference flow measured at the catchment
outlet.</p>
    <p>We show that imperviousness maps generated from UAV images processed with
modern classification methods achieve an accuracy comparable to standard,
off-the-shelf aerial imagery. In the examined case study, we find that the
different imperviousness maps only have a limited influence on predicted
surface runoff and pipe flows, when traditional workflows are used. We expect
that they will have a substantial influence when more detailed modelling
approaches are employed to characterize land use and to predict surface
runoff. We conclude that UAV imagery represents a valuable alternative data
source for urban drainage model applications due to the possibility of
flexibly acquiring up-to-date aerial images at a quality compared with
off-the-shelf image products and a competitive price at the same time. We
believe that in the future, urban drainage models representing a higher
degree of spatial detail will fully benefit from the strengths of UAV
imagery.</p>
  </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
<body>
      

      <?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>
<sec id="Ch1.S1" sec-type="intro">
  <title>Introduction</title>
      <p>In the last century we have witnessed increased migration of people from
rural areas to cities. Today, the majority of the human population live in
cities, and this number is estimated to grow constantly and reach a level of
60 % <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx29" id="paren.1"/>. The process of rapid urbanization required developing
an infrastructure capable of coping with a constantly increasing number of
its users. Accordingly, ensuring water supply for the people is important,
but due to the increased hydrological extremes induced by climate change
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx13 bib1.bibx12 bib1.bibx23" id="paren.2"/>, being able to safely direct
stormwater away from populated areas, in order to avoid flooding, is not
least a challenging task. It requires predicting the hydraulic
behaviour of the given drainage
infrastructure using reliable hydrological models <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx1" id="paren.3"/>. Those
models, apart from detailed rainfall information, call for surface
characteristics such as imperviousness.</p>
      <p>Impervious surfaces reduce the infiltration of water into the soil. They can
be directly related to a level of urbanization <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx25" id="paren.4"/>,
because in urban environments, impervious surfaces dominate (e.g. rooftops or
roads). Monitoring of the imperviousness level is important as it directly impacts many
environmental processes. An increasing percentage of impervious surfaces
increases surface runoff volume and peak discharge, and decreases soil
moisture compensation and groundwater recharge. Moreover, increased peak
runoff volumes together with an inefficient drainage network can not only
cause urban floods, but also lead to an increased hydraulic stress and
increase the risk of loading waterbeds with sediments, and its associated
constituents (e.g. nutrients, contaminants and micro-pollutants).</p>
      <p>An important step towards automation of the processes applied to map
impervious areas was made as a consequence of remote sensing sensors and
classification techniques development (for a detailed review of remote
sensing methods used to map imperviousness, please refer to the Supplement).
In general, most of the studies on extraction of impervious surfaces from
remote sensing data focused on satellite images. During the last decade, a
rapid improvement of imaging sensors gave the end-user an access to very high
spatial resolution (VHR) imagery<fn id="Ch1.Footn1"><p>We refer to a VHR image when
sensor's ground sampling distance (GSD) is lower than 1 m.</p></fn>. Satellite
sensors like Ikonos <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx4" id="paren.5"/> and QuickBird <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx33" id="paren.6"/> or
VHR aerial images <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx8 bib1.bibx21" id="paren.7"/> were quickly adopted for
impervious surfaces mapping. Some studies suggest using highly accurate
methods to quantify landscape changes (land-use and land-cover) using
multi-sensor approaches <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx9 bib1.bibx10" id="paren.8"/>. In the context
of urban hydrology, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx22" id="text.9"/> attempted to use impervious
surfaces extracted from VHR satellite and aerial imagery as an input to the
urban drainage model, but they did not analyse pipe flow predictions,
focusing only on the surface runoff component. However, modern urban drainage
modelling methods call for up-to-date and detailed input data, which could
also be acquired in an efficient way. Even though VHR satellite images able
to acquire fine-grained image information (WorldView-3 satellite can achieve
up to 0.31 m GSD in panchromatic channel) and have short revisit periods,
are still expensive and vulnerable to cloud cover. VHR aerial imagery on the
other hand, although being able to acquire very detailed imagery, is usually
being updated at most once a year, but usually every third year
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx26" id="paren.10"/>. Recently, imaging platforms based on UAVs became very
popular, finding their application in the fields of photogrammetry,
archeology or agriculture <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx24 bib1.bibx6 bib1.bibx32" id="paren.11"/>.
More recently, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx16" id="text.12"/> investigated the quality of digital
elevation models (DEMs) generated using UAV imagery from urban drainage
modelling applications. In the study, the authors show that the quality of
UAV DEMs is comparable to that of conventional, off-the-shelf height data
sets. However, to our best knowledge no studies exist, that used UAV-based
imagery to extract imperviousness information, and to use it in the field of
urban drainage modelling. In comparison to a standard, off-the-shelf
satellite or aerial remote sensing imagery, UAVs demonstrate greater
flexibility and are more efficient in terms of money and time. Yet, the
classification of UAV VHR imagery, particularly in urban areas, is
challenging, because in this level of detail, many small objects appear, and
fine-grained texture details of larger objects emerge. Thus, describing an
object class using only single raw pixel values is insufficient. Accurate
classification needs additional image features, which would characterize the
contextual information by describing an object's local neighbourhood. The
value of such approach in classification of surface imperviousness has
already been acknowledged <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx19" id="paren.13"/>. However, what is highly
relevant, but currently unclear, is how to best exploit the rich information,
i.e. the unprecedented level of detail and flexibility to acquire
problem-specific images. And, whether it is feasible to use imagery acquired
with UAVs for urban drainage modelling.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F1" specific-use="star"><caption><p>Overall analysis approach (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>⊖</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>-%imp: model parameter “degree
of imperviousness”; ML: maximum likelihood; RQE: boosting with randomized
quasi-exhaustive feature bank).</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=398.338583pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/19/4215/2015/hess-19-4215-2015-f01.png"/>

