<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD Journal Publishing DTD v3.0 20080202//EN" "https://jats.nlm.nih.gov/nlm-dtd/publishing/3.0/journalpublishing3.dtd">
<article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" article-type="research-article" dtd-version="3.0" xml:lang="en">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">HESS</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>Hydrology and Earth System Sciences</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">HESS</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci.</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">1607-7938</issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/hess-17-2147-2013</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Errors in climate model daily precipitation and temperature output: time invariance and implications for bias correction</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Maurer</surname>
<given-names>E. P.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Das</surname>
<given-names>T.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Cayan</surname>
<given-names>D. R.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Civil Engineering Dept., Santa Clara University, Santa Clara, CA, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>CH2MHill, 402 W. Broadway, San Diego, CA, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Division of Climate, Atmospheric Sciences, and Physical Oceanography, Scripps Institution of Oceanography and Water Resources Division, US Geological Survey, La Jolla, CA, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>07</day>
<month>06</month>
<year>2013</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>17</volume>
<issue>6</issue>
<fpage>2147</fpage>
<lpage>2159</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2013 E. P. Maurer et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2013</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Unported License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/17/2147/2013/hess-17-2147-2013.html">This article is available from https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/17/2147/2013/hess-17-2147-2013.html</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/17/2147/2013/hess-17-2147-2013.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/17/2147/2013/hess-17-2147-2013.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>When correcting for biases in general circulation model (GCM) output, for
example when statistically downscaling for regional and local impacts
studies, a common assumption is that the GCM biases can be characterized by
comparing model simulations and observations for a historical period. We
demonstrate some complications in this assumption, with GCM biases varying
between mean and extreme values and for different sets of historical years.
Daily precipitation and maximum and minimum temperature from late 20th
century simulations by four GCMs over the United States were compared to
gridded observations. Using random years from the historical record we
select a &quot;base&quot; set and a 10 yr independent &quot;projected&quot; set. We compare
differences in biases between these sets at median and extreme percentiles.
On average a base set with as few as 4 randomly-selected years is often
adequate to characterize the biases in daily GCM precipitation and
temperature, at both median and extreme values; 12 yr provided higher
confidence that bias correction would be successful. This suggests that some
of the GCM bias is time invariant. When characterizing bias with a set of
consecutive years, the set must be long enough to accommodate regional low
frequency variability, since the bias also exhibits this variability. Newer
climate models included in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
fifth assessment will allow extending this study for a longer observational
period and to finer scales.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="13"/></counts>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body/>
<back>
<ref-list>
<title>References</title>
<ref id="ref1">
<label>1</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Abatzoglou, J. T. and Brown, T. J.: A comparison of statistical downscaling methods suited for wildfire applications, Int. J. Climatol., 32, 772–780, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.2312&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.2312&lt;/a&gt;, 2012.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref2">
<label>2</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">AchutaRao, K. M. and Sperber, K. R.: ENSO Simulation in Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Models: Are the Current Models Better?, Clim. Dynam., 27, 1–15, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-006-0119-7&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-006-0119-7&lt;/a&gt;, 2006.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref3">
<label>3</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Ballester, J., Giorgi, F., and Rodo, X.: Changes in European temperature extremes can be predicted from changes in PDF central statistics, Climatic Change, 98, 277–284, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-009-9758-0&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-009-9758-0&lt;/a&gt;, 2010.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref4">
<label>4</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Boé, J., Terray, L., Habets, F., and Martin, E.: Statistical and dynamical downscaling of the Seine basin climate for hydro-meteorological studies, Int. J. Climatol., 27, 1643–1655, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.1602&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1602&lt;/a&gt;, 2007.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref5">
