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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">HESS</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>Hydrology and Earth System Sciences</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">HESS</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci.</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">1607-7938</issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/hess-18-2735-2014</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Understanding flood regime changes in Europe: a state-of-the-art assessment</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Hall</surname>
<given-names>J.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4242-2020</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Arheimer</surname>
<given-names>B.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8314-0735</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Borga</surname>
<given-names>M.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Brázdil</surname>
<given-names>R.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Claps</surname>
<given-names>P.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6">
<sup>6</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Kiss</surname>
<given-names>A.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Kjeldsen</surname>
<given-names>T. R.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7">
<sup>7</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Kriaučiūnienė</surname>
<given-names>J.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff8">
<sup>8</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Kundzewicz</surname>
<given-names>Z. W.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff9">
<sup>9</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff10">
<sup>10</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Lang</surname>
<given-names>M.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1417-1495</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff11">
<sup>11</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Llasat</surname>
<given-names>M. C.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8720-4193</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff12">
<sup>12</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Macdonald</surname>
<given-names>N.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff13">
<sup>13</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff14">
<sup>14</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>McIntyre</surname>
<given-names>N.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff15">
<sup>15</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff24">
<sup>24</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Mediero</surname>
<given-names>L.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9346-6592</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff16">
<sup>16</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Merz</surname>
<given-names>B.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5992-1440</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff17">
<sup>17</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Merz</surname>
<given-names>R.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3698-2339</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff18">
<sup>18</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Molnar</surname>
<given-names>P.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6437-4931</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff19">
<sup>19</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Montanari</surname>
<given-names>A.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7428-0410</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff20">
<sup>20</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Neuhold</surname>
<given-names>C.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff21">
<sup>21</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Parajka</surname>
<given-names>J.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1177-5181</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Perdigão</surname>
<given-names>R. A. P.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5543-1754</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Plavcová</surname>
<given-names>L.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff25">
<sup>25</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Rogger</surname>
<given-names>M.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Salinas</surname>
<given-names>J. L.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3045-9811</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Sauquet</surname>
<given-names>E.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9539-7730</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff11">
<sup>11</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Schär</surname>
<given-names>C.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4171-1613</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff22">
<sup>22</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Szolgay</surname>
<given-names>J.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff23">
<sup>23</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Viglione</surname>
<given-names>A.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7587-4832</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Blöschl</surname>
<given-names>G.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Institute of Hydraulic Engineering and Water Resources Management, Vienna University of Technology, Vienna, Austria</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Norrköping, Sweden</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Department of Land, Environment, Agriculture and Forestry, University of Padova, Padua, Italy</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>Institute of Geography, Masaryk University, Brno, Czech Republic</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff5">
<label>5</label>
<addr-line>Global Change Research Centre, Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic, Brno, Czech Republic</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff6">
<label>6</label>
<addr-line>Department Environment, Land and Infrastructure Engineering (DIATI), Politecnico di Torino, Turin, Italy</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff7">
<label>7</label>
<addr-line>Department of Architecture and Civil Engineering, University of Bath, Bath, UK</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff8">
<label>8</label>
<addr-line>Laboratory of Hydrology, Lithuanian Energy Institute, Kaunas, Lithuania</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff9">
<label>9</label>
<addr-line>Institute for Agricultural and Forest Environment, Polish Academy of Sciences, Poznan, Poland</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff10">
<label>10</label>
<addr-line>Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff11">
<label>11</label>
<addr-line>Irstea, UR HHLY, Hydrology-Hydraulics Research Unit, Rue de la Doua, Villeurbanne Cedex, France</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff12">
<label>12</label>
<addr-line>Department of Astronomy and Meteorology, University of Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff13">
<label>13</label>
<addr-line>Department of Geography and Planning, School of Environmental Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff14">
<label>14</label>
<addr-line>Institute of Risk and Uncertainty, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff15">
<label>15</label>
<addr-line>Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Imperial College London, London, UK</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff16">
<label>16</label>
<addr-line>Department of Civil Engineering: Hydraulic and Energy, Technical University of Madrid, Madrid, Spain</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff17">
<label>17</label>
<addr-line>Helmholtz Centre Potsdam, GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Potsdam, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff18">
<label>18</label>
<addr-line>Department for Catchment Hydrology, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research – UFZ, Halle, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff19">
<label>19</label>
<addr-line>Institute of Environmental Engineering, ETH Zürich, Zurich, Switzerland</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff20">
<label>20</label>
<addr-line>Department of Civil, Chemical, Environmental and Materials Engineering (DICAM), University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff21">
<label>21</label>
<addr-line>Federal Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry, Environment and Water Management, Division VII/5 – Flood Control Management, Vienna, Austria</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff22">
<label>22</label>
<addr-line>Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zürich, Zurich, Switzerland</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff23">
<label>23</label>
<addr-line>Department of Land and Water Resources Management, Slovak University of Technology, Bratislava, Slovakia</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff24">
<label>24</label>
<addr-line>now at: Centre for Water in the Minerals Industry, Sustainable Minerals Institute, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff25">
<label>25</label>
<addr-line>now at: Institute for Systematic Botany and Ecology, Ulm University, Ulm, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>30</day>
<month>07</month>
<year>2014</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>18</volume>
<issue>7</issue>
<fpage>2735</fpage>
<lpage>2772</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2014 J. Hall et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2014</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Unported License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/18/2735/2014/hess-18-2735-2014.html">This article is available from https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/18/2735/2014/hess-18-2735-2014.html</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/18/2735/2014/hess-18-2735-2014.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/18/2735/2014/hess-18-2735-2014.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>There is growing concern that flooding is becoming more frequent and severe
in Europe. A better understanding of flood regime changes and their drivers
is therefore needed. The paper reviews the current knowledge on flood regime
changes in European rivers that has traditionally been obtained through two alternative research
approaches. The first approach is the data-based detection of changes in observed flood events. Current methods are reviewed together with their challenges
and opportunities. For example, observation biases, the merging of different
data sources and accounting for nonlinear drivers and responses. The second
approach consists of modelled scenarios of future floods. Challenges and
opportunities associated with flood change scenarios are discussed such as fully
accounting for uncertainties in the modelling cascade and feedbacks. To make
progress in flood change research, we suggest that a synthesis of these two
approaches is needed. This can be achieved by focusing on long duration records and flood-rich and flood-poor periods rather than on short duration flood trends only, by formally attributing
causes of observed flood changes, by validating scenarios against observed
flood regime dynamics, and by developing low-dimensional models of flood
changes and feedbacks. The paper finishes with a call for a joint European flood change research network.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="38"/></counts>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body/>
<back>
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