      </fig>

      <p>Specifically, we present three key aspects:
<list list-type="order"><list-item><p>We evaluate whether land-use data based on UAV imagery can be used to
assess the performance of urban drainage systems.</p></list-item><list-item><p>We propose a unique workflow based on a randomized quasi-exhaustive (RQE)
feature bank and a boosting classifier<fn id="Ch1.Footn2"><p>The boosting classifier used
in conjunction with RQE features will be referred to as the “RQE method” in
this paper.</p></fn>. The RQE feature bank consists of a multitude of
multiscale textural features describing both, spectral and height information
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx28" id="paren.14"/>. The boosting classifier lends itself to the task to
only choose the optimal features during training (for details, see below).</p></list-item><list-item><p>We perform end-to-end comparison of land use against high-quality sewer
pipe flow data. Although important to correctly interpret the results, this is
not routinely done in remote sensing literature.</p></list-item></list>
The key idea of our study was not to solely base the assessment of the
usefulness of UAV images for urban drainage applications on the performance
of the classifiers. Thus, we demonstrate the usefulness of our approach by
means of a case study in a small urban area in Lucerne, Switzerland, in two
steps (see also Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F1"/>): first, we compare the UAV
data with standard airborne imagery using a maximum likelihood (ML)
classifier and the RQE method on both image sources (1). Second, we use a
hydrodynamic model to show the consequences of different land-use information
for urban drainage performance indicators, here surface runoff (2) and
in-sewer pipe flow (3).</p>
      <p>The remainder of the paper is structured as follows: first we present a
general approach and the case study catchment with related material, such as
the hydrodynamic rainfall–runoff model, rainfall and runoff observations,
and remote sensing data. Then we describe the applied methods, land-use
classification, surface runoff and in-sewer flow modelling, as well as the
suggested performance criteria. Finally we present results and discuss the
potential and limitations of using UAV images in urban hydrology.</p><?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2">
  <title>Materials and methods</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS1">
  <title>Case study and data sets</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS1.SSS1">
  <title>Case study</title>
      <p>For our case study we used a residential area, called the Wartegg catchment,
in the city of Lucerne, Switzerland (see Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F2"/>). The
catchment covers about 77 ha and is home for 6900 residents. It is typical
of many suburban areas in Switzerland: high- to moderate-density population,
and scattered single- to two-story housing embedded in a hilly landscape,
including typical public infrastructure such as shopping centres and sports grounds.</p>
      <p>Stormwater and wastewater are drained by separate and combined sewers (see
Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F2"/>) with a total length of 11.2 km. An overflow
structure connected to a small storage basin is installed to avoid hydraulic
overload in case of heavy rainfall. Excess combined sewage is directly
discharged to the lake; the carry-on flow travels by gravity to the
wastewater treatment works. Three small creeks, to some extent culverted,
cross the catchment and are interlinked with the stormwater network.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F2" specific-use="star"><caption><p>Case study catchment area situated in
Lucerne.</p></caption>
            <?xmltex \igopts{width=341.433071pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/19/4215/2015/hess-19-4215-2015-f02.png"/>