<label>5</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Bürger, G., Murdock, T. Q., Werner, A. T., Sobie, S. R., and Cannon, A. J.: Downscaling Extremes – An Intercomparison of Multiple Statistical Methods for Present Climate, J. Climate, 25, 4366–4388, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-11-00408.1&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-11-00408.1&lt;/a&gt;, 2012.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref6">
<label>6</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Buser, C. M., Kunsch, H. R., Luthi, D., Wild, M., and Schar, C.: Bayesian multi-model projection of climate: bias assumptions and interannual variability, Clim. Dynam., 33, 849–868, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-009-0588-6&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-009-0588-6&lt;/a&gt;, 2009.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref7">
<label>7</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Carter, T. R., Jones, R. N., Lu, X., Bhadwal, S., Conde, C., Mearns, L. O., O&apos;Neill, B. C., Rounsevell, M. D. A., and Zurek, M. B.: New Assessment Methods and the Characterisation of Future Conditions. Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, in, edited by: Parry, M. L., Canziani, O. F., Palutikof, J. P., van der Linden, P. J., and Hanson, C. E., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 133–171, 2007.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref8">
<label>8</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Casola, J. H., Cuo, L., Livneh, B., Lettenmaier, D. P., Stoelinga, M. T., Mote, P. W., and Wallace, J. M.: Assessing the Impacts of Global Warming on Snowpack in the Washington Cascades*, J. Climate, 22, 2758–2772, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2008jcli2612.1&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1175/2008jcli2612.1&lt;/a&gt;, 2009.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref9">
<label>9</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Cayan, D. R., Dettinger, M. D., Diaz, H. F., and Graham, N. E.: Decadal Variability of Precipitation over Western North America, J. Climate, 11, 3148–3166, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(1998)011&lt;3148:DVOPOW&gt;2.0.CO;2&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(1998)011&lt;3148:DVOPOW&gt;2.0.CO;2&lt;/a&gt;, 1998.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref10">
<label>10</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Chen, C., Haerter, J. O., Hagemann, S., and Piani, C.: On the contribution of statistical bias correction to the uncertainty in the projected hydrological cycle, Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L20403, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2011gl049318&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1029/2011gl049318&lt;/a&gt;, 2011.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref11">
<label>11</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Christensen, J. H., Hewitson, B., Busuioc, A., Chen, A., Gao, X., Held, I., Jones, R., Kolli, R. K., Kwon, W.-T., Laprise, R., Magaña Rueda, V., Mearns, L., Menéndez, C. G., Räisänen, J., Rinke, A., Sarr, A., and Whetton, P.: Regional climate projections, in: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by: Solomon, S., Qin, D., Manning, M., Chen, Z., Marquis, M., Averyt, K. B., Tignor, M., and Miller, H. L., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 2007.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref12">
<label>12</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Christensen, J. H., Boberg, F., Christensen, O. B., and Lucas-Picher, P.: On the need for bias correction of regional climate change projections of temperature and precipitation, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L20709, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2008gl035694&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1029/2008gl035694&lt;/a&gt;, 2008.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref13">
<label>13</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Coats, R., Reuter, J., Dettinger, M., Riverson, J., Sahoo, G., Schladow, G., Wolfe, B., and Costa-Cabral, M.: The effects of climate change on Lake Tahoe in the 21st century: Meteorology, hydrology, loading and lake response, Pacific Southwest Research Station, Tahoe Environmental Science Center, Incline Village NV, USA, 208, 2010.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref14">
<label>14</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Coats, R., Costa-Cabral, M., Riverson, J., Reuter, J., Sahoo, G., Schladow, G., and Wolfe, B.: Projected 21st century trends in hydroclimatology of the Tahoe basin, Climatic Change, 116, 51–69, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-012-0425-5&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-012-0425-5&lt;/a&gt;, 2013.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref15">
<label>15</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Daly, C., Neilson, R. P., and Phillips, D. L.: A statistical-topographic model for mapping climatological precipitation over mountainous terrain, J. Appl. Meteorol., 33, 140–158, 1994.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref16">
<label>16</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Delworth, T. L., Broccoli, A. J., Rosati, A., Stouffer, R. J., Balaji, V., Beesley, J. A., Cooke, W. F., Dixon, K. W., Dunne, J., Dunne, K. A., Durachta, J. W., Findell, K. L., Ginoux, P., Gnanadesikan, A., Gordon, C. T., Griffies, S. M., Gudgel, R., Harrison, M. J., Held, I. M., Hemler, R. S., Horowitz, L. W., Klein, S. A., Knutson, T. R., Kushner, P. J., Langenhorst, A. R., Lee, H.-C., Lin, S.-J., Lu, J., Malyshev, S. L., Milly, P. C. D., Ramaswamy, V., Russell, J., Schwarzkopf, M. D., Shevliakova, E., Sirutis, J. J., Spelman, M. J., Stern, W. F., Winton, M., Wittenberg, A. T., Wyman, B., Zeng, F., and Zhang, R.: GFDL&apos;s CM2 global coupled climate models – Part 1: Formulation and simulation characteristics, J. Climate, 19, 643–674, 2006.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref17">
