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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">HESS</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>Hydrology and Earth System Sciences</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">HESS</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci.</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">1607-7938</issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/hess-11-1115-2007</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Modelling the impacts of projected future climate change on water resources in north-west England</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Fowler</surname>
<given-names>H. J.</given-names>
</name>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Kilsby</surname>
<given-names>C. G.</given-names>
</name>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Stunell</surname>
<given-names>J.</given-names>
</name>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>27</day>
<month>04</month>
<year>2007</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>11</volume>
<issue>3</issue>
<fpage>1115</fpage>
<lpage>1126</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2007 H. J. Fowler et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2007</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 2.5 Generic License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/11/1115/2007/hess-11-1115-2007.html">This article is available from https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/11/1115/2007/hess-11-1115-2007.html</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/11/1115/2007/hess-11-1115-2007.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/11/1115/2007/hess-11-1115-2007.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Over the last two decades, the frequency of water resource drought in the UK, coupled with the more recent pan-European drought of 2003, has increased concern over changes in climate. Using the UKCIP02 Medium-High (SRES A2) scenario for 2070–2100, this study investigates the impact of climate change on the operation of the Integrated Resource Zone (IRZ), a complex conjunctive-use water supply system in north-western England. The results indicate that the contribution of individual sources to yield may change substantially but that overall yield is reduced by only 18%. Notwithstanding this significant effect on water supply, the flexibility of the system enables it to meet modelled demand for much of the time under the future climate scenario, even without a change in system management, but at significant expense for pumping additional abstraction from lake and borehole sources. This research provides a basis for the future planning and management of the complex water resource system in the north-west of England.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="12"/></counts>
</article-meta>
</front>
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