          </fig>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS1.SSS2">
  <title>Remote sensing data sets</title>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS1.SSSx1" specific-use="unnumbered">
  <title>Image data</title>
      <p>In this study we used two image data sets. The first image data were acquired
by <italic>swisstopo<fn id="Ch1.Footn3"><p>In this paper the “ortho” and “orthophoto”
terms will be used interchangeably with <italic>swisstopo</italic> imagery.</p></fn></italic> in
June 2013. It is a part of an aerial orthophoto mosaic (RGB channels) with a
GSD of 0.0625 m, and consists of images acquired during leaves-on
conditions. Although this data set was acquired on-demand (standard
<italic>swisstopo</italic> orthophotos have a GSD of 0.25 m), images acquired by
<italic>swisstopo</italic> are publicly available, and this data source is, to our
best knowledge, the standard for hydrological applications in Switzerland.
Because <italic>swisstopo</italic> offers off-the-shelf image products, which are
already orthorectified and georeferenced, one can avoid costly and
time-consuming pre-processing of raw image data. On the other hand, image
acquisitions are made at most once a year, usually every third year, and try
to alternate between leaves-on and leaves-off periods <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx26" id="paren.15"/>.
Thus, it might happen that one is not able to obtain up-to-date results.</p>
      <p>The second data set was acquired with a Canon IXUS 127 HS digital consumer
camera with 16 Mpix sensor, mounted on a fixed-wing micro-UAV platform
(Sensefly eBee; see Sect. S2 in the Supplement for details). The flight was
performed during leaves-off conditions in March 2014. The custom processing
software, which is shipped together with the UAV
(cf. <uri>http://www.senseFly.com</uri>, based on the Pix4D technology,
cf. <uri>http://pix4d.com/products/</uri>), was used to process the images. It is
designed for use by non-experts and is highly automated; user interaction is
limited to selecting input images, entering flight parameters (camera details
and GPS/INS data) and measuring ground control points (GCPs). Orthophotos
(RGB channels) generated from the acquired images have a GSD of 0.10 m. In
the case of a small catchment, as in our study, a main advantage of UAVs,
when compared to manned aircraft with large-format mapping cameras, lies in
their flexibility in terms of deployment, and in their low cost. Conducting a
standard photogrammetric flight campaign typically requires days of
preparation and is more dependent on weather conditions. Note though:
micro-UAVs are at present not suitable for large-area mapping, because of
their low speed and limited battery capacity.</p>
      <p>Prior to the classification, both data sets were downsampled to a GSD of
0.25 m in order to make the evaluation comparable to standard
<italic>swisstopo</italic> imagery available on the market. Furthermore, this step
reduces the time needed for training the classifier.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS1.SSSx2" specific-use="unnumbered">
  <title>Height model</title>
      <p>In this study we used two different height models: (i) a DTM provided by
swisstopo <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx27" id="paren.16"/> was used to classify the swisstopo data set and
to derive the catchment slope for the urban drainage model. This model
features a grid size of 2 m, and for the land-use classification it was
upsampled to the resolution of corresponding image data set; (ii) a
nDSM<fn id="Ch1.Footn4"><p>A digital terrain model (DTM) represents the bare ground
surface; a digital surface model (DSM) represents the surface visible from
the top, including buildings, trees etc.; the normalized digital surface
model (nDSM) is obtained by subtracting the DTM from the DSM and shows the
relative height of non-ground objects over the ground.</p></fn>, created by
subtracting a DSM extracted using dense image matching from a DTM provided by
swisstopo, was used to classify the UAV data set.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS1.SSS3">
  <title>Rainfall</title>
      <p>Precipitation data were collected from a meteorological station located 2 km
away from the Wartegg catchment area, operated by the Swiss Meteorological
Institute (MeteoSwiss). Recordings were taken in a 10 min interval using a
tipping bucket rain gauge with a precision of 0.1 mm. Hourly precipitation
was checked following the quality assurance criteria of MeteoSwiss.
Additional quality checks were carried out to ensure that the 10 min data
are reliable. Spatial rainfall variability was not considered in the study
due to the short distance between the meteorological station and the study
area.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS1.SSS4">
  <title>Sewer flow reference data</title>
      <p>Two flow data sets were obtained from in-sewer flow monitoring located at the
outlet of the subcatchment (see Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F2"/>). Over a period of
4 months (17 July 2014 to 18 November 2014) the in-sewer flow was
continuously monitored with two different sensors: (i) an acoustic Doppler
flow sensor (Sigma submerged AV sensor, HACH) – 1 min monitoring frequency
– and (ii) a digital Doppler radar velocity sensor, along with ultrasonic
level-sensing (FLO-DAR, Marsh Mc Birney) – 15 min monitoring frequency –
to provide redundant flow rate information. Correlation analysis between the
two reference signals shows a high agreement and confirms the solid quality
of the data.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS1.SSS5">
  <title>Urban drainage model</title>
      <p>Urban drainage models are tools to analyse the hydraulic behaviour of urban
drainage systems, and to support risk analysis of urban flooding and
receiving water pollution. Typically, these models include two main computing
modules: the surface runoff (hydrological) and the in-sewer flow (hydraulic)
model. The hydrological model estimates the time and space distribution of
the direct runoff under consideration of initial precipitation losses
(evaporation, wetting losses) and soil infiltration for pervious areas. The
resulting runoff is then used as input for the hydraulic model to simulate
the pipe flow in the sewer network.</p>
      <p>In the present study we use the freely available Stormwater Management Model
released and constantly developed by the US Environmental Protection Agency
(SWMM, Release 5.1.006; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx30" id="altparen.17"/>). SWMM is a widely used and
well-accepted state-of-the-art 1-D dynamic rainfall–runoff model. We
deliberately chose SWMM despite its limitations (lumped surface runoff model
concept) as it represents a widely used standard application in urban
drainage modelling, and we wanted to keep the modelling use case as simple as