<label>17</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Ehret, U., Zehe, E., Wulfmeyer, V., Warrach-Sagi, K., and Liebert, J.: HESS Opinions &quot;Should we apply bias correction to global and regional climate model data?&quot;, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 16, 3391–3404, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-16-3391-2012&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-16-3391-2012&lt;/a&gt;, 2012.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref18">
<label>18</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Fowler, H. J., Blenkinsop, S., and Tebaldi, C.: Linking climate change modelling to impacts studies: recent advances in downscaling techniques for hydrological modelling, Int. J. Climatol., 27, 1547–1578, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.1556&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1556&lt;/a&gt;, 2007.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref19">
<label>19</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Frich, P., Alexander, L. V., Della-Marta, P., Gleason, B., Haylock, M., Klein Tank, A. M. G., and Peterson, T. C.: Observed Coherent changes in climatic extremes during the second half of the twentieth century, Clim. Res., 19, 193–212, 2002.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref20">
<label>20</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Haerter, J. O., Hagemann, S., Moseley, C., and Piani, C.: Climate model bias correction and the role of timescales, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 1065–1079, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-15-1065-2011&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-15-1065-2011&lt;/a&gt;, 2011.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref21">
<label>21</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Hall, A., Qu, X., and Neelin, J. D.: Improving predictions of summer climate change in the United States, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L01702, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2007GL032012&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1029/2007GL032012&lt;/a&gt;, 2008.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref22">
<label>22</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Hawkins, E. and Sutton, R.: The Potential to Narrow Uncertainty in Regional Climate Predictions, B. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 90, 1095–1107, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2009BAMS2607.1&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1175/2009BAMS2607.1&lt;/a&gt;, 2009.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref23">
<label>23</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Hewitson, B.: Developing perturbations for climate change impact assessments, EOS T. Am. Geophys. Un., 84, 337–341, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2003EO350001&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1029/2003EO350001&lt;/a&gt;, 2003.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref24">
<label>24</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Hidalgo, H. G. and Dracup, J. A.: ENSO and PDO Effects on Hydroclimatic Variations of the Upper Colorado River Basin, J. Hydrometeorol., 4, 5–23, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/1525-7541(2003)004&lt;0005:eapeoh&gt;2.0.co;2&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1175/1525-7541(2003)004&lt;0005:eapeoh&gt;2.0.co;2&lt;/a&gt;, 2003.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref25">
<label>25</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Ines, A. V. M. and Hansen, J. W.: Bias correction of daily GCM rainfall for crop simulation studies, Agr. Forest Meteorol., 138, 44–53, 2006.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref26">
<label>26</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Karl, T. R., Melillo, J. M., and Peterson, D. H.: Global climate change impacts in the United States, Cambridge University Press, New York, 192&amp;nbsp;pp., 2009.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref27">
<label>27</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Kiehl, J. T., Hack, J. J., Bonan, G. B., Boville, B. B., Williamson, D. L., and Rasch, P. J.: The National Center for Atmospheric Research Community Climate Model: CCM3, J. Climate, 11, 1131–1149, 1998.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref28">
<label>28</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Klein, S. A., Jiang, X., Boyle, J., Malyshev, S., and Xie, S.: Diagnosis of the summertime warm and dry bias over the U.S. Southern Great Plains in the GFDL climate model using a weather forecasting approach, Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L18805, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2006gl027567&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1029/2006gl027567&lt;/a&gt;, 2006.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref29">
<label>29</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Knutti, R., Allen, M. R., Friedlingstein, P., Gregory, J. M., Hegerl, G. C., Meehl, G. A., Meinshausen, M., Murphy, J. M., Plattner, G. K., Raper, S. C. B., Stocker, T. F., Stott, P. A., Teng, H., and Wigley, T. M. L.: A review of uncertainties in global temperature projections over the twenty-first century, J. Climate, 21, 2651–2663, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2007jcli2119.1&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1175/2007jcli2119.1&lt;/a&gt;, 2008.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref30">