possible.</p>
      <p>The description of the surface runoff is based on the MANNING approach, a
simplifying, conceptual formulation of transport phenomena in the catchment
assuming that the surface runoff starts after the rainfall volume has
exceeded a representative value of the initial losses in the catchment.
Rainfall losses are adjusted throughout the rainfall event according to the
changes occurring in the infiltration process (pervious part of catchment
surface) which is a function of the soil water saturation level. Impervious
surfaces are those where no infiltration occurs; the catchment's
imperviousness degree and its spatial distribution are then expected to have
a great impact on surface runoff and urban drainage system modelling results.
Flow routing through a system of sewer pipes, storage basins and regulating
devices is accomplished by solving the Saint-Venant flow equations, whereas
here we applied a type of diffusive wave approximation which neglects
inertial terms from the momentum equation when flow becomes supercritical.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS2">
  <title>Methodology</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS2.SSS1">
  <title>Classification</title>
      <p>Generally, supervised classification consists of three main steps:
(i) extraction of the features from a raw input image, (ii) training the
classifier using a small, manually annotated training set (not necessarily
from the same image), and (iii) classification of all pixels in the area of
interest, using the classifier trained in the previous step. In the following
we describe two different types of supervised classifiers: (i) Gaussian
maximum likelihood, and (ii) boosting.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS2.SSSx1" specific-use="unnumbered">
  <title>Maximum likelihood</title>
      <p>The maximum likelihood (ML) classifier is a popular classification method in
the field of urban hydrology. It is a simple generative model which assumes
that the image features within each target class follow a normal
distribution. Under this assumption, each of the target classes can be
described by its mean vector and covariance matrix. Given this information
one can directly compute the statistical probability of particular pixel
belonging to one of the target classes. A serious limitation of ML is that it
is not well suited for high-dimensional data. Due to the “curse of
dimensionality” <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx14" id="paren.18"/>, its performance degrades typically
beyond a dozen or so feature dimensions. For imagery with a medium spatial
resolution imagery, where objects are usually spectrally
consistent<fn id="Ch1.Footn5"><p>Meaning that they consist of pixels of similar values.</p></fn>,
it might be enough to construct image features consisting only of single raw
pixel values. However, the variability of the pixel values within an object
class grows with the spatial resolution of the image, for example, when a
roof consists of many pixels and substructures such as planted areas or roof
gardens become visible. Therefore one should no longer rely on single pixel
values, but has to consider contextual information and, for example,
construct features that exploit the neighbourhood of a pixel (e.g. textural features). Such features expand
the dimensionality of data, making generative classifiers inefficient. Here
we classified two image data sets using a maximum likelihood classifier
implemented in ArcGIS software <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx7" id="paren.19"/>. As often done in conjunction
with the ML method, we use only the single raw pixel values as features.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS2.SSSx2" specific-use="unnumbered">
  <title>Boosting</title>
      <p>As an alternative to ML we propose a multiclass extension
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx2" id="paren.20"/> of adaptive boosting (AdaBoost, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx11" id="altparen.21"/>).
Unlike ML, boosting methods (and related discriminative classifiers) are
better suited for very high-dimensional feature spaces, as they do not
attempt to model the input data distribution. Boosting greedily learns an
additive combination of many simple classifiers (in our case shallow decision
trees). A useful property of the method is that it performs explicit feature
selection as part of the classifier training. Thanks to this, we sidestep
manual feature selection. Moreover, at test time only the selected features
need to be computed, which significantly reduces the computational effort.
Here, we classified the images using randomized quasi-exhaustive (RQE)
feature banks <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx28" id="paren.22"/>, which are able to capture multiscale
texture properties in a pixel's neighbourhood.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS2.SSSx3" specific-use="unnumbered">
  <title>Performance assessment of classification</title>
      <p>To assess the performance of the two classifiers used in this study, we have
manually labelled a subset (5 ha) of each of the image data sets (see
Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F3"/>). Hence, we were able to report the
classification accuracy for all pixels in an extended area, which in our view
is a lot more reliable than sparse, point-wise accuracy assessment. We
selected either three (rooftops/streets/vegetation) or two
(impervious/pervious) target classes, where in the two-categories case, the
“impervious” class is an aggregation of the “rooftos” and “streets”
classes. For the subsequent hydrological analysis, only the two-class maps
were used.</p>
      <p>Both classifiers were trained using randomly selected subsets of pixels (1,
2 or 5 %, which correspond roughly to 7000, 14 000 and 36 000 pixels).
Thereby we can evaluate how the size of the training data has an influence on
the overall classification accuracy. If satisfactory results can be obtained,
then a lower number of training samples is preferable, since it reduces the
training time and saves annotation effort. Similarly to experiments carried
out in <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx28" id="text.23"/>, we trained the boosting classifier using
decision trees with eight leaf nodes, and set the number of boosting rounds
to 500. As a performance metric for the classification, we used the overall
accuracy (OA), i.e. the fraction of correctly classified pixels.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F3"><caption><p>The Wartegg area containing 307 subcatchments (red polygons
including blue polygons) overlayed on a topographic map. The performance of
classifiers was assessed on a subset depicted in
blue.</p></caption>
            <?xmltex \igopts{width=236.157874pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/19/4215/2015/hess-19-4215-2015-f03.png"/>

          </fig>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS2.SSS2">
  <title>Assessing the importance of input data for surface runoff</title>
      <p>To assess the influence of input data accuracy on the surface runoff, we
predicted the surface runoff for a rain event of moderate intensity (total
volume of 29.7 mm; peak rainfall intensity of 2.9 L s<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>). Then, we
analysed the runoff of the 307 individual subcatchments regarding the
following attributes: (i) peak flow (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>Q</mml:mi><mml:mtext>peak</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) and (ii) volume
of the peak (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mtext>peak</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>). As it is very challenging to directly
measure surface runoff that can be compared with model predictions, we first
performed an exploratory analysis of the major influence factors. Second, we
investigated interactions between the data source and processing method by
means of a regression analysis (see Sect. S3 in the Supplement for details).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS2.SSSx4" specific-use="unnumbered">
  <title>Performance assessment</title>
      <p><?xmltex \hack{\noindent}?><italic>Exploratory data analysis of surface and surface runoff characteristics</italic> <?xmltex \hack{\newline}?><?xmltex \hack{\newline}?> To summarize the
important characteristics of the surface runoff, we visualized important
aspects using boxplots and scatterplots (see Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F6"/>). The
main research questions were the following:
<list list-type="bullet"><list-item><p>Which differences in imperviousness (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>Imp</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) result for each
subcatchment: (i) for the two data sources and (ii) for the two classification methods?</p></list-item><list-item><p>Does the image source have a substantial influence on the predictions
of surface runoff from a subcatchment? How does this depend on the processing method?</p></list-item></list></p>
      <p><?xmltex \hack{\noindent}?><italic>Regression analysis of surface runoff characteristics</italic> <?xmltex \hack{\newline}?><?xmltex \hack{\newline}?> To answer the second
question, we constructed four regression models with indicator variables
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx18" id="paren.24"/>. This makes it possible to consider the individual
effects of the data and the processing method. In addition, a model with an
interaction term, unlike an additive model, could add a further adjustment
for the “interaction” between the data source and the classification
method. Specifically, we would like to explore whether the relationship
between the image source and the imperviousness in the subcatchments, and
their surface runoff characteristics, is different for each classifier. The
model for a dependent variable <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is
<?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?><?xmltex \hack{\vspace*{-8mm}}?>

                  <disp-formula id="Ch1.E1" content-type="numbered"><mml:math display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>y</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>I</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mtext>Data</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>I</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mtext>Method</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>I</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>Data</mml:mtext><mml:mo>⋅</mml:mo><mml:mtext>Method</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϵ</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>

            where <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>y</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>th observation of the dependent variable,
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>I</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mtext>Data</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> an indicator variable which is 1 if <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>y</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> was
computed from UAV images (UAV) and 0 from orthophotos, and
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>I</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mtext>Method</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is an indicator variable which is 1 if <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>y</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> was
computed with the RQE method and 0 for the ML classifier (ML).
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> … <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> are the parameters to be estimated and
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϵ</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is a random error term. If <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϵ</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is normally and
independently distributed, i.e. <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϵ</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>(0, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>),
this model is equivalent to a classical least square regression or to a
three-way analysis of variance model with treatment contrasts
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx17" id="paren.25"/>.</p>
      <p>The imperviousness is bounded between 0 and 1, whereas a linear model could
easily predict values beyond this range, which is not admissible. To have a
more plausible model, we therefore used a logit-transformation on the
imperviousness (%imp):

                  <disp-formula id="Ch1.E2" content-type="numbered"><mml:math display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>z</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:mo>⋅</mml:mo><mml:mtext>arctanh</mml:mtext><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:mo>⋅</mml:mo><mml:mtext>Imp</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>