<label>30</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Lafon, T., Dadson, S., Buys, G., and Prudhomme, C.: Bias correction of daily precipitation simulated by a regional climate model: a comparison of methods, Int. J. Climatol., 33, 1367–1381, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.3518&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3518&lt;/a&gt;, 2012.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref31">
<label>31</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Li, H., Sheffield, J., and Wood, E. F.: Bias correction of monthly precipitation and temperature fields from Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change AR4 models using equidistant quantile matching, J. Geophys. Res., 115, D10101, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2009jd012882&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1029/2009jd012882&lt;/a&gt;, 2010.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref32">
<label>32</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Livneh, B., Rosenberg, E. A., Lin, C., Nijssen, B., Mishra, V., Andreadis, K., Maurer, E. P., and Lettenmaier, D. P.: A Long-term hydrologically based dataset of land surface fluxes and states for the conterminous U.S.: Update and extensions, 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change, 93rd American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting, Austin, TX, USA, Paper 6A.3, 2013.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref33">
<label>33</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Macadam, I., Pitman, A. J., Whetton, P. H., and Abramowitz, G.: Ranking climate models by performance using actual values and anomalies: Implications for climate change impact assessments, Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L16704, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2010gl043877&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1029/2010gl043877&lt;/a&gt;, 2010.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref34">
<label>34</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Mantua, N. J. and Hare, S. R.: The Pacific Decadal Oscillation, J. Oceanogr., 58, 35–44, 2002.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref35">
<label>35</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Maraun, D.: Nonstationarities of regional climate model biases in European seasonal mean temperature and precipitation sums, Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L06706, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2012gl051210&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1029/2012gl051210&lt;/a&gt;, 2012.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref36">
<label>36</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Maraun, D., Wetterhall, F., Ireson, A. M., Chandler, R. E., Kendon, E. J., Widmann, M., Brienen, S., Rust, H. W., Sauter, T., Theme{ß}l, M., Venema, V. K. C., Chun, K. P., Goodess, C. M., Jones, R. G., Onof, C., Vrac, M., and Thiele-Eich, I.: Precipitation downscaling under climate change: Recent developments to bridge the gap between dynamical models and the end user, Rev. Geophys., 48, RG3003, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2009rg000314&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1029/2009rg000314&lt;/a&gt;, 2010.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref37">
<label>37</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Masson, D. and Knutti, R.: Spatial-Scale Dependence of Climate Model Performance in the CMIP3 Ensemble, J. Climate, 24, 2680–2692, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2011jcli3513.1&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1175/2011jcli3513.1&lt;/a&gt;, 2011.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref38">
<label>38</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Maurer, E. P., Wood, A. W., Adam, J. C., Lettenmaier, D. P., and Nijssen, B.: A long-term hydrologically-based data set of land surface fluxes and states for the conterminous United States, J. Climate, 15, 3237–3251, 2002.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref39">
<label>39</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Maurer, E. P., Hidalgo, H. G., Das, T., Dettinger, M. D., and Cayan, D. R.: The utility of daily large-scale climate data in the assessment of climate change impacts on daily streamflow in California, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 14, 1125–1138, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-14-1125-2010&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-14-1125-2010&lt;/a&gt;, 2010.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref40">
<label>40</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Meehl, G. A., Covey, C., Delworth, T., Latif, M., McAvaney, B., Mitchell, J. F. B., Stouffer, R. J., and Taylor, K. E.: The WCRP CMIP3 multimodel dataset: A new era in climate change research, B. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 88, 1383–1394, 2007.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref41">
<label>41</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Panofsky, H. A. and Brier, G. W.: Some Applications of Statistics to Meteorology, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, USA, 224&amp;nbsp;pp., 1968.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref42">
<label>42</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Piani, C., Haerter, J., and Coppola, E.: Statistical bias correction for daily precipitation in regional climate models over Europe, Theor. Appl. Climatol., 99, 187–192, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00704-009-0134-9&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-009-0134-9&lt;/a&gt;, 2010.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref43">