            In addition, we analyse the results of this regression analysis on a
qualitative basis only. With more correct and more complex models, which
better represent the underlying process that generated the data,
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> values (see Tables S3–S5 in the Supplement) would tend to be larger. Here, however, we
are not interested in the magnitude or statistical significance of the
individual effect, but we would just like to see whether they are very
different or not.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS2.SSS3">
  <title>Prediction of pipe flows</title>
      <p>To assess the model's capability to predict the resulting in-sewer flow, we
predicted stormwater flows at the catchment outlet for 36 independent rain
events of different intensity and duration (see below) and compared them with
flow data measurements (see Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S3.SS3"/>). In particular, we compared
measured and predicted volume of the total runoff as well as peak flows. The
main driving questions for the analysis were the following:
<list list-type="bullet"><list-item><p>How do differences in imperviousness affect pipe flow predictions?</p></list-item><list-item><p>To what extent may differences regarding input data, i.e. degree of
imperviousness of subcatchment areas, be compensated by the model calibration procedure?</p></list-item></list></p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS2.SSSx5" specific-use="unnumbered">
  <title>Model calibration</title>
      <p>To address the latter question, we compared the results of the different
model implementations prior to and after calibration. For the
calibration/validation procedure we split the reference data set into a
calibration (July to September 2014) and a validation period (September to
November 2014). In total, for both periods, 36 independent rain events of
different intensity and duration were observed, which we consider sufficient
to cover the inherent variability of rain events.</p>
      <p>To analyse the effect of different input data and how this would be addressed
by model calibration, we applied a genetically adaptive multi-objective
calibration algorithm (AMALGAM, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx31" id="altparen.26"/>) to adjust the
calibration parameters of the four implementations. The model input (two
image data sources <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> two different classifiers) is used to derive
the “%imp” parameter. In the optimization, four different calibration
parameters were adjusted to match three objective functions: (i) simulation
bias (SB) and Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx20" id="altparen.27"/>),
(ii) total flow balance, and (iii) peak flow deviation – all with respect to
the flow at the catchment outlet. The input parameter imperviousness
“%imp” is derived from orthophotos and is not subject to calibration. The
calibration parameters are
<list list-type="bullet"><list-item><p>catchment width (m),</p></list-item><list-item><p>HORTON maximum infiltration rate (mm day<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>),</p></list-item><list-item><p>decay constant for the HORTON curve (day<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>), and</p></list-item><list-item><p>size of a virtual subcatchment (ha), mimicking groundwater infiltration
into the sewer pipe network.</p></list-item></list></p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS2.SSSx6" specific-use="unnumbered">
  <title>Performance assessment: flow balance and flow dynamics</title>
      <p>In a first step, we evaluated the match between modelled hydrographs and
reference flow data using the SB and NSE. Both goodness-of-fit measures are
well established in urban hydrology to cover deviations regarding the flow
balance (bias) and flow dynamics (NSE). The simulation bias <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>B</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is defined as
follows:

                  <disp-formula id="Ch1.E3" content-type="numbered"><mml:math display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi>E</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">‾</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">‾</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:mfenced><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>

            whereas <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">‾</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:math></inline-formula> is the mean of measured (observed) values and
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi>E</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">‾</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:math></inline-formula> is the mean of estimated (simulated) values. The bias ranges
from <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">∞</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> until <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">∞</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> with an optimum at 0. The Nash–Sutcliffe
efficiency NSE is defined as

                  <disp-formula id="Ch1.E4" content-type="numbered"><mml:math display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NSE</mml:mtext><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:munderover><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:munderover><mml:msup><mml:mfenced open="|" close="|"><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>E</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mfenced><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:munderover><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:munderover><mml:msup><mml:mfenced close="|" open="|"><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">‾</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:mfenced><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>

            whereas <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the measured (observed) and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>E</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the simulated value at
the time <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">‾</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:math></inline-formula> is the mean of measured (observed) values,
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>E</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is the mean of estimated (simulated) values, and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> the number of paired
data. NSE reaches 0 when the square of the differences between measured and
estimated values is as large as the variability in the measured data. In case
of negative NSE values the measured mean is a better predictor than the model.</p>
      <p><?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>To cover one of the key figures relevant for engineering urban drainage
systems, we included an event-specific evaluation of peak flows in a second
evaluation step. To this end, we extracted peak flows from observed and
modelled hydrographs using an event filter that identifies independent
rainfall–runoff events preceding a dry weather period by at least 6 h.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F4" specific-use="star"><caption><p>Cutouts of the swisstopo image: original image, manually labelled
ground truth, and classification results using ML and RQE (two and three
classes). In the case of two classes, impervious surfaces are black and
pervious are green. In the case of three classes, rooftops are black,
streets/sidewalks are grey and vegetation is green.</p></caption>
            <?xmltex \igopts{width=398.338583pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/19/4215/2015/hess-19-4215-2015-f04.png"/>

          </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F5" specific-use="star"><caption><p>Cutouts of the UAV image: original image, manually labelled ground
truth, and classification results using ML and RQE (two and three classes).
In the case of two classes, impervious surfaces are black and pervious are
green. In the case of three classes, rooftops are black, streets/sidewalks
are grey and vegetation is green.</p></caption>
            <?xmltex \igopts{width=398.338583pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/19/4215/2015/hess-19-4215-2015-f05.png"/>

          </fig>

</sec>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3">
  <title>Results</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS1">
  <title>Classification</title>
      <p>Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="Ch1.T1"/> presents per-pixel overall classification accuracy
achieved using (i) two different data sets, (ii) two classification methods,
and (iii) either two or three target classes. Figures <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F4"/>
and <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F5"/> present visual classification results for a subset of
each of the two data sets, together with a respective ground truth. We did
not perform any pre- or post-processing of the data. Image pre-processing
adds no information and typically does not help, except for physically
meaningful reflectance calibration, which in our setting was not feasible.
Post-processing of the imperviousness map might improve overall accuracy, but
carries the danger of introducing unwanted biases.</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T1"><caption><p>RQE vs. ML method: overall classification accuracies (in %).
Boosting with RQE features after 500 iterations. Maximum likelihood
classifier was trained with features consisting of single raw pixel
intensities (all spectral channels).</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><?xmltex \begin{scaleboxenv}{.97}[.97]?><oasis:tgroup cols="8">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="center"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="center"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="center"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="5" colname="col5" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="6" colname="col6" align="center"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="7" colname="col7" align="center"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="8" colname="col8" align="center"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" namest="col2" nameend="col4">UAV </oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"/>  
         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" namest="col6" nameend="col8">Orthophoto </oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Class. method/</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1 %</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">2 %</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">5 %</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">1 %</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">2 %</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">5 %</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">% of train data</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8"/>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry namest="col1" nameend="col8" align="center">Three classes </oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">ML</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">78.9</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">72.8</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">78.4</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">84.2</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">84.4</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">80.8</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">RQE</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">93.7</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">94.3</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">95.2</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">95.6</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">95. 8</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">96.3</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry namest="col1" nameend="col8" align="center">Two classes </oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">ML</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">87.7</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">81.6</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">84.3</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">90.9</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">90.8</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">88.4</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">RQE</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">95.5</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">95.6</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">96.2</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">96.6</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">97.0</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">97.4</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup><?xmltex \end{scaleboxenv}?></oasis:table></table-wrap>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS2">
  <title>Prediction of surface runoff</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS2.SSS1">
  <title>Exploratory analysis</title>
      <p>We used boxplots and scatterplots to investigate the effect of combining two
data sources and two processing methods on (i) the imperviousness
and the surface runoff characteristics, (ii) peak flows, and
(iii) runoff volumes (see Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F6"/>).
<list list-type="bullet"><list-item><p><italic>Imperviousness (Imp)</italic>: the boxplot shows that the overall
distributions of imperviousness for 307 subcatchments do not differ much
across the different image sources and classification methods. In general, the
UAV images seem to produce slightly lower values of imperviousness than the
orthophoto, although this effect might also be dominated by the set of UAV image
which was processed by the ML classifier. Regarding the classification methods,
the boosting classification method delivers slightly larger imperviousness
values for both data sources than the ML method.</p></list-item><list-item><p><italic>Peak runoff (Peak)</italic>: like for the imperviousness, the different
image sources lead to very similar peak runoff values. In general, boosting
leads to slightly higher peak flows, which also have a larger variance and
slightly higher extreme values for a couple of subcatchments. Regarding the
suitability of UAV images in rainfall–runoff modelling, there are no relevant
differences between the image sources.</p></list-item><list-item><p><italic>Runoff volumes (Volume)</italic>: the exploratory analysis effectively
suggests the same patterns for the runoff volume as for the peak flows:
boosting leads to larger runoff volumes and the resulting variability of the
rainfall runoff from the 307 subcatchments is slightly larger than for the ML
classifier. Also, the UAV data seem to be associated with smaller runoff
volumes. This is consistent, as this relates to the lower degree of
imperviousness in the subcatchments.</p></list-item></list>
In general, the relative differences between the different alternatives are
very small, with average values of a few percent (see
Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F6"/>). For the imperviousness, there are only a few
subcatchments which show rather large differences. These are even less
relevant for the peak runoff and runoff volumes.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F6"><caption><p>Boxplots of the imperviousness and surface runoff characteristics
(Imp (–), Peak (L s<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>), Volume (m<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>)) for the 307 subcatchments
for the four combinations of data sources and processing methods.
Black <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ortho, red <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> UAV, green <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> ML, and
blue <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> RQE.</p></caption>
            <?xmltex \igopts{width=236.157874pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/19/4215/2015/hess-19-4215-2015-f06.png"/>

          </fig>

      <p>Furthermore, the scatterplots of the different explanatory and dependent
variables suggest that there is not a substantial difference between the
image sources or classification approaches for the modelled surface runoff in
the different subcatchments (see Fig. S1 in the Supplement). For the boosting classifier, we observe a weak positive
correlation with the degree of imperviousness (see Fig. S2 in
the Supplement), which means that catchments which are rather
impervious (or pervious) based on the ML classifier tend to be even more
impervious (or pervious) for the boosting classifier. However, this is
difficult to identify by means of visual analysis and is better explored by
an analysis of variance or regression analysis.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS2.SSS2">
  <title>Regression analysis</title>
      <p>The results from the regression analysis are mainly the maximum likelihood
estimates of the model parameters and an indicator of their importance (see
Tables S3 and S4 in the Supplement).</p>
      <p>For the <italic>imperviousness</italic>, as expected neither the image source nor the
classifier is strongly correlated. The negative sign of the estimated slope
parameter for the image source (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>0.16) suggests that UAV images
generally go together with a lower imperviousness. In addition, the influence
of the image source seems to be larger than that of the classification method
(<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.003), although the large <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> values for all parameters suggest
that it is not very likely that the observed values of imperviousness were to
have occurred under the given statistical model. Therefore, there is
virtually no evidence that there are interactions between the image source
and the classifiers.</p>
      <p>For the <italic>peak runoff</italic>, neither the image source nor the classifier are
strongly correlated. The negative sign of the estimated slope parameter for
the image source (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>0.6) suggests that UAV images
correlate with a smaller peaks. Here, the influence of the image source seems
to be equally important as the classification method
(<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>0.6), just with a different sign. Nevertheless, the
high <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> values for all parameters again suggest that it is not very likely
that the observed values of imperviousness were to have occurred under the
given statistical model. Also, the interaction between the image sources and
classifiers is not important.</p>
      <p>For the runoff volume, the UAV data generally seem to be correlated with
slightly lower runoff volumes (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>302), whereas the RQE method
shows a positive correlation (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 298). Again, neither the two
effects nor their interaction seem to be important.</p>
      <p><?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>In summary, the analysis suggests that surface runoffs predicted with SWMM
are similar for the different data sources or classifiers. In addition,
neither the imperviousness nor peaks nor volumes of the runoff are influenced
by interactions between the image sources and the classification methods. As
the data source and classifier alone do not represent the data generating
process, the underlying statistical assumptions are not met and the numerical
results should not be over-interpreted.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS3">
  <title>Prediction of in-sewer flow</title>
      <p>The evaluation regarding sewer pipe flow is split into two parts: (1) model
performance of uncalibrated implementations, and (2) calibrated
implementations compared to reference data, i.e. flow measured at the outlet
of the catchment.
<list list-type="order"><list-item><p>Focusing on the results prior to calibration, it becomes clear that
uncalibrated models, among each other, differ particularly regarding the peak
flow performance (see boxplot in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F7"/>). This clearly
corresponds to the findings of the surface runoff analysis (see
Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S3.SS2"/>) in which, for instance the implementation “UAV ML”
with the lowest mean degree of imperviousness produces the lowest runoff
peaks. The comparison with reference data through hydrological
goodness-of-fit measures (see Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="Ch1.T2"/>) underlines the moderate
performance regarding flow dynamics (NSE), whereas already good agreement is
achieved for the total flow balance (bias). The slightly improved performance
of the implementation of which the imperviousness is derived from UAV data
classified with the ML method (UAV ML) probably occurs by chance.</p></list-item><list-item><p>Results from calibrated models (see Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F8"/> and
Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="Ch1.T2"/>, right column) show that conducting a detailed calibration, as
expected, leads to an improved model performance (NSE increase, bias
reduction) and interestingly smooths out the land-use differences among the
four implementations. This is visible in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F8"/>, where
the hydrographs are practically the same. Even though the results from the
UAV ML implementation after calibration still shows slightly different
results (see Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F8"/>, right panel), the differences in peak
flow for the 13 most intense rain events are very similar (see Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F9"/>).</p><p>Interestingly, the very similar performance is achieved with very different
parameter estimates (see Fig. S6 in the Supplement). Particularly the
parameter “width”, “maximum infiltration rate” and “Decay K”
(influencing the peak flow) vary substantially. Results show that the
calibrated runoff model should be fairly robust against variations of the
perviousness map, since these can be compensated by changing other, more
uncertain parameters, e.g. by different parameters defining the infiltration
into pervious surfaces.</p></list-item></list></p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T2"><caption><p>Goodness-of-fit measures prior to and after calibration (both
quantified for the validation period).</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="3">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="center"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="left"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Prior to</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">After</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">calibration</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">calibration</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">SB <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>/</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">SB <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>/</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">NSE <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">NSE <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Ortho ML</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">2.0/0.54</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">3.16 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 10<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>/0.72</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Ortho RQE</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">2.0/0.52</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.007/0.71</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">UAV ML</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.3/0.62</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.1/0.75</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">UAV RQE</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">2.0/0.53</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">1.38/0.73</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F7"><caption><p>Evaluation of peak flows (L s<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) for the 13 most intense rain events (prior
calibration).</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=85.358268pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/19/4215/2015/hess-19-4215-2015-f07.png"/>