<label>43</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Pierce, D. W., Das, T., Cayan, D., Maurer, E. P., Bao, Y., Kanamitsu, M., Yoshimura, K., Snyder, M. A., Sloan, L. C., Franco, G., and Tyree, M.: Probabilistic estimates of future changes in California temperature and precipitation using statistical and dynamical downscaling, Clim. Dynam., 40, 839–856, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1337-9&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1337-9&lt;/a&gt;, 2013.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref44">
<label>44</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Pyke, C. B.: Some meteorological aspects of the seasonal distribution of precipitation in the western United States and Baja California, University of California Water Resources Center Contribution 139, Berkeley, CA, 205, 1972.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref45">
<label>45</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Randall, D. A., Wood, R. A., Bony, S., Colman, R., Fichefet, T., Fyfe, J., Kattsov, V., Pitman, A., Shukla, J., Srinivasan, J., Sumi, A., Stouffer, R. J., and Taylor, K. E.: Climate models and their evaluation, in: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by: Solomon, S., Qin, D., Manning, M., Chen, Z., Marquis, M., Averyt, K. B., Tignor, M., and Miller, H. L., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 591–648, 2007.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref46">
<label>46</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Salas-Mélia, D., Chauvin, F., Déqué, M., Douville, H., Gueremy, J. F., Marquet, P., Planton, S., Royer , J. F., and Tyteca, S.: Description and validation of the CNRM-CM3 global coupled model, CNRM working note 103, Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques, Météo-France, Toulouse, France, 36&amp;nbsp;pp., 2005.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref47">
<label>47</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Sun, Y., Solomon, S., Dai, A., and Portmann, R. W.: How Often Does It Rain?, J. Climate, 19, 916–934, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli3672.1&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli3672.1&lt;/a&gt;, 2006.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref48">
<label>48</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Tebaldi, C., Hayhoe, K., Arblaster, J. M., and Meehl, G. A.: An intercomparison of model-simulated historical and future changes in extreme events, Climatic Change, 79, 185–211, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-006-9051-4&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-006-9051-4&lt;/a&gt;, 2006.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref49">
<label>49</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Theme{ß}l, M., Gobiet, A., and Heinrich, G.: Empirical-statistical downscaling and error correction of regional climate models and its impact on the climate change signal, Climatic Change, 112, 449–468, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0224-4&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0224-4&lt;/a&gt;, 2012.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref50">
<label>50</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Thrasher, B., Maurer, E. P., McKellar, C., and Duffy, P. B.: Technical Note: Bias correcting climate model simulated daily temperature extremes with quantile mapping, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 16, 3309–3314, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-16-3309-2012&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-16-3309-2012&lt;/a&gt;, 2012.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref51">
<label>51</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Tryhorn, L. and DeGaetano, A.: A comparison of techniques for downscaling extreme precipitation over the Northeastern United States, Int. J. Climatol., 31, 1975–1989, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.2208&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.2208&lt;/a&gt;, 2011.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref52">
<label>52</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Vicuna, S., Dracup, J. A., Lund, J. R., Dale, L. L., and Maurer, E. P.: Basin-scale water system operations with uncertain future climate conditions: Methodology and case studies, Water Resour. Res., 46, W04505, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2009WR007838&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1029/2009WR007838&lt;/a&gt;, 2010.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref53">
<label>53</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Washington, W. M., Weatherly, J. W., Meehl, G. A., Semtner, A. J., Bettge, T. W., Craig, A. P., Strand, W. G., Arblaster, J., Wayland, V. B., James, R., and Zhang, Y.: Parallel climate model (PCM) control and transient simulations, Clim. Dynam., 16, 755–774, 2000.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref54">
<label>54</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Wehner, M.: Sources of uncertainty in the extreme value statistics of climate data, Extremes, 13, 205–217, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10687-010-0105-7&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1007/s10687-010-0105-7&lt;/a&gt;, 2010.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref55">
<label>55</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Wood, A. W., Leung, L. R., Sridhar, V., and Lettenmaier, D. P.: Hydrologic implications of dynamical and statistical approaches to downscaling climate model outputs, Climatic Change, 62, 189–216, 2004.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref56">
<label>56</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Yevjevich, V.: Probability and Statistics in Hydrology, Water Resources Publications, Ft. Collins, CO, USA, 1972.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
</ref-list>
</back>
</article>