        </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F8" specific-use="star"><caption><p>Observed reference and simulations (prior calibration) for the full
validation period September to November 2014 (left panels) and a selected
event on 11 October 2014 (right panels).</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=497.923228pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/19/4215/2015/hess-19-4215-2015-f08.png"/>

        </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F9"><caption><p>Evaluation of the peak flows for the 13 most intense rain events in
the validation period (after calibration).</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=236.157874pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/19/4215/2015/hess-19-4215-2015-f09.png"/>

        </fig>

</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4">
  <title>Discussion</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS1">
  <title>Classification</title>
      <p>In order to fully exploit the advantages coming with high spatial resolution
of an image, one has to use the classification method tailored to the
characteristics of a data set. Thus, the choice of the classifier has a
substantial impact on the overall classification accuracy. While boosting
achieves accuracies between 93.7 and 96.2 % for the UAV data set and
95.6 to 97.4 % for the <italic>swisstopo</italic> data set, maximum likelihood
yields results which are up to 20 % worse. Furthermore, it can be seen that
the number of target classes strongly influences the results of the ML
method. Classification with three target classes is up to 9 % less accurate
than with two. Moreover, the amount of data used to train the ML classifier
gives inconclusive results. By increasing the number of training samples,
overall accuracy should increase. However, in our case the training appears
to be unstable, and the expected increase only materializes in a single case
(see Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="Ch1.T1"/>, orthophoto data set, three classes). A
possible explanation is that the class distribution is not unimodal, and thus
not appropriately captured by the Gaussian model.</p>
      <p>In contrast to the ML method, the boosting classifier behaves in a stable
manner. Differences in overall accuracy do not exceed 2.5 % per data set.
The changes in boosting performance with varying amounts of training data are
negligible: 1 % (7000 pixels) already yield satisfactory results, i.e. the
effort for annotation as well as the training time remains low. The
efficiency and robustness of boosting used together with features appropriate
for VHR aerial imagery makes this approach a good choice for the task. Also,
overall classification accuracy achieved using a boosting classifier together
with UAV-based imagery shows that in terms of classification accuracy of
impervious surfaces, this new imaging platform gives comparable results to
the off-the-shelf aerial image products.</p>
      <p>Moreover, our experiments show that at the level of surface runoff
prediction, the differences between different imaging platforms and between
different processing methods are small. Even though the classification
accuracy between data sets and methods differs by up to 20 %, their
influence on surface runoff characteristics lies within only a few percent on
average. We believe that one of the reasons is the spatial size of our
subcatchments. Each of them consists of hundreds of image pixels, but the
hydrological model disregards the spatial information and only uses
aggregated values, i.e. the sum of all impervious pixels belonging to one
subcatchment. A further observation is that the differences in classification
accuracy are much larger for the three-class case. This is in line with
conventional machine learning wisdom (“only predict what you need to
know”); however, we have not yet constructed an end-to-end study with the
three-class result as an input.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS2">
  <title>Prediction of surface runoff</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS2.SSS1">
  <title>Exploratory analysis of surface runoff</title>
      <p>While there are substantial differences when the images are compared
pixel-by-pixel (see Figs. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F4"/> and <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F5"/>),
these are largely lost for the predicted surface runoff. In our view, this is
again explained by the SWMM surface runoff model. It is a lumped model, which
aggregates the pixels and thus smoothes out the differences already on this
small scale. This tendency will be even more pronounced for a higher degree
of spatial aggregation, e.g. when modelling larger urban areas, where the
subcatchments equipped with flow measurements will also be larger. Future
experiments that investigate the continuous spatial downsampling of images
may reveal when differences fully disappear.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS2.SSS2">
  <title>Model structure as a bottleneck?</title>
      <p>Obvious differences in the input data may be smoothed out due to the
simplified, conceptual representation of the surface runoff in SWMM. We do
expect different results for more detailed representation of land use,
e.g. with a separate “roof” land-use or modern pixel-based modelling
approaches for surface runoff. In the future, this might be even more
important considering the increasing popularity of coupled
2-D-overland/1-D-channel flow models including more detailed overland-flow
modelling using raster/pixel-based approaches (cf. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx15" id="altparen.28"/>).
Traditional models – as currently used in day-to-day engineering practice –
will probably never be able to fully make use the amount of detail (pixel
basis) provided by such aerial images.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS2.SSS3">
  <title>High-resolution images provide added value in urban drainage</title>
      <p>The effect on surface runoff and pipe hydraulics using spatially aggregating
models (two land-use classes) may not be as immense. However, in future
investigations, models that allow differentiating between three or more
land-use classes should be further investigated. This may be particularly
relevant for pollutant load modelling, for which detail, accuracy and
actuality of land-use characteristics are highly influential. Relevance of
input data accuracy may even further increase due to the fact that obtaining
adequate pollution load reference data is considered to be very difficult
(cf. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx5" id="altparen.29"/>).</p>
      <p>Also, other urban drainage tasks would greatly benefit from detailed land-use
maps, e.g. precise and justified stormwater fees due to exactly delineated
types of impervious areas (cf. Figs. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F4"/> and <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F5"/>).
An improved feature (gully pots, sewer inlets, curbstone
structures) identification is expected to further provide valuable input data
for network generation approaches (e.g. as outlined in <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx3" id="altparen.30"/>)
and the coupled 2-D surface runoff/1-D pipe flow model applications. For
this, the RQE method seems to be most promising, although for the runoff
analysis, a simpler method still seems to produce robust results.</p>
      <p>The possibility of on-demand image acquisitions through UAV flights allows
almost instantaneous response to land-use developments in dynamic urban
environments. As land use changes become increasingly evident, keeping
hydrological models up-to-date appears to be a key to effectively reduce the
risk of urban flooding. We consider the flexibility of collecting
high-quality images at almost any time (“on-demand”) for spatially
pre-defined urban areas of manageable size as clear benefit, also with regard
to cost efficiency.</p><?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS3">
  <title>Pipe flow predictions</title>
      <p>The results from the model calibration show that input data deviations are
nearly fully compensated by the calibration procedure, involving an adaption
of four different calibration parameter sets. The analysis of the final
calibration parameter values however reveals that the best fit for each of
the implementations is achieved by differing parameter sets (see
Fig. S6 in the Supplement). On the one hand side, this
may indicate that, even though the full range of a priori defined
parameter ranges is used during the auto-calibration procedure, for each
implementation a different (local) optimum in the Pareto front is identified.
On the other hand, it may underline that the given model structure is
flexible enough to address different model inputs through different parameter
settings. Here, it becomes clear that the compensation is achieved by
adjusting parameters in a way that involves the risk that some parameters
loose its physically based origin and turn into “conceptual handles”. The
discussion on this particular question is certainly interesting and would
need further analyses, but it cannot be accomplished in this paper
contribution as it would blur the main focus of the paper.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S5" sec-type="conclusions">
  <title>Conclusions</title>
      <p>In this study we investigated the possibility to automatically generate
high-resolution imperviousness maps for urban areas from imagery acquired
with UAVs, and for the first time assessed the potential of UAVs for
high-resolution hydrological applications compared with a standard
large-format aerial orthophotos. We proposed an automatic processing pipeline
with modern classification methods to extract accurate imperviousness maps
from high resolution aerial images, and presented an end-to-end comparison,
in which the maps obtained from different sources and processed with
different classification methods were used as input for urban drainage models.</p>
      <p><?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>The first part of our analysis indicates that, using a boosting classifier in
conjunction with RQE features, we were able to classify UAV imagery with an
accuracy comparable to standard aerial orthophotos. The proposed
classification method yields more stable results, when compared with those
produced using the maximum likelihood method. This improvement is even more
apparent when classifying three instead of two classes of land use.</p>
      <p>In the second part of our analysis we have demonstrated how model input data
variations propagate in the course of the urban drainage modelling exercise,
and how this is reflected in the surface runoff and sewer flow predictions.
Results from uncalibrated model implementations actually show deviations in
the predictions, which can be explained by input data variations. But still
predictions are inaccurate. Conversely, after calibration the performance
analysis shows that the calibration process attenuates variations in the
input data, suggesting that model predictions are insensitive to these
variations. However, the analysis of the resulting model parameter settings
also reveals that apparent robustness is achieved by tweaking the parameter
in a way which involves the risk of leaving valid parameter ranges.</p>
      <p>Because model development and calibration in everyday practice is often based
on less accurate information than used in our case study, it is important to
underline reliable input data to reduce overall uncertainty in model predictions.</p>
      <p>We note that the conclusions of the study are limited regarding
(i) the small size of the case study catchment, (ii) the degree of
detail in which the catchment has been described (more detail may show a more
pronounced input error propagation, a more lumped description may absorb
input deviations from the start), and (iii) the type of hydrological
modelling concept used. Therefore we suggest conducting further research to
evaluate the impact of the spatial scale, i.e. the degree of spatial
aggregation linked to the hydrological model approach (ensemble modelling).
In the case study presented here we chose a traditional and widely used urban
drainage model (EPA SWMM) to deliberately demonstrate the effect of new image
sources and processing methods for standard engineering practice.</p>
      <p>Still, we suggest using imperviousness maps consisting of three land-use
classes as more differentiated input for a more detailed hydrological model,
i.e. a pollution load model, which makes better use of urban land-use
differentiation. Because the proposed boosting classifier showed the largest
accuracy gain for a three-class case, we strongly believe that introducing
this additional information more clearly shows the potential of UAV data sets
and advanced classification methods for more accurate urban drainage and
pollution load modelling.</p>
</sec>

      
      </body>
    <back><app-group>
        <supplementary-material position="anchor"><p><bold>The Supplement related to this article is available online at <inline-supplementary-material xlink:href="http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-4215-2015-supplement" xlink:title="pdf">doi:10.5194/hess-19-4215-2015-supplement</inline-supplementary-material>.</bold><?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?></p></supplementary-material>
        </app-group><ack><title>Acknowledgements</title><p>This publication is an outcome of a fruitful interdisciplinary collaboration
between photogrammetrists and hydrologists, which was triggered by joint
supervision of Matthew Moy de Vitry's Master's thesis titled “Improving
Urban Flood Management with Autonomous Mini-UAVs”. We would like to thank
Matthew for providing us with a UAV data set. Also, we are very grateful to
MeteoSwiss and the city of Lucerne for providing us with the precipitation
and infrastructure data, and the Engineering Consultants from HOLINGER AG,
Bern for providing us with the Holinger company for providing us with the
<italic>swisstopo</italic> aerial image data. Last but not least, we would like to
thank Philippe Gerber for helping us with an automatic calibration of the
pipe flow model. <?xmltex \hack{\newline}?><?xmltex \hack{\newline}?> Edited by: N. Romano</p></ack><ref-list>
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